Jan 13

Mal Boyle Stats – Saturday 13th

DEAD OF NIGHT – Morning Market Assessment at 5.00 am – IMPORTANT POINT TO NOTE – I am advising small (ish) stakes at this early stage in proceedings on a competitive day by the look of things at this unearthly hour – THE SAME COMMENT APPLIES TODAY AS I GAVE AT 5.00 AM IN TERMS OF SMALL STAKES WITH BIGGER PRICED HORSES BEING THE ORDER OF THE DAY

KEMPTON: 

1.30: Rothman – 14/1 (Skybet) with a  potential saver on Exitas – 14/1 (Stan James) – NOW BOTH 9/1

3.45: Marquisand – 20/1 Betfred/Tote) – this one could swing either way though at the price, it’s worth noting – NOW 14/1

ADDITIONAL KEMPTON RUNNERS AT 8.00 AM:

12.20: Rays The Money – 20/1 (Hills/PP/Betfair)

2.05: The two outsiders are receiving support: Art Maresque – 25/1 (Stan James) & Ballybolley – 20/1 (still generally available)

3.15: Ballykan – 7/1 (Generally available)

WARWICK: 

1.50: Western Climate – 12/1 (Sunbets & PP) – NOW 9/1

2.25: Two to consider: Fly Camp – 16/1 (Hills) & Kris Spin – 12/1 (Betfair/PP) – NOW 14/1 & 10/1 RESPECTIVELY

ADDITIONAL WARWICK RUNNERS AT 8.00 AM:

12.40: Shroughmore Lass – 9/1 (Betbright)

3.00: Paisley Park – 10/1 (Boylesports)

4,05: Thebankerrebel – 9/1 (Betfred/Tote)

WETHERBY:

2.15: Positively Dylan – 8/1 (Stan James) – NOW 13/2

ADDITIONAL WETHERBY RUNNERS AT 8.00 AM:

12.30: Quest For Life – 13/2 (Sportingbet)

1.40: Skywards Reward – 9/1 (Ladbrokes/Coral)

2.50: Jaleo – 5/1 (Betbright)

LINGFIELD: 

12.50: Anna Medici – 4/1 (Skybet/Hills/Betfred/Tote) – NOW 3/1

2.00: Mr Scaramanga – 16/1 (Hills/Betfred/Tote/Betvictor) – NON RUNNER

2.35: Qassem – 13/8 (PP) – Only short priced offering this morning – NOW 11/8

3.10: Avocet – 8/1 (Ladbrokes) – NOW 13/2

ADDITIONAL LINGFIELD RUNNERS AT 8.00 AM:

NONE

WOLVERHAMPTON: 

5.45: Muthrab Aldaar – 8/1 (Hills) – NOW 7/1

6.45: Volturnus – 5/1 (PP) – NOW 7/2

7.15: Two to consider: Major Crispies – 11/1 (Betfair) & Monte Cinq – 11/1 (Hills) – NOW 9/1 & 10/1 RESPECTIVELY

9.15: Mr Carbonator – 5/1 (Hills/PP) – looks a strong enough contender at that price in the ‘getting out stakes’ – not that I ever encourage readers to ‘chase losses’.  By all means set aside some early money to end the day on a potentially high note. – NOW 4/1

ADDITIONAL WOLVERHAMPTON RUNNER AT 8.00 AM:

7.45: The Amber Fort – 7/1 (365/BetVictor)

 

SATURDAY IN FORM TRAINERS INCLUDE (Minimum 25% strike rate required and/or excellent recent level stake profits):

8/29—Robert Walford (+11) – 1 runner at Kempton: Vaziani (12.20)

5/13—Anthony Honeyball (+9) – 3 today: Ms Parfois (1.50 Warwick), Fountains Windfall (3.15 Kempton) & Creswell Breeze (3.35 Warwick)

6/15—Brian Ellison (+17) – 1 at Wetherby: Zaidiyn (2.50)

6/20—David Dennis (+26) – 1 at Warwick: Peppay Le Pugh (12.40)

6/22—Ivan Furtado – 1 at Wolverhampton: Swissie (8.15)

5/15—Tim Easterby – 3 runners: Bollin Ace (2.50 Wetherby), Tara Force (3.55 Wetherby) & Dellaguista (6.15 Wolverhampton)

5/16—Jeremy Scott (+15) – 1 at Warwick: Building Features (4.05)

5/17—David Simcock (+10) – 2 at Lingfield: Ascot Day (1.25) & Ghalib (2.00)

