Feb 13

Mal Boyle Stats – Tuesday 13th

Monday’s school report:

One 7/1 MMA winner to report from yesterday on what was a quiet day, though not as ‘timid’ as today!  I did make the point yesterday to be mindful of stakes, though there were good results on the Stat Attack front at Catterick via Sue Smith and (to a fashion) Donald McCain.

Although “timid” fayre today – take a look at the all the stats I could muster for Southwell below.  This was carried out slap bang in the ‘dead of night’ which I think deserves you ‘taking a gander’ at least,  for want of a better expression.  Either way, best of luck if you are playing.

 

TUESDAY:

DEAD OF NIGHT Morning Market Assessment (at 4.15 am) – PRICES UPDATED AT 8.00 WITH ONE ADDITION

SOUTHWELL (A/W):

4.30: Essential – 8/1 (PP) – is the main point of interest ‘early doors’ – NOW  6/1

5.00: Broadhaven Honey – 5/1 (Betfair) – secondary call at present – NOW 9/2

Speculative call – 3.25: Mixboy – 6/1 is generally on offer and that price might come under pressure when the offices open, though I’ll report back later with (hopefully) definite news one way or the other. THE POTENTIAL GAMBLE HAS NOT MATERIALISED AS YET (8.00)

Additional Southwell entry at 8.00:

2.55: Rock Of Leon – 9/1 (365/Ladbrokes/Hills/Betfred/Tote)

 

IN FORM TRAINERS INCLUDE (Requirement: Minimum 33% strike rate and/or exceptional level stake profit):

3/6—Henry Spiller (+28) – 1 at Southwell: Argante (2.55)

Last two runners have won—Derek Shaw (+4) – 1 at Southwell: Treaty Of Rome (4.00)

 

2 runners in race order via the in-form trainer list:

2.55: Argante

4.00: Treaty Of Rome

 

DETAILS OF EVERY RUNNER AT SOUTHWELL TODAY – RELATING TO COURSE STATS FOR HORSES AND TRAINER STATS AT SOUTHWELL FOR THIS SEASON (IN BRACKETS) AND FOR THE LAST FIVE YEARS – WHERE ELSE?

2.20:

Star Ascending – 3/14

Trainer – Jannie Candlish: (2/3 +2) – 4/16 +6

Akkadian Empire – 0/2

Trainer – Iain Jardine (1/9 – loss of 3) – 6/33 – loss of 3

French Mix – First run at Southwell

Trainer – Alex Dunn (0/2) – 0/6

Oceanus – First run at Southwell

Trainer – Julia Feilden (1/8 +1) – 11/90 – loss of 13

Ingleby Spring – 1/3

Trainer: Richard Fahey: (1/10 – loss of 6) – 30/166 – loss of 13

Di’s Gift – 0/1

Trainer – Michael Appleby: 6/44 (loss of 20) – 103/645 – loss of 164

American Craftsman – First run at Southwell

Trainer – Jedd O’Keeffe: (0/1) – 0/3

Velvet Voice – First run at Southwell

Trainer – Mark Tompkins (0/2) – 2/21 – loss of 7

Leonard Thomas – 0/2

Trainer – Rebecca Menzies: 0/4) – 2/19 – loss of 7

Picture Painter – First run at Southwell

Trainer – Keith Dalgleish: (2/9 – loss of 3) – 22/140 – loss of 16

Benissimo – 0/1

Trainer – Tony Forbes: (0/2) – 0/7

Monzino – 2/38

Trainer – Michael Chapman: (0/6) – 2/75 – loss of 56

Tilly Devine – 1/6

Trainer – Scott Dixon: (3/32 +8) – 45/466 +37

2.55:

Caged Lightning – 2/5

Trainer – Steve Gollings: (0/1) – 3/16 – loss of 3

Argante – First run at Southwell

Trainer – Henry Spiller: (First runner today) – 0/10

Lady Makfi – First run at Southwell

Trainer – Johnny Farrelly: (First runner today) – 0/4

Ruler of The Nile – 1/4

Trainer – Robert Stephens (First runner at Southwell on both counts)

