Jan 19

Mal Boyle Stats – Friday 19th

First and foremost – Sincere thanks are offered for making your investment into what I consider to be ‘our’ attack on idle punters/layers/players who lack drive, application and desire to not only enjoy the sport on offer – but those who fail to make racing pay as well.

I get up in the dead of night in order to cut down the options that are too numerous to consider.  I minimise fields where I can and offer potential springers in the market with a view to holding as many ‘free bets’ as possible by laying off at smaller prices than we have taken.

I was the longest serving freelance journalist (17 years) at the Sporting Life until recently where I wrote the thick end of 6000 columns, so I guess there must be some mileage in what I have to offer.  On occasions, ‘experience’ can go an awful long way in pointing us in the right direction.

That’s all for now – let’s get on with what you paid for – to have the craic whilst reducing losses and turning them into gains whenever possible.

 

DEAD OF NIGHT Morning Market Assessment (at 5.00 am) – UPDATED AS OF 8.00:

CHEPSTOW:

None at 5.00 am

Additional Chepstow entry at 8.00:

3.50: Bonds Conquest – 16/1 (365 & PP)

MUSSELBURGH:

2.20: Treshnish – 7/2 (365/Betfair/PP/BetVictor) – NOW 3/1

Additional Musselburgh entries at 8.00:

No additionals

LINGFIELD:

2.30: Human Nature – 5/1 (365/Betfair/Unibet/BetVictor) – NOW 9/2

Additional Lingfield entries at 8.00:

No additionals

NEWCASTLE:

7.45: Vecheka – 20/1 (Hills) – NOW 14/1

8.15: Jessie Allan – 13/2 (365/BetVictor) – Still 13/2 with these firms though as short as 5/1 elsewhere

8.45: Fly True – 20/1 (Ladbrokes/Hills) – Still 20/1 with these firms but as short as 14/1 with others

Additional Newcastle entries at 8.00:

5.45: Glorious Player – 9/1 (365/Skybet/Sunbets)

6.15: Peas On Earth – 20/1 (PP)

 

IN FORM TRAINERS INCLUDE (Requirement: Minimum 25% strike rate and/or exceptional level stake profit):

7/23—Charlie Appleby (+4) – 1 at Lingfield: Native Appeal (3.40)

5/13—David Elsworth (+22) – 1 at Lingfield: Iconic Boy (3.40)

4/11—Roger Fell (+39) – 2 at Newcastle: Plansina (7.15) & Justice Pleasing (7.45)

4/12—Henry Daly (+13) – 1 at Chepstow: Back To The Truth (3.20)

4/14—Karl Burke (+26) – 1 at Newcastle: Mayfair Rock (6.45)

4/14—David Simcock (+2) – 1 at Newcastle: Musical Theatre (6.45)

3/6—Jim Goldie (+10) – 4 at Newcastle: Thorntoun Lady (7.45), Jessie Allan (8.15) & Eternalist & Star Cracker (8.45)

3/7—Karen Tutty (+11) – 2 at Newcastle: Broughtons Fancy (7.45) & Novabridge (8.45)

3/9—Stuart Williams (+3) – 1 at Lingfield: Human Nature (2.30)

3/9—Keith Dalgliesh (+32) – 2 runners: I’m To Blame (4.00 Musselburgh) & Butoolat (8.15 Newcastle)

3/10—Jeremy Scott (+13) – 1 at Lingfield: Miss Minuty (2.00)

3/11—Warren Greatrex (+9) – 2 at Chepstow: Jammin Masters (1.35) & Carnspindle (2.45)

19 runners in race order – Please understand that I can only offer the entries as they stand because I have received ‘complaints’ in the past that I am listing too many runners in each race – which is beyond my control obviously.  I simply offer the stats and facts as they stand, always hoping that there are just one or two options in a race for you to choose from!

1.35: Jammin Masters

2.00: Miss Minuty

2.30: Human Nature

2.45: Carnspindle

3.20: Back To The Truth

3.40: Iconic Boy & Native Appeal

4.00: I’m To Blame

6.45: Mayfair Rock & Musical Theatre

7.15: Plansina

7.45: Justice Pleasing, Broughtons Fancy & Thorntoun Lady

8.15: Jessie Allan & Butoolat

8.45: Eternalist, Novabridge & Star Cracker

 

FRIDAY STAT ATTACK (5 year study unless stated):

MUSSELBURGH:

32 races – 11 winning favourites – 28/32 winners scored at a top price of 10/1

Average Placepot dividend: £330.72

Highest dividend: £731.60 (2014) – Lowest dividend: £6.80 (2012)

Leading trainers: Unfortunately no one trainer stood out from the crowd – represented trainers who have saddled two winners at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

Brian Ellison (4/1 & 2/1) – 1 declaration

Chris Grant (11/4* & 9/4*) – 1 entry

Donald McCain (10/1 & 13/2) – 2 runners

Lucinda Russell (17/2 & 11/2) – 8 representatives!

 

AHEAD OF THE GAME:

Do you have time to look through some details for Saturday? – Times as they stand at the time of writing – check the actual race descriptions to ensure you are looking at the right event on Friday afternoon/evening and Saturday!

Ascot:

12.40 (Juvenile Hurdle): Alan King has won with his last two runners in the race (2012 & 2016) – 1 entry: Nayati

3.35 (Grade 1 Chase): Un De Sceaux has been declared to attempt to land a hat trick in the contest.  Before Willie Mullins ‘took over’, Paul Nicholls (San Benedeto) had won four of the previous seven renewals

Haydock:

1.30 Grade 2 Novice Hurdle: Donald McCain has won with his last two runners in the race (2010 & 2012) – 1 entry: Waterlord

2.05 Grade 2 Novice Chase: Donald McCain has won with his last two runners in the race (2009 & 2012) – 2 entries: Testify & Lastbutnotleast

2.40 Champion Hurdle Trial: The New One attempts his fourth consecutive victory in the race if lining up – The three wins have been gained on heavy (twice) and soft ground

3.45 Class 3 Handicap Chase: Ubaltique has won the only two renewals to date – entered up again on Saturday

Taunton:

1.05 Novice Hurdle Qualifier: Paul Nicholls (2 options) and Philip Hobbs (1 entry) have equally shared four of the last seven renewals between them

Lingfield:

1.05 Class 5 twelve furlong maiden: Four-year-olds have won the last five renewals – No winning favourites recorded in the contest via seven contests to date though that said, five winners were returned at a top price of 5/1

4.10 Class 5 six furlong Handicap: Peter Hedger saddled a 43/1 double on the card last year and Bridge Builder (won this race twelve months ago) was his only entry on the card (with Charles Bishop already booked to ride) at the penultimate entry stage.  Peter has saddled two winners of this race via his last three representatives

Be lucky but as ever – Be aware!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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