Apr 18

Mal Boyle Stats – Wednesday 18th

Tuesday’s school report:

Yesterday’s 25/1 (returned at 7/1) and 4/1 winners MMA winners kept the boat afloat alongside six winners for in form trainers, including those at 12/1, 9/2 & 4/1.

APPROXIMATE TUESDAY TIMELINE:

4.15: WEDNESDAY STAT ATTACKS (NEWMARKET & CHELTENHAM) – DONE

4.45: LEADING FLAT TRAINERS (TURF) THIS SEASON + THEIR RUNNERS TODAY – DONE

5.15: ‘DEAD OF NIGHT’ MMA SERVICE – DONE

7.00: MAL’S NEWMARKET ANALYSIS (via free link from my Twitter page) – DONE

8.00: MMA UPDATES & ADDITIONS IF/WHERE RELEVANT – DONE WITH  6 ADDITIONS

8.20: IN FORM TRAINERS – DONE

9.00: THURSDAY’S STAT ATTACK – TODAY!

9.15: FOOTBALL SERVICE

 

WEDNESDAY:

DEAD OF NIGHT Morning Market Assessment (at 5.15 am) – these prices will be updated at 8.00 with additions if/where relevant.

CHELTENHAM (A/W):

2.40: Frodon – 8/1 (365)

3.50: Tintern Theatre – 12/1 (Skybet/365)

5.00: Two to consider – both with Betfair/PP: What Happens Now – 8/1 & Coologue – 25/1

Additional Cheltenham entries at 8.00:

3.15: Stick To The Plan – 11/1 (Hills/BetBright)

4.25: Clondaw Native – 25/1 (Betfair/PP)

5.30: Two to consider: Magic Dancer – 13/2 (Generally available) & Oxford Blu – 11/1 (Ladbrokes)

 

NEWMARKET:

1.50: Mont Kiara – 20/1 (Skybet)

3.00: Two to consider: Robin Of Navan – 5/1 (Hills) & Master The World – 9/1 (365)

3.35: Nyaleti – 10/1 (Ladbrokes)

4.10: Chynna – 12/1 (365)

4.45: Rococo – 5/1 (Hills)

5.20: Sea Of Class – 7/4 (Skybet)

5.55: Bow Street – 6/1 (Hills/Marathon/Unibet/888/BetVictor)

Additional Newmarket entry at 8.00:

2.25: Rufus King – 10/1 (Skybet/Ladbrokes/Coral)

 

KEMPTON (A/W):

6.15: Reverbaration – 5/1 (Hills/Betfair/PP/BetBright) 

6.45: Intermodel – 15/2 (BetBright)

7.15: Tahreek – 8/1 (Hills/Sunbets)

7.45: La Maquina – 10/3 (Skybet)

8.15: Florencino – 16/1 (365/BetBright)

Additional Kempton entries at 8.00:

5.45: Jungle Inthebungle – 11/8 (Hills/Sunbets/Unibet)

8.45: Uber Cool – 14/1 (Betbright)

 

LEADING TRAINERS ON TURF (FLAT) THIS SEASON:

5/10—Mick Channon – 2 at Newmarket: Chynna & Cotybanama (4.10)

4/13—Kevin Ryan – 2 at Newmarket: Mont Kiara (1.50) & Het Jonesy (2.25)

3/13—Mark Johnston – 5 at Newmarket: Rufus King (2.25), Frankuus (3.00), Threading & Nyaleti (3.35) & Hard Forest (4.10)

3/29—Richard Fahey – 3 at Newmarket: Estern Impact (1.50), Great Prospector (2.25) & Forest Ranger (3.00)

2/3—Tom Dascombe – 1 at Newmarket: Finniston Farm (2.25)

2/4—Ron Harris – Next runners scheduled for Friday

2/5—Charlie Appleby – 5 at Newmarket: Folk Tale (2.25), Soliloquy (3.35), Strings Of Life (4.10) & Bow Street & Old Persian (5.55)

 

IN FORM TRAINERS INCLUDE:

16/34—Charlie Appleby (+22) 7 today – 5 at Newmarket: Folk Tale (2.25), Soliloquy (3.35), Strings Of Life (4.10) & Bow Street & Old Persian (5.55) & 2 at Kempton: Il Primo Sole (7.15) & Mr Marrakech (7.45)

