Jun 04

Mal Boyle Stats – Monday 4th

Sunday’s school report:

To follow up Saturday’s great day – I offered seven MMA horses on Sunday – 5 WON at 8/1 (returned 6/1) – 4/1 (2/1) – 3/1 (7/4) – 3/1 (9/4) – 3/1 (11/4). A 71.4% strike rate to follow up the 20/1 Derby winner (16/1) + three others at Epsom.  Winners elsewhere too!

 

MONDAY – APPROXIMATE TIMELINE:

1.30: LEADING TRAINERS ON A/W THIS SEASON (Yesterday’s turf format) – DONE

3.20: MAL’S WINDSOR ANALYSIS (via my Twitter page) – DONE

3.45: TWO YEAR OLD NOTES – DONE

4.15: MONDAY STAT ATTACKS – DONE

4.30: ‘ROYAL’ TEASER – AS ASCOT STARTS TWO WEEKS TOMORROW! – DONE

5.00: ‘DEAD OF NIGHT’ MMA SERVICE – DONE

8.30: MMA UPDATE – DONE WITH 5 ADDITIONS

 

MMA SERVICE (at 5.00 am)

AYR:

7.00: Lady Molly – 14/1 (365/Unibet)

8.00: Imagine If – 9/1 (Generally available)

8.30: Manomine – 6/1 (365)

9.00: Hey Pretty – 9/2 (Ladbrokes/PP/BetVictor)

Additional Ayr entry at 8.30:

7.30: Kupa River – 12/1 (Betfair/PP)

 

LEICESTER:

2.10: Bob The Bruce – 9/1 (Generally available)

2.40: Sterling Silva – 7/12 (365/Betfair/PP)

3.10: Di Fede – 11/2 (PP)

4.10: Zain City – 11/2 (Skybet)

5.10: Give It Some Teddy – 14/1 (Unibet)

Additional Leicester entries at 8.30:

3.40: Two horses to consider: Beringer – 9/2 (Ladbrokes/888) & De Medici – 12/1 (Ladbrokes/Coral/BetBright)

 

WINDSOR:

5.45: Rock Of Estonia – 13/2 (Betfair)

7.45: Ravenous – 14/1 (Marathon)

8.45: Jackpot Royale – 11/2 (Betfair)

Additional Windsor entry at 8.30:

8.15: Drap D’Or – 16/1 (Ladbrokes)

 

NEWTON ABBOT:

2.50: Carlos Du Fruitier – 8/1 (Generally available)

3.20: Fidux – 5/1 (Betfair/Hills/Betfair)

3.50: All Kings – 7/1 (PP)

4.20: Tamarillo Grove – 8/1 (Marathon)

Additional Newton Abbot entry at 8.30:

5.25: Clearly Capable – 8/1 (Ladbrokes/Hills/Sunbets)

 

MONDAY STAT ATTACKS:

AYR:

16 races – 4 winning favourites – 14/16 winners scored at a top price of 12/1

Leading trainer at Ayr this season:

2/2—Jedd O’Keeffe (7/2* & 3/1*) – 1 runner tonight: Rebel State (9.00)

 

LEICESTER:

27 races – 12 winning favourites – 25/27 winners scored at a top price of 14/1

Leading trainers at Leicester this season:

3/7—Mark Johnston (3/1, 11/4* & 4/9*) – 1 runner: Go Now Go Now (3.40)

3/9—Richard Fahey (7/1 & 2/1* twice) – 1 runner: Zip (2.10)

 

WINDSOR:

50 races – 22 winning favourites – 47/50 winners scored at a top price of 14/1

Leading trainer at Windsor this season:

4/19—Richard Hannon (8/1, 5/1*, 3/1 & 4/9*) – 6 runners tonight: Leoube & Perfectly (6.15), Buridan & Ambroise (6.45) & Roundhead & Bombshell Bay (8.45)

 

NEWTON ABBOT:

14 races – 3 winning favourites – All 14 winners scored at a top price of 12/1

Leading trainers at Newton Abbot this season:

Unfortunately, all 14 winners thus far have been saddled by different trainers.

That said, Paul Nicholls will soon grab the initiative despite saddling eight losers at the track this season. Paul saddles two runners this afternoon and it’s as well that you take his record last year at Newton Abbott into account, as Paul secured a 44% strike rate at the venue via 16 winners.

