Mar 24

Mal Boyle Stats – Saturday 24th

Friday’s school report:

Eight fabulous MMA winners on Friday (7/1, 6/1, 5/1, 9/2, 9/2, 9/2 , 3/1 & 9/4)  – hoping that the form continues apace throughout the entire weekend guys! ONLY JUST NOTICED THAT SHOULD HAVE BEEN 9 WINNERS YESTERDAY AS A LATE 8/1 WINNER CAME IN THE SHAPE OF BIRD FOR LIFE (8.45 KEMPTON)!

 

Repeating the message posted at 16.00 on Friday:

WEEKEND CHANGES:

Saturday’s work includes everything for Saturday, Sunday and Monday – I am away for the weekend following this week’s stressful medical experience and will be back in full situ on Tuesday.

SATURDAY’S WORK will be as offered as usual – but SUNDAY’S and MONDAY’S will be in limited format.

I will offer as much as I can realistically but for obvious reasons, there will by no MMA and much reduced in form trainer services.

All three days are listed in date order as you scroll down the page. Thanks for your patience and understanding.  Thankfully, Friday turned out to be a wonderful day, whereby I’m hoping that the winnings will last you until my return on Tuesday.

As always, I wish you the very best for the weekend and into the start of next week.  

Be lucky but as ever – be aware!

 

SATURDAY MARCH 24:

DEAD OF NIGHT Morning Market Assessment (at 5.00 am)

 

DONCASTER:

2.25: Kynren – 8/1 (Generally available)

3.00: Another Touch – 11/1 (Betfair/PP/BetVictor)

3.35: Two for the Lincoln Handicap: Dark Red – 22/1 (Betfair/PP) & Not So Sleepy – 66/1 (Betfair/PP)

4.10: Geography Teacher – 20/1 (Ladbrokes/Betfeir)

4.45: Argentello – 11/2 (Ladbrokes)

Additional Doncaster entries at 8.30:

1.50: Two horses to consider: Lanelot Du Luc – 3/1 (Betway) & Ice Age – 11/1 (365/Betvictor)

5.20: Bombero – 12/1 (365)

5.50: Two horses to consider: Stormingin – 4/1 (Generally available) & Tagur – 9/1 (PP/Boyle/betVictor)

 

NEWBURY:

2.05: Wotzizname – 9/2 (Hills)

2.40: Ulysses – 10/1 (Generally available)

3.15: Lady Of Lamanver – 11/1 (Betfair/PP/BetVictor)

5.00: Endless Flight – 16/1 (Generally available)

5.35: Exmoor Mist – 9/1 (Generally available)

Additional Newbury entries at 8.30:

NONE

 

BANGOR:

2.15: Same Circus – 13/2 (Skybet)

2.50: Hijran – 10/1 (Betfair/PP/BetVictor)

3.25: Carnspindle – 9/2 (Generally available)

5.10: My Lady Grey – 5/1 (365)

Additional Uttoxeter entry at 8.30:

1.40: Steps And Stairs – 9/2 (Betfred/Tote)

 

LINGFIELD (A/W):

2.00: Branscombe – 6/1 (PP)

3.10: My Target – 3/1 (Marathon/Betfair/PP/BetVictor)

4.20: Swift Fox – 7/1 (PP)

4.55: Attain – 4/1 (Ledbrokes/Marathon)

Additional Lingfield entries at 8.30:

NONE

 

WOLVERHAMPTON:

5.45: Bouclier – 14/1 (Sportpesa)

6.15: Global Art – 10/3 (365/BetVictor)

7.15: Gorse – 8/1 (PP)

8.15: Pushkin Museum – 8/1 (PP/Betbright)

9.15: Legalized – 7/1 (Skybet/Ladbrokes/Marathon)

Additional Wolverhampton entry at 8.30:

7.45: Sandra’s Secret – 16/1 (PP)

 

SATURDAY IN FORM TRAINERS INCLUDE (Requirement: Minimum 33% strike rate and/or a really good level stake profit:

7/11—Tom Lacey (+16) – 2 at Newbury: Thomas Patrick (2.05) & Dorking Cock (5.00)

7/13—Charlie Appleby (+20) – 2 today: Night Castle (2.23 Lingfield) & Jazirat (6.45 Wolverhampton)

6/13—Colin Tizzard (+48) – 2 at Bangor: Unsafe Conduct (2.50) & My Lady Grey (5.10)

4/12—David Barron (+7) – 4 runners: Kynren (2.25 Doncaster), Bob Maxwell (5.20 Doncaster), Liquid (7.45 Wolverhampton) & Semanta (8.45 Wolverhampton)

