Mar 17

Mal Boyle Stats – Saturday 17th

Friday’s school report:

Yesterday’s MMA ‘winners’ were a placed horse in the opening event at Cheltenham at 50/1 alongside a 6/1 gold medallist at Fakenham which was returned at 5/2.

The main horse I pointed out for specific interest (Ok Corral) finished second at 16/1, joined by seven other silver medallists, the pick of which were offered at 14/1 alongside three 15/2 chances, notwithstanding Might Bite who found Native River too good on the ground in the Gold Cup.  I’m hoping for better luck this weekend!

That all said, eagle eyed followers who wanted to end the day on a high note had a 25/1 WINNER at Wolverhampton last night (8.15) to celebrate, courtesy of Michael Appleby who was the nominated trainer at the track via the Stat Attack service – and you were about to abandon the HMS Boyle vessel?

Like I have said since I set up this service – it’s about the ‘long haul’ not the ‘quick buck’ which in reality, never lasts longer than yesterday’s fish ‘n chip wrapper!

Happy St Patrick’s Day!

 

SATURDAY TIMELINE:

5.00: ‘DEAD OF NIGHT’ MMA SERVICE – DONE

6.45: KEMPTON ANALYSIS (Via the link on my Twitter page) – DONE

7.45: SATURDAY STAT ATTACK (Covering all four meetings) – DONE

8.00: MMA PRICE UPDATES + ADDITIONS IF/WHERE RELEVANT – DONE WITH 4 ADDITIONS

9.00: IN FORM TRAINERS – DONE

10.00: SUNDAY STAT ATTACKS – TODAY! – DONE

11.00: FOOTBALL SERVICE – DONE

+ SOMETIME OVER THE COURSE OF THE WEEKEND – WHERE YOUR MONEY WENT AT THE CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL – TRAINER REPORT

 

DEAD OF NIGHT Morning Market Assessment (at 5.00 am)

KEMPTON:

2.05 Free Stone Hill – 16/1 (365) – NOW AN AVERAGE PRICE OF 14/1

3.15: Cepage – 16/1 (Betfair/PP) – NOW 14/1

3.50: Equus Amadeus – 11/2 (PP) – NOW 5/1

4.25: Invicta Lake – 9/2 (Betfair) – NOW 10/3

Additional Kempton entries at 8.00:

2.40: Django Django – 10/1 (365/Hills/PP/Boyle)

5.00: Cilaos Glace – 33/1 (365)

 

FONTWELL:

2.15: Rothman – 10/3 (Betfair/PP) – NOW 2/1

2.50: At First Light – 18/1 (Unibet/888) – NOW 14/1

3.25: Three Faces West – 5/1 (Ladbrokes/Hills) – NOW 9/2

5.10: Shoofly Millie – 11/2 (Betfair/PP) – NOW 9/2

Additional Fontwell entry at 8.00:

4.35: Miss Adventure – 8/1 (365/Hills)

 

UTTOXETER:

2.25: Another Venture – 5/1 (Ladbrokes) – NOW 9/2

3.00: Theligny – 15/2 (Betfair/PP/BetVictor) – NOW 7/1

3.35: The Artful Cobbler – 8/1 (Betfair/PP/Boyle)- NOW 7/1

4.10: Piri Massini – 11/2 (PP) – NOW 7/2

Additional Uttoxeter entry at 8.00:

1.50: Special Princess – 16/1 (Betfred/Tote)

 

WOLVERHAMPTON:

5.45: Krebs Cycle – 8/1 (PP) – NOW 13/2

6.15: Two horses to consider: Tidal Watch – 6/1 (Ladbrokes) & London Glory – 14/1 (365) – NOW 5/1 & 11/1 RESPECTIVELY – COUPLED PRICE NOW 3/1

6.45: Leoro – 9/1 (PP) – NOW 7/1

7.15: Kion – 6/4 (Betfred/Tote)  NOW 11/8

8.15: Society Ranger – 3/1 (Marathon) – NOW 9/4

Additional Wolverhampton entries at 8.00:

NONE

 

IN FORM TRAINERS INCLUDE (Requirement: Minimum 33% strike rate and/or a really good level stake profit:

5/7—Tom Lacey (+11) – 3 today: Equus Amadeus (3.50 Kempton), Coningsby (4.10 Uttoxeter) & Sebastopol (5.00 Kempton)

3/5—Phil Kirby (+6) – 1 at Uttoxeter: Sakhee’s City (3.00 Uttoxeter)

2/3—Lucy Wadham (+27) – 2 at Fontwell: Potters Sapphire (1.40) & Banjo Girl (2.50)

6 runners in race order via the in-form trainer list:

1.40: Potters Sapphire

2.50: Banjo Girl

3.00: Sakhee’s City

3.50: Equus Amadeus

4.10: Coningsby

5.00: Sebastopol

 

