Feb 21

Mal Boyle Stats – Wednesday 21st

Tuesday’s school report:

Yesterday is best forgotten, summed up by the defeat of Something Lucky (!) (8/1) who looked sure to win late doors last night, only for a 40/1 chance to come and beat the selection by a head.  It was simply ‘one of those days’ which affects us all from time to time.

My advice when things go awry is to cut back stakes until the tide turns (hopefully today) and when you have the bookmaker’s money back in your pocket/wallet – him them hard!

WEDNESDAY:

DEAD OF NIGHT Morning Market Assessment (at 5.00 am) – UPDATED AT 8.15 + 4 ADDITIONS

 

DONCASTER:

3.20: Indian Castle – 17/2 (PP) – NOW AN AVERAGE PRICE OF 7/1

Additional Doncaster entries at 8.00:

2.15: First Drift – 12/1 (PP/BetVictor)

2.50: Classic Ben – 9/1 (Stan James)

3.55: Two to consider against the odds on favourite: Ardea – 11/2 (Hills) & Warden Hill – 18/1 (10Bet) = coupled at 4/1

 

LUDLOW:

3.00: Otter Moon – 8/1 (Generally available) – NOW 15/2

4.40: Master Of Finance – 8/1 (365) – NOW 13/2

5.10: Allez Jacques – 20/1 (Betfair/PP) – NOW 14/1

Additional Ludlow entries at 8.00:

NONE

 

NEWCASTLE (A/W):

3.10: Holiday Magic – 22/1 (Unibet/888) – NOW 16/1

3.45: Corinthia Knight – 6/4 (Ladbrokes/Coral) – STILL 6/4

4.50: Newmarket Warrior – 10/1 (365) – NOW 15/2

5.25: Al Khan – 5/1 (PP) – NOW 4/1

Additional Newcastle entries at 8.00:

NONE

 

KEMPTON (A/W):

6.45: Native Fighter – 9/2 (Betbright) – NOW 7/2

7.45: Koeman – 12/1 (Betfair/PP) – NOW 8/1

8.15: Tundra – 16/1 (PP) – NOW 11/1

Additional Kempton entries at 8.00:

NONE

 

IN FORM TRAINERS INCLUDE (Requirement: Minimum 33% strike rate and/or exceptional level stake profit):

10/29—Henry Daly (+25) – 3 today: Goohar (3.30 Ludlow), Spider’s Bite (4.05 Ludlow) & Final Shot (4.30 Doncaster)

6/14—John Gosden (+18) – 2 at Newcastle: Culpability (2.05) & Casey Jones (4.20)

6/22—Kevin Ryan (+69) – 2 at Newcastle: Eyes On Asha (2.40) & Lualiwa (3.10)

5/11—Ed Walker (+11) – 2 chances: Desert Dontor (3.45 Newcastle) & Boychik (6.45 Kempton)

5/13—Fergal O’Brien (+11) – 1 at Ludlow: Jennifer Jupiter (4.05)

5/13—Dan Skelton (+6) – 6 runners – 4 at Doncaster: Rebel Royal (1.40), Qaviy Cash (2.15), Work Dt Breteau (2.50) & No Getaway (4.30) & 2 at Ludlow: Excellent Team (3.00) & Ashoka (4.40)

4/6—Keith Dalgleish (+13) – 2 at Newcastle: Mystikana (2.40) & What’s The Srory (3.10)

4/12—Charlie Appleby – 1 at Newcastle: Native Appeal (2.05)

3/6—Jeremy Noseda (+1) – 1 at Kempton: Intrepidly (7.45)

3/7—Andrew Balding – 1 at Newcastle: Straight Right (3.10)

3/7—Charlie Longsdon (+7) – 2 at Doncaster: Kilaila Quay (3.20) & Braddan Head (5.00)

3/7—Dr Richard Newland (+8) – 1 at Doncaster: Band Of Blood (3.20)