Cousin Khee – 1/5

Trainer – Hughie Morrison (0/3) – 10/16 – loss of 16

Katy Gale – 3/11

Trainer – Robyn Brisland: (First runner today) – 0/1

Thankyou Very Much – 0/2

Trainer – James Bethell: (0/1) – 2/18 – loss of 11

The Lock Master – 9/48

Trainer – Michael Appleby: 6/44 (loss of 20) – 103/645 – loss of 164

Rock Of Leon – First run at Southwell

Trainer – Phil Kirby: (2/3 +4) – 8/51 – loss of 12

Rajapur – 0/1

Trainer – David Thompson (First runner today) – 0/13

Poppyinthepark – First run at Southwell

Trainer – Michael Mullineaux: (First runner today) – 4/49 +41

Can Can Dream – 0/3

Trainer – Olly Williams (1/12 +5) – 3/25 +4

3.25:

Mixboy – First run at Southwell

Trainer – Keith Dalgleish: 2/9 (loss of 3) – 22/140 – loss of 16

St Mary’s – First run at Southwell

Trainer – Andrew Balding: (1/6 – loss of 2) – 26/90 – slight loss

Swashbuckle – First run at Southwell

Trainer – Donald McCain: (First runner today) – 0/7

Vettori Rules – First run at Southwell

Trainer – Gay Kelleway: (1/2 +24) – 14/84 +37

Coeur De Lion – First run at Southwell

Trainer – Alan King (First runner today) – 0/2

Galileo’s Spear – 0/1

Trainer – Sir Mark Prescott: (0/2) – 5/28 – loss of 15

Serenity Now – 4/16

Trainer – Brian Elliosn: (1/4 – slight profit) – 18/119 – loss of 26

Epitaph – 1/7

Trainer – Michael Appleby: 6/44 (loss of 20) – 103/645 – loss of 164

4.00:

Mister Music – 1/1

Trainer – Tony Carroll: (1/8 +26) – 4/68 +12

Aguerooo – 1/4

Trainer – David C Griffiths (4/16 +3) – 11/89 – loss of 18

Sooqaan – 4/11

Trainer – Antony Brittain: (3/6 +10) – 4/36 – loss of 15

Angel Palanas – 2/4

Trainer – Karl Burke: (5/14 +35) – 25/109 +104

Treaty Of Rome – 3/12

Trainer – Derek Shaw: 2/14 – loss of 7) – 32/228 +50

Queens Royale – 3/4

Trainer – Michael Appleby: 6/44 (loss of 20) – 103/645 – loss of 164

Alpha Tauri – 11/71

Trainer – Charles Smith (0/16) – 9/134 – loss of 6

Zoravan – 1/4

Trainer – Keith Dalgleish: 2/9 (loss of 3) – 22/140 – loss of 16

Kommander Kirkup – 2/5

Trainer – Michael Herrington (0/7) – 5/40 +9

Monks Stand – First run at Southwell

Trainer – John Mackie: (1/1 +4) – 6/21 +7

Best Tamayuz – 4/25

Trainer – Scott Dixon: (3/32 +8) – 45/466 +37

Powerful Society – 1/2

Trainer – Tim Vaughan (0/1) – 0/8

4.30:

Volatile – First run at Southwell

Trainer – Jamie Osborne: (First runner today) – 5/65 – loss of 53

Essential – 1/2

Trainer – Olly Williams (1/12 +5) – 3/25 +4

Cold Fire – First run at Southwell

Trainer – Hughie Morrison (0/3) – 10/16 – loss of 16

Dutch Coed – First run at Southwell

Trainer –Nigel Tinkler: (First runner today) – 1/12 – loss of 4

Light Laughter – First run at Southwell

Trainer – Charlie Fellowes (1/2 – slight profit) – 2/9 +1 

5.00:

Crosse Fire – 7/34

Trainer – Scott Dixon: (3/32 +8) – 45/466 +37

Red Stripes – 1/9

Trainer – Lisa Williamson: (0/4) – 0/15

Broadhaven Honey – 1/2

Trainer – Ron Harris: (First runner today) – 6/61 +6

Archimedes – 2/9

Trainer – David C Griffiths (4/16 +3) – 11/89 – loss of 18

Santafiore – First run at Southwell

Trainer – Julie Camacho: (0/2) – 1/18 loss of 15

Tidal’s Baby – First run at Southwell

Trainer – Adrian Brendan Joyce: (First runner at Southwell on both counts)

Elegant Joan – 0/3

Trainer – David C Griffiths (4/16 +3) – 11/89 – loss of 18

 

A/W STAT REPORT – CARRYING ON WHERE I LEFT OFF YESTERDAY – THE SECOND BATCH OF TRAINERS WHICH WILL CARRY ON THROUGH FRIDAY GIVING YOU STATS OF 25 STABLES.

The listing of trainers is governed by the top trainers as listed in 2017 – there will be five trainers listed each day this week until Friday.

TRAINER – ROGER VARIAN:

Chelmsford: 16/86 – loss of 21 points

Kempton: 32/171 – loss of 28

Lingfield: 19/99 – loss of 15

Newcastle: 10/53 – loss of 23

Southwell: 3/11 – loss of 5

Wolves: 28/119 +4

TRAINER – WILLIAM HAGGAS:

Chelmsford: 29/104 – +9

Kempton: 27/135 – loss of 22

Lingfield: 36/131 +1

Newcastle: 2/10 – loss of 4

Southwell: 2/9 – loss of 1

Wolves: 24/99 – loss of 27

TRAINER – HUGO PALMER:

Chelmsford: 16/79 – +8

Kempton: 24/134 – +13

Lingfield: 11/66 – loss of 17

Newcastle: 14/62 – loss of 5

Southwell: 0/6

Wolves: 18/64 +18

TRAINER – CHARLIE APPLEBY:

Chelmsford: 17/83 – loss of 31

Kempton: 57/205 loss of 4

Lingfield: 47/150 +3

Newcastle: 6/15 +14

Southwell: 1/3 – loss of 1

Wolves: 53/161 – loss of 23

TRAINER – DAVID O’MEARA:

Chelmsford: 9/120 – loss of 68

Kempton: 6/56 +4

Lingfield: 10/78 – loss of 20

Newcastle: 17/180 – loss of 64

Southwell: 16/117 – loss of 21

Wolves: 39/367 – loss of 96

 

‘AHEAD OF THE GAME’:

WEDNESDAY:

TOWCESTER:

3.40: Five-year-olds lead the six-year-olds 4-3 via the last nine renewals.  Seven favourite have prevailed during the study period.

LINGFIELD:

2.20: Richard Fahey (Ventura Gold) has won the last two renewals when represented. 

3.20: Les Eyre (Queen Of Kalahari) is the only represented trainer who have landed this prize in recent times.  Six of the last seven winners have scored at a top price of 7/2, stats which include three successful market leaders.

4.20: Nine of the last ten winners have scored at a top price of 7/1 which include five successful favourites of one description or another.  Four-year-olds have won four of the last nine contests, whilst the last seven gold medallists carried a minimum weight of 9-2.

4.50: Five and six-year-olds have equally shared six of the last seven renewals.

Nine of the last ten winners have won at 7/1 or less, stats which include three winning favourites.

WOLVERHAMPTON:

5.45 & 6.15 (two divisions): Three-year-olds have won four of the five contests thus far, whilst the last three favourite have prevailed.

7.15: The last five gold medallists have been burdened with a minimum weight of 9-5, whilst the last seven winners scored at a top price of 9/2.

7.45: Favourites have won seven of the last nine renewals, whilst seven of the last eight winners carried 9-1 or more.

8.15: Marco Botti has recorded three wins in the contest but the trainer is not represented this time around.  Marco saddles just one runner on the card, namely Flora Tristran (6.15).

MUSSELBURGH is a new fixture on Wednesday.

Be lucky but as always – Be aware!

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