Nov 18

Mal Boyle Stats – Saturday 18th

SATURDAY’S FACTS & FIGURES – STARTING WITH THE BET VICTOR GOLD CUP (2.25):

Stats of represented trainers who have won the race before:

3/25–Nigel Twiston Davies – Little Josh (2010), Imperial Commander (2008) & Tipping Tim (1992) – 2 runners in the race this year: Foxtail Hill & Splash Of Ginge

2/34–Paul Nicholls – Card De Berlais (2014) & Al Ferof (2012) – 2 runners: Le Prezien & Romain De Senam

1/12–Venetia Williams – The Outback Way (1999) – 1 runner: Plaisir D’Amour

1/15–David Pipe – Great Endeavour (2011) – 1 runner: Starchitect

1/29–Nicky Henderson – Fondmort (2003) – 2 runners: Theinval & Days Of Heaven

Seven-year-olds have won eight of the last fourteen renewals, whilst 11/14 have carried a maximum weight of 11-2.  Only one favourite has obliged during the last eleven years, though 16 of the last 19 winners have scored at a top price of 12/1.

Others races on Saturday’s Cheltenham card:

12.40: Four of the last six races have been won by market leaders, whilst another was sent off as the 15/8 second favourite.  Four renewals have slipped by since Paul Nicholls secured a hat trick in the race with Far West in 2012.

1.15: Six-year-olds have secured six of the last eight contests.  7 of the last 17 renewals have been won by market leaders whilst 14 gold medallists during that time scored at a top price of just 4/1.

1.50: Seven-year-olds have won five of the last six renewals, whilst eight of the last ten have carried a top weight of 10-13.

3.00: Six races have slipped by since the last favourite obliged, whilst three winners during the period scored at 20/1 (twice) & 14/1.  Six-year-olds have the best ‘recent’ record having recorded seven victories in the last fifteen years.  14/last 15 gold medallists carried a maximum burden of 10-13.

3.30: 19 renewals to date in which five and six-years have (equally) shared 18 victories!  Only two favourites have prevailed during the last twelve years, with seven gold medallists having won at prices ranging between 12/1 & 40/1.

4.00: Five-year-olds have won the last three of five renewals in total, with just one market leader having scored to date.  Two winners have scored at 28/1 & 14/1 thus far.

SATURDAY STAT ATTACK (Five year study period unless stated)

CHELTENHAM (Six year stats – Stats include one dead heat result):

40 races – 8 winning favourites – 34/40 winners scored at a top price of 12/1

Average Placepot dividend: £2,014.90

Highest dividend: £8,525.60 (2015) – Lowest dividend: £25.70 (2014)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

8 winners—Paul Nicholls (ranging in price between 6/4* & & 16/1) – 7 runner today: Black Corton (1.15), Vicente (1.55), Le Prezien & Romain De Senam (2.35), Coup De Pinceau & Connetable (3.30) & Posh Trish (4.00)

5 winners—Philip Hobbs (20/1, 7/1, 15/8*, 13/8* & 5/4*) – 3 runners today:

Gumball (12.40), Three Faces West (1.50) & Pineapple Rush (4.00)

5 winners—David Pipe (8/1, 7/1, 9/2, 11/4 & 11/8*) – 3 runners today:

Starchitect (2.25), Dell’ Arca (3.00) & Poker Play (3.30)

Trainers of more than one winner in any relevant year:

2016—Paul Nicholls (23/1 double)

2015—Philip Hobbs (22/1 double)

2014—Paul Nicholls (92/1 double) & David Pipe (12/1 double)

2013—Fergal O’Brien (376/1 double) – 2 runners today at Cheltenham

2012—Paul Nicholls (24/1 double) & David Pipe (29/1 double)

2011—Paul Nicholls (86/1 double)

UTTOXETER:

35 races – 18 winning favourites – 31/35 winners scored at a top price of 17/2

Average Placepot dividend: £277.38

Highest dividend: £728.10 (2016) – Lowest dividend: £13.10 (2014)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

