Dec 21

Mal Boyle stats – Thursday 21st

THURSDAY’S IN FORM TRAINERS INCLUDE (25% strike required and/or exceptional level stake profit of late):

10/23–Nicky Henderson (+6) – 3 today: The Bottom Bar (12.25 Towcester), Casablanca Mix (1.05 Exeter) & Rather Be (1.55 Towcester)

6/18–Anthony Honeyball – 1 at Exeter: Drops Of Jupitor (12.35)

4/15–Colin Tizzard (+3) – 3 at Exeter: On Demand (1.05), The Cider Maker (1.35) & Rockpoint (2.40)

3/6–Martin Keighley (+9) – 2 at Towcester: Twentyoneblackjack (2.25) & Somewhere To Be (3.00)

3/6–Jamie Snowden (+6) – 1 at Exeter: Floral Bouquet (12.35)

3/7–Charlie Appleby (+5) – 3 chances: Fly At Dawn (4.50 Meydan), Comicas (5.25 Meydan) & Winds Of Fire (6.45 Chelmsford)

3/9–Emma Lavelle (+7) – 1 at Towcester: Frizzle (3.35)

14 horses in race order: 

12.25: The Bottom Bar

12.35: Drops Of Jupitor & Floral Bouquet

1.05: Casablanca Mix & On Demand

1.35: The Cider Maker

1.55: Rather Be

2.25: Twentyoneblackjack

2.40: Rockpoint

3.00: Somewhere To Be

3.35: Frizzle

4.50: Fly At Dawn

5.25: Comicas

6.45: Winds Of Fire

THURSDAY STATS ATTACK (based on a four year study period unless stated):

EXETER (Four year study period – meeting abandoned in 2012):

28 races – 11 winning favourites – All 28 winners scored at a top price of 12/1

Average Placepot dividend: £324.77

Highest dividend: £905.20 (2014) – Lowest dividend: £50.20 (2016)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

4 winners—Harry Fry (11/1, 13/2, 8/11* & 1/2*) – 1 runner today: Overtown Express (2.05)

TOWCESTER:

36 races – 15 winning favourites – 34/36 winners scored at a top price of 16/1

Average Placepot dividend: £155.52

Highest dividend: £307.10 (2014) – Lowest dividend: £19.20 (2012)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

4 winners—Alan King (All four were returned as favourites, ranging price between 7/4 & 10/11) – 1 runner today: Midnightreferendum (3.30)

3 winners—Ben Pauling (40/1, 5/2** & 5/2* – includes one winner at each of the last three meetings) – 1 runner today: Coeur Pensif (2.25)

MORNING MARKET ASSESSMENT (as at 8.10):

EXETER:

1.35: The Cider Maker – 13/2 (Ladbrokes/Betfair/Boylesports)

2.40: Night Of Sin – 13/2 (Generally available)

3.45: Back To Black – 14/1 (Generally available)

TOWCESTER: 

12.55: Heurtevent – 16/1 (Generally available)

3.35: Dino’s Benefit – 20/1 (Ladbrokes/Betfair/PP)

SOUTHWELL: 

11.45: Alton Bay – 17/2 (Marathon)

12.15: Satchville Flyer – 7/2 (Ladbrokes & Betbright)

12.45: Gunner Moyne – 10/1 (365 & Skybet)

1.45: Hard Graft – 12/1 (Stan James)

2.15: Lean On Pete – 6/1 (Stan James)

3.25: Coiste Bodhar – 9/1 (Hills/Betfred/Tote)

CHELMSFORD:

5.45: Pitch High – 12/1 (Betbright)

6.15: Artieshow – 9/2 (PP)

6.45: Fleeting Freedom – 17/2 (Ladbrokes)

7.15: Corked – 2/1 (Marathon)

7.45: Relevant – 10/1 (Marathon)

8.15: Aguerooo – 14/1 (Betfair/PP/Boylesports)

Be lucky as always but as ever – Be aware!

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