Nov 19

Mal Boyle Stats – Sunday 19th

Just for starters, here are the ‘recent’ figures relating to Cheltenham’s November meeting:

Leading trainers during the last six years + 2 days (Minimum of 10 winners):

19 winners—Paul Nicholls

18 winners—David Pipe

14 winners—Philip Hobbs

11 winners—Nicky Henderson

Leading trainers since 1990 (Minimum of 20 winners):

43 winners—Paul Nicholls

32 winners—Philip Hobbs

29 winners—Nicky Henderson

28 winners—Nigel Twiston-Davies

21 winners—David Pipe

Race by race starts for you to digest: 

1.15: Five-year-olds have won five of the last nine renewals.  Favourites have secured five of the last eleven contests during which time, eight winners have scored at a top price of 7/1.  That said, the previous five winners between 2001/2005 scored at 50/1, 33/1, 33/1, 20/1, 20/1 – so don’t take too much for granted!  Harry Fry has saddled the last two winners and with David Pipe on the missing list (David had saddled three of the previous four gold medallists), Harry will fancy his chances of landing the hat trick.

1.50: Vintage figures since 1990: Six-year-olds: 11 wins – five-year-olds: 8 wins, other vintages: 8 wins.  Favourites have won 12 of the last 19 renewals during the which time, 17 winners scored at a top price of 7/2.

2.25: Eight year history: Favourites have won three renewals during which time, seven gold medallists were returned at 4/1 or less.  David Pipe saddled the first winner (Well Chief) in 2009 and his only runner on the card today (Vaniteux) contests this event.  Nine-year-olds have won three of the last six renewals – no entries this year.

3.00: Five-year-olds have won thirteen of the last twenty seven runnings.  Ten renewals have slipped by since the last favourite scored though that said, eighteen of the last nineteen winners scored at a top price of 12/1.

3.30: Nicky Henderson has won with each of his last two runners in the race. Favourites have won four of the last seven contests during which time, the biggest priced winner was returned at 3/1.  Five-year-old have won 13/23 contests to date.

4.00: Always an interest race to weigh up, the closing event to the three day fixture has been won by the likes of Best Mate, Back In Front, Rhinestone Cowbow and Rock On Ruby since 1999 (the second renewal). 18 renewals thus far – Four-year-olds: 10 wins and four each for five and six-year-olds.  Five winning favourites to report, whilst 14/18 winners scored in single price figures.

SUNDAY STAT ATTACK

CHELTENHAM: 

36 races – 13 winning favourites – 32/36 winners scored at a top price of 12/1

Average Placepot dividend: £150.10

Highest dividend: £440.00 (2016) – Lowest dividend: £19.70 (2011)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

6 winners—Paul Nicholls (12/1, 12/1, 9/4*, 2/1, 5/6* & 8/11*) – 1 runner today: Old Guard (3.00)

6 winners—David Pipe (40/1, 12/1, 7/2*, 7/2**, 9/4 & 6/4) – 1 runner today: Vaniteux (2.25)

5 winners—Nicky Henderson (4/1, 3/1, 2/1*, 15/8* & 11/10*) – 3 runners today: River Wylde (1.50), HJenkins (3.00) & Dame De Compagnie (3.30)

5 winners—Philip Hobbs (10/1, 7/2, 4/5*, 8/11* & 8/15*) – 2 runners today: Ozzie The Oscar (1.50) & Crooks Peak (4.00)

Trainers of more than one winner in any relevant year:

2015—Nicky Henderson (15/2 double)

2014—Philip Hobbs (48/1 double)

2013—David Pipe (5,995/1 four-timer)

2011—Paul Nicholls (41/1 double)

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35 races – 16 winning favourites – 33/35 winners scored at a top price of 12/1

Average Placepot dividend: £212.20

Highest dividend: £491.50 (2012) – Lowest dividend: £53.20 (2014)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

4 winners—Colin Tizzard (8/1, 9/2, 13/8* & 10/11*) – 3 runners today: Quiz Master (12.20), Fergal Mael Duin (2.05) & Minella Web (3.50)

3 winners—Gary Moore (12/1, 5/2 & 5/4*) – 5 runners today: Cheque En Blanc (12.20), Thounder (12.55), Coolking (2.05), Clayton (2.40) & Knightly Pleasure (3.15)

3 winners—Paul Nicholls (12/1, 7/2 & 11/4) – 1 runner today: Coillte Lass (1.30)

Trainers of more than one winner in any relevant year:

2016—Paul Nicholls (218/1 treble)

2015—Colin Tizzard (16/1 double)

2014—Colin Tizzard (13/1 double)

2013—Neil Mulholland (11/1 double) – 2 runners today: Ballyantics (12.20) & Wait (1.30)

MORNING MARKET ASSESSMENT (as at 7.50 this morning)

CHELTENHAM: 

3.00: The New One – 16/1 (Unibet)

3.30: Bedrock – 16/1 (Stan James)

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12.20: Quiz Master – 13/2 (Betfred/Tote)

1.30: Private Malone – 8/1 (Stan James)

3.50: Arquebusier – 14/1 (Betfred/Tote)

Be lucky of course though as ever – Be aware!

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