May 01

Mal Boyle Stats – Tuesday 1st

POINT TO ADD TO EARLIER REPORT FOR YESTERDAY – SOMEHOW MISSED A 7/1 MMA WINNER – MAKING IT FIVE ON THE DAY!

TODAY’S EARLY NON RUNNERS – as at 9.15:

YARMOUTH:

NOTTINGHAM: 
BRIGHTON:
KEMPTON:
NEWCASTLE: 

Monday’s school report:

MMA WINNERS at 10/1 (returned at 7/1) – 11/2 (4/1) – 5/1 (11/4*) – 9/2 (7/2*) alongside placed horses at 12/1 (7/1) – 12/1 (5/1) and 8/1 kept that hungry wolf from the door yesterday who will surely go and find another dwelling to scavenge from if we keep up this form!

The highlighted leading trainers yesterday (Mick Channon, Richard Fahey and John Gosden) produced four (6/1, 4/1, 7/2 & 11/10) winners between them via 12 runners whilst a neck defeat via a Mick Channon 10/1 chance stopped it from being a golden day on that front.

One of the unplaced MMA runners was backed down to 3/1 favourite from an 11/1 call early yesterday morning as were many others, albeit the support for them was not quite so volatile!

My Thirsk analysis produced a £59.80 ‘Swinger’ via three horses mentioned in the 4.05 race in which the first horse mentioned in despatches (My name Is Rio) was beaten a neck at odds of 33/1.

Like a greedy bookmaker who is ever hungry to gobble up your losses, let’s hope for even better results today!

TUESDAY’S TIMELINE:

3.00: WEDNESDAY’S STAT ATTACKS – TODAY! – DONE

3.15: FOOTBALL SERVICE – CHAMPIONS LEAGUE – DONE

3.30: 2000 GUINEAS – BEST ANTE POST PRICES – DONE

5.00: ‘DEAD OF NIGHT’ MMA SERVICE – DONE

5.45: MAL’S NOTTINGHAM ANALYSIS (via my Twitter page) – DONE

6.15: LEADING TRAINERS THIS SEASON/AT TODAY’S VENUES- DONE

8.30: MMA UPDATE & EARLY NON RUNNERS – DONE WITH 8 ADDITIONS

9.15: TODAY’S STAT ATTACKS – NOTHING OF NOTE TODAY

9.45: IN FORM TRAINERS – DONE

 

TUESDAY:

DEAD OF NIGHT Morning Market Assessment (at 5.00 am) – CAREFUL WHERE YOU TREAD TODAY  – WEAK MARKETS IN THE OFFING AT THE TIME OF WRITING:

BRIGHTON:

2.50: Rocky Shores – 9/1 (Generally available)

3.55: White Chocolate – 6/1 (365/Sunbets)

4.55: Zlatan – 7/2 (Skybet/PP/Betfair)

Additional Brighton entry at 8.30:

2.20: Nayslayed – 5/1 (365/888/BetVictor)

 

NOTTINGHAM:

3.00: Cosmopolitan Queen – 5/1 (Betfair/PP)

3.35: Seduce Me – 6/1 (Marathon/Unibet)

4.35: Multellie – 6/1 (365)

Additional Nottingham entries at 8.30:

2.30: Eledeed – 8/1 (Skybet)

5.05: Little Boy Blue – 13/2 (Skybet/Coral/Black Type/BetVictor)

 

YARMOUTH:

2.10: Artair – 7/4 (Unibet)

2.40: Blame Culture – 4/1 (Ladbrokes/Coral)

3.15: Oceanus – 15/2 (Betfair)

3.45: London – 14/1 (Unibet/365)

4.15: The Lacemaker – 11/2 (365/Unibet/BetVictor)

4.45: Banjos Voice – 7/1 (365)

5.15: Choral Music – 11/4 (Hills)

Additional Yarmouth entries at 8.30:

NONE

 

NEWCASTLE:

6.25: Weellan – 4/1 (365)

6.55: Italian Riveira – 17/2 (365)

7.25: Tom’s Rock – 5/2 (Betfair)

7.55: Archipeligo – 12/1 (365)

Additional Newcastle entries at 8.30:

5.20: Imperial State – 11/2 (Sportingbet)

5.55: Snaffled – 9/2 (Unibet/BetBright)

8.25: Fuel Injection – 7/1 (BetVictor)

 

KEMPTON:

5.45: Its The Only Way – 13/8 (Unibet)

7.45: Chocolate Box – 4/1 (Skybet/Ladbrokes)

Additional Kempton entries at 8.30:

8.15: El Barracho – 17/2 (Marathon)

8.45: Desert Trip 6/1 (Generally available)

 

IN FORM TRAINERS INCLUDE:

24/60—John Gosden (+23) – 2 chances: Corelli (2.40 Yarmouth) & Precious Ramotswe (3.55 Brighton)

15/42—William Haggas – 2 today: Cohen (2.30 Nottingham) & Kodiner (6.15 Kempton)

10/41—Ralph Beckett (+24) – 3 today – 2 at Brighton: Font Vert (2.50) & Broyouni (4.55) & 1 at Kempton: Steaming (7.45)

9/27—Tony Carroll (+39) – 2 in the 4.25 at Brighton: Sir Jamie & Rightway

6/16—Richard Fahey (+25) – 3 today – 2 at Nottingham: Prying Pandora (3.35) & Amazing Michele (4.05) + 1 at Newcastle: Gangland (5.55)