8/20—John Gosden (+25) – 5 runners at Newmarket: Nawaasi (3.35), Award Winning & Rococo (4.45), Mythical Queen (5.20) & Casey Jones (5.55)

8/24—Venetia Williams (+26) – 2 at Cheltenham: Cepage (2.40) & Vic De Touzaine (5.00)

7/11—Williams Haggas (+9) 6 runners: 5 at Newmarket: Ertiyad (3.35), Red Hut Red (4.10), Feline Groovy (4.45), Sea Of Class (5.20) & Istanbul Sultan (5.55) + 1 at Kempton: Barton Mills (7.45)

7/14—Saeed Bin Suroor (+14) – 3 runners: Asoof (5.20 Newmarket), Beautiful Memory (5.55 Newmarket) & Major Partnership (7.15 Kempton)

5/7—Matt Sheppard (+14) – 1 at Cheltenham: Rock On Rocky (2.40)

5/9—Charlie Hills (+29) – 7 today: 6 at Newmarket: Shanghai Glory (1.50), Nebo (2.25), Juliet Foxtrot (3.35), Ripley & Gemini (4.45) & Livvys Dream (5.20) + 1 at Kempton: Wufud (7.45)

5/12—Tom Dascombe (+23) – 1 at Newmarket: Finniston Farm (2.25)

4/10—Ralph Beckett (+24) – 3 today: Ceilidhs Dream (5.20 Newmarket) & 2 at Kempton: Gilded Hour (7.15) & Airmax (7.45)

4/13—Warren Greatrex (+26) – 1 at Cheltenham: Mahlervous (3.15)

3/8—Neil Mulholland (+9) – 3 at Cheltenham: Kalondra & Shantou Village (2.40) & Activial (3.15)

Last two runners have won—Roger Fell (+36) – 2 chances at Kempton: Geography Teacher (5.45) & Florencino (8.15)

2/4—Clive Cox (+3) – 2 at Newmarket: Snazzy Jazzy (2.25) & Existential (5.20)

43 runners listed in race order:

1.50: Shanghai Glory

2.25: Folk Tale, Nebo, Snazzy Jazzy & Finniston Farm

2.40: Rock On Rocky, Kalondra, Shantou Village & Cepage

3.15: Mahlervous & Activial

3.35: Ertiyad, Nawaasi, Juliet Foxtrot & Soliloquy

4.10: Red Hut Red & Strings Of Life

4.45: Feline Groovy, Award Winning, Ripley, Gemini & Rococo

5.00: Vic De Touzaine

5.20: Sea Of Class, Mythical Queen, Livvys Dream, Ceilidhs Dream, Existential & Asoof

5.45: Geography Teacher

5.55: Isanbul Sultan, Bow Street, Old Persian, Casey Jones & Beautiful Memory

7.15: Major Partnership, Il Primo Sole & Gilded Hour

7.45: Barton Mills, Airmax, Mr Marrakech & Wufud

8.15: Florencino

 

WEDNESDAY STAT ATTACKS (FIVE YEAR STUDY PERIOD UNLESS STATED):

NEWMARKET:

38 races – 16 winning favourites – 36/38 winners scored at a top price of 12/1

Average Placepot dividend: £185.62

Highest dividend: £381.30 (2013) – Lowest dividend: £12.70 (2016)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

7 winners—John Gosden 12/1, 15/2, 7/2**, 10/3, 2/1*, 11/8* & 4/5* – includes a 496/1 treble last year – 5 runners declared: Nawaasi (3.35), Award Winning & Rococo (4.45), Mythical Queen (5.20) & Casey Jones (5.55)

 

CHELTENHAM:

35 races – 8 winning favourites – 32/35 winners scored at a top price of 14/1

Average Placepot dividend: £1,235.16

Highest dividend: £3,944.60 (2013) – Lowest dividend: £208.90 (2014)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

4 winners—Nicky Henderson (7/2, 9/2, 10/11* & 8/15*) – 8 runners today: Diese Des Bieffes(2.05), Days Of Heaven (2.40), Champagne Express & Brave Eagle (3.15), Baden (3.50) & Prteck Des Flos, Premier Bond & Josses Hill (4.25)

