Aug 03

Daily analysis and Nursery service – Friday 3rd

GOODWOOD – AUGUST 3

Seven year corresponding stats for day four of the meeting:

49 races – 51 winners via 2 dead heats – 16 winning favourites – 41/51 winners scored at a top price of 12/1

Leading trainer:

8 winners—‘Team Hannon’ (four for Richard junior at 9/2, 7/2**, 15/8* & 2/5*) – 5 runners today

 

  • Corresponding stats for Newmarket for Newmarket this evening can be found below Goodwood’s race by race analysis and before today’s Nursery service which produced a 5/1 winner and a placed horse at 14/1 yesterday….

 

1.50: Four-year-olds have won ten of the last seventeen renewals, whilst securing 15 of the last 30 available Placepot positions. With Sir Michael Stoute on a hat trick in the contest, four-year-old Mirage Dancer is the call with the trainer definitely holding a chance of landing a first and last race double on the card.  Second Step could snare the runner up position for the second consecutive time in the contest.

Favourite factor: Eight favourites have won during the last 21 years, whilst 13 of the 23 market leaders have secured Placepot positions.

Win Selection: Mirage Dancer 

 

2.25: Charlie Appleby’s Glorious Journey looks a tad big at 15/2 in a few places at the time of writing, though I’m adding William Buick’s mount into the equation purely from a value for money perspective in this ‘short field’ contest. Despite the lack of numbers, too many of the other runners have opportunities to snare this prize to take the race too seriously.  New readers might like to know that the term short field relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses home reward each way investors.

Favourite factor: 13 of the last 23 favourites have claimed Placepot positions, statistics which include five winners.

Minimum each way option: Glorious Journey

 

3.00: Mark Johnston has saddled three of the last six winners of the contest when represented and it’s interesting to note that ‘Frankie’ has been booked to ride Poet’s Society here with an each way chance, especially as an uncontested lead could be on the cards.  It might prove best to wait until finding out if that scenario unfolds before placing a bet.  Fire Brigade is another win and place call to consider, possibly alongside Borderforce and last year’s winner Master The World.  I have run out of patience with South Seas, whereby now might be the right time for you to wade into Andrew Balding’s frustrating (though talented) inmate.

Favourite factor: Three favourites have prevailed in the last 21 years, whilst eleven market leaders claimed Placepot positions in the process.

 

3.35: Battaash boasts obvious claims to follow up his victory in the race last year, though regular readers will be aware that I tend to sidestep these ‘superior’ sprint races given that the form book flies out of the window all too frequently.  Media types hail these “superstars” far too often and the truth of the matter is that there have been no great sprinters for several years now, none that totally dominate the sector at any rate.  Sioux Nation might be the latest ‘party-pooper’, though speculative investors could do worse that to consider the win and place claims of Michael Bell’s dark horse Main Desire, whilst Havana Grey is expected to run his race.

Favourite factor: Six favourites have scored during the last 21 years, whilst twelve market leaders claimed Placepot positions in the process.

 

4.10: The last 14 winners have carried a maximum burden of 9-3. Charlie Appleby appears to have found a fine opportunity for Leading Spirit in order to maintain his perfect (1/1) start in the Nursery sector this season.  Well in here by some ten pounds according to the official assessor, William Buick’s mount might only need to be steered in the right direction to score, though we have heard such comments once or twice before!  If you generally oppose 6/4 chances in such big fields, I guess there are worse each way options that Tin Hat (despite hailing from the wrong end of the handicap) and Swiss Cross at 16/1 & 20/1 respectively at the time of writing.  The chance of Jungle Inthebungle is not entirely written off either; despite the general 25/1 quote.

Favourite factor: Five clear market leaders, one co and one joint favourite have scored during the study period, whilst 13 of the last 21 jollies have reached the frame. That said, Seven of the last 18 winners of this nursery event have scored at 25/1–20/1–20/1–16/1–12/1–10/1–10/1.

 

4.40: Three-year-olds have won 15 of the last 21 renewals and vintage representatives are around the 8/11 mark to extend the good run before the form book is consulted, as long as further non-runners fail to rear their ugly heads before flag fall.  French raiders have snared the last three renewals which is an obvious pointer towards the chance of Sequilla.  Mick Channon is running his horses sparingly at Goodwood this week despite saddling a winner already whereby I’ll take a chance that Dan’s Dream can revert to winning ways at a decent price this afternoon, for all that the Sequilla might prove difficult to beat.

Favourite factor: Six favourites have won during the last 21 years, whilst 13 of the 21 market leaders throughout the study period claimed Placepot positions.

Each way selection: Dan’s Dream

 

5.15: Slightly upped in trip here by trainer Tom Dascombe, Epaulement has been supported on the exchanges overnight and it is not difficult to see why.  Two fine efforts at Haydock of late have been recorded whereby the 11/1 general quote is worth a nibble, or perhaps even more if the day has treated you well before Goodwood’s finale.  Others to consider include Baritone and Howman.  Sir Michael Stoute’s first named raider could be a blot on the handicap at the price I guess though at the odds on offer, Epaulement is the win and place call.

Favourite factor: Favourites of one description or another have won three of the last seven renewals during which time, six of the seven winners were returned at a top price of 4/1.  The three previous scorers however were sent off at 25/1, 16/1 & 14/1.

Each way selection: Epaulement

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an ‘exact science’, whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not ‘placed’ regarding my statistics.

 

Five year corresponding stats for Newmarket this evening:

34 races – 13 winning favourites – 31/34 winners scored at a atop price of 12/1

Leading trainer:

A trio of trainers have saddled three winners, the pick of which is (arguably) Andrew Balding (10/1, 9/1 & 13/2) who has one runner on the card at 5.50, namely Pilgrim Soul.

 

Today’s Nursery races:

1.40 Thirsk:

Archie Watson gave us a nice (5/1) Nursery winner yesterday and the trainer attempts 3/3 stats in the sector this season with Investia.

Without getting too technical in this four runner event, Holy Doyle’s mount has New Winds to beat.

2.10 Thirsk:

Deviner deserves her place at the head of the market this morning and investors will know their fate early doors because she is likely to take these five rivals along and as long as she enjoys a fairly comfortable lead up front, Mark Johnston can claim another Nursery success.

If you fancy taking the projected market leader on however, the 5/1 offer by Hills about Packington Lane looks plenty big enough from my viewpoint.

4.10 Goodwood:

Charlie Appleby appears to have found a fine opportunity for Leading Spirit in order to maintain his perfect (1/1) start in the Nursery sector this season.  Well in here by some ten pounds according to the official assessor, William Buick’s mount might only need to be steered in the right direction to score, though we have heard such comments once or twice before!

If you generally oppose 6/4 chances in such big fields, I guess there are worse each way options that Tin Hat and Swiss Cross at 16/1 & 20/1 respectively at the time of writing.

7.50 Musselburgh:

There was a time not so long ago that Brian Smart’s juveniles were feared at Musselburgh more than the sassenachs from far and near and certainly the 14/1 general quote about Tick Tock Croc catches the eye in a race which would otherwise create little interest from your truly.

That said, I’m not sure that Capitan James should be regarded as the rag in the field given that trainer can work miracles with his stock on occasions, whilst the relevant sire is Society Rock who has already claimed a two-year-old handicap winner this season.

