May 05

Mal Boyle Stats – Saturday 5th

Friday’s school report:

Results yesterday afternoon were as “turgid” as I had described the racing to be for the last two days. Thankfully, the clock struck five and WINNERS AT 10/1 (returned at 5/1) & 9/1 (7/1) arrived to bring some sense and sensibility to proceedings alongside two 14/1 placed horses which helped to save the day!

APPROXIMMATE SATURDAY TIMELINE:

4.30: MAL’S NEWMARKET ANALYSIS (via free link from my Twitter page) – DONE

4.40: NEWMARKET STAT ATTACK – DONE

6.00: ‘DEAD OF NIGHT’ MMA SERVICE – DONE

6.45: IN FORM TRAINERS – DONE

6.50: NEWMARKET STATS FROM THE CRAVEN MEETING A FEW WEEKS AGO – DONE

7.10: OTHER FLAT VENUES TODAY – RELEVANT STATS THIS SEASON – DONE

8.00: FOOTBALL SERVICE – DONE

8.30: MMA UPDATES & ADDITIONS IF/WHERE RELEVANT – DONE WITH 11 ADDITIONS

9.00: PREVIEW OF SUNDAY ASSESSMENT (INCLUDING 1000 GUINEAS MEETING STAT ATTACK) – DONE

9.30: LOOKING FORWARD TO CHESTER! (POSTPONED UNTIL TOMORROW (SUNDAY) – EXHAUSTION!

+ WORLD CUP ASSESSMENT – PART TWO – TOMORROW!

 

SATURDAY:

DEAD OF NIGHT Morning Market Assessment (at 6.00 am) – these prices will be updated at 8.30 with additions if/where relevant.

NEWMARKET:

1.50: Third Time Lucky – 11/1 (365/BetVictor)

2.20: Jumira Bridge – 10/1 (365)

3.35: Expert Eye – 11/1 (Betfair/PP/Unibet)

4.45: Old Persian – 11/4 (Unibet)

Additional Newmarket entries at 8.30:

4.10: Two to consider: Barton Mills – 13/2 (BetVictor) & Prestbury Park – 18/1 (Ladbrokes)

5.20: Folk Tale – 10/1 (Ladbrokes.Coral.Boylee.Black Type)

 

GOODWOOD:

2.05: Mamselle – 16/1 (Generally available)

2.40: Masham Star – 9/1 (365)

3.15: Son Of Africa – 6/1 (365/PP/Unibet/Betfair/BetVictor)

4.25: Alrahaal – 7/2 (365)

5.00: Cogital – 7/2 (365)

5.35: Liva – 11/1 (Ladbrokes/Unibet/Coral/BetVictor)

Additional Goodwood entry at 8.30:

3.50: Nyaleti – 4/1 (Betfair/PP/Unibet)

 

WETHERBY:

1.25: Calliope – 11/2 (Marathon)

3.05: Mutamaded – 10/1 (PP/Unibet/BetVictor)

3.45: Caridade – 15/2 (PP)

4.55: Titus – 10/1 (Betfair/PP)

Additional Wetherby entries at 8.30:

2.30: Indomeneo – 6/1 (Generally available)

4.20: Genetics – 9/2 (Skybet)

 

DONCASTER:

5.15: Russian Realm – 11/1 (365/Unibet/Marathon/Coral)

6.20: Chingachgook – 10/1 (Ladbrokes/Betfair/PP)

7.50: Bedrock – 3/1 (Unibet)

8.20: Endless Tangent – 6/1 (Betfair/PP)

Additional Doncaster entries at 8.30:

5.50: Dixieland – 7/2 (Betfair/PP/BetVictor)

6.50: Salateen – 4/1 (Unibet)

 

HEXHAM:

5.35: Newstart – 13/2 (Betfair)

6.35: Suggestion – 13/2 (Betfair)

8.35: Dun Faw Good – 8/1 (Betfair/PP/BetVictor)

Additional Hexham entries at 8.30:

NONE

 

UTTOXETER:

2.45: Lookforarainbow – 12/1 (Betfair/PP)

4.30: Little Miss Poet – 5/1 (Generally available)

Additional Uttoxeter entries at 8.30:

1.40: Young Pheonix (11/2 (Unibet)

3.55: Henlann Herri (10/1 (Marathon)

5.40: Finish The Story – 7/1 (Betfair/PP/Unibet)

 

IN FORM TRAINERS INCLUDE:

28/72—John Gosden (+23) – 4 at Newmarket: Tricorn & Dommersen (1.50), Roaring Lion (3.35) & Graffiti Master (4.45)

16/32—Tom Lacey (+50) – 1 at Uttoxeter: Tripoas (5.05)

10/36—Tony Carroll (+34) – 1 at Goodwood: Mister Music (2.40)

6/10—Kevin Ryan (+40) – 2 runners: Caridade (3.45 Wetherby) & Vj Day (4.10 Newmarket)

