Apr 27

Mal Boyle Stats – Friday 27th

Thursday’s school report:

Only a couple of MMA winners yesterday at 9/1 (returned at 6/1*) & 12/5 (backed down to 2/1*), whilst the in-form trainer service produced a 23/1 double for Nigel Twiston-Davies via three runners on the day.

It wasn’t the best of days all round I’m afraid as I am now suffering from Phlebitis following a visit to my GP after my left leg nearly doubled the size it should be almost overnight.  This led me to having a quiet day and I am due to have tests later this morning to make sure there is no long term deep vein thrombosis possibility.

I’m saying this to outline the fact that today’s service will be briefer than is usually the case – albeit hoping for better results which I am not hiding away from regarding yesterday’s slightly disappointing returns.

APPROXIMATE FRIDAY TIMELINE:

5.30: ‘DEAD OF NIGHT’ MMA SERVICE – DONE

7.15: MAL’S SANDOWN ANALYSIS (via free link from my Twitter page) – DONE

8.15: IN FORM TRAINERS – DONE

8.20: PUNCHESTOWN UPDATE FROM FEATURE POSTED ON TUESDAY – DONE

8.30: MMA UPDATES & ADDITIONS IF/WHERE RELEVANT – DONE WITH 13 ADDITIONS

9.00: FRIDAYSTAT ATTACK – FIVE YEAR TRENDS – DONE

*POINT OF ORDER – It has been racing here in Bristol (just over the bridge from Chepstow) which is (seemingly) set to continue for most of the day.  The overnight going forecast of “good to soft” can be ignored unless (for a change) it isn’t raining the other side of the River Severn!

 

FRIDAY:

DEAD OF NIGHT Morning Market Assessment (at 5.30 am) – these prices will be updated at 8.30 with additions if/where relevant.

SANDOWN:

3.35: Here Comes When – 6/1 (Betfair/Sunbets/PP/BetVictor)

Additional Sandown entries at 8.30:

1.50: Vintager – 11/1 (365)

2.25: Almodover – 14/1 (Hills)

5.05: Dubhe – 11/4 (Generally available)

 

DONCASTER:

1.40: Cracker Factory – 10/1 (Marathon)

2.15: Call Out Lord – 4/1 (Marathon)

4.25: Taexali – 11/1 (Marathon)

Additional Doncaster entries at 8.30:

2.50: Chosen World – 11 (Betfair)

3.25: Gower Gold – 33/1 (Hills)

 

PERTH:

2.40: Jenny’s Surprise – 5/1 (Marathon)

3.15: Castletown – 11/2 (Generally available)

4.15: Silk Or Scarlet – 6/1 (Ladbrokes/Coral/Marathon)

5.15: Jarvey’s Plate – 5/1 (Skybet/BetVictor)

Additional Perth entry at 8.30:

3.45: Kings Eclipse – 7/1 (Generally available)

 

CHEPSTOW:

5.20: Delface – 8/1 (Generally available)

5.50: Beallandendall – 11/2 (Hills)

8.05: Lad Of Luck – 4/1 (365/Sunbets/BetVictor)

Additional Chepstow entries at 8.30:

4.50: Rio Quinto – 4/1 (Hills)

6.25: Braw Anugus – 16/1 (Betfair/PP)

 

TOWCESTER:

5.40: Georgian Firebird – 14/1 (Ladbrokes/Marathon)

Additional Towcester entries at 8.30:

6.15: Indian Native – 3/1 (Generally available)

6.50: Pink Gin – 9/1 (Generally available)

7.20: Nickname Exit – 6/1 (365/Betfair/PP)

7.55: Jumbo David – 6/1 (BetVictor)

 

PUNCHESTOWN:

4.20: Kemboy – 6/1 (365)

6.05: Delta Work – 11/1 (Betfair)

6.40: Caid Du Berlais – 6/1 (PP/888)

7.10: Causley Arch – 16/1 (Skybet/Hills)

7.45: Fontley House -14/1 (365/Skybet/Ladbrokes)

Additional Punchestown entry at 8.30:

3.40: Battle Hard – 7/1 (Betfair)

 

IN FORM TRAINERS INCLUDE:

23/48—Charlie Appleby (+35) – 3 at Sandown: Dream Warrior (1.50), Ispolini (3.00) & Dubhe (5.05)

19/48—John Gosden (+25) – 4 at Sandown: Kings Shield (1.50), Sevenna Star (3.00), Highgarden (4.35) & Glencadam Master (5.05)

14/41—William Haggas – 2 at Sandown: Addeybb (3.35) & Give And Take (4.35)

9/28—Ralph Beckett (+31) – 3 today: Azpeitia (3.25 Doncaster), Neyland (4.35 Sandown) & Edge Of The World (5.25 Doncaster)

6/13—Richard Hannon (+22) – 4 at Sandown: Motown Mick (1.50), Khafoo Shememi (3.35), Model (4.34) & Regimented (5.05)

6/20—Matt Sheppard (+7) – 1 at Chepstow: Reputational Risk (8.05)

5/15—Simon Do (+22) – 1 at Sandown: Albishr (4.05)

4/6—Nigel Twsiton-Davies (+8) – 5 chances: Ballymalin (3.45 Perth), Imperial Acolyte (5.15 Perth), Unblinking (6.25 Chepstow), Pink Gin (6.50 Towcester) & Orchard Moon (7.55 Towcester)