 

Nursery stats this season (24 races – 186 runners – as of Friday morning – 3rd August):

Favourite stats (25):                     

13 winners – 3 placed – 9 unplaced

Odds on favourites:                          

2/4

Winning trainers:

3/13—Richard Fahey (3/1, 7/2 & 4/1**)

2/2—Archie Watson (11/2 & 5/1)

2/3—Rod Millman (14/1 & 9/2)

2/4—James Tate (9/4* & 5/4*)

1/1—Charlie Appleby (4/6*)

1/1—William Jarvis (6/1)

1/1—George Peckham (6/5*)

1/1—Saeed Bin Suroor (13/8*)

1/2—Eve Johnson Houghton (12/1)

1/2—Hugo Palmer (11/4)

1/2—Nigel Tinkler (7/2)

1/2—Stuart Williams (7/4*)

1/3—Clive Cox (5/4*)

1/3—Richard Spencer (7/2)

1/4—Kevin Ryan (6/4*)

1/6—David Evans (11/4*)

1/7—Michael Bell (11/4*)

1/14—Mark Johnston (8/13*)

1/19—Richard Hannon (7/4*)

Trainers of beaten favourites:

3—Mark Johnston (4/7, 7/4 & 7/2)

Ralph Beckett (6/4)

Mick Channon (5/2)

Clive Cox (4/1)

Tom Dascombe (4/1**)

William Haggas (15/8)

Charlie Hills (4/1)

Eve Johnson Houghton (8/11)

Jamie Osborne (5/2)

Jonathan Portman (15/8)

Stats of first three in the betting:

72 relevant runners: 22 winners – 17 placed – 33 unplaced

Stats of horses starting in single figures (9/1 or less):

102 runners – 22 winners – 23 placed – 57 unplaced (54.8% of runners)

Stats of horses starting in double figures (10/1 or more):

84 runners – 2 winners – 9 placed – 73 unplaced (45.2% of total runners)

Weight2 – Aggreate stats:

Horses carrying 9-0+ – 15 winners – 16 placed – 58 unplaced (47.8% of runners)

8-13 or less: 9 winners – 16 placed – 72 unplaced (52.2% of total numbers)

 

Weights carried by beaten favourites:

3 at 9-7

2 at 9-2

One at 9-11

One at 9-10

One at 9-9

One at 9-6

One at 9-5

One at 9-0

One at 8-13

 

OTHER TRAINER RECORDS THIS SEASON (YET TO SADDLE A WINNER):

0/1—Alan Berry

0/1—Marco Botti

0/1—Paul Cole

0/1—Susan Corbett

0/1—Keith Dalgleish

0/1—Seamus Durack

0/1—Conor Dore

0/1—Chris Dwyer

0/1—Mick Easterby

0/1—Robert Eddery

0/1—Paul George

0/1—Gay Kelleway

0/1—Daniel Kubler

0/1—Michael Madgwick

0/1—Amy Murphy

0/1—David O’Meara

0/1—Adrian Nicholls

0/1—Amanda Perrett

0/1—Jonathan Portman

0/1—Sir Mark Prescott

0/1—Bryan Smart

0/1—Bill Turner

0/2—Andrew Balding

0/2—Karl Burke

0/2—Tom Clover

0/2—Michael Dods

0/2—Roger Fell

0/2—John Gallagher

0/2—Ron Harris

0/2—Brian Meehan

0/2—William Muir

0/2—Joseph Tuite

0/2—Philip McBride

0/2—Stan Moore

0/2—Adam West

0/3—Declan Carroll

0/3—Ed Dunlop

0/3—Charlie Hills

0/3—Hughie Morrison

0/3—Jamie Osborne

0/4—Ralph Beckett

0/4—Tim Easterby

0/4—William Haggas

0/4—Richard Hughes

0/4—Sylvester Kirk

0/5—Mick Channon

0/8—Tom Dascombe

 

WINNING SIRES:

4—Kodiac

2—Exceed And Excel

2—Sir Prancealot

1—Bernardini

1—Bungle Inthejungle

1—Camacho

1—Clodovil

1—Compton Place

1—Dark Angel

1—Dawn Approach

1—Dutch Art

1—Holy Roman Emperor

1—Oasis Dream

1—Pedro The Great

1—Requinto

1—Sir Percy

1—Slade Power

1—Society Rock

1—Zebedee

 

FOALING DATES:

8 winners—February

7—April

6—March

3—January

None to date–May

 

NURSERY RUNNERS THIS SEASON:

2 wins – Greeley (won off official ratings of 60 & 66)

2 wins – Implicit (73 & 80)

1 win – Barend Boy (79)

1 win – Buckingham (76)

1 win – Capla Gilda (61)

1 win – Dark Shadow (74)

1 win – Jfoul (79)

1 win – Kodyanna (83)

1 win – Lady Katy (65)

1 win – Leading Spirit (76)

1 win – Luchador (72)

1 win – More Than This (88)

1 win – Octave (86)

1 win – Porcelain Girl (71)

1 win – Princess Power (63)

1 win – Semoum (83)

1 win – Society Queen (76)

1 win – The Great Heir (77)

1 win – Leoube (71) & 1 placed (66)

1 win (76) & 1 unplaced (78) – Don Armado

1 win (65) & 1 unplaced (69) – North Korea

1 win – (78) & 1 unplaced (85) – Revich

2 x Placed – Devils Roc (57 twice)

2 x Placed – Nayslayer (69 twice)

Placed – Amadeus Grey (76)

Placed – Arctic Spirit (67)

Placed – Auusie View (82)

Placed – Dixieland (74)

Placed – Essenza (67)

Placed – Finoah (78)

Placed – Greenback Boogie (78)

Placed – Gunforhire (64)

Placed – Hieronymus (78)

Placed – Kyroc (65)

Placed – Indian Viceroy (79)

Placed – Mayson Mac (78)

Placed – Moojim (72)

Placed – Que Amoro (79)

Placed – Requited (71)

Placed – Showu (71)

Placed – Thegreyvtrain (64)

Placed – Wolf Hunter (64)

Placed – Xtara (78)

Placed – All Back To Mine (60) & Unplaced (60)

Placed – Big Ace (81) & Unplaced (79)

Placed – Dancing Speed (68) & Unplaced (70)

Placed – Delft Dancer (78) & Unplaced (78)

Placed – I Am A Dreamer (87) & Unplaced (87)

Placed – Improvising (66) & Unplaced (67)

Placed – No Lippy (87) & Unplaced (87)

Placed – Two Blondes (73) & Unplaced (77)

Unplaced x 2 – Camachess (69 twice)

Unplaced – Alfie Solomons (82)

Unplaced – Anlan Bil Emarati (76)

Unplaced – Arbuckle (60)

Unplaced – Arishka (63)

Unplaced – Artair (83)

Unplaced – Artistic Rifles (75)

Unplaced – Aurag (79)

Unplaced – Awake In Asia (75)

Unplaced – Bandola (63)

Unplaced – Barbegazi (57)

Unplaced – Barristan The Bold (82)

Unplaced – Beauty Concept (70)

Unplaced – Bengali Spirit (73)

Unplaced – Big Boots (85)

Unplaced – Bouncin Back (65)

Unplaced – Capala (68)

Unplaced – Capla Rock (77)

Unplaced – Carrie’s Vision (76)

Unplaced – Chonburi (71)

Unplaced – Clevedon (60)

Unplaced – Corinthian Star (60)

Unplaced – Cruck Railie (62)

Unplaced – Cupboard Love (88)

Unplaced – Dave Dexter (88)

Unplaced – Deputise (85)

Unplaced – Dombra (80)

Unplaced – Don’t Tell Dandy (63)

Unplaced – Double Quick (67)

Unplaced – Duke Of Yorkie (61)

Unplaced – Early Edition (67)

Unplaced – Elieden (68)

Unplaced – Even Keel (76)

Unplaced – Fast Endeavour (61)

Unplaced – Firewater (65)

Unplaced – Forseti (81)

Unplaced – Glorious Dave (71)

Unplaced – Habanera (56)

Unplaced – Hard Taskmaster (61)

Unplaced – High Horse (83)

Unplaced – House Deposit (62)

Unplaced – Immokalee (76)

Unplaced – Islay Mist (66)

Unplaced – Jaayiz (75)

Unplaced – Jazz Hands (58)

Unplaced – Juniors Fantasy (58)

Unplaced – Knockabout Queen (71)

Unplaced – Lady Lavinia (64)

Unplaced – Li Kui (75)

Unplaced – Made In Lewisham (64)

