Mar 27

Mal Boyle Stats – Tuesday 27th

NEW POSTING AS OF 13.10 HOURS – ADVANCE STAT ATTACKS FOR THE EASTER WEEKEND!

*Point Of Order: Plenty of rain driving through this part of the west-country in the dead of night – I doubt that the overnight official going call of “soft – good to soft in places” will remain in place for long.  Genuine soft ground (verging on heavy in places) would be my understanding if Hereford is getting the same amount of the wet stuff as we are here in Bristol which it might be, according to the local radar.

Tuesday’s school report:

Good to be back – hoping that you have been destroying the ol’ enemy in my absence!

APPROXIMMATE TUESDAY TIMELINE:

3.00: Flat (turf) trainer table after two meetings – includes next entries – DONE

4.25: In form trainers – DONE

5.00: ‘Dead Of Night’ MMA service – DEAD

5.20: Football tonight – Live on ITV – 8.00 KO – England v Italy – Foot of the column – DONE

7.00: Hereford Analysis via the link on my Twitter page

10.00: MMA prices update + additions if/where relevant – Delayed offering  because of extreme lack of interest in these races overnight, especially on the exchanges!

Later in the day (exact time unknown) some stat attacks for later in the week which will be repeated on the said days…

 

TUESDAY:

DEAD OF NIGHT Morning Market Assessment (at 5.00 am) – these prices will be updated at 10.00 with additions if/where relevant.

HEREFORD:

2.15: Romanor – 25/1 (365)

2.45: Jeu Du Mots – 33/1 (Betfair/PP)

3.45: Easter In Paris – 4/1 (Marathon)

4.45: Westerberry – 25/1 Ladbrokes

Additional Wetherby entries at 10.00:

 

NEWCASTLE:

5.40: Bal De Rio – 6/1 (Hills/Sunbets)

6.10: L’Inganno Felice – 14/1 (Generally available)

Additional Newcastle entries at 10.00:

 

SOUTHWELL:

NONE SO FAR 

Additional Southwell entries at 10.00:

 

IN FORM TRAINERS INCLUDE:

6/15–Jennie Candlish (+9) – 2 runners: Star Ascending 3.30 Southwell) & Bridane Rebel (4.15 Hereford)

6/20–Phil Kirby (+2) – 1 at Southwell: Kaylan’s Mischief (5.30)

4/10–Paul Nicholls (+7) – 1 at Newcastle: Valpone Jelois (5.40)

4/13–Ruth Carr (+21) – 6 runners: 3 at Southwell: Katheefa (2.00), Kingstreet Lady (3.00) & Abushamah (4.30) & 3 at Newcastle: Be Perfect (6.10) & Mardy Gras & Brian Ryan (8.10)

3/6–Mark Jojhnston (+7) – 4 chances: 2 at Southwell: Branscombe (2.00) & Ravenhoe (5.30) & 2 at Newcastle: Mambo Dancer (5.40) & Rainbow Rebel (6.10)

3/8–Jamie Snowden (+8) – 1 at Hereford: Three Ways (2.45)

3/9–Alanstair Ralph (+7) – 1 today: Broughtons Admiral (2.15 Hereford)

2/3–Kerry Lee (+9) – 1 at Hereford: Scales (5.15)

2/4–Sarah-Jayne Davies (+4) – 1 at Hereford: Ring Eye (5.15)

2/4–David Simcock (+6) – 1 at Southwell (Walk On WEater (2.30)

2/5–David Dennis (+12) – 1 at Hereford: Flying Verse (5.15)

20 runners in race order:

2.00: Katheefa & Branscombe

2.15: Broughtons Admiral

2.30: Walk On Water

2.45: Three Ways

3.00: Kingstreet Lady

3.30: Star Ascending

4.25: Bridane Rebel

4.30: Abushamah

5.15: Scales, Flying Verse & Ring Eye

5.30: Kaylan’s Mischief & Ravenhoe

5.40: Valpone Jelois & Mambo Dancer

6.10: Be Perfect & Rainbow Rebel

8.10: Mardy Gras & Brian Ryan

 

LEADING FLAT (TURF) TRAINERS AFTER THE TWO DONCASTER MEETINGS + those with heaviest losses to date:

3/17–Richard Fahey (+9) – Next potential runners on turf: Bath (Friday)

