7.05 Leopardstown – Ballyroan Stakes(Group 3)

Ballyroan Stakes(Group 3) (3yo+) 1m 4f

Race RAG status: Green

Primary Trends

The last 8 winners were officially rated 108+

7 of the last 8 winners had won a G3+

7 of the last 8 favourites have finished in the first 2 (11221132)

Shortlist

Profound Beauty

Secondary Trends

5 of the last 6 winners were priced 5/1 or lower

3 of the last 5 winners were winning mares

6 of the last 8 winners had run between 2 and 5 times that season

6 of the last 8 winners were course winners

5 of the last 7 winners were distance winners

3 of the last 4 winners had run in The Curragh Cup in June

Selection

I’m not going to win anything for originality here, but, Profound Beauty is very very strong on the trends to retain her title.

The Dermot Weld mare is taking the same path as she took to taking The Ballyroan last season, when winning The Curragh Cup and The Challenge Stakes here last month – only hiccup being her 2l defeat by Tactic in The Curragh Cup in June, when she didn’t let herself down on the faster ground. She bounced back with a 5 1/2l win in The Challenge Cup here prompting Weld to declare  ”She`s just a joy to train and one of the best mares I`ve ever trained and ever will train.”

Tony McCormick