Apr 28

Mal Boyle Stats – Saturday 28th

Friday’s school report:

Yesterday’s school report: “Must do better” – Student’s answer: “WILL do better”.

Results: 6 MMA WINNERS at 6/1 – 6/1 – 6/1 – 11/2 – 5/2 – 11/4 – Did better!

Let’s hope for more of the same with a busy schedule ahead of us today.

 

APPROXIMATE SATURDAY TIMELINE:

5.15: PUNCHESTOWN UPDATE – DONE

6.00: ‘DEAD OF NIGHT’ MMA SERVICE – DONE

7.15: MAL’S SANDOWN ANALYSIS (via free link from my Twitter page) – DONE

8.15: IN FORM TRAINERS – DONE

8.30: MMA UPDATES & ADDITIONS IF/WHERE RELEVANT – DONE WITH 10 ADDITIONS

9.00: SATURDAY STAT ATTACKS – ALL SIX ‘HOME’ MEETINGS! – DONE

9.15: FLAT VENUES TODAY – RELEVANT STATS THIS SEASON – DONE

9.30: FOOTBALL SERVICE – DONE

9.45: PREVIEW OF SUNDAY ASSESSMENT (WORLD CUP ARTICLE) – DONE

 

SATURDAY:

DEAD OF NIGHT Morning Market Assessment (at 6.00 am) – these prices will be updated at 8.30 with additions if/where relevant.

 

SANDOWN:

3.35: Rathlin Rose – 20/1 (Betfair/PP)

4.40: Silverhow – 9/1 (Generally available)

5.15: Two to consider: Lough Derg Spirit – 11-1 (888) & Landin – 33/1 (Betfair/PP.BetVictor)

Additional Sandown entry at 8.30:

1.50: Oistrakh Le Noir – 16/1 (Generally available)

 

DONCASTER:

NONE AS YET

Only Doncaster entry at 8.30:

Singing Sheriff – 16/1 (Hills)

 

LEICESTER:

2.15: Maries Diamond – 6/1 (PP)

Additional Leicester entries at 8.30:

2.45: Via Via – 22/1 (Ladbrokes)

4.30: Mekong – 7/1 (365/Hills)

 

HAYDOCK:

1.30: Proschena – 6/4 (Skybet)

2.40: Four White Socks – 8/1 (Generally available)

3.15: Man Of Verve – 12/1 (Skybet/Ladbrokes)

4.15: Two to consider: Fire Brigade – 11/2 (888) & Kings Gift – 12/1 (Ladbrokes/Hills/Coral)

4.50: Stonfonic – 9/1 (365/Hills/Marathon/Betwat/BetVictor)

Additional Haydock entries at 8.30:

2.05: Burnt Sugar – 14/1 (365)

3.45: Admiral Spice – 11/2 (Ladbrokes)

 

RIPON:

3.30: Mirsaale – 16/1 (Nills/Marathon/Berfair/PP)

4.00: Sofias Rock – 11/2 (Ladbrokes)

Additional Ripon entry at 8.30:

4.35: Salazah – 7/2 (Betfair/PP/Coral)

 

WOLVERHAMPTON:

6.00: Captain Swift – 8/1 (Skybet/Ladbrokes)

6.30: Robensian – 6/1 (PP)

7.30: Arab Moon – 13/2 (Betfair/PP/BetBright)

Additional Wolverhampton entries at 8.30:

5.25: Tigerwolf – 8/1 (BetBright)

8.30: Final Attack – 12/1 (Generally available)

 

PUNCHESTOWN:

2.35: Ballyboker Bridge – 14/1 (Betfair/PP)

3.10: Wicked Willie – 11/1 (Skybet/Unibet)

6.10: Born To Be Wild – 20/1 (Ladbrokes/888)

Additional Punchestown entry at 8.30:

4.25: Saglawy – 13/2 (365/Sjybet)

 

IN FORM TRAINERS INCLUDE:

24/51—Charlie Appleby (+36) – 2 at Wolverhampton: White Desert (7.00) & Hamanda (7.30)

20/51—John Gosden (+25) – 3 chances: Tiffin Top (4.30 Leicester) + 2 at Wolverhampton: Glencadam Glory (7.00) & West Wing (8.00)

16/32—Tom Lacey (+50) – 2 at Sandown: Equus Amadeus (1.50) & Jester Jet (5.15)

14/52—Micky Hammond (+45) – 2 at Ripon: Le Maitre Chat & Big Thunder (3.30)

9/31—Ralph Beckett (+28) – 2 today: Moonrise Lsnding (3.30 Ripon) & Podemos (4.30 Leicester)

8/22—Tony Carroll (+35) – 1 at Wiolverhampton): Marinho (5.25)

6/16—Richard Hannon (+19) – 6 runners: Point Hope (2.40 Haydock), Sherzy Boy (3.45 Haydock), Maypole (3.55 Leicester), Stormer & Ateem (6.15 Doncaster) & Haylah (8.15 Doncaster)