1/1–Roger Teal (+50) – Bath

1/1–Lawrence Mullaney (+5) – No entries

1/1–Mark Walford (+4) – No entries

1/1–Ian Williams (+4) – Musselburgh (Saturday)

1/1–Tom Dascombe (+1) – Bath

1/1–Roger Varian (+1) – Bath

1/2–William Haggas (+4) – Bath

1/2–Charlie Appleby (Marginal loss) – Bath

1/3–Kevin Ryan (+9) – Musselburgh – no runners anywhere until Saturday

1/4–Mick Channon (+1) – Bath

1/4–Phil Kirby (+1) – No entries

1/7–Declan Carroll (Level profit/loss) – Curragh (Sunday)

1/8–Mick Easterby (loss of 3 points) – Musselburgh

Trainers with biggest losses thus far:

0/10–Karl Burke

0/8–Keith Dalgleish

0/6–David O’Meara

0/5–Michael Appleby

0/5–Paul Midgley

 

ADVANCE STAT ATTACKS FOR THE EASTER WEEKEND (6 YEAR STUDY UNLESS STATED):

LINGFIELD (FRIDAY – Four year study):

28 races – 10  winning favourites – 25/28 winners scored at a top price of 11/1

Average Placepot dividend: £116.70

Highest dividend: £250.40 (2017) – Lowest dividend: £16.80 (2015)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

3 winners—Charlie Appleby (6/1, 6/5* & 1/2* – 22/1 treble in 2015)

3 winners—Richard Fahey (25/1, 7/1 & 4/1**)

 

CARLISLE (SATURDAY):

44 races – 17 winning favourites – 40/44 winners scored at a top price of 10/1

Average Placepot dividend: £169.00

Highest dividend: £593.30 (2014) – Lowest dividend: £36.10 (2013)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

4 winners—Lucinda Russell (13/2, 5/1 & 5/1 twice)

4 winners—Sue Smith (4/1, 3/1, 7/4* & 13/8*)

 

HAYDOCK (SATURDAY):

42 races – 11 winning favourites – 37/42 winners scored at a top price of 12/1

Average Placepot dividend: £1,052.85

Highest dividend: £3,207.30 (2017) – Lowest dividend: £305.00 (2013)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

6 winners—Nigel Twiston-Davies (11/1, 15/2, 9/2, 4/1*, 7/2* & 5/4*)

4 winners—Alan King (25/1, 12/1, 17/2 & 7/2)

 

KEMPTON (SATURDAY):

43 races – 15 winning favourites – 37/43 winners scored at a top price of 11/1

Average Placepot dividend: £264.30

Highest dividend: £424.70 (2013) – Lowest dividend: £119.20 (2015)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

3 winners—Mark Johnston (9/1, 6/5* & 8/13*)

3 winners—Richard Hannon (5/1, 3/1 &5/6* – stretches to four winners if you include a Richard Hannon Senior winner at 16/1 during the period!)

 

PLUMPTON (SUNDAY):

42 races – 18 winning favourites – 37/42 winners scored at a top price of 14/1

Average Placepot dividend: £123.18

Highest dividend: £298.90 (2016) – Lowest dividend: £16.10 (2013)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

5 winners—Seamus Mullins (7/1, 5/1, 11/4, 11/4 & 9/4* – includes a 155/1 treble in 2014)

4 winners—Chris Gordon (16/1, 9/2, 3/1 * 13/8*)

 

 

TONIGHT’S FOOTBALL – LIVE ON ITV – 8.00 – ENGLAND V ITALY – BEST PRICES:

6/5–England (Unibet)

9/4–Draw (Skybet/365)

3/1–Italy (365)

Half time betting:

2/1–England (Sunbets)

Evens–Draw (BetStars)

7/1–Italy (Hills/Betfair/Sunbets)

Half time – Full time odds:

13/5–England/England (Ladbrokes/Coral)

33/2–England/Draw (Marathon)

50/1–England/Italy (Ladbrokes/Marathon/Coral)

9/2–Draw/England (Skybet)

19/5–Draw/Draw (Marathon)

81/10–Draw/Italy (Marathon)

11/2–Italy/Italy (Generally available)

33/2–Italy/Draw (Marathon)

33/1–Italy/England (Skybet/Ladbrokes/Marathon/Coral)

 

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