5/20—Donald McCain (+4) – 1 at Kempton: Viserion (3.45)

3/4—Danial Mark Loughnane (+8) – 4 at Wolverhampton: Joys Delight (5.45), Toga Tiger & Chestnut Fire (6.15) & Big Lachie (7.45)

3/7—John Quinn (+2) – 1 at Warwick: Hargam (3.25)

3/8—Mick Easterby (+19) – 1 at Lingfield: Qaffaal (2.00)

3/8—Alan King (+13) – 5 at Kempton: Redicean (12.20), The Devils Drop (12.55), Smad Place (2.05) & River Frost & Dino Velvet (2.40 Kempton)

3/8—Mike Murphy (+7) – 1 at Lingfield: Anna Medici (12.50)

3/8—Sue Smith (+3) – 4 at Wetherby: Silva Eclipse (12.30), Quietly (1.05), Persaid (1.40) & Special Wells (3.25)

3/8—Archie Watson (+5) – 1 at Wolverhampton: Pulsating (7.45)

3/9—David Evans (+11) – 4 today: Sheer Intensity (3.10 Lingfield) + 3 at Wolverhampton: Awesome Allan (7.45), Joegogo (8.45) & Mouchee (9/15)

3/9—Philip Hobbs (+5) – 1 at Wetherby: Westend Story (2.50)

3/9—Emma Lavelle (+13) – 1 at Warwick: Paisley Park (3.00)

3/10—Henry Oliver (+1) – 1 at Warwick: Shroughmore Lass (3.40)

+ the following trainers who have more than seven runners today (I have to draw the line somewhere)!

14/31—Nicky Henderson (+17) – 9 runners today: 7 at Kempton & 2 at Warwick

8/28—Nigel Twiston Davies (+9) – 11 chances: 8 at Warwick & 3 at Kempton

4/11—Dan Skelton (+1) – 9 runners today: 6 at Warwick & 3 at Kempton

38 named horses in race order:

12.20: Redicean & Vaziani

12.30: Silva Eclipse

12.40: Peppay Le Pugh

12.50: Anna Medici

12.55: The Devils Drop

1.05: Quietly

1.25: Ascot Day

1.40: Persaid

1.50: Ms Parfois

2.00: Qaffaal & Ghalib

2.05: Smad Place

2.40: River Frost & Dino Velvet

2.50: Bollin Ace, Westend Story & Zaidiyn

3.00: Paisley Park

3.10: Sheer Intensity

3.15: Fountains Windfall

3.25: Hargam & Special Wells

3.35: Creswell Breeze

3.45: Viserion

3.40: Shroughmore Lass

3.55: Tara Force

4.05: Building Features

5.45: Joys Delight

6.15: Toga Tiger & Chestnut Fire

6.15: Dellaguista

7.45: Awesome Allan, Pulsating & Big Lachie

8.15: Swissie

8.45: Joegogo

9.15: Mouchee

 

SATURDAY STAT ATTACK (5 year study unless stated):

KEMPTON:

36 races –16  winning favourites – 33/36 winners scored at a top price of 10/1

Average Placepot dividend: £167.30

Highest dividend: £302.00 (2016) – Lowest dividend: £79.70 (2013)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

6 winners—Nicky Henderson (Prices ranging between 3/10* & 9/1 – includes three winning favourites) –  7 runners today: Chef Des Obeaux & Duke Debarry (12.55), Josses Hill (2.05), William Henry & Diese Des Bieffes (2.40) & Charming Zen & Jenkins (3.45)

WARWICK:

36 races – 5 winning favourites – 34/36 winners scored at a top price of 14/1

Average Placepot dividend: £488.22

Highest dividend: £763.90 (2015) – Lowest dividend: £292.90 (2017)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

4 winners—Venetia Williams (7/1, 6/1, 5/1 & 7/2) – 2 runners today: Vivaccio (1.15) & Emperor’s Choice (3.35)

WETHERBY:

35 races – 16 winning favourites – 30/35 winners scored at a top price of 8/1

Average Placepot dividend: £79.36

Highest dividend: £152.00 (2016) – Lowest dividend: £19.10 (2013)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

4 winners—Micky Hammond (25/1, 12/1, 4/1 & 5/2***) – 7 runners today: Dark Valley (1.05), Strike West & Skywards Reward (1.40), Just Cameron (2.15), Becky The Thatcher & Dedigout (2.50) & Crest (3.25)

Be lucky of course but as ever – Be aware!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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