Unplaced – Majestic Appeal (65)

Unplaced – Minas Gerais (70)

Unplaced – Nakakande (82)

Unplaced – No More Regrets (84)

Unplaced – Not So Shy (68)

Unplaced – Oberyn Martell (93)

Unplaced – Oona (74)

Unplaced – Phyllis (48)

Unplaced – Pink Porrino (57)

Unplaced – Pirate (71)

Unplaced – Popping Corks (66)

Unplaced – Posh Perfect (7/2)

Unplaced – Poy Luck (63)

Unplaced – Prairie Spy (87)

Unplaced – Reddiac (71)

Unplaced – Roca Magica (56)

Unplaced – Rock Party (63)

Unplaced – Rollicking (77)

Unplaced – Shaybani (90)

Unplaced – Society Shock (78)

Unplaced – So Hi Sroem (66)

Unplaced – Spirit Kingdom (77)

Unplaced – St Ouen (69)

Unplaced – Sufficient (72)

Unplaced – Swiss Peak (70)

Unplaced – Sword Of Gold (74)

Unplaced – Sybil Grans (60)

Unplaced – Temple Of Wonder (72)

Unplaced – The Fluter (58)

Unplaced – The Last Party (78)

Unplaced – Tinto (68)

Unplaced – Tisneverending (56)

Unplaced – Treasure Quest (74)

Unplaced – Triple One (68)

Unplaced – Water Diviner (82)

Unplaced – Wolstonbury (63)

Unplaced – Yellow Fire (66)

2 x Unplaced – Al Manhalah (56 & 52)

2 x Unplaced – Be Proud (67) & (66)

2 x Unplaced – Blyton (81 & 79)

2 x Unplaced – Free Love (71 & 69)

2 x Unplaced – James Watt (86 & 88)

2 x Unplaced – Max Guevara (66) & (63)

2 x Unplaced – Raskkolnikov (67) & (66)

2 x Unplaced – Red Hut Red (68 &72)

2 x Unplaced – Solesmes (69 & 67)

2 x Unplaced – Staycation (75 & 74)

2 x Unplaced – Tarrzan (71 & 67)

2 x Unplaced – Tobeornottobe (58 & 56)

2 x Unplaced – Ventura Bay (70 & 68)

3 x Unplaced – Five Helmets (68, 70 & 71)

 

 

 

 

 

Aug 03

Mal Boyle Stats – Friday 3rd

Thursday’s school report:

Still hitting the woodwork too often –  though two winners emerged at 9/2 (returned at 4/1) & 4/1 (5/1) one of which which came via my Nursery work – most horses are still being well backed as were the two placed horses at 20/1 (14/1) & 14/1 (10/1) – the second of which was another product of my Nursery endeavours.

  • Glorious Goodwood stats for this week updated below

FRIDAY – Dead of Night MMA report at 6.30 (Unusual note to consider):

A few of the horses mentioned at Musselburgh and (arguably) Bangor are of considerable interest today….

GOODWOOD:

1.50: Mirage Dancer – 15/8 (Generally available)

2.25: Ostillo – 11/2 (Generally available)

3.00: Fire Brigade – 11/1 (Generally available)

3.35: Sioux Nation – 13/2 (Generally available)

4.40: Dan’s Dream – 14/1 (Marathon)

5.15: Epaulement – 11/1 (Betfair/PP)

NEWMARKET: 

5.50: Pilgrim Soul – 13/2 (Generally available)

7.00: Al Kout– 14/1 (Betfair/PP)

7.30: Lady Freyja – 14/1 (Generally available)

8.30: The Daley Express – 9/1 (Betfair/PP)

MUSSELBURGH: 

5.40: Tynecastle Park – 14/1 (365/Hills/Betway/BetVictor)

6.10: Flint Hill – 4/1 (Generally available)

6.45: Two horses to consider: Our Charlie Brown – 6/1 (Ladbrokes/Mara/PP) & Inner Circle – 10/1 (Betfair/PP)

7.20: Royal Brave – 13/2 (Betfair/PP)

7.50: Tick Tock Croc – 14/1 (Generally available)

8.20: Danzay – 9/2 (365/BetVictor)

8.50: Pea Shooter – 6/1 (365/BetVictor)

THIRSK:

3.20: Donny Belle – 5/2 (365/Skybet/BetVictor)

5.35: Raffle King – 8/1 (Betfair/PP)

BANGOR:

2.35: Above Board – 6/1 (Generally available)

3.45: Salto Chisco – 9/2 (Skybet/Hills/888)

4.20: Oakmont – 7/2 (Generally available)

4.50: Handy Hollow – 8/1 (Skybet/Marathon)

WOLVERHAMPTON:

5.30: Capla Demon – 3/1 (PP)

6.35: Haadhir – 5/1 (Hills/Betfair)

7.10: Nutini – 18/1 (Paddy Power)

7.40: Penny Poet – 6/1 (365)

 

GLORIOUS GOODWOOD STATS THIS WEEK:

21 races – 9 winning favourites – 18/21 winners scored at a top price of 11/1

Leading trainers:

3/20–Mark Johnston (10/3*) – 10 runners today!

2/11–William Haggas (13/2* & 9/2*) – 5 runners today

2/21–Richard Hannon (7/1 & 6/1) – 5 runners

1/1–Neil King (11/4*) – No more runners this week

1/2–Richard Spencer (5/1) – 1 runner

1/2–George Baker (125/1) – None today – 1 runner on Saturday

1/2–David Elsworth (5/1**) – One runner today – that’s all  at Goodwood this week

1/2–Ron Harris (16/1) – No more runners at Goodwood this week!

1/2–William Knight (20/1) – None today 1 runner on Saturday

1/2–John Quinn (6/1) – None today – 1 on Saturday

1/3–Charlie Appleby (4/1) – 3 runenrs

1/4–Mick Channon (11/1) – 2 runners

1/4–John Gosden (4/5*) – No more runners this week!!!

1/5–Aidan O’Brien (5/2*) – 4 runners

1/6–Roger Varian (11/4) – 2 runners

1/9–David Simcock (9/1) – No more runners at Goodwood this week

1/10–Richard Fahey (4/1**) – 3 runners

Leading jockeys:

3/11–Silvestre De Siousa (7/2*, 10/3* & 11/4*) – None today

3/17–Ryan Moore (7/1, 6/1 & 5/2*) – 6 rides

2/9–Andrea Atzeni (11/1 & 4/5*) – 7 rides

2/13–P J McDonald (16/1) – 4 rides

1/1–Jason Hart (6/1) – No more rides at Goodwood this week

1/2–Tom Queally (9/1) – No more rides at Goodwood this week

1/2–Jimmy Quinn (20/1) – No more rides this week at Goodwood

1/4–Garald Mosse (5/1**)  – 2 rides

1/4–Pat Cosgrove (125/1) – No more booked rides at Goodwood this week

1/6–David Egan (11/4) – 3 rides

1/7–Jim Crowley (13/2*) – 5 rides

1/10–William Buick (4/1) – 5 rides

1/11–Paul Hanagan (4/1**) – 4 rides

1/12–James Doyle (9/2*) – 4 rides

1/12–Oisin Murphy (9/1) – 6 rides

Aug 02

Daily analysis & Nursery service – Thursday 2nd

GOODWOOD – AUGUST 2

 

Seven year corresponding stats at this meeting:

49 races – 19 winning favourites – 43/49 winners scored at a top price of 12/1

Leading trainers:

5 winners—Richard Hannon (11/1, 7/2, 10/3*, 15/8* & 2/5*) – 10 runners at Goodwood today

5 winners—Mark Johnston (18/1, 14/1, 9/1, 8/1, 8/1) – 6 runners on the card today

 

  • Five year corresponding stats for Epsom can be found below after the race by race Goodwood analysis and before the Nursery details/selections for a pair of two-year-old handicap events today

 

1.50: 14 of the last 17 winners have carried weights of 9-1 or less, whilst Mark Johnston (responsible for the 25/1 runner up In 2012 before saddling two of the last five winners at 14/1 & 8/1 winners) is looking for his seventh gold medallist in the contest during the last twenty one years.  Mark has declared Communique from the ‘superior’ sector of the handicap, though Ventura Knight is no forlorn hope for the stable at around the 20/1 mark.  Another outsider that catches the eye is Global Giant, the only booked ride on the day at Goodwood for Gerald Mosse who scored aboard Sir Dancealot here on Tuesday (no mounts at the meeting yesterday).