4/12—Charlie Longsdon (+2) – 3 chances: Coologue (2.05 Newbury), Jet Set (3.15 Newbury) & Overworkdunderpaid (3.25 Bangor)

3/4—Kim Bailey (+5) – 2 at Bangor: Rosmuc Relay (3.25) & Cloone Lady (4.35)

3/4–Michael Herrington (+14) – 2 at Wolverhampton: Kamra (7.45) & Dazeekha (8.45)

3/5—Paul Nicholls (+8) – 1 at Newbury: If You Say Run (3.15)

3/5—Lucy Wadham (+27) – 1 at Newbury: Shanroe Sands (2.05)

3/6—Stuart Edmunds (+10) – 1 at Newbury: Kalochi (3.15)

3/7—Alistair Ralph (+9) – 2 at Bangor: Comber 2.50) & Seymour Star (3.25)

3/7—Michael Scudamore (+6) – 1 at Bangor: Grace Tara (2.15)

3/8—Ruth Carr (18) – 2 at Wolverhampton: Ruby Cherub (6.15) & Liberatum (7.45)

3/8—Stuart Williams (5) – 1 at Lingfield: Jan’s Joy (4.20)

Last two runners have won—David Simcock (+8) – 2 chances: Intern (3.00 Doncaster) & Ascot Day (3.45 Lingfield)

2/5—John Butler ( +4) – 2 at Lingfield: Windsor Beach (3.10) & Haveoneyerself (4.20)

2/3—Donald McCain (+6) – 7 at Bangor: San Pietro (1.40), Same Circus (2.15), Good Tradition & Hit And Run (2.50), Ofcourseiwill & Waterlord (4.00) & Knockrobin (4.35)

2/3—Hughie Morrison (+10) – 1 at Doncaster: Not So Sleepy (3.35)

2/3—Jamie Snowdon (+9) – 2 at Newbury: Lostinfound & Kalahari Queen (3.15)

2/4—Roger Charlton – 1 at Lingfield: King Tut (2.35)

+ 2/5—Richard Fahey (+9) – 10 runners on Saturday – 8 at Doncaster & 2 at Wolverhampton

41 runners in race order via the in-form trainer list:

1.40: San Pietro

2.05: Thomas Patrick, Shanroe Sands & Coologue

2.15: Same Circus & Grace Tara

2.25: Kynren

2.35: King Tut & Night Castle

2.50: Good Tradition, Comber Mill, Unsafe Conduct & Hit And Run

3.00: Intern

3.10: Windsor Beach

3.15: Kalochi, Lostinfound, Jet Set, If You Say Run & Kalahari Queen

3.25: Overworkdunderpaid, Rosmuc Relay & Seymour Star

3.35: Not So Sleepy

3.45: Ascot Day

4.00: Ofcourseiwill & Waterlord

4.20: Jan’s Joy & Haveobeyerself

4.35: Knockrobin, Cloone Lady

5.00: Dorking Cock

5.10: My Lady Grey

5.20: Bob Maxwell

6.15: Ruby Cherub

6.45: Jazirat

7.45: Liquid, Kamra & Liberatum

8.45: Semanta Santa & Dazeekha

 

LINCOLN HANDICAP STATS AND FACTS (SEVEN YEAR STUDY PERIOD) + RICHARD FAHEY COMMENT:

Vintage stats (148 runners):

4YO: 2 – 6 – 22 (2 winners – 6 placed – 22 unplaced = 30 representatives) – 26.7%  in the frame

5YO: 2 – 4 – 37 (43) – 13.9% secured Placepot positions

6YO: 3 – 5 – 29 (37) – 21.6% secured each way returns

7YO: 0 – 3 – 21 (24) – 12.5% finished in the frame

Older horses: 0 – 3 – 11 (14) – 21.4% finished in the first four

Weight stats:

Horses carrying nine stones of more: 6 winners – 13 placed – 62 unplaced (81) – 23.4% of runners finished in the frame

Horses carrying 8-13 or less: 1 winner – 8 placed – 58 unplaced (67) – 13.4% of runners secured Placepot positions

Effect of the draw:

Horses drawn in the lowest five stalls: 2 winners – 5 placed – 28 unplaced (35) – 20% of runners finished in the frame

Horses drawn in ‘middle ground’: 3 winners – 9 placed – 66 unplaced (78) – 15.4% of runners secured Placepot positions

Horses drawn in the highest numbers: 2 winners – 10 placed – 23 unplaced (35) – 34.3% of runners finished in the frame

At the entire Lincoln Day meeting during the last seven years – Richard Fahey heads the trainer leader-board having saddled six winners at 25/1, 12/1 10/1, 6/1 11/2 & 7/2.  Richard Fahey had a couple of days off before Saturday at Doncaster where the trainer held 24 options at the penultimate stage – now down to eight declared runners!

