Apr 16

Mal Boyle Stats – Monday 16th

Sunday school report….

Seven MMA selections on Sunday: WINNERS AT 8/1 (returned at 4/1) and 4/1 (7/2) – and a runner up at 14/1 (12/1) – not bad on a quiet day…… I also advised subscribers to watch out for Lucinda Russell at Newcastle who landed a 50/1 treble!

WINDSOR HAS PASSED ITS INSPECTION THIS MORNING…….

APPROXIMATE MONDAY TIMELINE:

4.15: WINDSOR STAT ATTACK – DONE

5.00: ‘DEAD OF NIGHT’ MMA SERVICE – DONE

5.15: KELSO STAT ATTACK – DONE

5.20: UPDATE ON LAST WEDNESDAY’S EARLY LOOK AT TODAY’S WINDSOR MEETING – DONE

6.00: WINDSOR ANALYSIS (via my free link service on my Twitter page) – DONE

6.30: LEADING TRAINERS ON TURF THIS SEASON – TODAY’S/NEXT RUNNERS – DONE

7.00: IN FORM TRAINERS – DONE

7.15: FOOTBALL SERVICE – WEST HAM V STOKE – LIVE ON SKY TONIGHT – DONE

8.00: UPDATED MMA DETAILS + ADDITIONS IF/WHERE RELEVANT – DONE WITH 2 ADDITIONS

9.00: NEWMARKET STAT ATTACK FOR TOMORROW – TODAY! – DONE

9.15: CARLISLE STAT ATTACK FOR TOMORROW – TODAY! – DONE

10.00: MORE NEWMARKET DETAILS FOR TUESDAY – TODAY! – DONE

 

MONDAY:

MMA SERVICE (at 5.00 am)

KELSO:

2.10:  Calix Dleafayette – 9/2 (365)

2.40: Reivers Lodge – 8/1 (Skybet/Coral/BetBright)

3.40: Street Of Promise – 7/2 (Ladbrokes/Unibet/Coral/Boyle)

4.40: Lough Derg Island – 15/2 (Ladbrokes)

5.10: Up Helly Aa King – 12/1 (365/Coral/BetVictor)

Additional Kelso entry at 8.00:

3.10: Voyage A New York – 17/2 (Betfair/PP)

 

WINDSOR:

2.50: Artair – 11/4 (PP/BetVictor) 

3.50: Machego – 10/1 (365/PP)

4.20: Blaine – 22/1 (Skybet)

4.50: Polly’s Gold – 10/1 (Skybet/365)

5.25: Bakht A Rawan – 8/1 (365/Ladbrokes/Marathon)

Additional Windsor entry at 8.00:

2.20: Marietta Robusto – 11/2 (Sportingbet)

 

IN FORM TRAINERS INCLUDE:

8/15—Lucinda Russell (+17) – 5 at Kelso: Voyage A New York (3.10), Newton Lad (3.40), Mumgos Debur (4.10), Chanceiton (4.40) & Make It Happen (5.10)

8/20—Micky Hammond (+43) – 2 at Kelso: Oscar O’Scar (3.10) & Silver Tassie (3.40)

6/15—John Gosden (+25) – 1 at Windsor: 3.20)

4/7—Ralph Beckett (+27) – 1 at Windsor: Ishallak (3.20)

4/13—Jonathan Portman (+61) – 2 at Windsor: Fleeting Fame (3.2) & Unveiling (4.50)

3/8—Andrew Balding – 1 at Windsor: Unbridled Spirit (4.50)

3/8—James Ewart (+1) – 1 at Kelso: Calix Delafayette (2.10)

2/3—Nick Alexander (+15) – 5 at Kelson: Koala Keel (2.10), Road To Gold (2.40), Alwways Tipsy (3.10), Buffalo Ballet (3.40) & Up Helle As King (5.10)

2/4—Rod Millman (+14) – 4 at Windsor: Greeley & Greyzee (2.50), Glory Of Paris (4.20) & Hawridge Glory (5.25)

22 runners listed in race order:

2.10: Koala Keel & Calix Delafayette

2.40: Road To Gold

2.50: Greeley & Greyzee

3.10: Voyage A New York, Oscar O’Scar & Always Tipsy

3.20: Ishallak, Fleeting Fame & Sevenna Star

3.40: Newton Lad, Silver Tassie & Buffalo Ballet

4.10: Mumgos Debut

4.20: Glory Of Paris

4.40: Chaneiton

4.50: Unbridled Spirit & Unveiling

5.10: Make It Happen & Up Helly Aa King

5.25: Hawridge Glory

 

MONDAY STAT ATTACKS (FIVE YEAR STUDY PERIOD UNLESS STATED):

WINDSOR:

38 races – 16 winning favourites – 31/38 winners scored at a top price of 11/1

Average Placepot dividend: £422.54

Highest dividend: £1,222.00 (201) – Lowest dividend: £88.00 (2017)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

3 winners—Richard Hannon (25/1, 5/1 & 5/6*) – 1 runner declared: Fast And Hot (3.50)

3 winners—Rod Millman (11/1, 7/2* & 3/1**) – 4 runners: Greeley & Greyzee (2.50), Glory Of Paris (4.20) & Hawridge Glory (5.25)

KELSO:

35 races – 13 winning favourites – 33/35 winners scored at a top price of 12/1

Average Placepot dividend: £51.14

Highest dividend: £106.60 (2017) – Lowest dividend: £11.60 (2014)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

Donald McCain has swerved the venue today despite having saddled three winners during the study period at the corresponding meeting.  Scotswell might be worth a small each way interest in the 3.40, given that Harriet Graham saddles the twelve-year-old who won the race last year, part of a 65/1 double on the card for the trainer.  Scotswell (Harriet’s only runner at the meeting) runs of a five pond higher mark, though the claimer aboard means that the four time course winner carries only three pounds more than when successful twelve months ago.