3 winners—Fergal O’Brien (9/2, 6/4* & 1/2* – all within the last four years) – 2 runners today: Jennys Surprise (2.00) & Mount Batur (3.40)

Trainers of more than one winner in any relevant year:

2016—Evan Williams (59/1 double) – 1 runner at Uttoxeter today

2015—Warren Greatrex (9/2 double) – 3 runners at the track today

2014—Neil King (19/2 double) – No runners today

2012—Donald McCain (9/2 double) – 3 runners at Uttoxetertoday

WETHERBY:

35 races – 14 winning favourites – 33/35 winners scored at a top price of 8/1

Average Placepot dividend: £99.08

Highest dividend: £229.40 (2016) – Lowest dividend: £13.40 (2013)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

4 winners—Sue Smith (5.2**, 15/8*, 11/8* & 4/7*) – 2 runners today:

Red Danaher (2.15) & Wolf Sword (3.20)

Trainers of more than one winner in any relevant year:

2013—Sue Smith (19/2 treble)

2012—Maurice Barnes (24/1 double) – One 66/1 chance at Wetherby

LINGFIELD:

39 races – 17 winning favourites – 35/39 winners scored at a top price of 8/1

Average Placepot dividend: £280.16

Highest dividend: £1,156.10 (2013) – Lowest dividend: £8.80 (2014)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

Only one trainer has managed to saddled three winners (Saeed Bin Suroor), though he is not represented at the track today.  Out of interest, Saeed has declared one runner tonight at Wolverhampton, namely Autumn Snow (7.15)

Trainers of more than one winner in any relevant year:

2015—Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1 double) – No runners today

2014—Julia Feilden (114/1 double) – No runners today

WOLVERHAMPTON:

40 races – 21 winning favourites – 33/40 winners scored at a top price of 12/1

Average Placepot dividend: £331.40

Highest dividend: £975.00 (2013) – Lowest dividend: £27.70 (2012)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

3 winners—Marco Botti (210/1, 14/1 & Evens*) – 1 runner tonight:

Houlton (6.45)

3 winners—John Gosden (2/1*, 5/6* & 1/2*) – 2 runners in the 6.45 event:

River Of Gold & Corelli

Trainers of more than one winner in any relevant year:

2016—Jonathan Portman (14/1 double) – No runners tonight

2014—John Gosden (7/4 double)

2013—David O’Meara (203/1 double) – 3 runners tonight

MORNING MARKET ASSESSMENT (at 8.15):

CHELTENHAM:

12.40: Gumball – 5/6 (Betbright)

1.15: Ballyoptic – 11/8 (Betfred/Tote)

2.25: Kylemore Lough – 13/2 (365)

3.00: Anteros – 10/1 (still available with 6 firms)

3.30: Mischievous Max – 16/1 (Betfair & PP)

4.00: Holding Pattern – 11/1 (Betfair & PP)

UTTOXETER: 

2.35: Mozo – 9/2 (PP)

3.05: Druids Diamond – 10/1 (PP)

3.40: Head Hunter – 9/1 (365 & Ladbrokes)

WETHERBY: 

1.05: Whatduhavetoget – 6/4 (Betfred/Tote)

2.15: Sharney Sike – 7/1 (Stan James & BetVictor)

2.50: Modulus – 11/1 (PP & BetVictor)

LINGFIELD: 

1.55: Gaudi – 7/4 (Betfred/Tote)

2.10: Sacred Act – 10/3 (365)

3.45: The Gay Cavalier – 9/1 (Betfair/PP/SJ)

WOLVERHAMPTON:

6.45: King Tut – 12/1 (Betfair & PP)

7.45: Sooda – 6/1 (Skybet)

8.45: Annie Salts – 6/1 (Ladbrokes)

9.15: Chamagne Pink – 6/1 (PP)

Be lucky of course but as always – Be aware!

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