4/6—Peter Bowen (+9) – 1 at Sandown: Minella Daddy (3.35)

4/10—Harry Fry (+6) – 2 today: Fletchers Flyer (5.00 Punchestown) & Dashing Oscar (5.15 Sandown)

4/10—Chris Gordon (+17) – Highway One O One (1.50 Sandown)

4/11—Nigel Twiston-Davies (+3) – 6 at Sandown: Ballymoy (1.50), Wicked Willy (3.10), Blaklion, Benbens & Big Bad John (3.35) & Wholestone (4.05)

3/5—Eric Alston (+28) – 1 at Haydock: Maghfoor (4.50)

3/6—Philip Hobbs (+4) – 5 at Sandown: Show On The Road (1.50), Rock The Kasbah (3.35), War Sound (4.40) & Wait For Me & Ballotin (5.15)

Last two runners have won—Sir Michael Stoute (+15) – 4 today – 3 at Leicester: Beachwalk (3.55) & Baritone & Mekong (4.30) + Frontispiece (6.45 Doncaster)

2/3—Richard Hobson (+12) – 2 at Sandown: Going Gold (1.50) & Ramonex (4.40)

2/4—Declan Carroll (+18) – 1 at Doncaster: World Order (5.45)

2/4—Michael Herrington (+11) – 1 at Wolverhampton: Kamra (5.25)

42 runners – listed in race order:

1.50: Show On The Road, Aquus Amadeus, Going Gold, Ballymoy & Highway One O One

2.40: Point Hope

3.10: Wicked Wiilly

3.30: Le Maitre Chat, Moonrise Landing & Big Thunder

3.35: Rock The Kasbah, Blaklion, Benbens, Big Bad John & Minella Daddy

3.45: Sherzy Boy

3.55: Beachwalk & Maypole

4.05: Wholestone

4.30: Tiffin Top, Baritone, Podemos & Mekong

4.40: War Sound & Ramonex

4.50: Maghfoor

5.00: Fletchers Flyer

5.15: Ballotin, Jester Jet, Dashing Oscar & Wait For Me

5.25: Madrinho & Kamra

5.45: World Order

6.15: Stormer & Ateem

6.45: Frontispiece

7.00: Glencadam Glory & White Desert

7.30: Hamandar

8.00: West Wing

8.15: Haylah

 

SATURDAY’S STAT ATTACKS (FIVE YEAR STUDY PERIOD UNLESS STATED)

SANDOWN:

32 races – 12 winning favourites – 29/32 winners scored at a top price of 14/1

Average Placepot dividend: £180.02

Highest dividend: £463.10 (2014) – Lowest dividend: £24.00 (2016)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

7 winners—Nicky Henderson (Prices ranging between 10/1 & 3/10*) – 10 runners: Grapevine & Burrows Edge (1.50), Top Notch & O O Seven (2.25), Altior (3.00), Sugar Baron (3.35), Call Me Lord (4.05) & Stowaway Magic, Soul Emotion & Lough Derg Spirit (5.15)

6 winners—Philip Hobbs (Prices ranging between 9/1 & 9/4) – 5 runners: Show On The Road (1.50), Rock The Kasbah (3.35), War Sound (4.40) & Wait For Me & Ballotin (5.15)

 

DONCASTER:

35 races – 12 winning favourites – 32/35 winners scored at a top price of 11/1

Average Placepot dividend: £220.54

Highest dividend: £595.60 (2015) – Lowest dividend: £30.50 (2013)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

4 winners—Sir Michael Stoute (11/1, 2/1*, Evens* & 5/6*) – 1 runner: Frontispice (6.45)

3 winners—David O’Meara (14/1, 9/2 & 5/2**) – 4 runners: Wonderfillo (5.10), Tawddeea (6.45) & Lucifugous & Conversant (8.15)

 

HAYDOCK:

36 races – 13 winning favourites – 32/36 winners scored at a top price of 12/1

Average Placepot dividend: £520.22

Highest dividend: £1,045.20 (2017) – Lowest dividend: £118.90 (2016)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

5 winners—Karl Burke (16/1, 11/1, 7/1, 5/2 & 5/2) – 4 chances: Unwritten (1.30), Mjjack (2.05), Broken Force (3.45) & Copper baked (4.50)

 

LEICESTER:

36 races – 17 winning favourites – 33/36 winners scored at a top price of 11/1

Average Placepot dividend: £101.02

Highest dividend: £247.30 (2016) – Lowest dividend: £11.00 (2017)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

4 winners—Hugo Palmer (11/4*, 9/4*, 5/6* & 1/3* – includes doubles in each of the last two years) – 3 today: Barend Boy (2.15), Gulliver (2.45) & New Orleans (3.55)

 

RIPON:

35 races – 11 winning favourites – 32/35 winners scored at a top price of 12/1

Average Placepot dividend: £176.64

Highest dividend: £504.70 (2016) – Lowest dividend: £38.20 (2017)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

4 winners—David ‘Meara (17/2, 6/1, 5/1 & 3/1) – 6 runners: Hurricane Five (1.45), Mon Beau Rivage (2.20), Al Qahwa (2.55), Grandee (4.00) & Areen Faisal & Billy Dillon (5.05)

 

WOLVERHAMPTON (FOUR YEAR STUDY):

28 races – 14 winning favourites – 26/28 winners scored at a top price of 10/1

Average Placepot dividend: £18.90

Highest dividend: £38.10 (2015) – Lowest dividend: £11.30 (2017)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

3 winners—Roger Varian (11/2, 11/4* & 13/8) – 2 runners: Kawasir & Player’s Luck (8.00)

 

STATS FOR THE TWO FLAT (TURF) VENUES THIS SEASON WITH ‘HISTORY’:

DONCASTER: 

24 races – 7 winning favourites – 23/24 winners scored at a top price of 12/1

Leading trainers this season:

3/19–Richard Fahey (8/1, 8/1 & 7/1) – 4 runners today: Andok (6.45), Normandy Blue (7.15), Lady In Question (7.45) & Danehill Desert (8.15)

2/8–Declan Carroll (12/1 & 6/1) – 1 runner: World Order (5.45)

RIPON:

8 races – 2 winning favourites – 4/8 winners scored at a top price of 4/1, though the other gold medallists were returned at 25/1 – 25/1 – 22/1 – 20/1.  The winning trainers of the outsiders (respectively) were Ruth Carr, Mark Walford, Eric Alston & Marjorie Fife

 

PUNCHESTOWN OVERVIEW – FROM LAST YEAR’S VIEWPOINT – UPDATED!

UK trainers who saddled winners during the five day Festival:

3 winners—Colin Tizzard (14/1, 4/1 & 5/2)

2 winners—Harry Fry (4/1 & 7/1** = 39/1 double on the Thursday)

1 winner—Neil Mulholland (8/1)

Leading Irish Trainers:

9 winners—Willie Mullins (20/1, 12/1, 10/1, 8/1, 7/1, 11/4, 2/1*, 13/8* & 9/10* – includes a 536/1 treble on the Friday) – 14 WINNERS THIS WEEK: 25/1 – 12/1 – 12/1 – 12/1 – 9/1 – 11/2 – 11/2 – 9/2  – 4/1 – 11/4 – 11/4* – 7/4* – 5/4* – 2/5*

5 winners—Gordon Elliott (25/1, 14/1, 7/1, 11/8* & Evens*) – 4 WINNERS THIS WEEK 16/1 – 16/1 – 6/1* – 5/1

5 winners—Mrs John Harrington (11/1, 8/1, 5/1, 11/4* & 9/10*) – 2 WINNERS THIS WEEK: 7/1 & 6/1

What will happen today (Saturday)?

 

FOOTBALL SERVICE:

Given all the racing today and the lack of competitive televised Premier League matches on television, this Italian Serie A fixture is possible the game on which to focus tonight when nearly all of the runners at the various meetings have entertained us!

INTER MILAN V JUVENTUS – LIVE ON BT SPORT – 7.45 KO

191/100–Inter (Marathon)

57/25–Draw  (Marathon)

9/5–Juventus (BetVictor)

Half time betting: 

13/5–Inter Milan (Ladbrokes/Coral/188)

21/20–Draw (Sunbets)

13/5–Juventus (Betfair)

Half time/Full time odds: 

4/1–Inter/Inter (Coral/Betfred/BetVictor)

16/1–ter/Draw (188/BetVictor)

40/1–Inter/Juventus (Ladbrokes/Coral/Black Type/188)

29/5–Draw/Inter (Marathon)

19/5–Draw/Draw (Marathon)

28/5–Draw/Juventus)

40/1–Juventus/Inter (Ladbrokes/Coral/Black Type/188)

16/1–Juventus Draw (188/BetVictor)

4/1–Juventus/Juventus (Betfair/PP)

 

SUNDAY ASSESSMENT – FIRST REAL LOOK AT THE WORLD CUP WHICH STARTS ON JUNE 14TH

My published book for the 2006 World Cup offered 10 bets – seven of which won and during my daily updates and pre-tournament findings, I will offer a comprehensive service which is fully inclusive with the subscription.

Tomorrow I will list the reasons why the bookmakers should be ashamed of offering just 18/1 (top price) about England alongside a few snippets, just to whet your appetite.

Which teams have best/worst penalty shoot out records since the tournament began as well as recent ‘group stage’ records which is the obvious place to start – it’s all included in tomorrow’s first look at the ‘greatest show on earth’ – even in Russia!

Be lucky of course but as always – be aware

 

 

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