Apr 30

Mal Boyle Stats – Monday 30th

Sunday’s school report:

An MMA winner at 6/1 alongside a 22/1 runner up was all we could muster yesterday though if you backed the outsider each way, there was barely any damage done on the day following Saturday’s triumph.  The two horses were returned at 5/1 and 20/1.

The six listed in form trainers saddled four winners between them at 6/1, 5/1, Evens* & 3/5*.

Both of the Stat Attack trainers at Salisbury had winners at 6/1 (Richard Hannon) & Ralph Beckett (5/1) and as the two gold medallists closed out the day at the track, followers of the service should have won money.

 

MONDAY – APPROXIMATE TIMELINE:

5.00: ‘DEAD OF NIGHT’ MMA SERVICE – DONE

7.00: MAL’S THIRSK ANALYSIS (via my Twitter page) – DONE

7.30: Leading trainers this season at the relevant turf tracks with runners today – DONE

7.40: Leading trainers this season on turf on the flat with runners today – DONE

8.00: MMA UPDATE – DONE WITH 7 ADDITIONS

8.10: Football service – DONE

+ Yesterday’s World Cup offering can be found at the foot of the column in case you missed it yesterday.  Now with best prices offered……

 

*POINT OF ORDER – Today’s racing comes with a government health warning relating to the amount of rain which is scheduled to hit certain areas (Windsor seemingly at the biggest risk) – low stakes are recommended accordingly.  If ever the current slogan of “when/if the fun stops – stop” applies – it is today!

** We have not had any rain here in Bristol since yesterday morning whereby I’m guessing that Salisbury should pass its inspection at 8.00…

 

MMA SERVICE (at 5.00 am)

SALISBURY (INSPECTION AT 8.00):

3.40: Twenty Times – 13/2 (365)

4.15: Pollyissimo – 7/1 (Betfair/PP/BetVictor)

Additional Salisbury entries at 8.00:

2.30: Letmestopyouthere – 15/2 (365/BetBright)

3.05: Sunday Best – 25/1 (Ladbrokes)

4.45: Crindle Carr – 11/1 (Ladbrokes/PP)

 

THIRSK:

1.50: Me Before You – 112/1 (365)

2.20: Dutch Coed – 14/1 (365)

2.55: Motahassen – 9/2 (Skybet)

4.05: Pennsylvania Dutch – 12/1 PP/BetVictor)

4.35: Battle Commence – 6/1 (Generally available)

5.05: Odds On Oli – 9/2 (Generally available)

5.35: Zig Zag – 7/1 (PP)

Additional Thirsk entry at 8.00:

3.30: The Navigator – 11/2 (Generally available)

 

WINDSOR:

5.10: Shovel It On – 9/4 (Generally available)

5.40: Smith – 12/1 (365/Hills)

6.10: Kinglami – 9/1 (PP)

6.40: Shall We Go Now – 11/2 (365/BetVictor)

7.10: Man Of Harlech – 12/1 (Generally available)

Additional Windsor entry at 8.00:

7.40: Quothquan – 14/1 (Generally available)

 

SOUTHWELL (A/W):

5.20; Feel The Wrath – 5/1 (Generally available)

6.50: Two to consider: Muqarred – 11/2 (365/Unibet/BetVictor) & Alpha Turi – 14/1 (Betfair/PP/Unibet/BetVictor)

7.20: Seebring – 20/1 (365)

7.50: Litigation – 5/2 (Hills/Betfair)

8.20: Max Liebermann – 9/2 (PP/Unibet)

Additional Southwell entries at 8.00:

NONE

 

WOLVERHAMPTON:

2.10: Dance On The Day – 10/1 (Betfair)

2.40: Ronnie The Rooster – 9/2 (365/BetVictor)

3.50: Noneedtotellme – 5/1 (Generally available)

4.25: Well Suited – 4/1 (Skybet/Betfair/PP/188)

Additional Wolverhampton entries at 8.00:

3.15: Zahraa – 7/1 (BetBright) 

5.25: Dysons Gorl – 9/1 (Ladbrokes)

 

LEADING TRAINERS AT THE RESPECTIVE TURF VENUES TODAY:

Thirsk:

2/5–Kevin Ryan (4/1 & 5/4*) – 1 runner: Pennsylvania Dutch (4.05)

Salisbury:

3/3–Mick Channon (5/1, 7/2 & 15/8) – 3 runners: Arcadian Rocks (2.00), Can Can Sixty Two (3.05) & I’m A Beliver (3.40)

Windsor:

None of the three trainers to have saddled a brace of winners at the track are represented today.

