Jan 29

Mal Boyle Stats – Monday 29th

5.55 am PRICE ALERT – LE COEUR NET  – The 9/2 available with 365/Marathon/BetVictor looks likely to come under plenty of pressure during the next hour so given the support that Anthony Honeyball’s raider has recieved during the last three quarters of an hour – again the original potential mover Sir Hubert as listed below.  UPDATE – The 9/2 has all gone now with Marathon & BetVictor (as short as 3/1 in a place) with only Bet365 standing their ground at 6.30 – though that won’t be for long me thinks….

Sunday’s school report:

A quiet day in the extreme but hopefully one or two of you will have backed Noel Meade’s winner at Naas (2.20) and/or had the forecast to make up for the disappointing results at Sedgefield.  Upwards and onward…

MONDAY:

DEAD OF NIGHT Morning Market Assessment (at 5.15 am) – PRICES/ADDITIONS WERE UPDATED AT 8.00 – Best of luck guys – let’s hope for a bit better luck in running this week.

HEREFORD:

3.40: Goodtoknow – 7/1 (Hills/Unibet/888) – NOW 5/1

Additional Hereford entries at 8.00:

1.40: Rambling Rector – 5/1 (PP)

3.10: Nansaroy – 8/1 (Marathon)

4.10: Field Master – 66/1 (365) – for any loose change you might have about your person…

PLUMPTON:

1.55: Weebill – 9/4 (generally available) – NOW 2/1

2.25: Sir Hubert – 13/2 (Betfair) – NOW 6/1

3.25: Sandhurst Lad – 14/1 (Skybet/Hills/Unibet/Stan James) – NOW 11/1

Additional Plumpton entries at 8.00:

3.55: Act Now – 5/1 (Marathon)

WOLVERHAMPTON (race by race details for Wolverhampton can be found at the foot of today’s offering):

5.25: El Torito – 7/1 (PP) – NOW 6/1

6.00: Kheleyf’s Girl – 9/1 (Hills) – NOW 13/2

6.30: Bint Arcano – 11/1 (PP) – NOW 15/2

8.00: Smugglers Creek – 10/1 (Skybet/Hills/Marathon) NOW 7/1

Additional Wolverhampton entries at 8.00:

7.00: Ad Libitum – 15/2 (Hills)

 

IN FORM TRAINERS INCLUDE (Requirement: Minimum 25% strike rate and/or exceptional level stake profit):

10/24—Donald McCain (+8) – 1 at Hereford: Inniscastle Lad (2.40)

10/29—Olly Murphy (+22) – 2 at Plumpton: Weebill (1.55) & Saucysioux (3.25)

8/32—Tom Lacey (+27) – 1 at Hereford: Snapdragon Fire (2.40)

7/22—Warren Greatrex (+7) – 3 at Hereford: Rambling Rector (1.40), Flemenskill (2.55) & Sandhurst Lad (3.25)

6/23—Harry Fry (+1) – 1 at Hereford: Opening Batsman (4.40)

6/26—Emma Lavelle (+15) – 2 at Hereford: Pemberley & Field Master (4.0)

5/18—Phil McEntee (+1) – 2 at Wolverhampton: Malaysian Boleh (4.50) & Tasaaboq (5.25)

5/19—Mark Johnston – 1 at Wolverhampton: Danzay (7.00)

4/7—Chris Gordon (+36) – 4 at Plumpton: Don’t Tell George (2.55), Ballyheigue Bay (3.25), Howlongisafoot (3.55) & Be Daring (4.25)

4/7—Anthony Honeyball (+8) – 3 at Plumpton: Le Coeur Net (2.25), My Dance (2.55) & Act Now (3.55)

3/5—Iain Jardine (+9) – 1 at Wolverhampton: Sumgglers Creek (8.00)

3/6—Robin Dickin (+1) – 1 at Hereford : All Is Good (2.40)

3/6—Archie Watson (+36) – 1 at Wolverhampton: Zenovia (4.50)

3/7—Tony Carroll (+18) – 1 at Wolverhampton: Beau Mistral (4.50)

3/8—Mick Channon (+8) – 1 at Wolverhampton: Pattie (6.30)

3/9—John O’Shea (+17) – 4 today: Jimmy Bell (1.40 Hereford) + 3 at Wolverhampton: Dalness Express (4.50), Ambitious Boy (5.25) & Clement (8.00)

3/10—Kim Bailey – 1 at Hereford: Another Venture (3.40)

30 runners via in form trainers in race order:

1.40: Jimmy Bell & Rambling Rector

1.55: Weebill

2.25: Le Coeur Net

2.55: My Dance

2.40: Snapdragon Fire, Inniscastle Lad & All Is Good

2.55: Don’t Tell George & Flemenskill

3.25: Ballyheigue Bay, Sandhurst Lad & Saucysioux

3.40: Another Venture

3.55: Act Now & Howlongisafoot

4.10: Pemberley & Field Mastwer

4.25: Be Daring

4.40: Opening Batsman

4.50: Malaysian Boleh, Dalness Express, Beau Mistral & Zenovia

5.25: Tasaaboq & Ambitious Boy

6.30: Pattie

7.00: Danzay

8.00: Smugglers Creek & Clement

 

LEADING TRAINERS AT PLUMPTON THIS SEASON:

8/44– Gary Moore (loss of 2 points) – 5 runners today

5/17–Dan Skelton (loss of 5) – No runners

4/8–Zoe Davison (+38) – 2 runners

4/18–Neil Mulholland (loss of 7) – No runners

3/13–Colin Tizzard (+1) – 1 runner

3/20–Chris Gordon (loss od 7) – 4 runners

 

MONDAY STAT ATTACK (Based on five year result study unless stated):

PLUMPTON (Four year study – meetings abandoned in 2013/14):

25 races – 11 winning favourites – 24/25 winners scored at a top price of 10/1

Average Placepot dividend: £367.47

Highest dividend: £1,368.20 (2015) – Lowest dividend: £15.80 (2017)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

22 different trainers have saddled the 24 winners – no outstanding trainer

WOLVERHAMPTON:

37 races – 20 winning favourites – 34/37 winners scored at a top price of 12/1

Average Placepot dividend: £24.14

Highest dividend: £53.20 (2015) – Lowest dividend: £9.00 (2013)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

32 trainers have saddled the 37 winners between them though thankfully, Mark Johnston stands out from the crowd with four winners (10/1, 9/4*, 2/1 & 1/2* – includes a 59/1 treble in 2014) – Mark has declared just the one runners on Monday: Danzay (7.00)

HEREFORD – Trainer to consider with an outsider today:

John O’Shea is one of our in form trainers listed above and his record at Hereford this season is 2/4, a ratio which has produced 17 points of level stake profit.  John’s only runner at the track today is Jimmy Bell (14/1 thereabouts in the 1.40)

Hereford details this season: 22 races – 6 winning favourites – 20/11 have scored at a top price of 12/1

WOLVERHAMPTON – RACE BY RACE DETAILS

4.50 & 5.25 (Two divisions): Four of the last seven market leaders have won, with two of the other three market leaders missing out on a Placepot positions.  It’s not been all good news for the majority of punters however, given that two ‘recent’ winners scored at 25/1 & 16/1.

6.00: Favourites have won seven of the last twelve renewals, with the biggest priced winner returned at a top price of 15/2.

The rest of the races at Wolverhampton are new events – offering (realistic) positive money in the exchange queues at the time of writing, though it is (very) early doors, especially with this being a ‘teatime’ meeting.:

6.30: Stellar Surprise

7.00: Danzay

7.30: No significant money

8.00: Smugglers Reach

CHELTENHAM PRE FESTIVAL STATS THIS SEASON:

68 races – 23 winning favourites – 62/68 scored at a top price of 12/1

9/28—Nicky Henderson (5/1, 9/1, 4/1, 5/2*, 15/8*, 13/8*, Evens*, 1/7* & 1/10*) – Level stake profit

7/38—Colin Tizzard (3/1, 5/2, 2/1*, 7/4, 5/4*, 10/11* & 4/5*)

7/41—Nigel Twiston-Davies (25/1, 9/1, 15/2, 13/2, 6/1, 9/4** & 6/5*) – Level stake profit

4/28—Paul Nicholls (13/2, 4/1, 5/2 & 9/4*)

3/18—Dan Skelton (7/2**, 10/3 & 6/4)

3/23—Fergal O’Brien (8/1, 7/1 & 7/4*)

2/3—Anthony Honeyball (9/2** & 3/1) – Level stake profit

2/5—Kerry Lee (7/2 & 10/3*) – Level stake profit

2/5—Neil Mulholland (10/1 & 3/1*) – Level stake profit

2/6—Alan King (10/1 & 15/8**) – Level stake profit

2/15—Martin Keighley (33/1 & Evens*) – Level stake profit

1/1—Michael Blake (25/1) – Level stake profit

1/1—Mick Channon (6/1) – Level stake profit

1/2—Robert Walford (7/1) – Level stake profit

1/3—Michael Scudamore (14/1) – Level stake profit

1/4—Brian Ellison (7/1) – Level stake profit

1/4—Chris Gordon (20/1) – Level stake profit

1/4—Paul Henderson (13/2) – Level stake profit

1/4—Donald McCain (8/1) – Level stake profit

1/4—Nicky Richards (9/1) – Level stake profit

1/5—Henry De Bromhead (9/4)

1/5—Jamie Snowden (9/1) – Level stake profit

1/7—Warren Greatrex (5/2)

1/8—Gordon Elliott (12/1) – Level stake profit

1/8—Ben Pauling (6/1)

1/8—Tim Vaughan (12/1) – Level stake profit

1/11—Nick Williams (9/1)

1/12—Harry Fry (11/4*)

1/12—David Pipe (11/1) – Level on the year

1/16—Philip Hobbs (4/1)

1/19—Tom George (11/2)

Biggest losses this season to date include:

0/14—Jonjo O’Neill

0/13—Ian Wiliams

0/10—Charlie Longsdon

0/6—Kim Bailey

0/6—Peter Bowen

0/6—Evan Williams

0/5—Venetia Williams

May Hunter Chase meeting winning trainers aside from Fergal O’Brien and Ben Pauling:

1/1—D C Gibbs (9/1) – Level stake profit

1/1—Paul King (25/1) – Level stake profit

1/1—Philip Rowley (8/13*) – Level stake profit

1/1—Miss L Thomas (9/4*) – Level stake profit

1/3—R J Bandey (12/1) – Level stake profit

Be lucky but as ever – Be aware!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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