4/11—Chris Gordon (+11) – 1 at Brighton: Tarseekh (4.25)

3/7—Sir Michael Stoute (+15) – 1 today: Eledeed (2.30 Nottingham)

3/9—Alan Bailey (+5) – 1 at Yarmouth: Grasmere (5.15)

+ 5/8—Mick Channon (+15) – 7 runners: 3 each at Brighton & Nottingham & 1 at Kempton

+7/24—Richard Hannon (+18) – 11 runners today: 4 at Nottingham, 3 at Brighton & 4 at Kempton

15 runners listed in race order:

2.30: Cohen & Eledeed

2.40: Corelli

2.50: Font Vert

3.35: Prying Pandora

3.55: Precious Ramotswe

4.05: Amazing Michele

4.25: Tarseekh, Sir Jamie & Rightway

4.55: Briyouni

5.15: Grasmere

5.55: Gangland

6.15: Kodiner

7.45: Steaming

 

LEADING TRAINERS THIS SEASON/AT TODAY’S VENUES:

LEADING TRAINERS ON TURF THIS SEASON WITH RUNNERS TODAY: 

16/46–Mick Channon (34.8% strike rate) – 6 runners on turf today: Red Handed (2.00 Nottingham), Rocky Shores (2.50 Brighton), Pattie & Caravela (3.55 Birghton). Ann Without An E (4.05 Nottingham) & Ixconic Belle (5.25) + 1 A/W entry

15/95–Richard Fahey (15.8%) – 2 runners on turf at Nottingham: Prying Pandora (3.35) & Amazing Michele (4.05) + 1 A/W entry

LEADING TRAINERS AT TODAY’S TURF VENUES THIS SEASON:

Brighton: 

2/4–Tony Carroll (10/3 & 3/1) – 2 runners today: Rightway & Sir Jamie (4.25)

Nottingham:

2/5–Richard Hannon (7/1 & 15/8) – 4 entries: Spell (2.00), Mushtaq (2.30), Tig Tog (3.00) & Dotted Swiss (5.05)

Yarmouth: 

No qualifiers thus far – The eight winners have been saddled by different trainers this season

 

2000 GUINEAS – BEST PRICES – ‘DEAD OF NIGHT’ – TUESDAY MORNING:

11/4—Gustav Klint (Betfair)

11/2—Saxon Warrior (Bet Stars/Sportingbet)

11/2—Masar (Betfred/Tote)

6/1—Elarqam (Genrally available)

12/1—Without Parole (Generally available)

16/1—Roaring Lion (Skybet)

20/1—US Navy Flag (Betfair/PP/Coral/888)

 

WEDNESDAY STAT ATTACKS (FIVE YEAR STUDY UNLESS STATED) – TODAY!

ASCOT:

30 races – 5 winning favourites – 2306/ winners scored at a top price of 8/1

Average Placepot dividend: £96.20

Highest dividend: £143.80 (2015) – Lowest dividend: £58.90 (2013)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

4 winners—‘Team Hannon’ – two each for ‘senior & junior’ (7/1, 9/2, 7/2, 5/2) – 2 runners: Spell (2.00) & Red Starlight (2.35)

The two trainers with three winners apiece are not represented at Ascot on Wednesday, namely John Gosden & Luca Cumani.

 

BRIGHTON (FOUR YEAR STUDY):

28 races – 9 winning favourites – All 28 winners scored at a top price of 14/1

Average Placepot dividend: £147.90

Highest dividend: £283.00 (2015) – Lowest dividend: £59.70 (2014)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

4 winners—John Bridger (5/1, 7/2, 10/3 & 7/4*) – 3 declared: Live Dangerously (6.10), Shifting Star (7.40) & Pharoh Jake (8.10)

 

POINTEFRACT (SIX YEAR STUDY):

42 races – 13 winning favourites – 38/42 winners scored at a top price of 12/1

Average Placepot dividend: £146.57

Highest dividend: £324.40 (2014) – Lowest dividend: £17.90 (2015)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

3 winners—Richard Fahey 17/2, 6/1 & 11.10*) – 3 runners: Zip (2.10), Geoff Potts (4.30) & The Right Choice (5.05)

3 winners—Mark Johnston (4/1, 11/4 & 10/11*) – 2 entries: Port Of Leith (2.10) & Making Miracles (2.45)

 

FOOTBALL SERVICE:

Champions League – semi-final second leg – live on BT Sport – 7.45 KO:

REAL MADRID V BAYERN MUNUCH (2-1 after first leg)

31/25—Real Madrid (Marathon)

31/10—Draw (Marathon/Unibet)

11/5—Bayern Munich (Berfair/Betway)

Half time betting:

8/5—Real Madrid (Generally available)

17/10—Draw (Betfair)

12/5—Bayern Munich (Ladbrokes/Coral)

Half time/Full time odds:

5/2—Real Madrid/Real Madrid (Ladbrokes/Coral)

14/1—Real Madrid/Draw (Skybet/188/BetVictor)

28/1—Real Madrid/Bayern Munich (Marathon)

29/5—Draw/Real Madrid (Marathon)

79/10—Draw/Draw (Marathon)

79/10—Draw/Bayern Munich (Marathon)

22/1—Bayern Munich/Real Madrid (Hills/Black Type)

15/1—Bayern Munich/Draw (BetVictor)

17/4—Bayern Munich/Bayern Munich (BetVictor)

Be lucky but as ever, be aware, whatever the sport!

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