Nov 25

Mal Boyle Stats – Saturday 24th

SATURDAY’S IN FORM TRAINERS INCLUDE (Minimum of 25% strike rate required and/or exceptional current level stake profit):

13/31–Harry Fry (+14) – 2 at Haydock: Minella Awards (2.25) & Sir Ivan (3.35)

7/31–Jamie Osborne (+40) – 5 chances: Mr Large (11.45 Lingfield) + 4 at Wolverhampton: Mr Reckless (5.45), Voyager Blue (6.15), Vegas Boy (7.15) & Every Chance (8.15)

6/18–William Haggas (+7) – 1 at Lingfield: Labhay (2.00)

6/21–Hugo Palmer – 3 today: Gulliver (12.15 Lingfield), Thunderbolt Rocks (5.45 Wolverhampton) & Ad Libitum (6.15 Wolverhampton)

5/9–Stuart Edmunds (+8) – 2 today: Clondaw Native (12.00 Huntingdon) & Kingsley (3.50 Ascot)

5/13–Harry Whittington (+13) – 1 at Huntingdon: Bridge Of Cally (1.05)

4/7–Roger Varian (+10) includes three of his last four runners – 2 today: Dealer’s Choice (2.00 Lingfield) & Profound (6.15 Wolverhampton)

4/8–Fergal O’Brien (+21) – 2 at Haydock: Diamond Fort (1.50) & Chase The Spud (3.35)

4/9–Ivan Furtado (+13) – 1 at Wolverhampton: Zaeem (9.15)

4/9–Donald McCain (+14) – 3 chances: Waterlord (12.10 Haydock), Nefyn Bay (1.40 Huntingdon) & Chti Balko (1.50 Haydock)

4/11–Paul Nicholls (+3) – 7 today: Dynamite Dollars (12.10 Haydock), Clan Des Obeaux (1.15 Haydock), Frodon (2.05 Ascot), Silsol & Zarkandar (2.25 Haydock), San Benedeto (3.15 Ascot) & Dr Rhythm (3.50 Ascot)

4/14–Richard Hannon – 3 at Lingfield: Carp Kid (11.45), Drakefell (12.50) & Luduamf (2.35)

4/15–Ben Pauling (+18) – 4 chances: Delire D’Estruval (12.10 Haydock), Coeur Pensif (12.20 Ascot), Creep Des Bois (12.55 Ascot) & Nestor Park (3.50 Ascot)

3/7–Rae Guest (+12) – 1 at Wolverhampton: Berryessa (6.45)

3/8–Eric Alston (+8) – 2 at Wolverhampton: Lydiate Lady (6.45) & Niqnaaqpaadiwaaq (8.15)

3/8–Heather Main (+50) – 1 at Lingfield: C Note (12.15)

+ (I have to draw the line somewhere!)

12/42–Nicky Henderson – 12 runners today: 8 at Ascot – 3 at Huntingdon – 1 at Haydock

3/9–Nigel Twiston-Davies (+28) – 9 runners today: 5 at Haydock – 3 at Ascot – 1 at Huntingdon

40 horses in race order:

11.45: Mr Large & Carp Kid

12.00: Clondaw Native

12.10: Dynamite Dollars, Warterlord & Delire D’Estruval

12.15: Gulliver & C Note

12.20: Coeur Pensif

12.50: Drakefell

12.55: Creep Des Bois

1.05: Bridge Of Cally

1.15: Clan Des Obeaux

1.40: Nefyn Bay

1.50: Diamond Fort & Chti Balko

2.00: Labhay & Dealer’s Choice

2.05: Frodon

2.25: Minella Awards, Silsol & Zarkandar

2.35: Luduamf

3.15: San Benedeto

3.35: Sir Ivan & Chase The Spud

3.50: Dr Rhythm, Kingsley & Nestor Park

5.45: Mr Reckless & Thunderbolt Rocks

6.15: Voyager Blue, Profound & Ad Libitum

6.45: Berryessea & Lydiate Lady

7.15: Vegas Boy

8.15: Every Chance & Niqnaaqpaadiwaaq

9.15: Zaeem

SATURDAY’S STAT ATTACK (Five year stats unless indicated):