Favourite factor: Favourites have won six of the last sixteen renewals of this opening event on day three of the meeting.  11 of the last 21 market leaders have snared Placepot positions.

Win selection: Communique

Each way options? Venture Knight & Global Giant

 

2.25: Four-year-olds have won five of the last nine renewals of the ‘Lillie Langtry’, with vintage representatives at 6/7 to extend the good run before form (and potential non-runners) is taken into consideration.  John Gosden stood by Frankie Dettori the second that Angels Hideaway passed the post before Frankie received his well-documented (eventually reduced) ban.  I find it interesting that Frankie has his first ride back aboard John’s raider Precious Ramotswe and even more so now that the money has started to increase on the positive exchanges for John’s four-year-old Nathanial filly.  Potential party-poopers include God Given and Maid To Remember.

Favourite factor: Six of the sixteen favourites have claimed Placepot positions (three winners) via the last fourteen renewals.

Win selection: Precious Ramotswe

 

3.00: ‘Team Hannon’ has secured six of the last nine renewals of this Group 2 Richmond Stakes and unsurprisingly, stable contender Neverland Rock has attracted plenty of overnight support, notwithstanding the booking of Frankie Dettori.  Land Force is rated as the main threat ahead of Konchek, though I still have plenty of respect for Clive Cox’s latter named Lethal Force fily.

Favourite factor: Seven winning favourites to report in ‘recent’ seasons (2015, 2014, 2012, 2011, 2010, 2006 & 1999), whilst 12 of the last 22 market leaders have secured Placepot positions during the last 16 years.

Each way Selection: Neverland Rock

 

3.35: Three-year-olds have won 13 of the last 19 renewals, whilst John Gosden has secured thee of the last six renewals.  John is not represented today which makes the odds about the 1000 Guineas raiders (winner and fourth respectively) Billesdon Brook and Wild Illusion interesting.  Add the Coronation Stakes bronze medallist Veracious into the mix and we have three junior raiders which possess definite claims, despite what the market might suggest.  That said, I find it difficult to choose between the trio – no bet.

Favourite factor: Favourites have won twelve of the last twenty one renewals of this Nassau Stakes (including nine of the last fifteen) whilst market leaders have secured seventeen Placepot positions during the study period.  The biggest priced winner during the period has been returned at 11/2 if we conveniently forget the 20/1 gold medallist five years ago.

 

4.10: It’s little wonder that Billesdon Brook won this two-year-old handicap twelve months ago before landing the 1000 Guineas in May in great style! The Hannon team have saddled four of the last nine winners, with No More Regrets offering some value at around the 20/1 mark this morning.  The fact that the relevant sire Kodiak has secured four two-year-old handicaps already this season adds confidence.  That said, Shaybani also represents the sire and having finished halfway down the pack in the Coventry Stakes, the Richard Hughes raider holds sway from my viewpoint.  Forseti deserves his place in the line up, whilst there was interesting money developing for Greenback Boogie when scribing this column.

Favourite factor: Three clear market leaders and one joint favourite have obliged during the last fourteen years. Eight of the last ten market leaders have secured Placepot positions which is a perfectly reasonable record as far as Nursery events are concerned.

Each way selection: Shaybani

 

4.45: Deira Surprise is the subject of plenty of support at the time of writing and I suspect that Hugo Palmer’s Slade Power raider will prove difficult to kick out of the frame.  I am a little surprised at the lack of attention paid to Incharge from the Charlie Hills yard, as this expensive purchase is a half-sister to Poet’s Word. There will be plenty more to come over a distance of ground I’ll wager but either way, it’s worth recording this event to keep an eye on Incharge (and some of the other juveniles) which could make their mark over the coming months.

Favourite factor: Eight clear market leaders and two joint favourites have won during the last twenty one years.  14 of the 23 market leaders have secured Placepot positions during the extended study period.

Each way selection: Deira Surprise

Speculative win and place saver? Incharge

 

5.20: It will be interesting to see how Embour runs having tasted defeat following a hat trick of victories.  Either way, Kick On Kick On is expected to be too strong for the opposition on behalf of Clive Cox and those successful Rooney owners…..

Favourite factor: Last year’s successful 10/3 favourite was the only winning market leader during the last decade.

Win selection: Kick On Kick On

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an ‘exact science’, whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not ‘placed’ regarding my statistics.

 

Five year corresponding stats for the meeting at Epsom this evening:

30 races – 31 winners via one dead heat – 9 winning favourites – 28/31 winners scored at a top price of 15/2

Leading trainer:

4 winners—Andrew Balding (28/1, 6/1, 9/2 & 5/6*) – 2 runners tonight: Private Cashier (7.30) & Macaque (8.00)

 

Nursery races today at Goodwood & Ffos Las:

4.10 Goodwood:

Easily the biggest field of the Nursery season so far whereby stakes should be kept low, albeit Shaybani stands out from the crowd for a few reasons.

Richard Hughes saddles just his third two-year-old handicapper this season (no winner to date) and his each way chance is there to see having followed up a half decent effort in the Coventry Stakes at Royal Ascot before breaking his duck at Chepstow.

Kodiac has already been responsible for four Nursery winners in 2018 and Shane Kelly’s mount is no forlorn hope to add to the tally, despite being on offer in double figures this morning.  Forseti is considered the main danger, though there is some interesting money for Greenback Boogie at the time of writing.  No More regrets is also expect to out run her current 20/1 price tag.

 

5.30 Ffos Las:

Archie Watson won with his only previous Nursery runner this season with a 9/2 chance and with Capla Gilda likely to start at those odds (there or thereabouts), Archie could double his tally in the sector.

Finley Marsh continues to be good value for his five pound claim and Richard Hughes uses the ‘edge’ here with Improvising who could complete a big priced Nursery double for the yard today.

This pair will do for me against the other eleven contenders.

 

Nursery stats this season (22 races – 156 runners – as of Thursday morning – 2nd August):

Favourite stats (22):                     

12 winners – 2 placed – 18 unplaced

Odds on favourites:                          

2/4

Winning trainers:

2/3—Rod Millman (14/1 & 9/2)

2/4—James Tate (9/4* & 5/4*)

2/12—Richard Fahey (3/1 & 7/2)

1/1—Charlie Appleby (4/6*)

1/1—William Jarvis (6/1)

1/1—George Peckham (6/5*)

1/1—Saeed Bin Suroor (13/8*)

1/1—Archie Watson (11/2)

1/3—Clive Cox (5/4*)

1/2—Eve Johnson Houghton (12/1)

1/2—Hugo Palmer (11/4)

1/2—Nigel Tinkler (7/2)

1/2—Stuart Williams (7/4*)

1/3—Richard Spencer (7/2)

1/4—David Evans (11/4*)

1/4—Kevin Ryan (6/4*)

1/6—Michael Bell (11/4*)

1/13—Mark Johnston (8/13*)

1/13—Richard Hannon (7/4*)

Trainers of beaten favourites:

3—Mark Johnston (4/7, 7/4 & 7/2)

Ralph Beckett (6/4)

Mick Channon (5/2)

Clive Cox (4/1)

William Haggas (15/8)

Eve Johnson Houghton (8/11)

Jamie Osborne (5/2)

Jonathan Portman (15/8)

Stats of first three in the betting:

66 relevant runners: 20 winners – 15 placed – 31 unplaced

Stats of horses starting in single figures (9/1 or less):

