Apr 12

Mal Boyle Stats – Thursday 12th

Wednesday’s school report:

A late WINNER AT 12/1 (returned at 13/2) made it a good day following the earlier success of a 16/1 WINNER for us.

Three seconds on the day at 16/1 (returned at 13/2), 12/1 (SP: 11/2) & 9/2 (SP: 5/2) left us feeling that good was close to being great!

My in form trainer service continued in hot form too!

10/1 winner for Ian Williams (now 6/16 – +24) with his only runner – 16/1 double for John Gosden via his only two raiders – 8/1 winner for Tony Carroll = new ratio of 4/5 (+27) – Eve Johnson Houghton now 3/6 (+11) via her 13/2 gold medallist.

You knew/know where to come – Just in time for Aintree too!

APPROXIMATE THURSDAY TIMELINE:

5.00: ‘DEAD OF NIGHT’ MMA SERVICE – DONE

7.00: MAL’S AINTREE ANALYSIS (via the free link from my Twitter page) – DONE

7.45: IN FORM TRAINERS – DONE

8.00: MMA UPDATES & ADDITIONS IF/WHERE RELEVANT – DONE WITH 1 ADDITION

8.15: AINTREE STATS AND FACTS FOR THE RELEVANTDAY/MEETING – DONE

8.30: TAUNTON STAT ATTACK – DONE

8.45: FOOTBALL SERVICE – DONE

THURSDAY:

DEAD OF NIGHT Morning Market Assessment (at 5.00 am) – these prices will be updated at 8.00 with additions if/where relevant.

AINTREE (EACH WAY TYPES AT LIVERPOOL TODAY):

1.45: Finian’s Oscar – 9/2 (Hills/ Unibet)

2.20: Beau Gosse – 18/1 (Betfair/PP/BetVictor)

2.50: Clan Des Obeaux – 14/1 (365)

3.25: Cyrus Darius – 16/1 (365/Ladbrokes/Coral/Boyle)

4.05: Wells De Lune – 14/1 (Unibet)

4.40: Doitforthevillage – 10/1 (Generally)

5.15: Buildmeupbuttercup – 25/1 (Skybet,Betfair/PP/Unibet/888/BetVictor)

Additional Aintree entries at 8.00:

NONE

 

TAUNTON:

2.10: Oologist – 11/1 (Hills)

3.15: Roberts Star – 5/2 (Betfair)

3.55: Smoking Dixie – 11/2 (Ladbrokes/Betfair/PP/Boyle/BetVictor)

4.30: Night Of Sin – 13/2 (Betfair)

5.05: Manhattan Mead – 20/1 (Hills)

5.35: Miss Rocher – 33/1 (PP)

Additional Taunton entries at 8.00:

NONE

 

SOUTHWELL (LOW STAKES AT THIS VENUE TODAY – MAYBE MIXED DOUBLES?):

1.55: Amity Island – 13/2 (BetBright)

2.30: Stealth – 5/2 (365/Ladbrokes/BetVictor)

3.00: Pearl Acclaim – 10/1 (Generally available)

3.35: Scofflaw – 15/2 (Marathon)

4.15: Kingstreet Lady – 5/1 (Generally available)

4.50: Sunhill Lad – 4/1 (Generally avaliable)

5.25: Gaelic Wizard – 11/1 (Ladbrokes/Betfair/Sunbets/PP)

Additional Southwell entries at 8.00:

NONE

 

CHELMSFORD:

7.45: Taverner – 11/1 (Skybet)

8.15: Red Stripes – 17/2 (365/BetVictor)

8.45: Bethjeman – 5/1 (Betfair/BetBright)

Additional Chelmsford entries at 8.00:

6.15: Nibras Again – 9/1 (Ladbrokes/Marathon)

 

IN FORM TRAINERS INCLUDE:

12/21—Tom Lacey (+29) – 1 at Aintree: Meep Meep (5.15)

7/14—Venetia Williams (+34) – 1 at Taunton: Luckime (3.15)

6/19—Kevin Ryan (+13) – 1 at Chelmsford: Commander Han (6.45)

6/16—Ian Williams (+24) – 1 at Taunton: Fire Ahead (2.10)

5/10—John Gosden (+4) – 1 at Southwell: Stealth (2.30)

5/16—Michael Herrington (+11) – 1 at Southwell: Kommander Kirkup (3.35)