SATURDAY STAT ATTACK (Five year study period unless stated):

FONTWELL (Four year study – no meeting prior to 2014):

28 races – 11 winning favourites – All 28 winners scored at a top price of 11/1

Average Placepot dividend: £101.88

Highest dividend: £209.40 (2016) – Lowest dividend: £45.40 (2014)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

4 winners—Chris Gordon (10/1, 4/1, 15/8* & 5/6*) – 4 runners today: Rothman (2.15), King Uther (3.25), Be Daring (4.35) & Fizzlestix (5.10)

 

KEMPTON:

35 races – 12 winning favourites – 31/35 winners scored at a top price of 9/1

Average Placepot dividend: £107.96

Highest dividend: £220.80 (2014) – Lowest dividend: £31.30 (2015)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

10 winners—Nicky Henderson (Ranging in price between 3/10* & 8/1 – includes five winning favourites) – 3 runners today: Grapevine (1.30), Kilcrea Vale (3.15) & Mister Fisher (5.00)

 

UTTOXETER:

38 races – 12 winning favourites – 35/38 winners scored at a top price of 11/1

Average Placepot dividend: £327.74

Highest dividend: £481.0 (2015) – Lowest dividend: £113.30 (2016)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

3 winners—Nigel Twiston-Davies (9/4*, 85/40 & 6/4*) – 3 runners today: Benbens & Balymilan (3.25) & Constante Via (5.20)

 

WOLVERHAMPTON (25/1 WINNER LAST NIGHT VIA THE STAT ATTACK):

35 races – 16 winning favourites – 29/35 winners scored at a top price of 10/1

Average Placepot dividend: £190.76

Highest dividend: £599.50 (2014) – Lowest dividend: £17.80 (2013)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

4 winners—David O’Meara (4/1, Evens*, 10/11* & 4/6*) – 1 runner this evening: Mythical Madness (5.45)

 

SUNDAY STAT ATTACK (Five year study period unless stated):

CARLISLE (Four year study – meeting abandoned last year):

24 races – 7 winning favourites – 18/24 winners scored at a top price of 10/1

Average Placepot dividend: £149.48

Highest dividend: £245.60 (2014) – Lowest dividend: £16.40 (2013)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

2 winners—Donald McCain (9/1 & 3/1) – 2 runners declared: Derintother Yank (2.35) & Inniscastle Lad (4.15)

 

FFOS LAS (Four year study – meeting abandoned in 2015):

28 races – 8 winning favourites – 24/28 winners scored at a top price of 8/1

Average Placepot dividend: £2,784.23

Highest dividend: £8,763.20 (2017) – Lowest dividend: £318.20 (2016)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

4 winners—Rebecca Curtis (4/1, 7/2, 2/1* & 11/10*) – 2 runners declared: Sunset Showdown (2.45)  & Mystical Knight (5.00)

 

FOOTBALL SECTION – ALL TODAY’S UK LIVE MATCHES (ORDER OF KO) – BEST PRICES

SWANSEA V TOTTENHAM (12.15 – BT SPORT)

15/2–Swansea (BetVictor)

7/2—Draw (Hills/BetVictor)

1/2—Tottenham (Betfred/Boyle)

Half time betting:

13/2—Swansea (BetVictor)

27/20—Draw (Marathon)

11/10—Tottenham (Ladbrokes)

FULHAM V QPR (12.30 – SKY SPORTS)

4/7–Fulham (Betfair & Betway)

37/10—Draw (Marathon)

21/4—QPR (BetVictor)

Half time betting:

10/9—Fulham (188)

8/5—Draw (365/Marathon)

9/2—QPR (Ladbrokes)

LIVERPOOL V WATFORD (5.30 – BY SPORT)

1/5–Liverpool (Hills/Marathon/Betfred)

15/2—Draw (Betfred)

16/1—Watford (Generally available)

Half time betting:

4/7—Liverpool (Ladbrokes/Coral)

11/5—Draw (365)

11/1—Watford (BetVictor)

BOLTON V ASTON VILLA (5.30 – SKY SPORTS)

4/1–Bolton (Generally available)

27/10—Draw (Marathon)

5/6—Villa (Generally available)

Half time betting:

9/2—Bolton (365/Hills/Marathon/Betbright)

11/10—Draw (365)

14/9—Villa (188)

MANCHESTER UNITED V BRIGHTON (7.45 – BY SPORT)

1/3–United (Skybet/365/Hils/ Betfred/Betway)

9/2—Draw (365/Betfred/BetVictor)

12/1—Brighton (BetVictor)

Half time betting:

5/6—United (Ladbrokes)

31/20—Draw (Marathon)

17/2—Brighton (Marathon)

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