94 runners – 20 winners – 21 placed – 53 unplaced (60.2% of runners)

Stats of horses starting in double figures (10/1 or more):

62 runners – 2 winners – 6 placed – 54 unplaced (39.8% of total runners)

Weight Stats (winners – placed – unplaced):

10-4 – 1-0-0

9-13 – 0-1-0

9-11 – 0-0-1

9-10 – 1-1-1

9-9 – 2-0-1

9-8 – 0-1-1

9-7 – 2–2-8

9-6 – 2-1-4

9-5 – 1-2-4

9-4 – 0-1-3

9-3 – 2-1-4

9-2 – 1-3-3

9-1 – 0-0-6

9-0 – 1-1-8

8-13 – 1-0-5

8-12 – 2-1-3

8-11 – 1-0-6

8-10 – 0-2-10

8-9 – 0-0-5

8-8 – 2-1-1

8-7 – 1-0-2

8-6 – 0-0-6

8-5 – 0-2-4

8-4 – 0-1-5

8-3 – 1-1-5

8-2 – 0-0-2

8-1 – 0-2-1

8-0 – 1-2-4

7-13 – 0-0-1

7-10 – 0-0-1

7-9 – 1-0-0

7-8 – 0-0-1

7-7 – 0-0-1

Aggregate stats:

Horses carrying 9-0+ – 13 winners – 14 placed – 44 unplaced (45.5% of runners)

8-13 or less: 9 winners – 13 placed – 63 unplaced (54.5% of total numbers)

 

Weights carried by beaten favourites:

3 at 9-7

2 at 9-2

One at 9-11

One at 9-10

One at 9-9

One at 9-6

One at 9-5

 

OTHER TRAINER RECORDS THIS SEASON (YET TO SADDLE A WINNER):

0/1—Alan Berry

0/1—Marco Botti

0/1—Paul Cole

0/1—Susan Corbett

0/1—Keith Dalgleish

0/1—Conor Dore

0/1—Chris Dwyer

0/1—Mick Easterby

0/1—Robert Eddery

0/1—Charlie Hills

0/1—Gay Kelleway

0/1—Daniel Kubler

0/1—Michael Madgwick

0/1—Amy Murphy

0/1—William Muir

0/1—David O’Meara

0/1—Brian Meehan

0/1—Hughie Morrison

0/1—Adrian Nicholls

0/1—Amanda Perrett

0/1—Jonathan Portman

0/1—Sir Mark Prescott

0/1—Bryan Smart

0/1—Bill Turner

0/2—Karl Burke

0/2—Tom Clover

0/2—Michael Dods

0/2—Ed Dunlop

0/2—Roger Fell

0/2—John Gallagher

0/2—Ron Harris

0/2—Richard Hughes

0/2—Jamie Osborne

0/2—Joseph Tuite

0/2—Philip McBride

0/2—Stan Moore

0/2—Adam West

0/3—Ralph Beckett

0/3—Declan Carroll

0/4—Mick Channon

0/4—Tim Easterby

0/4—William Haggas

0/4—Sylvester Kirk

0/7—Tom Dascombe

 

WINNING SIRES:

4—Kodiac

2—Exceed And Excel

2—Sir Prancealot

1—Bernardini

1—Bungle Inthejungle

1—Camacho

1—Clodovil

1—Dark Angel

1—Dawn Approach

1—Holy Roman Emperor

1—Oasis Dream

1—Pedro The Great

1—Requinto

1—Sir Percy

1—Slade Power

1—Society Rock

1—Zebedee

 

FOALING DATES:

8 winners—February

6—April

5—March

3—January

None to date–May

 

NURSERY RUNNERS THIS SEASON:

2 wins – Greeley (won off official ratings of 60 & 66)

2 wins – Implicit (73 & 80)

1 win – Barend Boy (79)

1 win – Buckingham (76)

1 win – Dark Shadow (74)

1 win – Jfoul (79)

1 win – Kodyanna (83)

1 win – Lady Katy (65)

1 win – Leading Spirit (76)

1 win – Luchador (72)

1 win – Octave (86)

1 win – Porcelain Girl (71)

1 win – Revich (78)

1 win – Semoum (83)

1 win – The Great Heir (77)

1 win – Leoube (71) & 1 placed (66)

1 win (76) & 1 unplaced (78) – Don Armado

1 win (65) & 1 unplaced (69) – North Korea

Placed x 2 – Nayslayer (69 twice)

Placed – Amadeus Grey (76)

Placed – Arctic Spirit (67)

Placed – Auusie View (82)

Placed – Devils Roc (57)

Placed – Dixieland (74)

Placed – Essenza (67)

Placed – Finoah (78)

Placed – Gunforhire (64)

Placed – Kyroc (65)

Placed – Mayson Mac (78)

Placed – Moojim (72)

Placed – Que Amoro (79)

Placed – Requited (71)

Placed – Showu (71)

Placed – Thegreyvtrain (64)

Placed – Two Blondes (73)

Placed – Wolf Hunter (64)

Placed – Xtara (78)

Placed – All Back To Mine (60) & Unplaced (60)

Placed – Big Ace (81) & Unplaced (79)

Placed – Dancing Speed (68) & Unplaced (70)

Placed – Delft Dancer (78) & Unplaced (78)

Placed – I Am A Dreamer (87) & Unplaced (87)

Placed – No Lippy (87) & Unplaced (87)

Unplaced x 2 – Camachess (69 twice)

Unplaced – Alfie Solomons (82)

Unplaced – Anlan Bil Emarati (76)

Unplaced – Arbuckle (60)

Unplaced – Arishka (63)

Unplaced – Artair (83)

Unplaced – Aurag (79)

Unplaced – Awake In Asia (75)

Unplaced – Bandola (63)

Unplaced – Beauty Concept (70)

Unplaced – Bengali Spirit (73)

Unplaced – Be Proud

Unplaced – Big Boots (85)

Unplaced – Bouncin Back (65)

Unplaced – Capala (68)

Unplaced – Capla Rock (77)

Unplaced – Carrie’s Vision (76)

Unplaced – Clevedon (60)

Unplaced – Corinthian Star (60)

Unplaced – Cruck Railie (62)

Unplaced – Dave Dexter (88)

Unplaced – Deputise (85)

Unplaced – Dombra (80)

Unplaced – Don’t Tell Dandy (63)

Unplaced – Double Quick (67)

Unplaced – Duke Of Yorkie (61)

Unplaced – Early Edition (67)

Unplaced – Elieden (68)

Unplaced – Even Keel (76)

Unplaced – Fast Endeavour (61)

Unplaced – Firewater (65)

Unplaced – Glorious Dave (71)

Unplaced – Habanera (56)

Unplaced – Hard Taskmaster (61)

Unplaced – High Horse (83)

Unplaced – House Deposit (62)

Unplaced – Immokalee (76)

Unplaced – Improvising (67)

Unplaced – Islay Mist (66)

Unplaced – Jaayiz (75)

Unplaced – James Watt (86)

Unplaced – Jazz Hands (58)

Unplaced – Juniors Fantasy (58)

Unplaced – Knockabout Queen (71)

Unplaced – Lady Lavinia (64)

Unplaced – Li Kui (75)

Unplaced – Majestic Appeal (65)

Unplaced – Max Guevara (66)

Unplaced – Minas Gerais (70)

Unplaced – Nakakande (82)

Unplaced – Not So Shy (68)

Unplaced – Oberyn Martell (93)

Unplaced – Oona (74)

Unplaced – Phyllis (48)

Unplaced – Pink Porrino (57)

Unplaced – Pirate (71)

Unplaced – Posh Perfect (7/2)

Unplaced – Prairie Spy (87)

Unplaced – Raskkolnikov (67)

Unplaced – Roca Magica (56)

Unplaced – Rock Party (63)

Unplaced – Rollicking (77)

Unplaced – Society Shock (78)

Unplaced – So Hi Sroem (66)

Unplaced – Spirit Kingdom (77)

