Mar 30

Mal Boyle Stats – Friday 30th

* BATH MEETING GOES AHEAD AFTER THE 7.30 INSPECTION!

Thursday’s school report:

I landed the Wetherby Placepot for 40p yesterday – The full dividend paid £1.263.70 = a return of £505.48 – not a bad day’s work!  Hopefully I deserved the great return given that I included the 25/1 winner Allfredandnobell in my permutation!

That said, we endured a frustrating day on the MMA front with placed horses at 16/1, 14/1, 10/1, 9/1, 7/1 & 5/1, unless you hand picked those runners to each way effect of course!

Conclusion – Must do better – Will do better!

 

APPROXIMMATE FRIDAY TIMELINE:

4.45: LINGFIELD STAT ATTACK – DONE

5.00: TRAINERS WITH RUNNERS AT BATH TODAY WHO HAVE ALREADY SADDLED FLAT (TURF) WINNERS FROM LAST WEEKEND’S MEETINGS AT DONCASTER – DONE

5.15: ‘DEAD OF NIGHT’ MMA SERVICE – DONE

7.00: MAL’S LINGFIELD ANALYSIS (via free link from my Twitter page) – DONE

8.00: MMA UPDATES & ADDITIONS IF/WHERE RELEVANT – DONE WITH 3 ADDITIONS

9.00: IN FORM TRAINERS – DONE

10.00: ‘AHEAD OF THE GAME’ – AN EARLY LOOK AT THE EASTER WEEKEND PROGRAMME – DONE

10.30: FOOTBALL – BEST PRICES ON TODAY’S FOUR LIVE TELEVISED MATCHES

 

FRIDAY:

 

LINGFIELD STAT ATTACK (Four year study):

28 races – 10  winning favourites – 25/28 winners scored at a top price of 11/1

Average Placepot dividend: £116.70

Highest dividend: £250.40 (2017) – Lowest dividend: £16.80 (2015)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

3 winners—Charlie Appleby (6/1, 6/5* & 1/2* – 22/1 treble in 2015) – 1 runner today: Rastrelli (2.55)

3 winners—Richard Fahey (25/1, 7/1 & 4/1**) – 2 runners today: Constantino (4.00) & Mustaaqeem (4.35)

 

TRAINERS WITH RUNNERS AT BATH TODAY WHO HAVE ALREADY SADDLED FLAT (TURF) WINNERS FROM LAST WEEKEND’S MEETINGS AT DONCASTER

3/17–Richard Fahey (+9) – 2 runners at Bath on Friday: Constantino (4.00) & Mustaaqeem (4.35)

1/1–Roger Teal (+50) – 1 runner at Bath on Friday: Jack Bear (4.35)

1/2–Charlie Appleby (Marginal loss) – 1 runner at Bath on Friday: Rastrelli (2.55)

1/4–Mick Channon (+1) – 3 runners at Bath on Friday: Dabn’s Dream (1.50)m Izzer (2.20) & Billy Ray (2.55)

 

DEAD OF NIGHT Morning Market Assessment (at 5.00 am) – these prices will be updated at 8.00 with additions if/where relevant.

 

BATH:

1.50: Dan’s Dream – 4/1 (Betfair/PP/Boyle/BetVictor)

2.20: Izzer – 9/4 (365/Betfair/Betway/BetVictor)

2.55: Aiya – 6/1 (Marathon/Boyle/BetVictor)

3.30: Quench Dolly – 5/2 (365/888/BetVictor)

Additional Bath entry at 8.00:

5.05: Delegate This Lord – 5/1 (365/Ladbrokes/Betway/BetVictor)

 

LINGFIELD (A/W):

1.30: Silent Echo – 6/1 (365/Skybet/Boyle)

2.00: Red Verdon – 7/2 (Betfair/PP)

2.30: Diagnostic – 4/1 (Ladbrokes/PP)

3.40: Helvetian – 40/1 (Betfair/PP/BetVictor) If you have some loose change about your person

4.10: Sacred Act – 14/1 (Hills)

4.40: Mr Owen – 9/2 (Betfair/PP)

Additional Lingfield entry at 8.00:

3.05: Kachy – 2/1 (Generally available)

 

NEWCASTLE (A/W):

2.10: Black Sails – 7/4 (Unibet/888)

2.45: Chaplin Bay – 7/1 (365/Betway/BetVictor)

3.20: Shabeeb – 9/1 (Unibet/888)

3.55: Dark Acclaim – 22/1 (Betfair/PP)

4.55: Dawn Dancer – 8/1 (Skybet/Hills)

Additional Newcastle entry at 8.00:

4.25: Comete – 11/2 (365/Unibet/888)

 

IN FORM TRAINERS INCLUDE:

11/19—Charlie Appleby (+21) – 1 at Bath: Rastrelli (2.55)

7/14—Paul Nicholls (+8) – 1 at Bath: Moabit (4.35)

7/24—Phil Kirby (+3) – 1 at Newcastle: Stargazer (3.20)

6/12—Jeremy Noseda (+2) – 2 runners: Granowski (3.55 Newcastle) & Abe Lincoln (4.40 Lingfield)

3/5—Somin Diow (+13) – 2 at Lingfield: Albishr (3.40) & Mr Scaramanger (4.10)

3/5—Sir Mark Prescott (+6) – 2 at Newcastle: Rude Awakenming & Harmonica (4.55)

2/3—Julie Camacho (+7) – 1 at Newcastle: Marseille

2/3—William Haggas (+4) – 4 at Lingfield: Squats (1.30), Diagnostic (2.30), Second Thought (4.10) & Victory Bond (4.40)

2/3—Ron Hodges (+7) – 1 at Bath: Here’s Two (3.30)

+ Last two runners have won—Andrew Balding (+3) – 7 runners today – 3 at Bath and two each at Newcastle & Lingfield

15 runners – listed in race order from the in-form sector:

1.30: Squats

1.40: Marseille

2.30: Diagnostic

2.55: Rastrelli

3.20: Stargazer

3.30: Here’s Two

3.40: Albishr

3.55: Granowski

4.10: Second Thought & Mr Scaramanger

4.35: Moabit

4.40: Abe Lincoln & Victory Bond

4.55: Rude Awakening & Harmonica

 

‘AHEAD OF THE GAME’ – SATURDAY DETAILS – TODAY!