5/19—Tom Symonds (+38) – 2 at Uttoxeter: Don Bersy (3.20) & Toosey (5.05)

4/7—Peter Bowen (+8) – 3 at Uttoxeter: Lady Robyn (1.40), Mac Tottie (2.10) & Henllan Harri (3.55)

4/8—Robert Cowell (+4) – 5 today – 3 at Newmarket: Jumira Bridge & Encore D’Or (2.00) & Grandfather Tom (4.10) + 2 at Goodwood: Leo Minor & Green Door (3.15)

4.10—Eve Johnson Houghton (+5) – 2 at Goodwood: Papelaine (5.00) & Liva (5.35)

4/11—John Butler (+27) – 2 chances: Forbidding (4.55 Wetherby) & Toofi (5.15 Doncaster)

4/11—Chris Gordon (+11) – 1 at Goodwood: Yamuna River (5.35)

4/13—Ruth Carr (+25) – 3 runners: Mutamaded (3.05 Wetherby) + 2 at Doncaster: Mark’s Choice (5.50) & Impulsive Force (7.20)

3/4—Clive Cox (+13) – 4 runners – 2 at Goodwood: Luire (2.05) & Graphite Storm (2.40) & 2 at Newmarket: Khalidi (2.55) & Chagatai (4.10)

3/5—Richard Hughes (+11) – 3 today – 2 at Goodwood: Paco’s Angel (3.50) & Mustang (5.35) + 1 at Doncaster: Stanley (7.50)

3/6—Michael Bell (+1) – 1 at Newmarket: Roulette (5.20)

3/6—Ed Walker (+3) – 1 at Newmarket: Stephensons Rocket (4.45)

3/9—Jamie Snowden (+32) – 1 at Uttoxeter: Lostnfound (4.30)

2/2 in the UK + 4/5 in total—Gavin Cromwell (+7) – 2 at Uttoxeter: Damut I’m Out (1.40) & As De Pique 3.55)

2/4—John Bridger (+11) – 1 at Goodwood: Pettochside (3.15)

2/4—Gay Kelleway (+8) – 1 at Wetherby: Yeah Baby Yeah (3.45)

2/4—Colin Tizzard (+5) – 5 at Uttoxeter: Sizing Cusimano (2.10), Storm Home (3.20), Sizing Codelco (3.55), Drinks Interval (4.30) & Zanstra (5.05)

+ 26/56—Charlie Appleby (+34) – 9 runners: 7 at Newmarket & 2 at Doncaster

+ 19/55—William Haggas (+1) – 9 runners: 5 at Goodwood, 2 at Newmarket & 2 at Doncaster

+ 7/21—Mick Channon (+16) – 8 today: 5 at Goodwood & 3 at Doncaster

45 Runners – listed in race order:

1.40: Damut I’m Out & Lady Robyn

1.50: Tricorn & Dommersen

2.00: Jumira Bridge & Encore D’Or

2.05: Luire

2.10: Sizing Cusimano & Mac Totti

2.40: Mister Music & Graphite Storm

2.50: Paco’s Angel

2.55: Khalidi

3.05: Mutamaded

3.15: Pettochside, Leo Minor & Green Door

3.20: Storm Home & Don Bersy

3.35: Roaring Lion

3.45: Yeah Baby Yeah & Caridade

3.50: Paco’s Angel

3.55: As De Pique, Henllan Harri & Sizing Codelco

4.10: Grandfather Tom, Chagatai & Vj Day

4.30: Drinks Interval & Lostnfound

4.45: Stephensons Rocket & Graffiti Master

4.55: Forbidding

5.00: Papelaine

5.05: Zanstra, Toosey & Triopas

5.15: Toofi

5.20: Roulette

5.35: Yamuna River, Mustang & Liva

5.50: Mark’s Choice

7.20: Impulsive Force

7.50: Stanley

 

NEWMARKET (ROWLEY MILE) STATS FOR 2018:

CRAVEN MEETING DETAILS LEADING INTO THIS YEAR’S GUINEAS MEETING:

Races: 24 – 5 winning favourites – 19/24 winners scored at a top price of 8/1

Trainers of all 24 winners (including complete stats and starting prices)

6/14—Charlie Appleby (4/1 – 7/2 – 11/4 – 5/2 – 5/2* – 2/1**)

2/6—Ralph Beckett (14/1 & 3/1*)

2/8—Kevin Ryan (9/2 & 7/2)

2/9—Richard Fahey (8/1 & 6/1)

2/11—Roger Varian (6/4* & 5/4*)

2/12—Richard Hannon (28/1 & 25/1)

1/1—Karl Burke (7/1)

1/2—Ed Walker (7/1)

1/3—Stuart Williams (14/1)

1/4—Owen Burrows (25/1)

1/5—Tom Dascombe (11/4)

1/9—Mark Johnston (11/4)

1/13—Charlie Hills (4/1)

1/17—John Gosden (2/1)

Trainers who saddled the winners at last year’s two day Guineas meeting were as follows:

4 winners—Aidan O’Brien (9/1 – 13/8* – 6/4* – 4/7* Doubles on each day)

2—Charlie Appleby (5/1 & 5/2* = 20/1 double on the Sunday of the meeting)

Trainers with one winner on the Saturday:

David Barron (25/1)

Michael Bell (14/1)

Sir Michael Stoute (10/1)

Sir Mark Prescott (8/1)

Mark Johnston (5/2)

Trainers with one winner on the Sunday:

Saeed Bin Suroor (16/1)

Richard Fahey (10/1)

Andrew Balding (11/2)

 

OTHER FLAT VENUES TODAY – RELEVANT STATS THIS SEASON:

GOODWOOD – No details as yet as this is their first meeting of the season

DONCASTER: 31 races – 10 winning favourites – 30/31 winners scored at a top price of 12/1

Leading trainer at Doncaster this season: 4/22–Richard Fahey (8/1, 8/1, 7/1 & 11/4) = +8 level stake profit – 5 runners there this evening: George Bowen & Private Matter (5.15), Ninetythreetwenty & Cosmic Law (5.50) & Chingachgook (6.20)

WETHERBY: 8 races – 1 winning favourite – all eight winners scored at a top price of 11/1 via eight different trainers

 

NEWMARKET 2000 GUINEAS MEETING STAT ATTACK (7 YEAR STUDY PERIOD):

49 races – 19 winning favourites – 32/49 winners scored at a top price of 9/1

Average Placepot dividend: £2,485.54

Highest dividend: £16,246.30 (2016) – Lowest dividend: £84.80 (2012)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

4 winners—Aidan O’Brien (4/1*, 15/8*, 6/4* & 4/7*) – 3 runners (all in the 2000 Guineas): Gustav Klimt, Saxon Warrior & Murillo

 

1000 GUINEAS – BEST PRICES – AS OF THURSDAY MORNING: – NOW UPDATED (SATURDAY)

5/2–Happily (Generally available) – Remains the 5/2 favourite generally – as short as 2/1 in a place

7/1–Soliloquy (Betfair/BetBright) – 6/1 (Boylesports) – as short as 9/2

8/1–I Can Fly (Black Type) – 7/1 (888) – as short as 6/1

8/1–Wild Illusion (Generally available) – 9/1 (Coral) – as short as 7/1

10/1–Laurens (BetBright) – 9/1 (Coral) – as short as 15/2

14/1–Dans Dream (Generally available) – 16/1 (888) – as short as 12/1

16/1–Anna Nerium (Generally available) – 14/1 generally – as short as 12/1

16/1–Altyn Orda (Generally available) – 16/1 (Coral/888/BetVictor) as short as 14/1

New entry–Liquid Amber (Coral/888) – as short as 12/1

22/1–Bar

 

NEWMARKET STAT ATTACK FOR SUNDAY (7 YEAR STUDY)

Average Placepot dividend: £634.31

Highest dividend: £2,715.40 (2011) – Lowest dividend: £166.60 (2015)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

6 winners—John Gisden (5/1, 3/1, 5/2, 15/8*, 6/4* & Evens*) – 1 runner: Lah Ti Dah (4.45)

 

FOOTBALL SERVICE – TWO TELEVISED  PREMIER LEAGUE RELEGATION BATTLES – BEST PRICES:

STOKE V CRYSTAL PALACE – LIVE ON SKY – 12.30 KICK OFF

163/100–Stoke (Marathon)

5/2–Draw (365/Unibet)

19/10–Crystal Palace (Betfair/Betfred)

Half time betting:

23/10–Stoke (188)

6/5–Draw (365)

5/2–Crystal Palace (BetVictor)

Half time/Full time odds:

7/2–Stoke/Stoke (BetVictor)

16/1–Stoke/Draw (BetVictor)

35/1–Stoke/Palace (188)

29/5–Draw/Stoke (Marathon)

26/5–Draw/Draw (Marathon)

32/5–Draw/Palace (Marathon)

35/1–Palace/Stoke (188)

16/1–Palace/Draw (BetVictor)

19/5–Palace/Palace (BetVictor)

 

EVERTON V SOUTHAMPTON – LIVE ON BT SPORT – 5.30 KICK OFF

 97/50–Everton (Marathon)

59/25–Draw (Marathon)

33/20–Southampton (Marathon)

Half time betting:

11/4–Everton (BetVictor)

21/20–Draw (Marathon & Coral)

23/10–Southampton (Ladbrokes/Coral/188/BetVictor)

Half time/Full time odds: 

22/5–Everton/Everton (BetVictor)

17/1–Everton/Draw (BetVictor)

35/1–Everton/Southampton (188)

31/5–Draw/Everton (Marathon)

22/5–Draw/Draw (Marathon)

28/5–Draw/Southampton (Marathon)

37/1–Southampton/Everton (Marathon)

16/1–Southampton/Draw (Skybet)

7/2–Southampton/Southampton (Ladbrokes/Coral/BetVictor)

 

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