Unplaced – Sufficient (72)

Unplaced – Swiss Peak (70)

Unplaced – Sword Of Gold (74)

Unplaced – Temple Of Wonder (72)

Unplaced – The Fluter (58)

Unplaced – The Last Party (78)

Unplaced – Tinto (68)

Unplaced – Tisneverending (56)

Unplaced – Traesure Quest (74)

Unplaced – Triple One (68)

Unplaced – Wolstonbury (63)

Unplaced – Yellow Fire (66)

2 x Unplaced – Al Manhalah (56 & 52)

2 x Unplaced – Blyton (81 & 79)

2 x Unplaced – Free Love (71 & 69)

2 x Unplaced – Red Hut Red (68 &72)

2 x Unplaced – Solesmes (69 & 67)

2 x Unplaced – Staycation (75 & 74)

2 x Unplaced – Tarrzan (71 & 67)

2 x Unplaced – Tobeornottobe (58 & 56)

2 x Unplaced – Ventura Bay (70 & 68)

3 x Unplaced – Five Helmets (68, 70 & 71)

 

 

 

Aug 02

Mal Boyle Stats – Thursday 2nd

Wednesday’s school report:

Still hitting the woodwork too often (another five placed horses yesterday – three of them second at 9/1, 9/1 & 9/4), though 3 WINNERS emerged at 10/1 (returned 12/1), 5/1 (11/4) & 9/2 (13/8) – most horses are still being well backed – stay patient as we’re not losing money since our glorious weekend, we’re just not adding to the fund – that’s all!

  • Glorious Goodwood stats for this week updated below

WEDNESDAY – Dead of Night MMA report at 6.30:

GOODWOOD:

2.25: Precious Ramotswe – 13/2 (Generally available)

3.00: Neverland Rock – 13/2 (365/Unibet)

3.35: Wild Illusion – 9/2 (Generally available)

4.10: Greenbank Boogie – 14/1 (Ladbrokes/Betfair/PP)

4.45: Deira Surprise – 8/1 (Generally available)

5.20: Embour – 15/2 (Generally available)

EPSOM: 

5.45: Top Beak – 7/2 (Betfair/PP)

8.00: Chess Move – 14/1 (Generally available)

8.30: Deries Delight – 9/2 (365/Ladbrokes/Betway/BetVictor)

FFOS LAS: 

5.30: Capla Gilda – 4/1 (Generally available)

7.15: Sir Billy Wright – 20/1 (Betfair/PP)

8.15: Yorbelucky – 11/2 (Betfair/PP)

NOTTINGHAM:

2.45: Lahessar – 13/2 (Betfair/PP)

4.30: Michele Strogoff – 11/2 (Marathon)

5.35: Dinsdale – 16/1 (Marathon/Betfair/PP)

STRATFORD:

3.10: Well Said – 6/1 (Marathon)

3.45: Fair Frank – 16/1 (Ladbrokes/Marathon)

4.20: Ballyandrew – 11/1 (Ladbrokes)

 

GLORIOUS GOODWOOD STATS THIS WEEK:

14 races – 6 winning favourites – 11/14 winners scored at a top price of 11/1

Leading trainers:

2/7–William Haggas (13/2* & 9/2*) – 4 runners today

2/11–Richard Hannon (7/1 & 6/1) – 10 runners

1/1–Neil King (11/4*) – No more runners this week

1/1–Richard Spencer (5/1) – 1 runner

1/2–George Baker (125/1) – 3 possible runners on Saturday

1/2–Mick Channon (11/1) – 2 runners

1/2–John Gosden (4/5*) – 2 runners

1/2–David Elsworth (5/1**) – One runner tomorrow (Friday) – that’s all  at Goodwood this week

1/2–Ron Harris (16/1) – No more runners at Goodwood this week!

1/2–William Knight (20/1) – 3 possible runners on Saturday

1/5–David Simcock (9/1) – 4 runners

1/14–Mark Johnston (10/3*) – 6 runners today!

Leading jockeys:

2/8–Silvestre De Siousa (10/3* & 11/4*) – 3 booked rides today

2/9–Andrea Atzeni (11/1 & 4/5*) – None today

2/11–Ryan Moore (7/1 & 6/1) – 6 rides

1/1–Tom Queally (9/1) 1 ride

1/1–Jimmy Quinn (20/1) – 2 rides

1/3–Garald Mosse (5/1**)  – 1 ride

1/4–Pat Cosgrove (125/1) – No more booked rides at Goodwood this week at the time of writing

1/7–Jim Crowley (13/2*) – No rides today

1/7–James Doyle (9/2*) – 5 rides

1/7–P J McDonald (16/1) – 6 rides

1/8–Oisin Murphy (9/1) – 5 rides

Aug 01

Daily analysis & Nursery service – Wednesday 1st

GOODWOOD – AUGUST 1

 

Seven year corresponding stats for this meeting:

49 races – 12 winning favourites – 36/49 have scored at a top price of 12/1

Leading trainer on the second day:

6 winners—Mark Johnston (14/1, 14/1, 12/1, 9/1, 8/1 & 7/1) – 10 runners at Goodwood today: Dominating (1.50), Making Miracles, Baileys Excelerate & Lynwood Gold (2.25), Desert Lantern & Parliament House (4.10), Juneau (4.45) & Vale Of Kent, Poet’s Society & Masham Star (5.55)

 

  • Corresponding stats for this evening’s meeting at Sandown can be found below the race by race Goodwood analysis

 

1.50: Four-year-olds have won nine of the last nineteen renewals of this Goodwood Stakes event, notwithstanding the narrow ‘three parts’ defeat of my fancy Seaside Sizzler seven years ago at 14/1.  Imphal and Piedita might prove to be the pick of the vintage representatives, though the race very much depends on how Lil Rockerfeller performs with no hurdles to bar her way.  Coeur De Lion should reach the frame again, though possibly without winning this competitive event.

Favourite factor: Four clear market leaders and one joint favourite have scored during the last 20 years, whilst 13 of the 27 favourites have claimed Placepot positions during the study period.  That said, the beaten 11/8 favourite four years ago was an expensive casualty for many investors.

Minimum stake win options: Impala & Piedita

 

2.25: Ten of the last fifteen winners have carried weights of 9-1 or less whilst Mark Johnston has saddled four of the last ten winners.  Mark has three chances this time around, with Baileys Excelerate and Lynwood Gold hailing from the right sector of the weights, despite their big prices compared to stable companion Making Miracles.  If the race eludes Mark and his team this time around, Drill could prove to be the joker in the pack.

Favourite fact: The 2015 market leader was the first successful favourite since the turn of the Millennium (the race reverted to type in each of the last two years), whilst just three of the last twelve favourites have secured Placepot positions.  Five of the last fourteen winners have been returned in double figures.

Each way minimum stake options: Baileys Excelerate & Lynwood Gold

 

3.00: Aidan O’Brien has never saddled the winner of the ‘Molecomb’ and now might be a strange time to consider the maestro breaking his duck, with rumours abound that all is not well within the Ballydoyle camp just know.  That said, layers might have over reacted to the whispers in pricing up Fantasy at 20/1 from my viewpoint in a race which might not be quite up to speed this year.  Rumble Inthejungle’s sire won this in 2012 however, whereby Tom Queally’s mount could be the answer if Aidan finds himself scratching his head after the contest, whilst Soldier’s Call would be a well-deserved first Group success for Archie Watson, if my research is right suggesting that the talented trainer has yet to break that particular duck.  If not today, the ‘maiden tag’ will soon be broken.

Favourite factor: Six favourites have won during the last 21 years, whilst thirteen market leaders have secured Placepot positions during the study period.

