On Course For Profits update 24
C/f: S/R: (13/85) 15.29%; P/L: -20.03 pts (-£500.75); ROI: -23.56% [recommended system stakes - £25 win]
No selections for Thursday but three yesterday (Friday), unfortunately the best we could manage was a second place, giving figures for the day of nil strike rate for -3 points and running totals for the test period of:
S/R: (13/88) 14.77%; P/L: -23.03 pts (-£575.75); ROI: -26.17% which all looks a bit dismal.
Today, we have a single representative running at Ripon with the marginally good news that it’s currently the favourite for its race, the downside being that there’s not much value in the price but, win or lose the overall figures will not be much affected.
Unfortunately, I’m becoming more and more of the mind that (other than out of a morbid sort of entertainment) unless this system is followed for the full racing season there is very little point in considering it as part of your racing portfolio and even then it would only be, preferably (essentially?), with a few modifications (and more information about the “trimming” used to produce the Trainer/Track/Race type selection criteria) such as dutching multiple race entries, minimum price points and, most importantly to my mind, some way of incorporating 3+ year old races into the system (yes, you read that correctly, All age group races above juveniles – a substantial portion of the racing calendar’s annual content – are excluded from the system). I can fully understand why 3+ races aren’t included; the stats examination to produce a similar list of trainers/track/race types takes a hell of a lot more work, requires access to some expensive databases and demands, in some cases, working with small data sub-sets. The problem, for me, is that those are exactly the sort of areas where serious stats bods do work, as that’s where we try and gain our edge over the market as a whole – just ask Matt (or Gavin over at nag cubed).
Generalised moan over, we lurch towards Sunday, more wet weather and the hope of a winner or two (at odds that dent the current deficit!) from the quagmire of mixed messages that is OCFP 
Jez
