Jul 02

Mal Boyle Stats – Monday 2nd

Sunday’s school report:

It was a splish/splash sort of day with 2 MMA WINNERS recorded at 4/1 & 7/2 (returned at 5/2) with 5 placed horses at 12/1 (11/2), 9/1 (9/2), 7/1 (8/1), 6/1 (11/4) & 9/2 (9/4), three of which finished second, just for a change!

On the daily analysis (new service) front, Windsor was the chosen meeting with 3 winners reported on the card at 4/1, 11/10 & 2/5 – with three others placed – albeit at short prices

Don’t forget that the new ‘minefield’ (generally known as the Nursery season) starts on Thursday and the new service will start offering stats and facts on Wednesday – just to give us an edge in the two-year-old handicap season – and all for just 17p a day!”

If Nursery races are considered such a minefield by punters, why were some trainers worth following last year?

10 trainers stood out from the crowd reporting ratios of 5/15, 4/9, 3/7, 3/8 & 2/6 among others…want to know more?  http://horse-racing.ie/mal-boyle-stats-join-here/ …

 

APPROXIMATE MONDAY TIMELINE:

4.00: WORLD CUP SERVICE – DONE

5.15 ‘DEAD OF NIGHT’ MMA SERVICE – DONE

5.30: TWO-YEAR-OLD NOTES – DONE

7.00: IN FORM TRAINER FACTS/STATS FOR TODAY – DONE

7.45: PONTEFRACT/HAMILTON STAT ATTACKS – LEADING RATIOS THIS SEASON – DONE

8.00: MMA UPDATES & ADDITIONS IF/WHERE RELEVANT – DONE WITH 3 ADDITIONS

 

MONDAY:

DEAD OF NIGHT Morning Market Assessment (at 5.15 am) – these prices will be updated at 8.00 with additions if/where relevant.

HAMILTON:

6.45: I Believe In You – 7/4 (Hills/Betfair/PP/Unibet)

8.15: Corton Lad – 3/1 (PP)

8.45: Tight Lines – 6/1 (Betbright)

Additional Hamilton entry at 8.00:

NONE

 

PONTEFRACT:

2.00: Highly Spring – 3/1 (365)

5.00: X Rated – 4/1 (365)

Additional Pontefract entry at 8.00:

4.30: Storm Ahead – 9/2 (365)

 

WINDSOR:

6.30: Chynna – 9/2 (Betfair)

7.30: Double Up – 7/2 (365/Unibet/BetVictor)

8.00: Never Surrender – 7/1 (Hills/Betfair)

9.00: Tai Sing Yeh – 10/1 (Generally available)

Additional Windsor entry at 8.00:

6.00: Rocksetee – 7/1 (365/Ladbrokes/Betfred/Tote)

 

WOLVERHAMPTON:

2.45: Barristan The Bold – 11/4 (365)

3.15: True North – 7/1 (365)

3.45: Arnoul Of Metz – 4/1 (Betfair)

5.15: Sir Lancelott – 14/1 (Hills)

5.45: Final Attack – 9/1 (Hills)

Additional Wolverhampton entry at 8.00:

4.45: Gift Of Hera – 4/1 (Generally available)

 

TWO YEAR OLD NOTES:

2.30 Pontefract: 

Blown By Wind looks difficult to oppose having been beaten less than seven lengths in the Coventry Stakes at Ascot from seemingly the ‘wrong group of runners’ on the day.  The skinny odds are not worth taking however as Wedding Date has been beaten by an aggregate of less than five lengths in the ‘Hillary Needler’ and Sandown’s National Stakes of late.  A good race to watch.

2.45 Wolverhampton: 

All trainers were inconvenienced by the amount of rain that fell in the early months of the year, but none more than Tom Dascombe it seems whereby his juveniles that run well at the first time of asking are worth keeping on the right side this season.  This could be a pointer towards Tom’s Nursery runners, with the relevant season kicking off of this Thursday at Haydock.  Tom’s Barristan The Bold did very little wrong on debut and should give us a decent run for our collective monies.  The 11/4 quote by 365 early doors this morning attracted the eye.

6.30 Windsor: 

Old rivals Richard Hannon and Mick Channon go head to head (just for a change) here and though Richard is double handed with two horses that punters might struggle to split, the 9/2 Betfair quote about Mick’s Gregorian raider Chynna proved too generous to pass by from my viewpoint.  Mick offered some encouraging words about his late May foal (“smashing filly”) earlier in the season whereby two assignments should have set her up nicely for this contest from a half decent draw.

6.45 Hamilton: 

A cracking little heat in the making despite the small field and I could have given chances to the majority of the field, but the early money on the exchanges in all for I Believe In You whereby the 7/4 on offer with four firms at the time of writing sways me towards Iain Hardine’s course and distance winner.

