Mar 22

Mal Boyle Stats – Thursday 22nd

Wednesday’s school report:

MMA WINNERS AT 10/1 AND 13/2 kept the proverbial (pre-flat) wolf from the door yesterday when scoring at 6/1 and 3/1 respectively…

 

THURSDAY:

DEAD OF NIGHT Morning Market Assessment (at 5.30 am) – UPDATED AT 8.00 WITH THREE ADDITIONS

 

CHEPSTOW:

2.20: Ring Eye – 14/1 (Skybet/BetVictor)

4.00: For Carmel – 12/1 (365)

4.35: Fly Du Charmil – 2/1 (10Bet)

Additional entries at Chepstow at 8.00:

NONE

 

LUDLOW:

4.10: Just Cameron – 10/3 (10Bet)

5.15: Whatzdjazz – 9/1 (Ladbrokes/Coral.Boyle.Betway/BetVictor)

5.50: Rouge Vif – 13/2 (365/Sktbey/BetVictor)

Additional entries at Ludlow at 8.00:

NONE

 

WOLVERHAMPTON:

2.10: Newstead Abbey – 7/1 (Skybet/Marathon/10Bet/188/BetVictor)

3.15: What Usain – 9/1 (Betfair)

3.50: Jeremys Jet – 6/1 365/Skybet)

4.55: Picture Painter – 9/2 (PP/BetVictor)

6.00: Scribner Creek – 3/1 (Ladbrokes)

Additional entries at Wolverhampton at 8.00:

NONE

 

CHELMSFORD:

8.45: Jack The Truth – 5/2 (Ladbrokes/Betfair/PP/Coral)

Additional 3 Chelmsford entries at 8.00:

5.45: Mr Potter – 9/1 (10Bet)

7.15: Cainhoe Star (5/2 (365/Coral)

8.15: Clear Water – 11/2 (Betfair)

 

IN FORM TRAINERS INCLUDE (Requirement: Minimum 33% strike rate and/or exceptional level stake profit):

5/9—Tom Lacey (+9) – 2 chances: Flashing Glance (5.15 Ludlow) & Meep Meep (5.35 Chepstow)

4/7—Evan Williams (+13) – 6 runners today – 5 at Chepstow: Under The Woods (2.20), Kilcullen Bellamy (2.50), Chooseyourweapon (3.25), Firebrid Flyer (4.00) & Dark Invader (4.35) + 1 at Ludlow: Tornado In Milan (4.10)

3/4—Charlie Mann (+14) –  1 today: Oregon Gift (4.55 Wolverhampton)

3/5—Stuart Edmunds (+11) – 1 at Chepstow: Pine Warbler (4.00)

3/6—Michael Scudamore (+7) – 1 at Chepstow: Streets Of Promise (4.00)

3/7—Ruth Carr (+19) – 1 at Wolverhampton: Fuel Injection (2.10)

3/7—Colin Tizzard (+37) – 3 at Chepstow: Dino’s Benefit (2.50), Bears Rails (4.00) & Barcalona (5.35)

3/10—Venetia Williams (+80) – 2 today: Saroque (4.00 Chepstow) & Inheritance Thief (5.50 Ludlow)

Last two runners have won—Emma Lavelle (+7) – 1 at Chepstow: Via Vittoria (5.35)

Last two runners have won—Jamie Snowden (+10) – 1 at Ludlow: Dans Le Vent (3.35)

2/3—Michael Herrington (+11) – 1 at Wolverhampton: Newstead Abbey (2.10)

2/3—Matthew Salaman (+17) – 1 at Chelmsford: Locommotion (5.45)

2/4—Harry Fry (+3) – 2 at Ludlow: Space Oddity (4.10) & Opening Btsman (4.45)

2/5—Michael Blake (+28) – 1 at Chepstow: Iniesta (4.35)

2/5—Keith Dalgleish (+1) – 3 at Wolverhampton: New Abbey Angel (4.25), Picture Painter (4.55) & Play With Me (6.00)

2/5—Wearren Greatrex (+9) – 2 at Chepstow: Rambling Rector (3.25) & Fly Du Charmil (4.35)

29 runners in listed race order via the In form trainer service:

2.10: Fuel Injection & Newstead Abbey (2.10)

2.20: Under the Woods

2.50: Kilcullen Bellamy & Dino’s Benefit

3.25: Rambling Rector &Chooseyourweapon

3.35: Dans Le Vent

4.00: Pine Warbler, Streets Of Promise, Firebrid Flyer, Bears Rails & Saroque

4.10: Space Oddity & Tornado In Milan

4.25: New Angel Abbey

4.35: Iniesta, Dark Invader & Fly Du Charmil

4.45: Opening Batsman

4.55: Oregon Gift & Picture Painter

5.15: Flashing Glance

5.35: Meep Meep, Barcalona & Via Vittoria

5.45: Locommotion

5.50: Inheritance Thief

6.00: Play With Me

 

THURSDAY STAT ATTACK (Five year study period unless stated):

LUDLOW:

35 races – 16 winning favourites – 33/35 winners scored at a top price of 8/1

Average Placepot dividend: £44.38

Highest dividend: £103.60 (2016) – Lowest dividend: £19.90 (2017)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

3 winners—Dan Skelton (2/1*, 11/8* & 2/9*) – 2 runners today in the 5.15: Whatzdjazz & Bertimont

3 winners—Nigel Twiston-Davies (8/1, 10/11* & 5/6*) – 2 runners at Ludlow  today: Ballymellen & Topofthecotswolds

 

AHEAD OF THE GAME – LINCOLN HANDICAP STATS FOR SATURDAY – SEVEN YEAR STUDY PERIOD (BEFORE THE DECLARATIONS ARE MADE LATER THIS MORNING):

Vintage stats (148 runners):

4YO: 2 – 6 – 22 (2 winners – 6 placed – 22 unplaced = 30 representatives) – 26.7%  in the frame

5YO: 2 – 4 – 37 (43) – 13.9% secured Placepot positions

6YO: 3 – 5 – 29 (37) – 21.6% secured each way returns

7YO: 0 – 3 – 21 (24) – 12.5% finished in the frame

Older horses: 0 – 3 – 11 (14) – 21.4% finished in the first four

Weight stats:

Horses carrying nine stones of more: 6 winners – 13 placed – 62 unplaced (81) – 23.4% of runners finished in the frame

Horses carrying 8-13 or less: 1 winner – 8 placed – 58 unplaced (67) – 13.4% of runners secured Placepot positions

Effect of the draw:

Horses drawn in the lowest five stalls: 2 winners – 5 placed – 28 unplaced (35) – 20% of runners finished in the frame

Horses drawn in ‘middle ground’: 3 winners – 9 placed – 66 unplaced (78) – 15.4% of runners secured Placepot positions

Horses drawn in the highest numbers: 2 winners – 10 placed – 23 unplaced (35) – 34.3% of runners finished in the frame

At the entire Lincoln Day meeting during the last seven years – Richard Fahey heads the trainer leader-board having saddled six winners at 25/1, 12/1 10/1, 6/1 11/2 & 7/2.  It might be worth noting that Richard now has a couple of days off before Saturday at Doncaster where at the time of writing, the trainer held 24 options!

Be lucky of course but as always – Be aware!

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