Apr 13

Mal Boyle Stats – Friday 13th

*Point of order – Apology – Jonathan Portman has three runners at Kempton tonight, not just the one mentioned earlier.  The mistake has been rectified in the in-form trainers list.  Thanks for the ‘heads up’ Paul!

Thursday’s school report:

A late winner at 12/1 last night at Chelmsford (Taverner 7.45) added to earlier winners at 9/2 and 13/2. 

The Aintree stats and facts from the last seven years pinpointed Nicky Henderson as the man to follow at Aintree and the maestro snared a 31/1 treble on the day. 

I reported that it was an ‘each way day at Aintree’ via my MMA service and alongside the 9/2 winner in the opening event, horses were placed at 14/1 (returned at 8/1) and 10/1 on the card.

APPROXIMATE FRIDAY TIMELINE:

5.00: ‘DEAD OF NIGHT’ MMA SERVICE – DONE

5.30: TRAINER LEADER-BOARD AT AINTREE – DONE

7.00: MAL’S AINTREE ANALYSIS (via free link from my Twitter page) – DONE

7.45: AINTREE STATS AND FACTS – DONE

8.00: MMA UPDATES & ADDITIONS IF/WHERE RELEVANT – DONE WITH 3 ADDITIONS

8.30: IN FORM TRAINERS – DONE

9.00: WEEKEND BUSINESS – DONE

17.00: SATURDAY’S AINTREE GRAND NATIONAL MEETING ANALYSIS (via free link from my Twitter page)

 

FRIDAY:

DEAD OF NIGHT Morning Market Assessment (at 5.00 am) – these prices will be updated at 8.00 with additions if/where relevant.

AINTREE:

1.45: Two outsiders to consider: Massini’s Trap – 18/1 (Coral/365) & Sumkindofking – 25/1 (365)

2.20: Scarlet Dragon – 10/1 (Betfair/PP)

2.50: Snow Falcon – 9/1 (Ladbrokes/Hills/Betfair/Coral/BetBright/BetVictor)

3.25: Balko Des Flos – 9/4 (365/Betfair/PP)

4.05: Theatre Territory – 11/1 (365)

5.15: Pym – 8/1 (Skybet/PP/Betfair/Boyle)

Additional Aintree entry at 8.00:

4.40: Sam’s Gunner – 16/1 (Betway/365)

 

SEDGEFIELD – INSPECTION AT 9.00:

3.40: Monbeg Cave – 12/1 (365)

5.20: Classic Sound – 8/1 (365)

Additional Sedgefield entries at 8.00:

NONE

 

KEMPTON (A/W):

5.45: Two at 12/1 with Bet365 to consider: Percy Prosecco & Ipsilante

6.15: Cainhoe Star – 11/1 (365)

7.45: Black Sails – 7/1 (Generally available)

8.15: India – 6/1 (365)

8.45: Chetan – 8/1 (Hills/PP/Betbright/BetVictor)

Additional Kempton entries at 8.00:

6.45: Puds – 6/1 (Ladbrokes/Hills/Sunbets/Betway/BetBright)

7.15: Towelrads Boy – 14/1 (Hills)

 

TRAINER LEADER-BOARD AT AINTREE THIS WEEK:

3/8–Nicky Henderson (5/1 – 2/1 – 4/5*) – 11 runners today

1/1–Charlie Longsdon (10/1) – Two 40/1 outsiders today

1/5–Colin Tizzard (5/2) – 7 runners today

The other two winning trainers have no further runners at Aintree this week.

 

AINTREE STATS – FRIDAY APRIL 13 – 2018

Leading trainers at the Grand National meeting during the last seven years:

28 winners—Nicky Henderson – 11 runners today

14 winners—Paul Nicholls – 7 runners today

 

Seven year trends relating to the FRIDAY of the Festival:

Leading trainers:

14 winners—Nicky Henderson (including six successful favourites) – 11 runners today

Trainers who achieved doubles/trebles on the second day of the meeting during the last six years:

2017—Colin Tizzard (4334/1 treble)

2017—Nicky Henderson (16/1 double)

2015—Nicky Henderson (87/1 double)

2014—Nicky Henderson (174/1 treble)

2013—Nicky Henderson (299/1 four timer)

2012—Nicky Henderson (6/1 double)

Average (Friday) Placepot dividend (2011 – 2017 inclusive): £1,614.13

52 favourites in Placepot races – 11 winners – 15 placed – 26 unplaced

Highest dividend: £9,946.90 – 8 favourites – No winners – 3 placed – 5 unplaced in 2016

Lowest dividend: £33.30 – 6 favourites – 3 winners – 1 placed – 2 unplaced in 2012

 

IN FORM TRAINERS INCLUDE:

12/22—Tom Lacey (+28) – 2 at Aintree: Jester Jet (1.45) & Kateson (5.15)