KEMPTON (SATURDAY):

43 races – 15 winning favourites – 37/43 winners scored at a top price of 11/1

Average Placepot dividend: £264.30

Highest dividend: £424.70 (2013) – Lowest dividend: £119.20 (2015)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

3 winners—Mark Johnston (9/1, 6/5* & 8/13*) – 2 runners: Fire Fighting (4.20) & Afandem (5.30)

3 winners—Richard Hannon (5/1, 3/1 &5/6* – stretches to four winners if you include a Richard Hannon Senior winner at 16/1 during the period!) – 7 runners: Tigre De Terre & Star Of Southwold (2.00), Wicked Sea & Qaysar (3.10), Contrast (4.20), Tomily (4.55) & Repton (5.30)

LEADING FLAT (TURF) TRAINERS AFTER THE TWO DONCASTER MEETINGS:

1/1–Ian Williams (+4) – 1 at Musselburgh on Saturday: Shuhhod (3.00)

 

FOOTBALL – FOUR LIVE TELEVISED MATCHES – BET PRICES:

12.45 – OXFORD V SCUNTHORPE – LIVE ON SKY

17/10—Oxford (365/Betfair)

5/2—Draw (Skybet/Berfair)

7/4—Scunthorpe (Generally available)

Half time betting:

23/10—Oxford (Ladbrokes/Coral)

6/5—Draw (365/Skybet)

23/10—Scunthorpe (Generally available)

Half time/Full time – best prices:

7/2–Oxford/Oxford (Ladbrokes/Coral/Betfred)

15/1–Oxford/Draw (BetVictor)

33/1–Oxford/Scunthorpe (Black Type)

31/5–Draw/Oxford (Marathon)

53/10–Draw-Draw (Marathon)

6/1–Draw/Scunthorpe (Marathon)

30/1–Scunthorpe/Oxford (Marathon)

15/1–Scunthorpe/Draw (BetVictor)

18/5–Scunthorpe/Scunthorpe (Hills)

3.00 – WOKING V MACCLESFIELD – LIVE ON BT

13/5—Woking (Ladbrokes/Hills/Coral)

23/10—Draw (Skybet/Betfair)

11/10—Macclesfield (Generally available)

Half time betting:

33/10—Woking (Marathon)

23/20—Draw (Betway)

15/8—Macclesfield (Coral)

Half time/Full time – best prices:

11/2–Woking/Woking (Ladbrokes/Hills/Coral)

31/2–Woking/Draw (Marathon)

28/1–Woking/Macclesfield (Generally available)

81/10–Draw/Woking (Marathon)

49/10–Draw/Draw (Marathon)

47/10–Draw/Macclesfield (Marathon)

45/1–Macclesfield/Woking (Marathon)

16/1–Macclesfield/Draw BetVictor)

13/5–Macclesfield/Macclesfield (Ladbrokes/Coral)

5.30 – MIDDLESBROUGH V WOLVES – LIVE ON SKY

2/1—Middlesbrough (365/Marathon/Ladbrokes/Coral)

11/5—Draw (365/Betfred/BetVcitor)

9/5—Wolves (Black Type)

Half time betting:

14/5—Middlesbrough (Ladbrokes/Coral)

10/11—Draw (Generally available)

5/2—Wolves (Skybet/Ladbrokes/Coral)

Half time/Full time – best prices:

9/2–Boro/Boro (Hills)

18/1–Boro/Draw (BetVictor)

40/1–Boro/Wolves (Ladbrokes/marathon/Voral)

61/10–Draw/Boro (Marathon)

7/2–Draw/Draw (Skybet)

27/5–Draw/Wolves (Marathon)

40/1–Wolves/Boro (Generally available)

16/1–Wolves/Draw Skybet/Marathon)

15/4–Wolves/Wolves (BetVictor)

7.45 – DERBY V SUNDERLAND – LIVE ON SKY

4/7—Derby (Generally available)

16/5—Draw (Generally available)

6/1—Sunderland (Generally available)

Half time betting:

6/5—Derby (Ladbrokes/Coral/188)

6/5—Draw (Generally available)

6/1—Sunderland (Hills)

Half time/Full time – best prices:

29/20–Derby/Derby (Ladbrokes/Coral/BetVictor)

20/1–Derby/Draw (Skybet/BetVictor)

80/1–Derby/Sunderland (Sportingodds)

71/20–Draw/Derby (Marathon)

5/1–Draw/Draw (Skybet/Unibet/888)

15/1–Draw/Sunderland (Marathon)

28/1–Sunderland/Derby (Hills)

21/1–Sunderland/Draw (BetVictor)

12/1–Sunderland/Sunderland (Hills)

Be lucky of course but as always – Be aware!

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