 

UNIQUE ‘BROCKLESBY’ STATS FROM LAST YEAR:

22 runners contested the two divisions of the famous two-year-old event last year.  They ran in 139 subsequent races between them, revealing the following results:

9 winners – 35 placed – 95 unplaced – where else can you glean this information – if you want it of course?!!!

 

SATURDAY STAT ATTACK (Five year study period unless stated):

DONCASTER (Seven year study):

Average Placepot dividend: £3,831.14

Highest dividend: £19,426.50 (2011) – Lowest dividend: £71.11 (2014)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

6 winners—Richard Fahey (25/1, 12/1, 10/1, 6/1, 11/2 & 7/2) – 8 runners: Mr Lupton (1.50), Dark Devil (2.25), Another Touch (3.00), Stamp Hill, Withernsea & Gabrial (3.35). Wasntexpectingthat (4.10) & Golconda Prince (5.50)

 

NEWBURY:

35 races – 15 winning favourites – 34/35 winners scored at a top price of 10/1

Average Placepot dividend: £57.76

Highest dividend: £200.80 (2017) – Lowest dividend: £10.30 (2012)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

4 winners—Paul Nicholls (7/1, 5/1, 9/2* & 7/2) – 2 runners: If You Say Run (3.15) & Samtegal (3.50)

 

BANGOR:

Average Placepot dividend: £200.10

Highest dividend: £492.00 (2016) – Lowest dividend: £68.40 (2015)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

6 winners—Donald McCain (7/1, 11/2, 5/1, 10/3, 10/11* & 1/7*) – 7 runners: San Pietro (1.40), Same Circus (2.15), Good Tradition & Hit And Run (2.50), Ofcourseiwill & Waterlord (4.00) & Kockrobin (4.35)

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SUNDAY MARCH 25

SUNDAY STAT ATTACK (Six year study period unless stated):

DONCASTER:

Leading represented trainers:

Average Placepot dividend: £448.68

Highest dividend: £2,002.40 (2014) – Lowest dividend: £51.40 (2016)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

6 winners—Richard Fahey (14/1, 17/2, 8/1, 7/1, 7/1 & 4/1**) – 9 runners on Sunday: Right Action, Heaven’s Guest, Right Touch & Khelman (2.25), Brisk Tempo (3.00), Paddy Power & Private Matter (3.35), Cadeau Magnafique (4.45) & Ventura Dragon (5.20)

 

ASCOT:

Average Placepot dividend: £446.88

Highest dividend: £1,558.20 (2013) – Lowest dividend: £132.00 (2017)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

5 winners—Paul Nicholls (13/8*, 13/8*, 15/8, 11/4 & 3/1) – 3 runners on Sunday at Ascot: Malaya (2.35), Adrien Du Pont (3.10) & Diego Du Charmil (3.45)

 

In form trainers who did not have runners on Saturday:

5/13—Phil Kirby (+4) – 7 runners: Fingals Cave (2.25 Doncaster), Shine Baby Shine (2.35 Ascot), Archippos (4.45 Doncaster), Top Ville Ben (4.55 Ascot), Allmyown (5.10 Carlisle), Rayna’s World (5.30 Doncaster) & Pullman Brown (5.55 Doncaster)

3/8—Donald Whillans (+20) – 1 at Carlisle: Big Bad Dream (5.45)

3/9—Vic Thompson (+35) – 1 at Carlisle: Pc Dixon (2.15)

2/4—Emma Lavelle (+4) – 1 at Ascot: Fox Appeal (4.20)

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MONDAY MARCH 26:

 

MONDAY STAT ATTACK (Four year study period):

MARKET RASEN:

28 races – 8 winning favourites – All 28 winners scored at a top price of 11/1

Average Placepot dividend: £147.65

Highest dividend: £216.40 (2014) – Lowest dividend: £74.50 (2017)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

3 winners—Nicky Henderson (5/1, 5/1 & 5/4) – Although Nicky has no intended runners at this venue, it’s interesting to note that Nicky has four entries at Huntingdon and one at Taunton at the time of writing

On the positive side, Dan Skelton looks as though he means business at Market Rasen as he held seven entries at the track for Monday at the time of writing

Unfortunately, the meetings at Huntingdon and Taunton on Monday only have one year of history which have failed to offer any clues

 

Trainers who have been in form of late with potential runners on Monday – who were not represented on Saturday and Sunday , i.e. they did not require updated figures for this diluted service:

5/13—Evan Williams (+10)

4/6—Charlie Mann (+16)

2/6—Michael Blake (+27)

Be lucky as ever but as always – Be aware!

 

 

 

 

 

 

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