 

A couple of other pointers towards potential outsiders today via last season’s results on the corresponding day:

The underrated trainer David Dennis secured a 29/1 double across the card twelve months ago and has just one runner today, namely Ballyegan Warrior (5.25 Newton Abbot) at around the 16/1 mark at the time of writing.

I have alerted you to the chances of Jim Goldie’s outsiders successfully in the past and it’s worth noting that Jim secured a 64/1 double on the Ayr card last year.  There’s just one problem today though, as Jim had declared 12 runners at the venue.  Good luck sorting that lot out!

 

TWO YEAR OLD NOTES:

2.10 Leicester:

Andrew Balding is finally emerging from a disappointing run of results, which includes his 0/8 ratio in the juvenile sector this season.  That said, Oloroso should go close here if he is to fulfill trainer expectations which were quite high for Andrew’s Fast Company colt earlier in the year.

Hughie Morrison suggested that his newcomer Barbegazi was a “nice athlete” and though he is any price you like on debut at the time of writing, Hughie’s Swift Spirit colt could give us some fun later in the season, possibly by he time that nursery events rear their wonderful heads.

6.15 Windsor:

Queen Of Bermuda should really take the beating here, especially as Chuck Willis might have had his preparations held up as Charlie Hills had stated that he should have been out in April via a stable tour earlier in the year.  Seemingly a really likable type, Chuck Willis is one to keep an eye on.

Ragstone Cowboy will be one to look at next time out I’ll wager, whilst it’s too early to write off the chances of the Godolphon pair Leading Spirit and Fly The Nest.

 

LEADING TRAINERS (FLAT – A/W) 2018:

NUMBER OF WINNERS – STRIKE RATE – OUTSTANDING VENUES:

33 winners—Michael Appleby (13% strike rate) – Best venue: 11/80 Southwell (+11 LSP)

33—Mark Johnston (17%) – 10/39 Chelmsford

31—John Gosden (33%)8/24 Lingfield7/16 Newcastle7/17 Kempton – 5/19 Wolverhampton – 4/14 Chelmsford

29—Archie Watson (23%) – 13/44 Lingfield7/20 Kempton6/18 Wolverhampton

25—Charlie Appleby (44%)8/17 Lingfield5/9 Newcastle4/8 Kempton4/11 Wolverhampton4/12 Chelmsford

22—Andrew Balding (20%) – 7/18 Lingfield5/16 Wolverhampton

20—Richard Hannon (16%) – Best venue: 5/19 Wolverhampton

18—Dean Ivory (18%) – Best venue: 5/18 Lingfield

18—Jamie Osborne (13%) – Best venue: 7/32 Chelmsford

17—William Haggas (34%)6/10 Wolverhampton4/14 Chelmsford3/6 Newcastle

17—David Simcock (15%) – 8/31 Chelmsford

 

A RIGHT ROYAL TEASER FOR ROYAL ASCOT WHICH STARTS TWO WEEK TOMORROW!

Will hats fly into the air this year with The Queen celebrating a winner during the five day extravaganza?

Regular readers will know that so much of my work is based on facts and figures, so why should finding royal winners be any different?

Any idea how many winners The Queen has owned at Royal Ascot since her first gold medallist back in 1953?  The answer is 23 and you can win a few beers by asking the question in which race (which is still contested today) provided Her Majesty with her first winner?  Not many would plump for the Royal Hunt Cup I’ll wager!

So what is the likelihood of The Queen cheering home a winner this year?  Not very strong I’m afraid as the first lady of racing has enjoyed just seven winners since 1980.

Indeed, her record is in deep decline as these figures confirm; 11 winners in the fifties – 2 in the sixties – 3 in the seventies and just four since the turn of the Millennium.

Win yourself another few pints/glasses of your favourite beverage by asking friends who has ridden the most winners for HRH at the royal meeting down the years.

Harry Carr leads the way on the five winner mark (bet that surprised you), with a quintet of pilots having secured a brace apiece, namely Lester Piggott, Ryan Moore, Willie Carson and the Smith brothers, Doug and Eph.  I can confirm that Sir Gordon Richards only rode one winner for the owner which was back in 1954 when yours truly arrived on the scene.

I hope this article has set the (royal) tone for the next fortnight. I will be penning more facts and stats during next couple of weeks which will pinpoint the way to a profitable week, if endeavour has anything to do with the way things pan out.

Be lucky but as always – be aware!

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