Irish Race Trends 28th December 2011

Pandorama winning the 2010 Lexus Chase

Hi everyone, I hope you all had a good Christmas and if you’re struggling to pick a winner thias week, perhaps we can help.
Mal Boyle has just filed his latest weekly preview of all the upcoming races from Leopardstown, Limerick, Fairyhouse, Tramore and Punchestown.

The highlight of the week must surely be the Lexus Chase on Wednesday: won last year by Pandorama a 7/2 jt favourite.

Here’s Mal’s view of the week as a whole:

WEDNESDAY 28/12:

Leopardstown:

General stats: Ruby Walsh has four booked rides on the card and having ridden twenty four winners from just ninety three assignments, his 26% strike makes for impressive reading.

Grade 1 Novice Chase scheduled for 1.25: Six-year-olds have won seven of the last nine renewals.

Grade 2 Christmas Hurdle scheduled for 2.00: Favourites have secured five of the last nine contests.

Grade 1 Lexus Chase scheduled for 2.35: The biggest priced winner during the last decade was returned at odds of 7/1 during which time, four market leaders have prevailed.

Limerick:

General stats: Stonehatchedmad (2.15) is an interesting each way option to take on the Limerick card given the decent form at the track shown by the Austin stable.  It has taken the yard less runners to achieve their five winners at the course than Noel Meade which can always be viewed positively.

THURSDAY 29/12:

Leopardstown:

General stats: Dermot Weld has a couple of potential runners on Thursday’s Punchestown card, the trainer backing up a decent strike rate of 29% with an identical LSP figure.

Limerick:

General stats: John J Walsh has nine potential runners at Limerick over the two day meeting which is also worth taking into account when looking at Wednesday’s sport.  John’s LSP figure at Limerick stands at 25 points via fifteen winners during the study period.

SATURDAY 31/12:

Punchestown:

General stats: Colin Bowe has positive stats to offer at the track but the trainer only has one potential runner on the card (Mrs Trair in the scheduled 3.40 event).  This leaves us with Willie Mullins to consider whose LSP figure of 37 is backed up by a strike rate of 23%.

Two mile handicap chase scheduled for 1.00: The Flood yard has won three of the last seven renewals and they had two options to choose from at the time of writing.

Tramore:

General stats: William Murphy held six options at the track at the time of writing which should be taken seriously as the stable have secured five victories via ten runners at the venue.

SUNDAY 1/1/12:

Fairyhouse:

General stats: Willie Mullins boasts a 26% strike rate whereby anything the trainer saddles commands a great deal of respect.  Patrick Mooney’s course and distance winner Good Fella could improve an already impressive strike rate at Fairyhouse.

Two mile maiden hurdle scheduled for 12.20: Five and six-year-olds have equally shred six of the seven renewals during which time, four favourites have prevailed.

Two and a half mile Maiden hurdle scheduled for 12.55: Six-year-olds have secured five of the seven contests.

Two and three quarter mile handicap hurdle event scheduled for 1.25: Seven-year-olds have won five of the last six renewals.

INH flat race scheduled for 3.40: Willie Mullins has saddled three of the last five winners, whilst five-year-olds have secured four of the seven winners during the study period.  Willie held seven options at the time of writing, three of which were five-year-olds.

Tramore:

General stats: Note the William Murphy stats for Saturday’s meeting with the trainer having entered two horses for Sunday’s meeting at the course.

Beginners’ Chase scheduled for 2.50: Seven-year-olds have won the last seven renewals.

For the latest UK race trends, click here.

Posted by Chris on December 28, 2011. Filed under News, Previews, Race Previews, Race Reviews, Trends. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0. You can skip to the end and leave a response. Pinging is currently not allowed.