Nov 23

Mal Boyle Stats – Thursday 23rd

THURSDAY’S IN FORM TRAINERS INCLUDE (Minimum of 25% strike rate required and/or exceptional current level stake profit):

12/40–Jeremy Noseda – 1 at Newcastle: Tranquil Star (2.55)

10/24–Harry Fry (+11) – 4 chances: Arctic Lass (1.40 Market Rasen), Drumcliff (2.00 Wincanton), As I See It (2.35 Wincanton) & Shall We Go Now (3.20 Market Rasen)

7/28–Jamie Osborne (+43) – 2 at Chelmsford in the 8.00 event: Golden Steps & Captain Bob

6/16–Colin Tizzard – 5 at Wincanton: Cotswold Road (12.20), Buckthorn Tomothy (12.50), Cucklington (1.25), Saffron Wells (2.00) & Storm Home (2.35)

5/10–Anthony Honeyball (+18) – 1 at Wincanton: Coeur Tantre (2.00)

5/11–Harry Whittington (+15) – 1 at Wincanton: Fue St Sage (12.50)

3/3–Lucinda Egerton (+35) – One 50/1 chance at Newcastle: Etaad (1.50)

3/5–James Ewart (+37) – One 150/1 chance at Newcastle: Leahcar (4.35)

3/5–Venetia Williams (+8) – 4 today – 3 at Wincanton: Dubawi Island (12.50), Drumviredy (1.25) & Ifandbut (2.35) + Inheritance Thief (3.20 Market Rasen)

3/6–Ivan Furtado (+16) – 1 at Chelmsford: Blacklooks (6.30)

3/6–Rae Guest (+13) – 1 at Chelmsford: Show Stealer (7.30)

3/7–Micky Hammond (+11) – 1 at Market Rasen: Russian Royale (2.45)

3/8–Tim Easterby (+9) – 2 today: Secret Melody (12.10 Market Rasen) & Assertainty (5.40 Newcastle)

3/8–Alan King (+6) – 2 chances: River Frost (1.10 Market Rasen) & Canelo (2.35 Wincanton)

3/9–Dan Skelton (+1) – 2 at Market Rasen: New Quay (12.10) & Applesandpierres (1.10)

29 horses in race order:

12.10: New Quay & Secret Melody

12.20: Cotswold Road

12.50: Buckthorn Timothy, Dubawi Island & Fue Et Sage

1.10: Applesandpierres & River Frost

1.25: Cucklington, Ifandbut & Drumviredy

1.40: Arctic Lass

1.50: Etaad

2.00: Drumcliff, Coeur Tantre & Saffrom Wells

2.35: As I See It, Canelo & Storm Home

2.45: Russian Royale

2.55: Tranquil Star

3.20: Shall We Go Now & Inheritance Thief

4.35: Leahcar

5.40: Assertainty

6.30: Blacklooks

7.30: Show Stealer

8.00: Golden Steps & Captain Bob

THURSDAY’S STAT ATTACK (Five year stats unless indicated):

MARKET RASEN:

34 races – 11 winning favourites – 29/34 winners scored at a top price of 10/1

Average Placepot dividend: £403.48

Highest dividend: £1,088.20 (2014) – Lowest dividend: £96.30 (2012)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

3 winners—Fergal O’Brien (14/1, 4/1 & 7/2) – 1 runner today: Benny’s Bridge (3.20)

WINCANTON:

34 races – 11 winning favourites – 33/34 winners scored at a top price of 12/1

Average Placepot dividend: £80.86

Highest dividend: £199.00 (2011) – Lowest dividend: £14.40 (2014)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

7 winners—Paul Nicholls (Prices ranging between 11/10* & 11/2) – 3 runners today: Volpone Jelois (12.50), Dreamcatching (2.00)  Captain Cattistock (2.35)

CHELMSFORD (Two meetings to date):

14 races – 4 winning favourites – 13/14 winners scored at a top price of 12/1 or 12/14 at 8/1 or less if you prefer

Average Placepot dividend: £245.75

Highest dividend: £261.50 (2016) – Lowest dividend: £230.00 (2015)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

2 winners—Mark Johnston (11/4* & 11/10*) – 1 runner today: Lucky Deal (7.00)

NEWCASTLE (One meeting to date):

8 races – 2 winning favourites – 6/8 winners scored at a top price of 10/1

Placepot dividend: £400.50

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

All eight winners to date were saddled by different trainers

20/1—Roger Fell

20/1—Garry Moss

10/1—Mick Easterby

10/1—David Thompson

11/2—Karen McLintock

9/2—Ruth Carr

7/4*–Saeed Bin Suroor

4/5*–Michael Dods

MORNING MARKET ASSESSMENT (at 8.15)

MARKET RASEN: 

12.10: Dans Le Vent – 8/11 (Skybet)

12.40: Undisputed – 7/1 (Betbright)

2.45: Russian Royale – 25/1 (Betfred/Tote)

WINCANTON: 

12.50: Springtown Lane – 3/1 (Betfred/Tote)

CHELMSFORD: 

5.55: Rock On Baileys – 4/1 (PP)

7.30: Steel Train – 14/1 (Ladbrokes & Coral)

8.00: Dream Start – 9/1 (Hills)

9.00: Rivers Of Asia – 12/1 (PP)

NEWCASTLE:

1.50: Life Knowledge – 16/1 (Ladbrokes)

2.20: Sir Chauvelin – 10/1 (Betfred/Tote)

4.05: Atletico – 9/2 (Ladbrokes & Stan James)

5.10: Illusional – 13/8 (Sportingbet)

Be lucky of course but as ever: Be aware!

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