May 04

Mal Boyle Stats – Friday 4th

Thursday’s school report:

Late WINNERS at 12/1 (returned at 8/1), 4/1 (7/2) & 11/4 (9/4) eased us through the day alongside 10 gold medallists via the in form trainer service.

Indeed, four of the seven horses highlighted for William Haggas won, creating an 83/1 accumulator.

There is a slight rise in tempo compared to yesterday “turgid sport” though for a Friday, the general class of events is way below what you might expect at this time of year.

APPROXIMMATE FRIDAY TIMELINE:

5.15: ‘DEAD OF NIGHT’ MMA SERVICE – DONE

7.00: MAL’S MUSSELBURGH ANALYSIS (via free link from my Twitter page) – DONE

7.30: IN FORM TRAINERS – DONE

7.40: FRIDAY STAT ATTACK – DONE

7.50: FOOTBALL SERVICE – DONE

8.15: MMA UPDATES & ADDITIONS IF/WHERE RELEVANT – DONE WITH 5 ADDITIONS

 

FRIDAY:

DEAD OF NIGHT Morning Market Assessment (at 5.15 am) – these prices will be updated at 8.30 with additions if/where relevant.

CHEPSTOW:

3.30: Marble Bar – 6/1 (365/Marathon)

4.00: Loop De Loop – 10/3 (Skybet)

4.30: Desert Ace – 11/4 (Generally available)

5.00: Our Folly – 9/1 (Betfair/PP/BetVictor)

Additional Chepstow entry at 8.30:

2.00: Astute Boy – 5/2 (Ladbrokes/PP/Betfair)

 

MUSSELBURGH:

2.40: Rapid Applause – 4/1 (Ladbrokes/Marathon/Unibet)

3.40: Dubai Acclaim – 5/1 (Generally available)

5.15: Ravenhoe – 10/1 (Marathon)

Additional Musselburgh entries at 8.30:

2.10: Don’t Tell Dandy – 40/1 (Betfair/PP/BetVictor)

3.10: Cobalty isle – 11/2 ()Skybet/BetVictor)

4.10: Melamma – 22/1 (Marathon)

 

LINGFIELD (A/W):

2.20: Champs Inblue – 22/1 (Marathon)

2.50: Eraad – 5/1 (Ladbrokes)

4.20: Two to consider with Marathon: Nuzha – 10/1 & Nags Wag – 7/1

4.50: Wallflower – 7/1 (Marathon)

Additional Lingfield entries at 8.30:

NONE

 

NEWCASTLE (A/W):

6.20: Pitch High – 10/1 (Betfair/Sunbets)

7.30: Two to consider: Robero – 6/1 (Marathon) & Custard The Dragon – 14/1 (Ladbrokes/Hills/PP/BetBright/888)

Additional Newcastle entries at 8.30:

NONE

 

CHELTENHAM:

6.40: Kelsey – 25/1 (Ladbrokes)

7.50: Excitable Island – 9/1 (365/Ladbrokes/Sunbets/BetVictor)

8.25: Full Throttle – 9/2 (365/Betfair/BetVictor)

Additional Cheltenham entry at 8.30:

6.05: Master Sunrise – 14/1 (Betfair/PP)

 

IN FORM TRAINERS INCLUDE:

28/71—John Gosden (+24) – 1 at Newcastle: Photographer (5.10)

19/53—William Haggas (+3) – 2 chances: Tallow (3.30 Chepstow) & Mosalim (3.40 Musselburgh)

7/20—Mick Channon (+17) – 1 at Chepstow: Fitzwilly (5.00)

6/9—Kevin Ryan (+41) – 2 at Newcastle: Ahan Bil Emarti (2.10) & Kodicat (3.10)

5/17—Nigel Twiston-Davies (+4) – 1 at Chepstow: Unblinking (5.00)

4/8—Robert Cowell (+4) – 1 at Newcastle: Madam Devious (6.55)

4/13—Harry Fry (+3) – 1 at Chepstow: Astute Boy (2.00)

Last three runners have won—Richard Hughes (+13) – 2 at Lingfield: Appenzeller (2.20) & Pollyissimo (4.50)

3/7—Eric Alston (+26) – 2 at Musselburgh: Lydiate Lady (2.40) & Chickenfortea (3.10)

3/8—Eve Johnson Houghton (+3) – 2 chances: Jungle Queen (2.00 Lingfield) & Statuario (3.30 Chepstow)

3/8—Sir Mark Prescott (+3) – 1 at Newcastle: Elysees Palace (5.45)

3/10—John Butler (+24) – 1 at Lingfield: Waneen (4.20)