6/17—Ian Williams (+23) – 1 at Aintree: Ballyalton (4.05)

5/11—John Gosden— 1 chance: Samharry (6.15 Kempton)

5/16—Charlie Wallis (+10) – 1 at Kempton: Chetan (8.45)

4/10—Jonathan Portman (+64) – 3 at Kempton: Ipsilante (5.45) & Folies Bergeres & Shoe Of Force (8.15)

Last 3 runners have won—Ralph Beckett (+14) – 2 at Kempton: Richenza (6.45) & Mighty Mac (7.45)

3/4—Charlie Hills (+22) – 1 at Kempton: Puds (6.45)

3/6—Eve Johnson Houghton (+11) – 1 at Kempton: Scenery (7.45)

3/6—David O’Meara (+3) – 1 at Naas: Larchmont Lad (3.15)

3/8—Peter Bowen (+7) – 1 at Aintree: Flying Eagle (4.05)

2/3—Chris Gordon (+2) – 1 at Aintree: Commanche Red (5.15)

2/3—Brett Johnson (+7) – 1 at Kempton: Lacan (6.15)

2/4—David Pipe (+22) – 2 at Aintree: Eamon An Cnoic (1.45) & Rathlin Rose (4.05)

+ 13/18—Paul Nicholls (+3) – 7 today at Aintree

+ 6/12—Micky Hammond (+45) – 7 at Sedgefield (Inspection pending)

+ 4/8—Nicky Henderson (+6) – 11 at Aintree

18 runners – listed in race order from the in-form sector:

1.45: Jester Jet & Eamon An Cnoic

3.15 (Naas) – Larchmont Lad

4.05: Flying Eagle, Rathin Rose & Ballyalton

5.15: Commanche Red & Kateson

5.45: Ipsilante

6.15: Lachan & Samharry

6.45: Puds & Richenza

7.45: Scenery & Mighty Mac

8.15: Show Of Force & Folies Bergeres

8.45: Chetan

 

WEEKEND DELIBERATIONS:

IN FORM FLAT TRAINERS FOR TOMORROW (SATURDAY) INCLUDE – (THESE TRAINERS DO NOT HAVE RUNNERS TODAY – THIS LIST DOES NOT INCLUDE TONY CARROLL WHO HAS NH ENTRIES FOR TOMORROW ALONGSIDE HIS FLAT OPTIONS – THEY WILL BE LISTED TOMORROW):

15/30—Charlie Appleby (+22) – 1 at Lingfield: Dream Warrior (4.50)

5/12—Saeed Bin Suroor (+9) – 2 chances: Silent Attack (3.35 Lingfield) & Ocean Of Love (8.30 Wolverhampton)

4/7—Tom Dascombe (+20) – 3 at Wolverhampton: Admiral Spice (6.00) & Polished & Sesame (7.30)

3/6—Michael Appleby (+5) – 3 at Wolverhampton: Stapleford (8.00) & Juan Horsepower & Pulsating (9.00)

2/3—Conrad Allen (+4) – 1 at Lingfield: Sonnet Rose (1.55)

2/3—David Evans (+3) – 6 on Saturday – 2 at Lingfield: The Establishment (2.30) & Sea Fox (3.35) + 4 in the 7.30 at Wolverhampton: Kg Courage, Frisky Dancer, Kg Passion & Go Annie Go

2/3—Phil McEntee (+21) – 2 at Lingfield: Emily Goldfinch (1.55) & Pearl Spectre (3.35)

2/4—John Mackie (+1) – 1 at Wolverhampton: Polyphony (8.00)

19 runners – listed in race order:

1.55: Sonnet Rose & Emily Goldfinch

2.30: The Establishment

3.35: Silent Attack, Pearl Spectre & Sea Fox

4.50: Dream Warrior

6.00: Admiral Spice

7.30: Polished, Kg Courgae, Frisky Dancer, Kg Passion, Go Annie Go & Sesame

8.00: Stapleford & Polyphony

8.30: Ocean Of Love

9.00: Juan Horsepower & Pulsating

DO YOU REMEMBER THIS SNIPPET FROM WEDNESDAY?

The two-year-old race on the card could be very interesting because with Mick Channon having won with three of his four starters in the juvenile sector to date, Mick’s only potential runner in the juvenile event at the alternative royal venue is Solesmes who could make her debut for the popular handler.

Things might get really interesting before Monday however because Mick’s fifth two-year-old runner might have run at Wolverhampton (scheduled for 7.30) on Saturday, namely Knockabout Queen.  As ever, I will do my best to update news as it evolves.

I’VE JUST POSTED THIS AGAIN BECAUSE YES, KNOCKABOUT QUEEN HAS BEEN CONFIRMED AS A RUNNER AT WOLVERHAMPTON TOMORROW NIGHT.

Be lucky of course but as ever – Be aware!

 

 

 

 

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