 

HAMILTON STATS/FACTS TODAY RELATING TO THIS SEASON:

50 races – 51 winners (via one dead heat) – 20 winning favourites – 48/51 winners scored at a top price of 14/1

Leading represented trainer today: 

4 winners–David O’Meara – 4/17 –  (7/1, 13/2, 5/2* & Evens*) – 2 runenrs: Alsvinder (7.15) & Isabella (8.45)

 

PONTEFRACT STATS/FACTS TODAY RELATING TO THIS SEASON:

34 races – 11 winning favourites – 33/34 winners scored at a top price of 10/1

Leading trainer this season:

5 winners–Richard Fahey – 5/21 –  (16/1, 7/2, 7/2**, 3/1* & 11/4) – 2 runners: Cameo Star (2.00) & Enrolement (3.00)

 

INTERESTING TRAINER STATS/FACTS TODAY:

Mark Johnston boasts a 5/15 record at Windsor this season (level stake profit of three points) but the trainer is not represented this evening, sending eight runners elsewhere, four at each of the meetings at Pontefract and Hamilton.

John Gosden is giving his runners a break until Wednesday (at the earliest) despite taking his seasonal stats at Windsor to 4/9 yesterday.

Michael Bell has saddled his last three runners to winning effect at 4/1, 11/4 & 15/8 – Michael has two declared at Chepstow tomorrow.

Jonathan Portman (two outsiders in the 6.00 at Windsor this evening) and Jonjo O’Neill (three potential runners at Stratford tomorrow) both boast recent ratios of 3/7.

Dan Skelton won with four of his six runners at Uttoxeter yesterday and goes in search of more swag at Stratford tomorrow – though the trainer is 0/13 there this season – time to break his duck you might think…..

 

WORLD CUP SERVICE:

PRICES (OF THE TEAMS WHICH PLAYED YESTERDAY) TO WIN THE WORLD CUP:

6/1—Croatia (Betfair/PP/Boyle/Black Type)

22/1—Russia (10Bet)

Their match on Saturday – 7.00pm Kick-off:

27/10—Croatia (Black Type)

11/5—Draw (Betfred)

3/1—Russia (365)

 

TODAY’S MATCHES:

BRAZIL V MEXICO – 3pm kick off

1/3—Brazil (Generally available)

7/2—Draw (Skybet)

37/5—Mexico (Marathon)

Half time betting:

9/8—Brazil (188)

23/17—Draw (Unibet/888)

67/10—Mexico (Marathon)

To qualify for the quarter-finals:

2/9—Brazil (Generally available)

15/4—Mexico (Unibet/888)

Half time/Full time odds:

27/20–Brazil/Brazil (Ladbrokes/Coral)

21/1–Brazil/Draw (Marathon)

75/1–Brazil/Mexico (Unibet/888)

7/2–Draw/Brazil (Unibet/888)

23/4–Draw/Draw (Unibet/888)

35/2–Draw/Mexico (Marathon)

25/1–Mexico/Brazil (Generally available)

22/1–Mexico/Draw (Marathon)

57/4– Mexico/Mexico (Marathon)

Both teams to score:

15/13 (YES) – (Sportingbet)

17/20 (NO) – (BetVictor)

Unders/overs:

Evens–under 2.5 goals (Skybet/Marathon)

47/20–2.5 goals or more (Marathon)

4/11–under 3.5 goals (Skybet/Sunbets/Ber Stars)

23/10–3.5 goals or more (Betfair/Unibet/888.BetVictor)

 

BELGIUM V JAPAN – 7pm kick off                    

2/5—Belgium (Unibet)

41/10—Draw (Marathon)

11/1—Japan (Bet Stars)

Half time betting:

19/20—Belgium (Ladbokes/Coral

141/100—Draw (Marathon)

17/2—Japan (Bet Stars)

To qualify for the quarter-finals:

1/6—Belgium (Generally available)

21/4—Japan (Unibet/888)

Half time/Full time odds:

11/10–Belgium/Belgium (Ladbrokes/Coral)

25/1–Belgium/Draw (Skybet/188)

100/1–Belgium/Japan (Unibet/888)

33/10–Draw/Belgium (Unibet/888)

6/1–Draw/Draw (Skybet/BetVictor)

24/1–Draw/Japan (Marathon)

28/1–Japan/Belgium (Unibet/888)

25/1–Japan/Draw (Skybet)

20/1–Japan/Japan (Marathon)

Both teams to score:

13/10 (YES) – (Betway/Sportingbet)

8/11 (NO) – (Betfair/BetVictor)

Unders/overs:

51/50–under 2.5 goals (Marathon)

23/25–2.5 goals or more (Marathon)

2/5–under 3.5 goals (Befair)

40/17–3.5 goals or more (Unibet/188)

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