4/11—Saeed Bin Suroor (+8) – 1 at Southwell: Victory Wave (2.30)

4/11—Charlie Wallis (+11) – 5 runners: 2 at Southwell: La Fortuna (4.15) & Favorite Story (5.25) & 3 at Chelmsford: Time To Reason (6.15), Zac Brown (7.45) & Fareeq (8.15)

3/5—Alan Bailey (+9) – 1 at Chelmsford: Strictly Carter (8.15)

3/5—David O’Meara (+4) – 1 at Chelmsford: Anything Today (7.15)

3/9—Kerry Lee (+8) – 1 at Aintree: Gino Trail (4.40)

2/3—David Pipe (+23) – 1 at Aintree: Kings Socks (4.40)

2/4—Warren Greatrex (+5) – 1 at Taunton: Dicosimo (4.30)

+ 11/28—Paul Nicholls (+7) – 10 runners today: 8 at Aintree & 2 at Taunton

17 runners – listed in race order:

2.10: Fire Ahead

2.30: Victory Wave & Stealth

3.15: Luckime

3.35: Kommander Kirkup

4.15: La Fortuna

4.30: Dicosimo

4.40: Gino Trail & Kings Socks

5.15: Meep Meep

5.25: Favorite Story

6.15: Time To Reason

6.45: Commander Han

7.15: Anything Today

7.45: Zac Brown

8.15: Strictly Carter & Fareeq

 

AINTREE STATS – THURSDAY APRIL 12 – 2018

Leading trainers at the Grand National meeting during the last seven years:

26 winners—Nicky Henderson – 7 runners today

14 winners—Paul Nicholls – 8 runners today

Seven year favourite stats and odds on ratios:

147 races – 144 favourites – 41 winners

Odds on ratio: 16/18

 

Six year trends relating to the Thursday of the Aintree Festival:

Leading trainer:

8 winners—Paul Nicholls (16/1, 11/2, 9/2**, 9/4, 7/4*, 4/6*, 4/6* & 2/9*) – 8 runners today

Trainers who achieved doubles on the opening day of the meeting during the last seven years:

2016—Willie Mullins (9/2 double)

2015—Gordon Elliott (47/1)

2012—Paul Nicholls (11/2)

2011—Paul Nicholls (7/4)

Average (Thursday) Placepot dividend (2011 – 2017 inclusive): £770.00

44 favourites in Placepot races – 16 winners – 12 placed – 16 unplaced

Highest dividend: £3,890.30 – 7 favourites – 1 winner – 2 placed – 4 unplaced in 2013

Lowest dividend: £13.30 – 6 favourites – 3 winners – 2 placed – 1 unplaced in 2016

 

THURSDAY STAT ATTACK – TAUNTON (Five year study period):

37 races – 12 winning favourites – 35/37 winners scored at a top price of 12/1

Average Placepot dividend: £312.38

Highest dividend: £1,189.60 (2017) – Lowest dividend: £43.90 (2013)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

5 winners—Paul Nicholls (9/4**, 6/4, 6/4*, 1/4* & 1/6*) – 2 runners today:

Blu Cavalier (2.40) & Risk And Roll (4.30)

 

FOOTBALL SERVICE – THURSDAY

CHAMPIONS LEAGUE – OUTRIGHT PRICES:

13/8–Real Madrid (Betfred)

2/1–Bayern Munich (Unibet/888/BetVictor)

17/5–Liverpool (Unibet/888)

12/1–Roma (BetVictor)

THURSDAY’S TELEVISED EUROPA LEAGUE MATCH (8.05 KO)

5/2–CSKA Moscow (365/Betfair/Betfred/Boyle)

29/10–Draw (365)

33/25–Arsenal (Marathon)

Half time betting:

14/5–CSKA (Ladbrokes/Coral)

7/5–Draw (Betfair/Sunbets/PP)

37/20–Arsenal (BetStars)

Half time/Full time odds:

5/1–CSKA/CSKA (365/Betfair/Betfred/Boyle)

16/1–CSKA/Draw (365)

25/1–CSKA/Arsenal (Skybet/188/BetVictor)

15/2–Draw/CSKA (Betfair/Sunbets/Betfred)

13/2–Draw/Draw (Marathon)

26/5–Draw/Arsenal (Marathon)

35/1–Arsenal/CSKA (188)

15/1–Arsenal/Draw (BetVictor)

14/5–Arsenal/Arsenal (BetStars)

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