Jan 30

Mal Boyle Stats – Tuesday 30th

PRICE ALERT AT 6.30 – Not as strong a ‘selection’ as yesterday’s 9/2 winner, SKIPTHESCALES (3.05 NEWCASTLE) is nonetheless beginning to stand out from the crowd with Paddy Power at the same price (9/2) as momentum gathers at the time of writing.

Monday’s school report:

MMA horses are still hitting the bar having been backed down well on most occasions, though my major 5.55 am Price Alert WON AT 9/2 (SP: 3/1).  There were seven winners via yesterday’s in form trainers list to report at 25/1, 9/1, 3/1, 15/8, 15/8, 13/8 & 8/11.

I have repeated the late entry yesterday relating to Cheltenham stats this season on the run up to the Festival which will be here before we know it.  The findings can be read at the foot of today’s column.

Latest edition of the popular ‘Ahead Of The Game’ feature can be found below…

 

TUESDAY:

DEAD OF NIGHT Morning Market Assessment (at 5.00 am) – ALL PRICES/ADDITIONS NOW ENTERED – VERY BEST OF LUCK TODAY!

LINGFIELD (NH):

1.30: Buildmeupbuttercup – 9/2 (Ladbrokes/Hills/PP/Coral) – NOW AN AVERAGE PRICE OF 10/3

2.05: Away For Slates – 6/1 (Ladbrokes) – NOW 4/1

4.15: Rocket Ronnie – 10/1 (365/PP/BetVictor) – NOW 17/2

Additional Lingfield entries at 8.00:

1.00: El Deguello – 8/1 (Betfred/Tote) 

3.15: She’s Gina – 6/1 (Ladbrokes/Betfair)

3.45: Finnegans Garden – 14/1  (365/Marathon/PP/Stan James)

NEWCASTLE (NH):

2.30: Aldo Des Mottes – 9/1 (Stan James) – NOW 7/1

3.35: Casual Cavalier – 15/8 (Hills/Betfair/PP/Coral) – NOW 7/4

Additional Newcastle entries at 8.00:

NONE

SOUTHWELL (A/W):

2.15: Monte Cinq – 14/1 (Ladbrokes) – NOW 10/1

3.55: Count Montecristo – 11/2 (Hills/Sunbets) – NOW 9/2

Additional Southwell entries at 8.00:

2.50: Dichato – 3/1 (Generally available)

4.25: Rivers Of Asia – 7/1 (Ladbrokes)

 

IN FORM TRAINERS INCLUDE (Requirement: Minimum 25% strike rate and/or exceptional level stake profit):

11/34—Nicky Henderson (+7) – 1 at Lingfield: Simonia (1.30)

10/25—Donald McCain (+7) – 4 at Newcastle: Birch Vale & Chicago Lady (1.55), Tailor Tom (3.05) & Whitsundays (3.35)

10/31—Olly Murphy (+20) – 1 at Lingfield: Foxtrot Juliet (1.30)

8/33—Tom Lacey (+26) – 1 at Newcastle: Kimberlite Candy (2.30)

7/25—Warren Geatrex (+4) – 2 at Newcastle: Bob Mahler (1.20) & Petticoat Tails (1.55)

6/16—Gary Moore (+8) – 2 at Lingfield: Clayton (2.05) & Mr Muddle (3.45)

5/11—Chris Gordon (+42) – 3 at Lingfield: Vicenzo Mio (2.05), Ulva Ferry (2.40) & Tara Bridge (3.45)

5/15—Roger Fell (+58) – 2 at Southwell: Justice Pleasing (3.25) & Mutaared (3.55)

4/9—Jamie Snowden (+2) – 1 at Lingfield: Lostnfound (3.15)

4/10—Neil Mulholland (+13) – 1 at Southwell: Sleep Easy (1.40)

4/11—Kim Bailey (+1) – 1 at Lingfield: Carqualin (2.30)

4/15—Keith Dalgleish (+28) – 1 at Southwell: Jack Blane (3.15)

3/6—Sue Smith (+10) – 1 at Newcastle: De Vous A Moi (2.30)

3/8—Tony Carroll (+17) – 2 at Lingfield: El Deguello (1.00) & Kings Cross (2.40)

3/9—Mick Channon (+7) – 1 at Lingfield: Buildmeupbuttercup (1.30)

24 runners in race order via the in-form trainer list:

1.00: El Deguello

1.20: Bob Mahler

1.30: Simonia, Foxtrot Juliet & Buildmeupbuttercup

1.40: Sleep Easy

1.55: Birch Vale, Petticoat Tails & Chicago Lady

2.05: Vicenzo Mio & Clayton

2.30: De Vous A Moi, Carqualin & Kimberlite Candy

2.40: Ulva Ferry & Kings Cross

3.05: Tailor Tom

3.15: Jack Blane & Lostnfound

3.25: Justice Pleasing

3.35: Whitsundays

3.45: Tara Bridge & Mr Muddle

3.55: Muqaared

 

TUESDAY STAT ATTACK (Based on five year result study unless stated):

Please note that unfortunately, there are no stand out trainers in this sector today:

LINGFIELD (Just one meeting):

