Jan 20

Mal Boyle Stats – Saturday 20th

Friday’s school report – Started well enough – eventually did better – must (will) do better still!

Yesterday’s MMA service started well enough with a 7/2 winner (Treshnish) which was backed up by placed horses at 20/1 (Peas On Earth – SP: 12/1) and Jessie Allan which was beaten ‘three parts’ at 7/1 (SP).

The in-form trainer sector flattered to deceive until Roger Fell (next potential runner on Tuesday) produced a 22/1 winner for us with Plansina (7.15 Newcastle). The Musselburgh Stat Attack offered Donald McCain as one of the trainer to consider, with Donald securing a 17/1 double via his only two runners.  Lucinda Russell’s 13/1 double was not so impressive as she saddled so many runners in Edinburgh on the day.

 

SATURDAY’S OFFERING:

DEAD OF NIGHT Morning Market Assessment (at 5.00 am) – PRICES UPDATED (AVERAGE QUOTES) AND ADDITIONS MADE AT 8.00 – best of luck today guys:

ASCOT:

2.25: Two to consider with BetVictor: Crossed my Mind @ 6/1 + Oxwich Bay @ 7/1 – NOW 5/1 & 11/2 respectively

3.00: Tenor Nivernais – 10/1 (Coral & BetVictor) – NOW 15/2

Additional Ascot entries at 8.00: – NO ADDITIONS

HAYDOCK:

1.30: Positively Dylan – 10/3 (365) – NOW 3/1

2.05: Midnight Shadow – 10/1 (Stan James) – NOW 17/2

3.15: Forest Des Aigles – 12/1 (Betfair/PP) – NOW 10/1

3.45: Azzuri – 15/2 (PP) – NOW 6/1

Additional Haydock entry at 8.00:

12.55: Brynmawr – 8/1 (Betfred/Tote)

TAUNTON:

3.55: Space Oddity – 10/3 (Stan James) – NOW 11/4

Additional Taunton entries at 8.00:

1.40: Master Of Voice – 13/2 (Betfred/Tote)

2.15: Potentially coupled (small stake) interest on General Ginger – 10/1 (PP/Betfred/Tote) & Kings Lad – 33/1 (Ladbrokes/PP/Betfred/Tote) – in what could prove to be a volatile market later this morning from my viewpoint

LINGFIELD:

12.20: Pearl Spectre – 15/2 (Betbright) – NOW 6/1

1.25: Estibdadd – 9/1 (Hills) – NOW 15/2

2.00: Ginger Lady – 14/1 (Ladbrokes/Betfair/PP) – NOW 12/1

4.10: Anonymous John – 25/1 (Generally available) – DOWN TO 22/1 IN PLACES

Additional Lingfield entry at 8.00:

2.35: Grand Inquisitor – 14/1 (Generally available – though maybe not for long)

CHELMSFORD:

6.15: Berryessa – 8/1 (Betfair/PP) – NOW 15/2

7.15: Beautiful Memory – 10/3 (Hills) – NOW 9/2

7.45: Spinning Melody – 9/4 (Marathon/PP/Betfred/Tote) – NOW 15/8

Additional Chelmsford entry at 8.00:

6.45: Short Head – 9/2 (Ladbrokes)

 

IN FORM TRAINERS INCLUDE (Requirement: Minimum 25% strike rate and/or exceptional level stake profit):

15/47—Harry Whittington (+7) – 2 at Taunton: Cold March (2.15) & Djin Conti (3.25)

10/25—Nicky Henderson (+11) – 7 runners: Monbeg Legend (2.15 Taunton) & 6 at Ascot: Jenkins & Burbank (2.25), Kilcrea Vale (3.00), Brain Power (3.35) & Champ & Santini (4.05)

7/24—Charlie Appleby (+3) – 1 at Chelmsford: Menuetto (7.15)

5/12—Phil McEntee (+7) – 2 runners: Pearl Spectre (12.20 Lingfield) & Spare Parts (8.15 Chelmsford)