3/8—David Dennis (+6) – 2 chances: Veiled Secret (2.15 Doncaster) & Blackmill (4.05 Ludlow)

3/8—Jim Goldie (7) – 2 at Newcastle: Lord Of The Glen (3.45) & Thorntoun Lady (5.25)

3/8—Olly Murphy (+4) – 1 at Ludlow: Fresh New Dawn (5.10)

3/9—Emma Lavelle (+5) – 4 runners – 3 at Doncaster: Demographic (2.50), Fox Appeal (3.20) & Rooster Cogburn (5.00) + 1 at Ludlow: Allez Jacques (5.10)

3/9—Archie Watson (+5) – 2 chances: Corinthian Knight (3.45 Newcastle) & Karajini (8.15 Kempton)

3/11—Micky Hammond (+37) – 1 at Doncaster: Ask Paddington (5.00

Last two runners have won—Lucy Wadham (+11) – 1 at Ludlow: Master Of Finance (4.40 Ludlow)

2/3—Alistair Ralph (+8) – 2 at Ludlow: Seymour Star (2.25) & Comber Mill (3.00)

2/4—Suzi Best (+30) – 1 at Kempton: Ertidaad (5.45)

2/4—Charlie Fellowes (+8) – 1 at Kempton: Frenzified (7.45 Kempton)

2/4—Gary Moore (+2) – 2 at Kempton: Sussex Ranger (6.45) & Aussie Reigns (7.15)

2/4—Richard Spencer (+7) – 2 at Doncaster: Aptly Put (2.15) & Sir Jack Yeats (4.30)

2/3—Nicky Henderson (+6) – 7 today – 4 at Doncaster: Du Destin & French Crusader (1.40), Duke Deberry (2.50) & Before Midnight (4.30) – 2 at Ludlow: Royal Irish Hussar (3.00) & War Creation (5.10) + 1 at Kempton: Bardd (7.15)

52 runners in race order:

1.40: Du Destin, Rebel Royal & French Crusader

2.05: Culpability

2.15: Aptly Put, Qaviy Cash & Veiled Secret

2.25: Seymour Star

2.40: Mystikana & Eyes On Asha

2.50: Demographic, Work De Breteau & Duke Deberry

3.00: Comber Mill, Royal Irish Hussar & Excellent Team

3.10: Straight Right, Lualiwa & What’s The Story

3.20: Kilaila Quay, Band Of Blood & Fox Appeal

3.30: Ghoohar

3.45: Corinthian Knight, Desert Doctor & Lord Of The Glen

4.05: Blackmill, Jennifer Jupiter & Spider’s Bite

4.20: Casey Jones

4.30: Sir Jack Yeats, Final Shot, No Getaway & Before Midnight

4.40: Master Of Finance & Ashoka

5.00: Braddan Head, Ask Paddington & Rooster Cogburn

5.10: Allez Jacques, Fresh New Dawn & War Creation

5.25: Thournton Lady

5.45: Ertidaad

6.45: Sussex Ranger & Boychik

7.15: Aussie Reigns & Bardd

7.45: Intrepidly & Frenzified

8.15: Karajini

 

WEDNESDAY STAT ATTACK (Five year study period unless stated):

DONCASTER:

33 races – 16 winning favourites – 30/33 winners scored at a top price of 12/1

Average Placepot dividend: £44.62

Highest dividend: £136.80 (2013) – Lowest dividend: £4.90 (2017)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

3 winners—Nicky Henderson (5/2, 9/4* & Evens*) – 4 runners today: Du Destin & French Crusader (1.40), Duke Deberry (2.50) & Before Midnight (4.30)

LUDLOW:

28 races – 15 winning favourites – 26/28 winners scored at a top price of 12/1

Average Placepot dividend: £211.90

Highest dividend: £645.80 (2017) – Lowest dividend: £30.10 (2014)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

No outstanding trainer (six on the two winner mark)

Be lucky but as always – Be aware!

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