4/10—Harry Fry (+6) – 1 at Towcester: Deadringerforlove (7.55 Towcester)

4/12—James Ewart (+13) – 1 at Perth: Bluefortytwo (5.15)

3/4—Eric Alston (+29) – 1 at Doncaster: Casterbridge (4.25)

3/7—Andrew Balding (+7) – 4 today – 3 at Sandown: Morando (2.25), Here Comes When (3.35) & Must Be Magic (4.35) + 1 at Doncaster: Sir Pass I Am (5.00)

3/7—Sir Mark Prescott (+4) – 1 at Doncatser: Galileo’s Spear (5.00)

3/9—Ali Stronge (+23) – 2 at Chepstow: Navajo War Dance (5.20) & Heresmynumber (7.35)

2/3—Peter Bowen (+7) – 3 runners: Ron’s Dream (2.40 Perth) + 2 at Chepstow: Lord Bryan (5.50) & Francky Du Berlais (8.05)

2/3—Michael Herrington (+12) – 1 at Doncaster: Honey Badger (2.50)

2/4—Karl Burke (+25) – 1 at Doncaster: Humble Gratitude (3.55)

2/4—Sandy Forster (+6) – 1 at Perth: Lowanbehold (3.45)

39 runners – listed in race order from the in-form sector:

1.50: Dream Warrior, Kings Sheild & Motown Mick

2.25: Morando

2.40: Ron’s Dream

2.50: Honey Badger

3.00: Ispoloni & Sevenna Star

3.25: Azpeitia

3.35: Khaftoo Shememi, Addeybb & Here Comes When

3.45: Lowanbehold & Ballymalin

3.55: Humble Gratitude

4.05: Albishr

4.25: Casterbridge

4.35: Model, Must Be Magic, Neyland, Give And Take & Highgarden

5.00: Galileo’s Spear & Sir Pass I Am

5.05: Dubhe, Glencadam Master & Regimented

5.15: Bluefortytwo & Imperial Acolyte

5.20: Navajo War Dance

5.25: Edge Of The World

5.50: Lord Bryan

6.25: Unblinking

6.50: Pink Gin

7.35: Heresmynumber

7.55: Deadringerforlove & Orchard Moon

8.05: Franky Du Berlais & Reputational Risk

 

FRIDAY STAT ATTACK (FIVE YEAR STUDY PERIOD UNLESS STATED):

SANDOWN (7 YEAR STUDY):

54 races – 17 winning favourites – 52/54 winners scored at a top price of 12/1

Average Placepot dividend: £222.98

Highest dividend: £682.50 (2015) – Lowest dividend: £52.00 (2012)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

6 winners—John Gosden (9/2, 5/1, 7/2, 9/4*, 10/11* & 1/2*) – 4 runners today: Kings Shield (1.50), Sevenna Star (3.00), Highgarden (4.35) & Glencadam Master (5.05)

5 winners—Sir Michael Stoute (8/1, 8/1, 3/1, 11/4* & 8/11*) – 2 runners: Crystal Ocean (2.25) & Crystal Hope (4.35)

 

DONCASTER:

38 races – 9 winning favourites – 32/38 winners scored at a top price of 12/1

Average Placepot dividend: £1,163.42

Highest dividend: £3,701.90 (2014) – Lowest dividend: £58.10 (2017)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

Six trainers have saddled two winners down the years.

This year’s leading trainer at Doncaster is Richard Fahey (3/17 at 8/1, 8/1 – 7/1) – 2 runners: Brisk Tempo (1.40) & Angel Gabrial (5.00)

 

PERTH:

35 races – 8 winning favourites – 33/35 winners scored at a top price of 12/1

Average Placepot dividend: £332.70

Highest dividend: £920.00 (2017) – Lowest dividend: £71.00 (2013)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

6 winners—Nigel Twiston-Davies (12/1, 9/2, 9/2, 3/1*, Evens* & 4/7*) – 2 runners: Ballymalin (3.45) & Imperial Acolyte (5.15)

 

CHEPSTOW:

36 races – 16 winning favourites – 32/36 winners scored at a top price of 10/1

Average Placepot dividend: £305.42

Highest dividend: £666.00 (2017) – Lowest dividend: £90.30 (2013)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

Alan King is the only trainer to have saddled three winners but the trainer is not represented today

 

PUNCHESTOWN OVERVIEW – FROM LAST YEAR’S VIEWPOINT – UPDATED!

UK trainers who saddled winners during the five day Festival:

3 winners—Colin Tizzard (14/1, 4/1 & 5/2)

2 winners—Harry Fry (4/1 & 7/1** = 39/1 double on the Thursday)

1 winner—Neil Mulholland (8/1)

Leading Irish Trainers:

9 winners—Willie Mullins (20/1, 12/1, 10/1, 8/1, 7/1, 11/4, 2/1*, 13/8* & 9/10* – includes a 536/1 treble on the Friday) – 12 WINNERS THIS WEEK: 25/1 – 12/1 – 12/1 – 12/1 – 11/2 – 11/2 – 9/2  – 4/1 – 11/4 – 7/4* – 5/4* – 2/5*

5 winners—Gordon Elliott (25/1, 14/1, 7/1, 11/8* & Evens*) – 3 WINNERS THIS WEEK 16/1 – 6/1* – 5/1

5 winners—Mrs John Harrington (11/1, 8/1, 5/1, 11/4* & 9/10*)

What will happen today (Friday)?

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