5/13—Henry Daly (+16) – One 20/1 chance at Ascot: Whatmore (2.25)

5/14—David Elsworth (+21) – 1 at Lingfield: Morning Has Broken (3.40)

4/6—Anthony Honeyball (+9) – 1 at Ascot: Midnight Tune (1.50)

4/9—Nick Williams (+29) – 2 runners: Diament Bleu (1.05 Taunton) & Night Of Sin (2.25 Ascot)

4/13—Warren Greatrex (+9) – 3 chances: La Bague La Roi (1.50 Ascot), Boite (2.15 Taunton) & Brianstorm (3.25 Taunton)

4/13—Archie Watson (+2) – 1 at Lingfield: Attain (1.25)

4/14—Emma Lavelle (+17) – 1 at Ascot: Fortunate George (3.00)

4/15—David Simcock (+1) – 1 at Chelmsford: Mundersfield (7.15)

4/16—Philip Hobbs – 1 at Taunton: Cotswold Way (1.05)

3/4—Mike Murphy (+23) – 1 at Chelmsford: Titan Goddess (7.45)

3/5—Donald McCain (+8) – 3 at Haydock: Testify (1.30), Waterlord (2.05) & Ubaltique (3.45) – *Note Friday’s look at Saturday’s meetings

3/6—William Haggas – 2 runners: Cosmic Love (3.40 Lingfield) & Short Head (6.45 Chemsford)

30 runners (via in form trainers) in race order

12.20: Pearl Spectre

1.05: Diament Bleu & Cotswold Way

1.25: Attain

1.30: Testify

1.50: Midnight Tune & La Bague Au Roi

2.05: Waterlord

2.15: Cold March, Boite & Monbeg Legend

2.25: Jenkins, Night Of Sin, Whatmore & Burbank

3.00: Kilcrea Vale & Fortunate George

3.25: Djin Conti & Brianstorm

3.35: Brain Power

3.40: Morning Has Broken & Cosmic Love

3.45: Ubaltique

4.05: Champ & Santini

7.15: Mundersfield & Menuetto

6.45: Short Head

7.45: Titan Goddess

8.15: Spare Parts

 

SATURDAY STAT ATTACK (Based on five year result study unless stated):

ASCOT (4 year study – meeting abandoned last year):

28 races – 11 winning favourites – 25/28 winners scored at a top price of 8/1

Average Placepot dividend: £83.60

Highest dividend: £150.10 (2014) – Lowest dividend: £34.60 (2015)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

5 winners—Paul Nicholls (12/1, 6/1, 11/2, 7/2 & 11/4) – 1 runner today: San Benedeto (3.35)

HAYDOCK:

35 races – 16 winning favourites – 31/35 winners scored at a top price of 9/1

Average Placepot dividend: £300.64

Highest dividend: £1,163.90 (2015) – Lowest dividend: £22.40 (2016)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

6 winners—Donald McCain (includes a 35/1 four-timer in 2012) – 3 runners today: Testify (1.30), Waterlord (2.05) & Ubaltique (3.45)

5 winners—Nigel Twiston-Davies (includes three winning favourites) – 3 runners today: The New One (2.40), Tintern Theatre (3.15) & The Hollow Ginge (4.15)

TAUNTON (Four year study):

26 races – 10 winning favourites – 24/26 winners scored at a top price of 11/1

Average Placepot dividend: £52.40

Highest dividend: £76.20 (2016) – Lowest dividend: £24.70 (2017)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

6 winners—Evan Williams (Prices ranging between 5/4* & 11/1) – 2 runners today: The Gipper (1.40) & Voodoo Doll (3.25)

LINGFIELD:

36 races – 6 winning favourites – 31/36 winners scored at a top price of 8/1

Average Placepot dividend: £46.30

Highest dividend: £70.30 (2017) – Lowest dividend: £12.00 (2014)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

3 winners—Mark Johnston (11/2, 9/4 & 4/9*) – 1 runner today: Fire Fighting (2.35)

Be lucky but as ever – Be aware!

 

 

 

 

 

 

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.