6 races – 3 winning favourites – 5/6 winners scored at a top price of 9/1

Placepot dividend: £11,547.20

NEWCASTLE (Only two meetings to report from):

13 races – 4 winning favourites – All 13 winners scored at a top price of 11/1

Average Placepot dividend: £165.35

Highest dividend: £221.80 (2017) – Lowest dividend: £108.90 (2014)

SOUTHWELL:

33 races – 11 winning favourites – 31/33 winners scored at a top price of 12/1

Average Placepot dividend: £1,197.30

Highest dividend: £4,162.50 (2013) – Lowest dividend: £11.20 (2014)

 

‘AHEAD OF THE GAME’ – One race today & six for tomorrow (Wednesday)

TUESDAY – SOUTHWELL:

4.25: We still await the first successful favourite, given that winners have scored at 33/1, 20/1, 10/1 & 9/1 thus far.  All four winners have carried a maximimum burden of 9-5, as have eight of the eleven horses which have secured Placepot positions.

WEDNESDAY – LEICESTER:

20 furlong Novice Hurdle qualifier scheduled for 1.15: Favourites have won 3/5 contests to date during which time, a top priced winner at 9/2 has emerged.

Novice Claiming Hurdle scheduled for 2.15: All three winners have carried 11-6 or more to victory, the trio scoring at a top price of 3/1, statistics which include two successful market leaders.

Novice (Limited) Handicap event scheduled for 2.50: All four favourites have been beaten via three contests to date.

20 furlong Handicap Chase scheduled for 3.25: Tom George comes into the race on a hat trick, having entered just one runner at the penultimate stage, namely Until Winning.  We still await the first winning favourite with the three gold medallists to date having been returned at 7/1, 5/1 & 7/2.

WEDNESDAY – CHELMSFORD (RUNNERS CONFIRMED):

1.55: Favourites have won all three renewals, producing level stake profits of nine points to date.

4.10: We still await the first successful market leader with winners returned at 11/1, 10/1 & 3/1 via three contests.  That said, three of the four favourites have (at least) finished in the frame.

THE NEXT ‘AHEAD OF THE GAME’ SERVICE WILL BE OFFERED ON THURSDAY WHICH WILL COVER RIGHT THROUGH  THE ENTIRE WEEKEND.

 

CHELTENHAM PRE-FESTIVAL STATS THIS SEASON:

68 races – 23 winning favourites – 62/68 scored at a top price of 12/1

9/28—Nicky Henderson (5/1, 9/1, 4/1, 5/2*, 15/8*, 13/8*, Evens*, 1/7* & 1/10*) – Level stake profit

7/38—Colin Tizzard (3/1, 5/2, 2/1*, 7/4, 5/4*, 10/11* & 4/5*)

7/41—Nigel Twiston-Davies (25/1, 9/1, 15/2, 13/2, 6/1, 9/4** & 6/5*) – Level stake profit

4/28—Paul Nicholls (13/2, 4/1, 5/2 & 9/4*)

3/18—Dan Skelton (7/2**, 10/3 & 6/4)

3/23—Fergal O’Brien (8/1, 7/1 & 7/4*)

2/3—Anthony Honeyball (9/2** & 3/1) – Level stake profit

2/5—Kerry Lee (7/2 & 10/3*) – Level stake profit

2/5—Neil Mulholland (10/1 & 3/1*) – Level stake profit

2/6—Alan King (10/1 & 15/8**) – Level stake profit

2/15—Martin Keighley (33/1 & Evens*) – Level stake profit

1/1—Michael Blake (25/1) – Level stake profit

1/1—Mick Channon (6/1) – Level stake profit

1/2—Robert Walford (7/1) – Level stake profit

1/3—Michael Scudamore (14/1) – Level stake profit

1/4—Brian Ellison (7/1) – Level stake profit

1/4—Chris Gordon (20/1) – Level stake profit

1/4—Paul Henderson (13/2) – Level stake profit

1/4—Donald McCain (8/1) – Level stake profit

1/4—Nicky Richards (9/1) – Level stake profit

1/5—Henry De Bromhead (9/4)

1/5—Jamie Snowden (9/1) – Level stake profit

1/7—Warren Greatrex (5/2)

1/8—Gordon Elliott (12/1) – Level stake profit

1/8—Ben Pauling (6/1)

1/8—Tim Vaughan (12/1) – Level stake profit

1/11—Nick Williams (9/1)

1/12—Harry Fry (11/4*)

1/12—David Pipe (11/1) – Level on the year

1/16—Philip Hobbs (4/1)

1/19—Tom George (11/2)

Biggest losses this season to date include:

0/14—Jonjo O’Neill

0/13—Ian Williams

0/10—Charlie Longsdon

0/6—Kim Bailey

0/6—Peter Bowen

0/6—Evan Williams

0/5—Venetia Williams

May Hunter Chase meeting winning trainers aside from Fergal O’Brien and Ben Pauling:

1/1—D C Gibbs (9/1) – Level stake profit

1/1—Paul King (25/1) – Level stake profit

1/1—Philip Rowley (8/13*) – Level stake profit

1/1—Miss L Thomas (9/4*) – Level stake profit

1/3—R J Bandey (12/1) – Level stake profit

Be lucky but as always – Be aware!

 

 

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