Minimum stake each way selection: Fantasy

 

3.35: Eight of the last ten favourites have won this Group 1 Sussex Stakes, whilst three-year-olds have won 13 of the last 19 renewals. I should champing at the bit to find the winner of the big race having backed the 20/1 winner Here Comes When at twice those odds last year.  There are just too many ‘ifs, buts and maybes’ for my liking this time around, though if there is any value in the race, the French raider Orbaan could be the horse at 20/1 with Bet365/Betfair/Paddy Power this morning.  If the market leaders prevail between them all well and good, but there is precious little value to be had in the contest, unless Aidan has Gustav Klimpt up to speed whereby the 7/1 on offer would catch the eye.

Favourite factor: Nine clear market leaders and one joint favourite have obliged during the last 20 years, whilst 18 of the 21 market leaders secured Placepot positions in the process.

Minimum stake each way selection: Orbaan

 

4.10: The victory of Dark Vision yesterday will be locked in the memory bank for a long time and trainer Mark Johnston has two chances of saddling another two-year-old winner at the meeting here, in a race which he won with a 12/1 chance twelve months ago.  The same (successful) connections are involved with newcomer Parliament House, whilst Desert Lantern has plenty going for her from what we have witnessed to date.  Last year’s winner Threading went on to win the ‘Lowther’ twelve months ago having made her debut in this event and don’t be surprised if Mark takes a similar route if either of his fillies previals this afternoon.  Welcoming is a potentially decent type, though I was expecting her to be aimed at a race with slightly less emphasis on speed as she had to be stoked up quite vigorously at the halfway stage at Chepstow on debut before the penny started to drop.  Perhaps with that experience under her belt she will improve sufficiently to take a hand in the finish.  Certainly if Clive Cox’s filly is there or thereabouts at the furlong marker, she might take some beating.

Favourite factor: Nine clear market leaders and one joint favourite (level stake profit of £325.22 to one hundred pound stakes) have prevailed during the last twenty years.  16 of the 22 favourites have secured Placepot positions during the study period.

Win selection: Desert Lantern

Each way saver? Parliament House

 

4.45: Three-year-olds usually get the better of their elders in these mixed vintage events, albeit that is not the way the first running of this race worked out. Junior raiders made up for the blip last year and at 12/1 in a place (Hills) this morning, Fabulous Red made some appeal off a feather weight of 8-1. Others to consider include the two horses at the top of the market at the time of writing, namely Four White Socks and Savannah who are listed in marginal order of preference.

Favourite factor: The two (9/4 & 2/1 favourites) have finished just out of the money in fourth place thus far.

Each way selection: Fabulous Red

 

5.55: Vale Of Kent and Poet’s Society are two of Mark Johnston’s three runners to consider, whilst Medahim and Gossiping are others locked into the equation from my viewpoint.  The race is a difficult call especially with the trade press suggesting that Aljady will start at 7/2.  Who knows, that might prove to be the case but win, lose or draw, the men in white coats should be queuing up to examine the mental health of those who believe Richard Fahey’s raider as having a 22% chance of winning the finale having been upped in trip.  Please make an orderly queue outside shops the length and breadth of the land in your quest to back Richard’s raider off the boards this morning.  The scenario probably makes sense given my comment!

Favourite factor: Just one winning favourite to report via six renewals during the last decade.  That said, the market leader scored at 5/1 whereby level stake favourite backers are even at this moment in time.

Minimum stake win selection: Vale Of Kent

Each way option: Poet’s Society

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an ‘exact science’, whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not ‘placed’ regarding my statistics.

 

Five year corresponding details for Sandown this evening:

30 races – 16 winning favourites – 29/30 winners scored at a top price of 8/1, with 26 of those gold medallists returned at 5/1 or less.

Leading trainer:

No trainer has saddled more than two winners during the course of the study period – 27 different trainers have secured victories via 30 races….

 

Nursery race this evening – 6.20 Sandown:

There was plenty of (realistic) money in the positive exchange queue for Knockabout Queen in the dead of night which suggests that the 8/1 quote by 365 might not last too long when the offices open later this morning.

The drop back to five furlongs is a tad worrying, though the tough gradient of the Sandown sprint course should work to her advantage.

We can ignore the 3/1 trade press quote of 3/1 about Dark Shadow as the Clive Cox raider will probably be returned at a point shorter (thereabouts) though the concern (to a fashion) is that Clive’s only previous Nursery runner this season was recorded as a beaten favourite.

Clive’s record with two-year-old handicappers last year was 3/16, stats which yielded two points of level stake profit which arguably negates the anxiety.

 

Nursery stats this season (21 races – 149 runners – as of Wednesday morning – 1st August):

Favourite stats (21):                     

11 winners – 2 placed – 18 unplaced

Odds on favourites:

2/4

Winning trainers:

2/3—Rod Millman (14/1 & 9/2)

2/4—James Tate (9/4* & 5/4*)

2/12—Richard Fahey (3/1 & 7/2)

1/1—Charlie Appleby (4/6*)

1/1—William Jarvis (6/1)

1/1—George Peckham (6/5*)

1/1—Saeed Bin Suroor (13/8*)

1/1—Archie Watson (11/2)

1/2—Eve Johnson Houghton (12/1)

1/2—Hugo Palmer (11/4)

1/2—Nigel Tinkler (7/2)

1/2—Stuart Williams (7/4*)

1/3—Richard Spencer (7/2)

1/4—David Evans (11/4*)

1/4—Kevin Ryan (6/4*)

1/6—Michael Bell (11/4*)

1/13—Mark Johnston (8/13*)

1/13—Richard Hannon (7/4*)

Trainers of beaten favourites:

3—Mark Johnston (4/7, 7/4 & 7/2)

Ralph Beckett (6/4)

Mick Channon (5/2)

Clive Cox (4/1)

William Haggas (15/8)

Eve Johnson Houghton (8/11)

Jamie Osborne (5/2)

Jonathan Portman (15/8)

Stats of first three in the betting:

63 relevant runners: 19 winners – 14 placed – 30 unplaced

Stats of horses starting in single figures (9/1 or less):

90 runners – 19 winners – 20 placed – 51 unplaced (60.4% of runners)

Stats of horses starting in double figures (10/1 or more):

59 runners – 2 winners – 6 placed – 51 unplaced (39.6% of total runners)

Weight Stats (winners – placed – unplaced):

10-4 – 1-0-0

9-13 – 0-1-0

9-11 – 0-0-1

9-10 – 1-1-1

9-9 – 2-0-1

9-8 – 0-1-1

9-7 – 2–2-7

9-6 – 1-1-4

9-5 – 1-2-4

9-4 – 0-1-3

9-3 – 2-0-3

9-2 – 1-3-3

9-1 – 0-0-5

9-0 – 1-1-6

8-13 – 1-0-5

8-12 – 2-1-3

8-11 – 1-0-6

8-10 – 0-2-10

8-9 – 0-0-5

8-8 – 2-1-1

8-7 – 1-0-2

8-6 – 0-0-6

8-5 – 0-2-4

8-4 – 0-1-5

8-3 – 1-1-5

8-2 – 0-0-2

8-1 – 0-2-1

8-0 – 1-2-4

7-13 – 0-0-1

7-10 – 0-0-1

7-9 – 1-0-0

7-8 – 0-0-1

7-7 – 0-0-1

Aggregate stats:

Horses carrying 9-0+ – 12 winners – 13 placed – 39 unplaced (43.0% of runners)

8-13 or less: 9 winners – 13 placed – 63 unplaced (57.0% of total numbers)

 

Weights carried by beaten favourites:

3 at 9-7

2 at 9-2

One at 9-11

One at 9-10

One at 9-9

One at 9-6

One at 9-5

 

OTHER TRAINER RECORDS THIS SEASON (YET TO SADDLE A WINNER):

