Mar 02

Mal Boyle Stats – Friday 2nd

Thursday’s school report:

Charlie Appleby scored with three of his six runners at Meydan yesterday when securing a 32/1 treble, hoping that anyone who was betting ‘out east’ included one or two of his raiders which were mentioned in despatches yesterday. 

*POINT OF ORDER – If Chelmsford are able to race tomorrow (Saturday), it’s worth noting that DEEDS NOT WORDS is entered up again, Michael Wigham’s raider having been highlighted earlier in the week.

 

FRIDAY TIMELINE:

5.00: ‘DEAD OF NIGHT’ MMA SERVICE – DONE

6.15: IN FORM TRAINERS – DONE

6.45: ‘CHELTENHAM WEEK’ FEATURE – DONE

8.30: MMA PRICE UPDATE – NOW  UPDATED + 1 ADDITION

 

FRIDAY:

DEAD OF NIGHT Morning Market Assessment (at 5.00 am) – these prices will be updated at 8.30 with additions if/where relevant:

 

LINGFIELD – ABANDONED

SOUTHWELL:

1.45: Haulani – 15/2 (Betfair) – NOW AN AVERAGE PRICE OF 13/2

3.50: Hammersly Lake – 4/5 (Skybet) – NOW 4/6

5.00: Lammtruner – 33/1 Hills – NOW 22/1

Additional Southwell entries at 8.00:

2.45: Volcanic – 11/2 (Marathon)

 

IN FORM TRAINERS INCLUDE (Requirement: Minimum 33% strike rate and/or exceptional level stake profit):

 

 

All the trainers listed earlier have been delteed via the abandondonment of Lingfield – alongside the non runner at Southwell…

 

CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL WEEK FEATURE – ‘AHEAD OF THE GAME’:

Strangely enough, bookmakers will still be taking bets on the ‘other meetings’ during ‘Festival week’ and I have already compiled all the stats you will need for the relevant meetings!

Suffice to sat that I am offering a teaser today in terms of unnamed trainers who have the following records at the various tracks during the period which I have detailed from Sunday March 10th through Sunday 17th March (inclusive) – alongside other stats and facts relating to favourites and Placepot dividends!

I will be giving you plenty of notice at the time and wondered if you would be kind enough to contact friends, work colleagues and family members to share what could be considered as ‘valauble information’ away from  the competitive fayre at Cheltenham!  If you are not convinced, digest the fact that an astonishing ratio of 24 winning favourites via 36 races has emerged at one venue during the week!

First Sunday: All 35 winners have scored at a top price of 12/1 at one of the venues, whilst one trainer has secured six winners during the study period.  Another trainer has recently secured a 44/1 treble on the corresponding card.  At another venue, one trainer has saddled six winners during the last four years.  One of the venues offers an average Placepot dividend of £3,114.54.

Monday: A trainer scored with all five runners on this day last year!  33/35 races at one track have been won by horses returned at a top price of  12/1.  At one of the venues, 17/20 races have been won by horses sent off at 10/1 or less, despite the fact that only four favourites have prevailed!  One of the relevant outsiders scored at 80/1.

Tuesday: Favourites at one of the tracks have won 12/28 recent races, whilst every winner scored at a top price of 10/1.

Wednesday: 10/28 races at one venue were secured by favourites whilst a top trainer in recent years secured a 102/1 treble at the track.

Thursday: All 22 winners at one venue scored at a top price of 9/1.  A leading trainer at one venue scored with horses returned at 14/1, 8/1 and 9/2 in recent years.  33/35 races were won by horses returned at 9/1 or less at another venue.

Friday: Digest the fact that all 30 winners scored at a top price of 12/1 at one of the the ‘away meetings’ while you are trying to work out which horses will win the Triumph Hurdle and the ‘Foxhunters’ at Cheltenham!  Even taking that fact into account (alongside a favourites record of 33% at the relevant venue), the average Placepot during the study period paid £573.36!  42% of races were won by market leaders at another venue.

Saturday: Three trainers have won an aggregate of 19/35 races at one of the venues the day after the Festival finishes.  46% of 35 races have been secured by market leaders at another venue.

Second Sunday: Two of the last three corresponding meetings at the one of the venues has recently declared Placepot dividends of £8,763.20 & £1,115.40.

Be lucky as ever was the case but equally – Be aware!

 

 

 

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