2/3—John Bridger (+12) – 1 at Lingfield: Pharoah Jake (4.20)

2/3—Clive Cox (+12) – 1 at Lingfield: Priince Ahwanee (3.20)

2/4—Philip Hide (+6) – 2 at Lingfield: Fintech (3.50) & Storm Again (4.50)

2/4—Mick Quinn (+16) – 1 at Lingfield: The Night King (2.20)

2/4—Nigel Tinkler (+15) – 3 at Newcastle: Allux Boy (6.20), Clidff (8.05) & Daffy Jane (8.40)

+ Last two runners have won—Keith Dalgleish (+6) – 11 runners today – 10 at Musselburgh & 1 at Newcastle

25 runners – listed in race order from the in-form sector:

2.00: Astute Boy

2.10: Ahlan Bil Emarti

2.20: Jungle Queen, Appenzeller & The Night King

2.40: Lydiate Lady

3.10: Chickenfortea & Kodicat

3.20: Prince Ahwahnee

3.30: Statuario & Tallow

3.40: Mosalim

3.50: Fintech

4.50: Pollyissimo

5.00: Unblinking & Fitzwilly

4.20: Waneen & Pharoah Jake

4.50: Storm Again

5.10: Photographer

5.45: Elysees Palace

6.20: Allux Boy

6.55: Madam Devious

8.05: Cliff

8.40: Daffy Jane

 

FRIDAY STAT ATTACK:

CHEPSTOW;

Five year records at the corresponding Chepstow fixture (the meeting was abandoned in 2012):

Leading represented trainer:

4 winners—Bernard Llewellyn (14/1, 9/1, 7/1 & 7/2) – No runners today

Average Placepot dividend: £75.22

Highest dividend: £139.60 (2013) – Lowest dividend: £7.40 (2015)

Favourite & SP details:

39 races – 14 winning favourites – 34/39 winners scored at a top price of 9/1

 

MUSSELBURGH;

Six year records at the corresponding Musselburgh fixture:

Leading represented trainer:

6 winners—Mark Johnston (16/1, 13/2, 3/1*, 11/4, 2/1 & 7/4) – 2 runners: Deep Intrigue (2.10) & Ravenoe (5.15)

Average Placepot dividend: £177.60

Highest dividend: £308.00 (2014) – Lowest dividend: £17.50 (2017)

Favourite & SP details:

43 races – 10 winning favourites – 39/43 winners scored at a top price of 12/1

 

CHELTENHAM;

Six year records at the corresponding Cheltenham fixture:

Average Placepot dividend: £112.30

Highest dividend: £199.90 (2013) – Lowest dividend: £4.80 (2015)

Favourite & SP details:

42 races – 13 winning favourites – 38/42 winners scored at a top price of 9/1

 

LINGFIELD (A/W);

Five year records at the corresponding Lingfield fixture:

Average Placepot dividend: £74.30

Highest dividend: £144.30 (2015) – Lowest dividend: £18.30 (2016)

Favourite & SP details:

36 races – 11 winning favourites – 32/36 winners scored at a top price of 8/1, 27 of which won at 5/1 or less

 

NEWMARKET 2000 GUINEAS MEETING STAT ATTACK (7 YEAR STUDY PERIOD) – TODAY!

49 races – 19 winning favourites – 32/49 winners scored at a top price of 9/1

Average Placepot dividend: £2,485.54

Highest dividend: £16,246.30 (2016) – Lowest dividend: £84.80 (2012)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

4 winners—Aidan O’Brien (4/1*, 15/8*, 6/4* & 4/7*) – 3 runners (all in the 2000 Guineas): Gustav Klimt, Saxon Warrior & Murillo

 

FOOTBALL SERVICE:

BRIGHTON V MANCHESTER UNITED – LIVE ON SKY – 8.00 KICK OFF: 

4/1–Brighton (365/Betfair/Sunbets/Betfred/BetVictor)

29/10–Draw (Betfair)

5/6–Man United (Betfair)

Half time betting: 

22/5–Brighton (BetVictor)

5/4–Draw (365)

29/20–Man Utd (Ladbrokes/Coral)

Half time/Full time odds: 

17/2–Brighton/Brighton (BetVictor)

20/1–Brighton/Draw (BetVictor)

30/1–Brighton/United (188)

21/2–Draw/Brighton (Marathon)

5/1–Draw/Draw (365/Skybet/BetVictor)

41/10–Draw/United (Marathon)

66/1–United/Brighton (Black Type

35/2–United/Draw (188)

15/8–United/United (Ladbrokes/Coral

 

 

 

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