Dec 09

Mal Boyle Stats – Saturday 9th

SATURDAY’S COURSE STATS FOR THE LAST FIVE YEARS (UNLESS STATED):

AINTREE:

35 races – 14 winning favourites – 31/35 winners scored at a top price of 14/1

Average Placepot dividend: £342.54

Highest dividend: £637.90 (2016) – Lowest dividend: £153.90 (2012)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

7 winners—Nigel Twiston-Davies (14/1, 9/2, 7/2*, 3/1, 3/1, 15/8* & 6/4*) – 4 runners today: Ballyhill (12.25), Blacklion (1.30), Flying Angel (2.35), Arctic Gold (3.10)

 

SANDOWN (21 of the last 35 winners at this ‘Tingle Creek meeting have been saddled by just three trainers: Nicky Henderson (11), Paul Nicholls (6) and Gary Moore (4): 

35 races – 11 winning favourites – All 35 winners scored at a top price of 14/1

Average Placepot dividend: £443.54

Highest dividend: £1,939.70 (2014) – Lowest dividend: £47.30 (2012)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

11 winners—Nicky Henderson (Winners ranging between 2/7* & 14/1) – 5 runners today: Whatswrongwithyou (12.05), Beat That (1.10), Brain Power (1.45), Jenkins (2.20) & Sugar Baron (3.30) – Seven of Nicky’s eleven winners were returned as favourites – Nicky secured a 50/1 four-timer in 2012 followed by a 149/1 treble two years later – 6/1 double last year

 

CHEPSTOW (12 of the last 35 winners have been saddled by the two highlighted trainers below – and all at a top price of 6/1):

35 races – 15 winning favourites – 31/35 winners scored at a top price of 17/2

Average Placepot dividend: £90.86

Highest dividend: £240.50 (2012) – Lowest dividend: £30.10 (2015)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

7 winners—Philip Hobbs (Winners ranging between 8/11* & 6/1***) – 3 runner today: Mance Rayder (1.00), Ice Cool Champs (1.35) & Longtown (3.20) – Five of Philip’s seven winners were returned as favourites – Philip secured a 244/1 treble at the meeting twelve months ago

5 winners—Rebecca Curtis (Winners ranging between 4/6* & 10/3) – 2 runners today: Natter Jack Croak (12.30) & Kit Casey (1.35) – Three of Rebecca’s five winners were returned as favourites

 

WETHERBY (Sue Smith has saddled doubles (89/1, 31/1 & 7/1) in three of the last five years at the corresponding meeting): 

35 races – 10 winning favourites – 30/35 winners scored at a top price of 10/1

Average Placepot dividend: £1,436.58

Highest dividend: £5,369.60 (2012) – Lowest dividend: £57.40 (2016)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

7 winners— (Winners ranging between 6/4* & 9/1) – 1 runner today: Le Drapeau (11.45) – Three of Sue’s seven winners were returned as favourites

Only the four NH racecourses have been covered today in terms of relevant stats

 

MARKET MOVE ASSESSMENT (as at 8.20)

AINTREE: 

12.25: Barrys Jack – 13/2 (Hills)

12.55: Black Ivory – 9/4 (Betbright)

3.10: Mystifiable – 12/1 (Betfair/PP)

CHEPSTOW:

12.30: Benechencko – 11/4 (365/Betfair/PP)

2.10: Aengus – 10/1 (365)

2.45: Ballycross – 9/1 (Marathon)

3.20: Longtown – 5/1 (Ladbrokes/Marathon)

SANDOWN: 

12.40: Secret Door – 5/1 (Betfair/PP)

3.10: Connetable – 7/1 (Betbright)

3.30: Fletchers Flyer – 15/2 (365/Hills)

WETHERBY: 

12.45: Pop Rockstar – 9/2 (365/Skybet/Hills)

1.20: Crank Em Up – 20/1 (Ladbrokes/Hills/Coral)

1.55: Blue Husaar – 4/1 (Hills/Betbright)

WOLVERHAMPTON:

5.45: Rapid Ranger – 9/2 (365/BetVictor)

6.15: Idol Deputy – 40/1 (Betfair/PP)

6.45: Mr Reckless – 7/1 (Ladbrokes/Betfair/PP)

7.15: Bill Kody – 33/1 (Ladbrokes/Betfair/PP)

7.45: Never Back Down – 13/2 (Betfair)

9.15: Soghan – 3/1 (Ladbrokes)

Be lucky as ever was the case of course but also – Be aware!

 

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