Feb 23

Mal Boyle Stats – Friday 23rd

PRICE ALERT – 3.00 WARWICK – THE 10/1 ABOUT PHOENICIANA IS NOW ONLY AVAILABLE WITH HILLS AND HAS (UNUSUALLY) BEEN ADDED TO MY LIST BETWEEN THE 5.00 0FFERING AND THE 8.00 UPDATE.

Thursday’s school report:

Early winners at 8/1 & 10/3 should have set followers on their way yesterday, especially as the third horse in the opening proceedings was third at 16/1. 

I have already received ‘complaints’ from various followers that the rest of the day ‘tailed off’ but for goodness sake, you should have learned the lesson in life by now that punters who stand in betting shops all day have NO hope of winning and to a fashion, that is true of this service.

The advice is to win what you decide is a decent amount of money on any one day and quit while you are ahead at that stage.  If you want to permutate the remaining MMA runners in doubles or trebles to small stakes (as an example) by all means go ahead.

A great number of ‘villains’ in the world would not be behind bars but for ‘greed’ and you have to adopt the same policy, in my opinion at least.  I managed/owned betting shops for 17 years and assure you that such advice is worth taking!

FRIDAY:

DEAD OF NIGHT Morning Market Assessment (at 5.00 am) – PRICES NOW UPDATED + 5 ADDITIONS:

EXETER:

2.00: Two horses to consider both with Betfair & Paddy Power : Tea Time Fred – 18/1 & Motueka – 6/1 = coupled price of 4/1 – NOW AVERAGE PRICES OF 14/1 & 5/1 RESPECTIVELY = COUPLED: 10/3

4.15: Kimberlite Candy – 11/1 (365/BetVictor) – NOW 9/1

5.20: Bigchextocash – 66/1 (Betfair/PP) for any loose change that you have about your person – NOW 28/1

Additional Exeter entries at 8.00:

NONE

 

WARWICK:

3.00: Phoeniciana – 10/1 (Hills) – NOW 8/1

4.05: Phangio – 28/1 (Hills) – NOW 18/1

4.40: Talk Of The South – 3/1 (Ladbrokes/Coral) – NOW 13/5

5.10: Midnight Referendum – 11/2 (Nills/Betfair/PP) – NOW 5/1

Additional Warwick entries at 8.00:

2.25: Max Liebermann – 14/1 (Hills/PP/Betfred/Tote)

3.30: Knockgraffon – 11/2 PP)

 

LINGFIELD (A/W):

2.10: Sunhill Lad – 14/1 (Hills) – NOW 9/1

3.20: Sir Hector – 5/1 (Hills/Betfred/Tote) – NOW 4/1

Additional Lingfield entries at 8.00:

4.25: Perfect Illusion – Evens (PP)

5.00: Threediamondrings – 18/1 (PP)

 

WOLVERHAMPTON:

5.45: Clergyman – 7/1 (365/BetVictor) – NOW 6/1

6.15: Filudo – 25/1 (Skybet/Hills/Betfair/PP) – NOW 16/1

8.15: Mutabaahy – 12/1 (Skybet/Hills/PP/Betfred/Tote) – NOW 17/2

Additional Wolverhampton entry at 8.00:

7.45: Naralsaif – 8/1 (Sunbets/Betbright/BetViictor)

 

IN FORM TRAINERS INCLUDE (Requirement: Minimum 33% strike rate and/or exceptional level stake profit):

12/32—Henry Daly (+29) – 1 at Warwick (1.50)

10/24—Anthony Honeyball (+19) – 5 at Exeter: Drops Of Jupitor (2.35), East Wing (3.10), Pure Vision (4.15) & Cresswell Breeze & Act Now (5.20)

5/9—Andrew Balding (+9) – 1 at Lingfield: Perfect Illusion (4.15)

5/13—Ed Walker (+9) – 1 at Lingfield: Sky Marshal (5.00)

5/13—Archie Watson (+6) – 1 at Lingfield: Attain (5.00)

5/14—Fergal O’Brien (+10) – 1 at Warwick: Socksy (3.00)

4/11—Olly Mirphy (+5) – 7 runners – Six at Warwick: Weebill (1.50), Eolian, Simafar & Zamalight (2.25). Knockgraffon (3.30) & More Than Luck (4.40) + 1 at Lingfield: Krazy Paviong (2.45)

3/6—Suzi Best (+45) – 1 at Lingfield: New Street (5.00)

3/6—Richard Spencer (+8) – 2 chances: Thistimenextyear (2.25 Warwick) & La Isla Bonita (7.45 Wolverhampton)

3/8—Mike Murphy (+19) – 1 at Wolverhampton: Magicinthemaking (5.45)

3/8—Colin Tizzard (+8) – 4 at Exeter: Sartorial Elogance Zanstra (2.00), Molineaux (3.10) & Darling Alico (5.20)

3/9—Charlie Longsdon (+5) – 2 at Warwick: Lisdoonvarna Lad (1.50) & Fly Home Harry (4.40)

3/9—Jamie Obborne (+23) – 1 at Lingfield: Laytown (2.10)

2/3—Lucy Wadham (+10) – 2 at Warwick: Phoeniciana (3.00) & Shantung (5.10)

2/5—Tom Dascombe – 1 at Lingfield: Mickey (3.50)

2/5—Ivan Furtado (+10) – 3 chances: Sword Exceed (3.50 Lingfield) & two at Wolverhampton in the 7.15: Roman De Brut & Murdanova)

2/5—Dan Skelton (+17) – 2 at Warwick: Zebi Boy (1.50) & Cobra De Main (3.30)

2/5—Harry Whittington – 1 at Warwick: Ruby Yeats (3.00)

37 runners in race order:

1.50: Lygon Rock, Zebi Boy, Weebill & Lisdoonvarna Lad

2.00: Sartorial Elegance & Zanstra

2.10: Laytown

2.25: Thistimenextyear, Eolian, Simafar & Zamalight

2.35: Drops Of Jupitor

2.45: Krazy Paving

3.00: Ruby Yeats, Socksy & Phoeniciana

3.10: East Wing & Molineaux

3.30: Cobra De Mai & Knockgraffon

3.50: Sword Exceed & Mickey

4.15: Pure Vision

4.25: Perfect Illusion

4.40: Fly Home Harry & More Than Luck

4.50: Cresswell Breeze & Act Now

5.00: Sky Marshal, Attain & New Street

5.10: Shantung

5.20: Darling Alico

5.45: Magicinthemaking

7.15: Roman De Brut & Murdavova

7.45: La Isla Bonita

 

FRIDAY STAT ATTACK (Five year study period unless stated):

EXETER (Four year study period – no meetings before 2014):

27 races – 9 winning favourites – 26/27 winners scored at a top price of 12/1

Average Placepot dividend: £68.95

Highest dividend: £159.90 (2014) – Lowest dividend: £12.80 (2015)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

No stand out trainer with four handlers on the two winner mark

 

WARWICK (Four year study – meeting abandoned in 2015):

28 races – 11 winning favourites – 26/28 winners scored at a top price of 10/1

Average Placepot dividend: £98.60

Highest dividend: £120.60 (2016) – Lowest dividend: £81.40 (2017)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

3 winners—Philip Hobbs (11/2, 7/2 & 2/5*) – 2 runners today: Kayf Adventure (3.30) & Spirit Of Mendip (5.10)

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