1.25 Liberty Insurance Novice Hurdle

1.35 Liberty Insurance Novice Hurdle (Grade 3) (4yo+) €17,875 3m
RAG Race Status: AMBER

Primary Trends

The last 8 winners…
Were aged 5
Had run between 1 and 4 times
Were running within 34 days
Had run no more than 4 times over hurdles
Had a pre race RPR of 115+

7 of the last 8 winners…
Won 1 of their last 2 starts
Had won at 2m+
Were running within 31 days
Had a pre race RPR of between 121 and 138

Shortlist

Race card order – Our Vinnie

Secondary Trends

6 of the last 8 winners…

Were NOT favourites
Was a single figure price last time out

Analysis

Could well turn out to be a trends buster with the lightly raced Pride Of The Parish being the one, but, Our Vinnie scores well on the trends and is the selection, given the tremendous record of 5yo’s in the race.

Selection: Our Vinnie

Posted by Tony on December 28, 2012. Filed under Previews, Race Previews, Trends. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0. You can skip to the end and leave a response. Pinging is currently not allowed.