Apr 22

Mal Boyle Stats – Sunday 22nd

Saturday’s school report:

WINNERS AT 10/1 – 9/1 – 8/1 – 15/2 – 7/1 on Saturday on the MMA front + seconds at 25/1 (SP: 6/1) – 12/1 (9/2) – 11/1 (13/2) – 9/1 (13/2) – 13/2 (4/1) + 4th in the Scottish National at 12/1 – Not a bad day!

APPROXIMMATE SUNDAY TIMELINE:        

6.00: ‘DEAD OF NIGHT’ MMA SERVICE – DONE

6.15: IN FORM TRAINERS – DONE

7.00: MAL’S WINCANTON ANALYSIS (via free link from my Twitter page) – DONE

8.00: SUNDAY STAT ATTACKS – DONE

8.30: MMA UPDATES & ADDITIONS IF/WHERE RELEVANT – DONE

8.45: FOOTBALL SERVICE – DONE

9.15 SUNDAY FEATURE – 3YO HANDICAPS – WHERE TO LOOK FOR WINNERS – DONE

·        POINT OF ORDER – LOW STAKES ADVISED TODAY

SUNDAY:

DEAD OF NIGHT Morning Market Assessment (at 6.00 am) – these prices will be updated at 8.30 with additions if/where relevant.

MARKET RASEN:

2.25: Out Of Style – 7/1 (PP)

3.00: Rouergate – 10/1 (Skybet/Marathon/Betfair/PP)

4.35: The Grinder – 6/1 (365)

5.05: Mr Shantu – 9/1 (Marathon)

5.40: Rockery Garden – 15/2 (Unibet)

Additional Market Rasen entry at 8.30:

3.30: San Pietro – 4/1 (365/Unibet/Betway/BetVictor)

STRATFORD:

2.00: Call Me Vic – 14/1 (Betfair/PP)

4.10: High Noon – 11/1 (365)

Additional Stratford entries at 8.30:

NONE

 

WINCANTON:

2.50: Little Miss Poet – 11/2 (Subets/PP/Boyle/BetVictor)

3.20: Buster Thomas – 5/1 (365)

Additional Wincanton entry at 8.30:

6.00: Darlac – 25/1 (Hills)

IN FORM TRAINERS INCLUDE:

8/21 (in the NH sector)—Laura Mongan (+26) – 2 at Market Rasen: Ted’s Borther (2.25) & Haasab (4.00)

IN FORM TRAINERS INCLUDE:

6/12—Tony Carroll (+37) – 1 at Market Rasen: Kingston (3.30)

5/12-Chris Gordon (+16) – 2 chances: Ballycoe (2.50 Wincanton) & Fizzlestix (3.10 Stratford)

3/6—Vic Dartbnall (+9) – 1 at Wincanton: Shutscombe Hill (6.00)

2/3—Richard Phillips (+9) – 1 at Stratford: Minella Whisper (3.10 Stratford)

2/4—Laura Morgan (+4) – 2 at Market Rasen: Ted’s Brother (2.25) & Haasab (4.00)

2/4—Kayley Woollacott (+14) – 1 at Wincanton: Clondaw Answer (6.00)

8 runners listed race by race:

2.25: Ted’s Brother

2.50: Ballycoe

3.10: Minella Whisper & Fizzlestix

3.30: Kingston

4.00: Haasab

6.00: Clondaw Answer & Shutscombe Hill

SUNDAY STAT ATTACK (FIVE YEAR STUDY PERIOD UNLESS STATED):

STRATFORD:

35 races – 13 winning favourites – 32/35 winners scored at a top price of 12/1

Average Placepot dividend: £152.20

Highest dividend: £405.20 (2015) – Lowest dividend: £33.40 (2017)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

4 winners—Dan Skelton (7/1, 2/1*, 10/11* & 4/6*) – 4 runners today: Savello, Zamparelli (2.35), The Last Bar (3.10) & Marley Firth (4.10)

WINCANTON:

38 races – 17 winning favourites – 36/38 winners scored at a top price of 10/1

Average Placepot dividend: £1,024.72

Highest dividend: £4,930.20 (2015) – Lowest dividend: £20.30 (2016)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

11 winners— Paul Nicholls (Priced ranging between 11/4 & 1/14* – includes 10 winning favourites) – 8 runners today: Blu Cavalier & Swelf Control (2.15), Garo De Juilley (2.50), The Last But One (3.20), Volpone Jelois (3.50), Diamond Guy (4.25), Zyon (5.30) & Saint De Reve (6.00)

 

THREE-YEAR-OLD HANDICAPS – BEST TRAINER STATS IN 2017:

36/155—William Haggas – 23.2% strike rate

29/133—Roger Varian – 21.8

28/111—Sir Mark Prescott – 25.2

28/135—Michael Dods – 20.7

25/91—Saeed Bin Suroor – 27.5

10/47—Henry Candy – 21.3

10/48—Paul Cole – 20.8

10/49—Chris Wall – 20.4

6/20—Malcolm Saunders – 30.0

6/20—James Tate – 30.0

7/22—Owen Burrows – 31.8

7/23—George Scott – 30.4

5/12—John Berry – 41.7

5/17—Michael Attwater – 29.4

Only trainers with a minimum 20.0 strike rate were included in this list – average strike rate = 26.7 – the exact percentage of odds of 11/4.  If we take it as read that these are the best figures, the example implores you not to back any horse at 5/2 or less in three-year-old handicaps!

 

FOOTBALL SERVICE – TODAY’S SEMI FINAL & OUTRIGHT FA CUP ODDS:

CHELSEA V SOUTHAMPTON – LIVE ON BT SPORT – 3.00 KICK OFF – BEST PRICES

1/2—Chelsea (365/Hills/Betway/Betfred)

18/5—Draw (Marathon)

7/1—Southampton (BetVictor)

Half time betting:

21/20—Chelsea (Ladbrokes/Coral/Bet Type/188)

11/8—Draw (Skybet)

63/10—Southampton (Marathon)

Half time/Full time odds:

5/4—Chelsea/Chelsea (Ladbrokes/Coral)

21/1—Chelsea/Draw (BetVictor)

80/1—Chelsea/Southampton (Marathon)

18/5—Draw/Chelsea (Marathon)

67/10—Draw/Draw (Marathon)

35/2—Draw-Southampton (Marathon)

25/1—Southampton/Chelsea (Skybet/Hills/188/BetVictor)

22/1—Southampton/Draw (BetVictor)

25/2—Southampton/Southampton (Marathon)

TO WIN THE FA CUP (OUTRIGHT):

8/11—Manchester United (Generally available)

13/8—Chelsea (Betway)

20/1—Southampton (Unibet/188)

2 comments

  1. Hi Ive recently joined just a couple of questions im logged in as a temp login will that continue to also I’ve paid up to December what happens when this runs out will i have the option to continue or if I don’t want to continue do I have to do anything to cancel it thanks Jason

  2. I have sent an e-mail to your address

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