 

THURSDAY STAT ATTACKS (FIVE YEAR STUDY PERIOD UNLESS STATED):

CHELTENHAM:

37 races – 11 winning favourites – 31/37 winners scored at a top price of 12/1

Average Placepot dividend: £938.22

Highest dividend: £2,414.40 (2014) – Lowest dividend: £23.80 (2015)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

4 winners–Fergal O’Brien (16/1, 11/1, 9/1 & 3/1*) – 4 runners declared: Socksy (2.40), Oscar Rose (3.15), Jenny’s Surprise (3.50) & Tashunka (5.35)

 

NEWMARKET:

38 races – 14 winning favourites – 35/38 winners scored at a top price of 14/1

Average Placepot dividend: £99.74

Highest dividend: £162.80 (2016) – Lowest dividend: £33.80 (2017)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

Six trainers sit on the three winners mark during the study period.  Perhaps the most interesting of them is Martyn Meade given that he only has one runner on the card, whilst his runners are of exceptional interest if money is down on the relevant inmates.  Martyn’s only runner Monoxide contests the ‘Wood Ditton’ at 2.25 and whatever the fate of the Galileo raider on Thursday, his entry alone is worth bearing in mind for the future, especially as Martin’s March foal has an entry in the Epsom Derby in June.

 

RIPON:

38 races – 40 winners via 2 dead heats – 16 winning favourites – 37/40 winners scored at a top price of 12/1

Average Placepot dividend: £209.76

Highest dividend: £420.10 (2016) – Lowest dividend: £75.10 (2017)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

7 winners—Richard Fahey (9/1, 9/2*, 3/1*, 9/4*, 2/1*, 13/8 & 5/4) – 6 runners: Posh Perfect (2.15), Spanish Mane *3.25), Right Touch (4.00), Carnagro (4.35) & Crownthorpe (5.10)

6 winners—David O’Meara (12/1, 9/1, 9/1, 5/2*, 6/4* & 11/8* – includes a 349/1 treble in 2015) – 6 runners: Oxygenic (2.15), Conversant (2.50), Short Work, Summerghand & Ma Fee Heela (4.00) & Daawy (4.35)

 

FOOTBALL SERVICE (BEST PRICES) – TONIGHT’S TELEVISED PREMIER LEAGUE MATCH AND UPCOMING CUP SEMI FINAL PRICES – TO QUALIFY FOR THE RESPECTIVE FINALS.

BOURNEMOUTH V MAN UNITED – LIVE ON BY SPORT – 7.45 KO

15/4–Bournemouth (Marathon)

2910–Draw (Generally available)

17/20–United (Betfair)

Half time betting: 

39/10–Bournemouth (Marathon)

67/50–Draw (Marathon)

11/8–United (Ladbrokes/Coral/BetVictor)

Half time/Full time odds: 

15/2–Bournemouth/Bournemouth (BetVictor)

18/1–Bournemouth/Draw (BetVictor)

25/1–Bournemouth/United (Skybet/188)

11/1–Draw/Bournemouth (Marathon)

13/2–Draw/Draw (Marathon)

43/10–Draw/United (Marathon)

45/1–United/Bournemouth (Marathion)

17/1–United/Draw (BetVictor)

15/9–United/United (BetStars/BetVictor)

 

CHAMPION LEAGUE – BEST PRICES TO QUALIFY FOR THE FINAL:

4/9–Liverpool (Skybet/BetStars/BetVictor)

101/50–Roma (Marathon)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

5/6–Real Madrid (Boylesports)

6/5–Bayern Munich (BetVictor)

 

EUROPA LEAGUE:

4/7–Atletico Madrid

171/100–Arsenal (Marathon)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

4/6–Marseille (Generally available)

11/8–Salzburg (Boylesports)

 

FA CUP:

16/25–Tottenham (Marathon)

6/4–Man Utd (365)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

1/4–Chelsea (365/Hills/Sunbets

7/2–Southampton (Betfair/PP/Unibet/888)

 

Be lucky but as ever – Be aware!

 

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