 

LEADING TRAINERS (FLAT/TURF) THIS SEASON:

3/6—Mick Channon – 3 today at Windsor: Marietta Robusti (2.20), Solesmes (2.50) & Mobsta (4.20)

3/8—Kevin Ryan – Next runners tomorrow

3/24—Richard Fahey – Next runners tomorrow

2/4—Ron Harris – Next runners scheduled for Friday

 

UPDATE ON THESE EARLY THOUGHTS FOR WINDSOR WHICH WERE POSTED LAST WEDNESDAY:

The leading trainer at Windsor in the early weeks of last season was Clive Cox who boasted a 3/5 ratio, statistics which had produced 22 points of level stake profit.

Clive has just the one runner entered on Monday which is Icart Point in the Class 5 three-year-old handicap which is scheduled for 4.50.  Making his handicap debut if declared to run, Icart Point might be best backed in running, given that he has taken quite a pull in his last two (of three) assignments.  It’s worth noting that Clive secured an 84/1 double on this corresponding card twelve months ago.

As far as the corresponding meeting is concerned, Rod Millman is the joint leading trainer on the three winner mark (11/1, 7/2* & 3/1**).  Rod has four runners in on Monday.  It will not surprise readers to know that sharing the leader-board down the years is Richard Hannon who has seven runners engaged at the time of writing.

The two-year-old race on the card could be very interesting because with Mick Channon having won with three of his four starters in the juvenile sector to date, Mick’s only potential runner in the juvenile event at the alternative royal venue is Solesmes who could make her debut for the popular handler.

Things might get really interesting before Monday however because Mick’s fifth two-year-old runner might have run at Wolverhampton (scheduled for 7.30) on Saturday, namely Knockabout Queen.  As ever, I will do my best to update news as it evolves.

Update: All six runners mentioned in dispatches last week have been offered the green light to run, though Mick Channon’s runner at Wolverhampton on Saturday (as reported in the paragraph above) was beaten.

 

TUESDAY STAT ATTACKS (FIVE YEAR STUDY PERIOD UNLESS STATED:

NEWMARKET (Two year study):

14 races – 4 winning favourites – 13/14 winners scored at a top price of 8/1

Average Placepot dividend: £127.20

Highest dividend: £236.60 (2016) – Lowest dividend: £17.80 (2017)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

5 winners—John Gosden (15/2, 7/1, 10/3, 7/4* & 5/4*) – 4 runners: Elhafei (1.50), Jawwaal (2.25), Purser (3.35) & Msayyan (4.45)

 

CARLISLE (Three year study):

22 races – 9 winning favourites – 21/22 winners scored at a top price of 12/1

Average Placepot dividend: £33.03

Highest dividend: £48.90 (2016) – Lowest dividend: £11.30 (2017)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

3 winners–Stuart Crawford (11/4, 4/7* & 1/4* ) – 2 runners: Crawford’s Mill (2.45) & Lily’s Gem (5.40)

 

 

AS OFFERED LAST WEDNESDAY – NEXT WEEK’S CRAVEN MEETING  AT NEWMARKET AND NEWBURY’S SPRING MEETING ON FRIDAY/SATURDAY:

If the weather allows, I’ll wager that John Gosden will start the ‘real season’ off in grand style, as we have come to expect down the years.

John saddled six winners at the Craven meeting last year, notching a 9/1 double on the Tuesday, a terrific 496/1 treble on the Wednesday (12/1 – 15/2 – 7/2**) and a lone (successful) 5/2 favourite on the last day.

The popular trainer then travelled on to Newbury where he bagged five winners.  Going back further in time however, we find that John has saddled 17 winners at the Friday/Saturday meeting at the Bekshire venue during the last four (five) years (meeting abandoned in 2016)!

Yes it’s warming up nicely or at least, it should be by this time next week!

UPDATE: Since this was offered last Wednesday morning, John Gosden has saddled three of his seven runners to winning effect, stats which have produced 27 points of level stake profit and yes, the weather has improved – albeit slightly!

 

WEST HAM V STOKE – LIVE ON SKY TONIGHT – 8.00 KO – BEST PRICES

51/50–West Ham (Marathon)

12/5–Draw (Skybet/Sunbets/Boyle/Black Type/BetBright)

13/4–Stoke (Marathon)

Half time betting:

17/10–West Ham (Ladbrokes/Hills/Coral)

28/25–Draw (Marathon)

19/5–Stoke (BetVictor)

Half time/Full time odds:

23/10–West Ham/West Ham (Ladbrokes/Coral)

17/1–West Ham/Draw (BetVictor)

50/1–West Ham/Stoke (Black Type/Sportingbet)

22/5–Draw/West Ham (Marathon)

49/10–Draw/Draw (Marathon)

9/1–Draw/Stoke (Marathon)

30/1–Stoke/West Ham (188)

19/1–Stoke/Draw (BetVictor)

13/2–Stoke/Stoke (BetVictor)

 

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