ASCOT:

35 races – 16 winning favourites – 33/35 winners scored at a top price of 10/1

Average Placepot dividend: £347.54

Highest dividend: £1,460.70 (2012) – Lowest dividend: £32.10 (2015)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

5 winners—Nicky Henderson (7/1, 4/1**, 158*, 8/11* & 8/15*) – 8 runner today: Take To Heart & Darius Des Bois (12.20), Lough Derg Farmer (12.55),Top Notch & Josses Hill (2.05), L’Ami Serge (2.40) & Wallace Spirit & Malachite (3.50)

HAYDOCK:

35 races – 10 winning favourites – All 35 winners scored at a top price of 14/1

Average Placepot dividend: £330.90

Highest dividend: £1,069.40 (2013) – Lowest dividend: £18.20 (2014)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

4 winners—Philip Hobbs (9/1, 9/2, 9/2 & 3/1) – 2 runners today: Verni (1.50) & Robbin’hannon (2.25)

HUNTINGDON:

35 races – 10 winning favourites – 33/35 winners scored at a top price of 11/1

Average Placepot dividend: £145.36

Highest dividend: £283.00 (2013) – Lowest dividend: £65.90 (2014)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

31 different trainers have saddled the 35 winners between them, with nobody scoring with three or more

The only trainer to possibly consider is Oliver Sherwood (one runner: Fort Smith 2.15) who secured a 28/1 double in 2015

LINGFIELD:

40 races – 14 winning favourites – 34/40 winners scored at a top price of 8/1

Average Placepot dividend: £132.12

Highest dividend: £288.60 (2016) – Lowest dividend: £41.90 (2013)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

No trainer has saddled more than two winners during the study period

WOLVERHAMPTON:

40 races – 19 winning favourites – 38/40 winners scored at a top price of 14/1

Average Placepot dividend: £303.84

Highest dividend: £967.90 (2014) – Lowest dividend: £9.30 (2016)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

5 winners—Jamie Osborne (3/1*, 2/1*, 7/4*, 7/4** & 11/8*) – 4 runners today: Mr Reckless (5.45), Voyager Blue (6.15). Vegas Boy (7.15) & Every Chance (8.15)

MORNING MARKET ASSESSMENT (at 8.00)

ASCOT: 

12.20: Count Meribel – 6/1 (Stan James)

12.55: Creep Des Bois – 12/1 (Stan James)

1.30: Midnight Glory – 15/2 (Stan James)

2.05: Top Notch – 3/1 (Boylesports)

2.40: Defi Du Seuil – 11/10 (Skybet)

3.50: Tea Time On Mars – 16/1  (Betfred/Tote)

HAYDOCK: 

12.10: Midnight Shadow – 6/1 (Stan James)

1.15: Vintage Clouds – 7/1 (Stan James)

3.35: Chase The Spud – 9/1 (Betbright & Stan James)

HUNTINGON: 

1.40: Nefyn Bay – 25/1 (Stan James)

2.50: Landscape – 8/1 (365)

LINGFIELD:

11.45: Bind Do Tiagro – 7/1 (Ladbrokes)

12.50: Zouch – 18/1 (Ladbrokes)

1.25: Pink Ribbon – 14/1 (Betfair)

LINGFIELD:

5.45: Dance Me – 6/1 (Ladbrokes)

6.15: Real Estate – 18/1 (Generally available)

6.45: Look Surprised – 11/1 ( Hills)

7.15: Arden Pearl – 16/1 (Generally available)

7.45: Singular Quest – 7/1 (Ladbrokes)

8.15: Black Dave (22/1 (Ladbrokes)

8.45: Unsuspected Girl – 33/1 (Betfair/PP)

9.15: Lanjano – 11/2 (365/Betfiar/PP)

Be lucky of course but as ever: Be aware!

 

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