For those of you that like to keep records: 2/2 John  Gosden (Evens* & 8/11*) – 2/4 Stuart Kittow (13/2 & 4/1*) – 2/7 Mick Channon (9/2 & Evens*)

 

LEADING TRAINERS ON TURF THIS SEASON – WITH RUNNERS TODAY:

15/43–Mick Channon (35% srike rate) – 3 at Salisbury

13/93–Richard Fahey (14%) – 8 today – 5 at Thirsk

10/39–John  Gosden (26%) – Though both of John’s runners today on on the all weather track at Wolverhampton

 

FOOTBALL SERVICE – LIVE PREMIER LEAGUE TONIGHT + WORLD CUP:

TONIGHT’S PREMIER LEAGUE MATCH – 8.00 KO – LIVE ON SKY:

1/6–Tottenham (Generally available)

8/1–Draw (Betfair)

22/1–Watford (BetVictor)

Half time betting:

8/15–Tottenham (Ladbrokes/Coral/Bet Stars/188)

23/10–Draw (Marathon)

12/1–Watford (BetVictor)

Half time/Full time odds:

6/10–Tottenham/Tottenham (Ladbrokes/Coral/Bet Stars)

33/1–Tottenham/Draw (Ladbrokes/Marathon/Coral)

150/1–Tottenham/Watford (Ladbrokes/Sunbets/PP/Coral)

73/20–Draw–Tottenham (Marathon)

27/2–Draw/Draw (Marathon)

40/1–Draw/Watford (Marathon)

28/1–Watford/Tottenham (BetVictor)

33/1–Watford/Draw (Ladbrokes/Coral/Marathon/PP)

45/1–Watford/Watford (Ladbrokes/Coral)

 

WORLD CUP COUNTDOWN – TAKE ONE (NOW WITH BEST PRICES INCLUDED)

The bookmakers should be ashamed of their current top price quote of 18/1 (Bet365/188) about England, notwithstanding the shortest odds of 14/1 with Ladbrokes/Coral/Bet Stars.

The general public seem to be more confident this time around because of Harry Kane as much as anything else but only recently, we have witnessed that Harry does not always ‘rise to the top’ when the chips are down and if Harry under-performs, we can surely kiss any chance we had goodbye, probably in the early rounds of the tournament.

Harry has enjoyed a marvellous season but just recently in Tottenham’s two biggest games (Manchester United in the semi-final of the FA Cup) and Roma in the Champions league (second Wembley leg), Harry wasn’t on his ‘A game’ on either occasion.

Is there anything knew about that statement?  Well no unfortunately, because as much has Harry as obviously improved these last few years, he needs to take meteoric steps judged on his weak performances in the European Tournament two years ago.

That’s a major potential problem at the front end of the ‘spine’ and at the back, we have real problems in the goalkeeping sector because if we believe the press, the manager does not know who he is going to be playing as the number one choice, just seven weeks short of the competition.

As far as previous England teams are concerned, let’s take a look at the last eight World Cup tournaments, even though England only played in seven of them!

The group stage is almost as important as the matches later in the competition in terms of building confidence.  I’m going to be brutally harsh by comparing our record against those of Brazil and Germany.  If that seems a tough route to take, we have to be honest if we are to win only our second World Cup tournament.  Those willing to take (or even considering the investment) will need to know just how short we have been in recent competitions.

Brazil:

Played 24 games – won 20 – drew 3 – lost 1 (83% win rate – 96% win/draw)

Germany:

Played 24 games – won 16 – drew 6 – lost 2 (67% win rate – 92% win/draw)

England:

Played 21 games – won 8 – drew 9 – lost 4 (38% win rate – 81% win/draw)

 

We hear week on week that a ‘winning mentality’ is the essence of a successful team, so why have so many England manager been clueless in terms of building their teams into a winning machine?

Not convinced?  Let’s have a look at the goal differences during the period.

Brazil: 51-13 (+38)

Germany: 55 -18 (+37)

England: 21-12 (+9)

Do you recognise the weakness now?

 

If we go back from the opening competition in 1930 – the ratios are no better.

Brazil: Win ratio: 70% (G/D: +91)

Germany: Win ratio: 63% (G/D +74)

England: Win ratio: 41% (G/D +21)

 

If you care to look at the other end of the competition where potential penalty shoot-outs can determine winners over losers – look at the records of the three teams?

Brazil: 3/4

Germany: 4/4 (Best record of any country)

England: 0/3 (Worst record of any country)

This is not been written as a ‘hatchet job’ against our team.  It is offered to stop people losing money, which is almost as important as the main target of directing clients to making a profit via my service.

LATEST BETTING (MONDAY MORNING) TO WIN THE WORLD CUP:

9/2–Germany (Generally available)

19/4–Brazil (Unibet/888) – as short as 4/1

13/2–France (365/Bet Stars/Betway/Sportingbet/188) – as short as 11/2

7/1–Spain (Unibet -out on a limb at this price) – as short as 5/1

10/1–Argentina (Betway/188) – as short as 8/1

12/1–Belgium (Boyle’Betway/Sportingbet/188) – as short as 10/1

18/1–England (Sportingbet/365/188) – as short as 14/1

25/1–Portugal (Generally available) – as short as 22/1

35/1–Uruguay (188)- as short as 25/1

40/1–Croatia (Skybet/188) – as short as 28/1

50/1–Russia (Generally available) – as short as 33/1

66/1–Poland (Skybet/Bet Stars) – as short as 33/1

100/1 Bar – the best of which are Denmark from my viewpoint….

 

Best of luck until I write again about the World Cup – I’ll give you plenty of notice when that will be.

Be lucky obviously but at all times – be aware, whatever the sport in question!

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