0/1—Alan Berry

0/1—Marco Botti

0/1—Tom Clover

0/1—Susan Corbett

0/1—Keith Dalgleish

0/1—Clive Cox

0/1—Chris Dwyer

0/1—Mick Easterby

0/1—Charlie Hills

0/1—Gay Kelleway

0/1—Daniel Kubler

0/1—Michael Madgwick

0/1—Amy Murphy

0/1—William Muir

0/1—David O’Meara

0/1—Brian Meehan

0/1—Hughie Morrison

0/1—Adrian Nicholls

0/1—Jonathan Portman

0/1—Sir Mark Prescott

0/1—Bryan Smart

0/1—Bill Turner

0/1—Adam West

0/2—Karl Burke

0/2—Michael Dods

0/2—Ed Dunlop

0/2—Roger Fell

0/2—John Gallagher

0/2—Ron Harris

0/2—Richard Hughes

0/2—Jamie Osborne

0/2—Joseph Tuite

0/2—Philip McBride

0/2—Stan Moore

0/3—Ralph Beckett

0/3—Declan Carroll

0/4—Mick Channon

0/4—Tim Easterby

0/4—William Haggas

0/4—Sylvester Kirk

0/7—Tom Dascombe

 

WINNING SIRES:

4—Kodiac

2—Exceed And Excel

2—Sir Prancealot

1—Bernardini

1—Bungle Inthejungle

1—Camacho

1—Clodovil

1—Dawn Approach

1—Holy Roman Emperor

1—Oasis Dream

1—Pedro The Great

1—Requinto

1—Sir Percy

1—Slade Power

1—Society Rock

1—Zebedee

 

FOALING DATES:

8 winners—February

6—April

5—March

2—January

None to date–May

 

NURSERY RUNNERS THIS SEASON:

2 wins – Greeley (won off official ratings of 60 & 66)

2 wins – Implicit (73 & 80)

1 win – Barend Boy (79)

1 win – Buckingham (76)

1 win – Jfoul (79)

1 win – Kodyanna (83)

1 win – Lady Katy (65)

1 win – Leading Spirit (76)

1 win – Luchador (72)

1 win – Octave (86)

1 win – Porcelain Girl (71)

1 win – Revich (78)

1 win – Semoum (83)

1 win – The Great Heir (77)

1 win – Leoube (71) & 1 placed (66)

1 win (76) & 1 unplaced (78) – Don Armado

1 win (65) & 1 unplaced (69) – North Korea

Placed x 2 – Nayslayer (69 twice)

Placed – Amadeus Grey (76)

Placed – Arctic Spirit (67)

Placed – Auusie View (82)

Placed – Devils Roc (57)

Placed – Dixieland (74)

Placed – Essenza (67)

Placed – Finoah (78)

Placed – Gunforhire (64)

Placed – Kyroc (65)

Placed – Mayson Mac (78)

Placed – Moojim (72)

Placed – Que Amoro (79)

Placed – Requited (71)

Placed – Thegreyvtrain (64)

Placed – Two Blondes (73)

Placed – Wolf Hunter (64)

Placed – Xtara (78)

Placed – All Back To Mine (60) & Unplaced (60)

Placed – Big Ace (81) & Unplaced (79)

Placed – Dancing Speed (68) & Unplaced (70)

Placed – Delft Dancer (78) & Unplaced (78)

Placed – I Am A Dreamer (87) & Unplaced (87)

Placed – No Lippy (87) & Unplaced (87)

Unplaced x 2 – Camachess (69 twice)

Unplaced – Alfie Solomons (82)

Unplaced – Anlan Bil Emarati (76)

Unplaced – Arbuckle (60)

Unplaced – Arishka (63)

Unplaced – Artair (83)

Unplaced – Aurag (79)

Unplaced – Awake In Asia (75)

Unplaced – Bandola (63)

Unplaced – Beauty Concept (70)

Unplaced – Bengali Spirit (73)

Unplaced – Be Proud

Unplaced – Big Boots (85)

Unplaced – Bouncin Back (65)

Unplaced – Capla Rock (77)

Unplaced – Carrie’s Vision (76)

Unplaced – Clevedon (60)

Unplaced – Corinthian Star (60)

Unplaced – Cruck Railie (62)

Unplaced – Dave Dexter (88)

Unplaced – Deputise (85)

Unplaced – Dombra (80)

Unplaced – Don’t Tell Dandy (63)

Unplaced – Double Quick (67)

Unplaced – Duke Of Yorkie (61)

Unplaced – Early Edition (67)

Unplaced – Elieden (68)

Unplaced – Even Keel (76)

Unplaced – Fast Endeavour (61)

Unplaced – Firewater (65)

Unplaced – Free Love (71)

Unoplaced – Glorious Dave (71)

Unplaced – Habanera (56)

Unplaced – Hard Taskmaster (61)

Unplaced – High Horse (83)

Unplaced – House Deposit (62)

Unplaced – Immokalee (76)

Unplaced – Improvising (67)

Unplaced – Islay Mist (66)

Unplaced – Jaayiz (75)

Unplaced – James Watt (86)

Unplaced – Jazz Hands (58)

Unplaced – Juniors Fantasy (58)

Unplaced – Lady Lavinia (64)

Unplaced – Majestic Appeal (65)

Unplaced – Max Guevara (66)

Unplaced – Minas Gerais (70)

Unplaced – Nakakande (82)

Unplaced – Not So Shy (68)

Unplaced – Oberyn Martell (93)

Unplaced – Oona (74)

Unplaced – Phyllis (48)

Unplaced – Pink Porrino (57)

Unplaced – Pirate (71)

Unplaced – Posh Perfect (7/2)

Unplaced – Prairie Spy (87)

Unplaced – Raskkolnikov (67)

Unplaced – Roca Magica (56)

Unplaced – Rock Party (63)

Unplaced – Rollicking (77)

Unplaced – Society Shock (78)

Unplaced – So Hi Sroem (66)

Unplaced – Spirit Kingdom (77)

Unplaced – Sufficient (72)

Unplaced – Swiss Peak (70)

Unplaced – Sword Of Gold (74)

Unplaced – Temple Of Wonder (72)

Unplaced – The Fluter (58)

Unplaced – The Last Party (78)

Unplaced – Tisneverending (56)

Unplaced – Traesure Quest (74)

Unplaced – Triple One (68)

Unplaced – Wolstonbury (63)

Unplaced – Yellow Fire (66)

2 x Unplaced – Al Manhalah (56 & 52)

2 x Unplaced – Blyton (81 & 79)

2 x Unplaced – Red Hut Red (68 &72)

2 x Unplaced – Solesmes (69 & 67)

2 x Unplaced – Staycation (75 & 74)

2 x Unplaced – Tarrzan (71 & 67)

2 x Unplaced – Tobeornottobe (58 & 56)

2 x Unplaced – Ventura Bay (70 & 68)

3 x Unplaced – Five Helmets (68, 70 & 71)

Aug 01

Mal Boyle Stats – Wednesday 1st

Tuesday’s school report

I offered two of the seven winners at Glorious Goodwood yesterday at 7/1 (returned at 6/1) & 11/2 (5/1) which yielded a decent profit (seven and a half points) for level stake investors.

The results at the rest of the venues are probably best summed up by the minimum margin defeat of Elyisian Lady (2.15) who was advised at 20/1 before being returned at 14/1.  The other second placed horse on the day was offered at 10/1 before being backed down to 5/1.

Let’s hope for a little more luck in running today…

  • Check back around 8.00 when I will have listed the leading trainers/jockeys for ‘Glorious Goodwood’ this week – NOW DONE (With one specific pointer)

WEDNESDAY – Dead of Night MMA report at 6.30:

GOODWOOD:

2.25: Lynwood Gold – 20/1 (Hills)

3.00: Fantasy – 20/1 (Generally available)

3.35: Orbaan – 20/1 (365/Betfrair/PP)

4.10: Desert Lantern – 13/2 (Skybet.BetVictor)

4.45: Fabulous Red – 12/1 (Hills)

5.55: Vale Of Kent – 9/1 (Generally available)

SANDOWN: 

6.20: Knoackabout Queen – 8/1 (365)

8.05: Treasure Me – 6/1 (Generally available)

8.35: Elysees – 9/2 (Betfred/Tote/888)

REDCAR: 

2.45: Calendimaggio – 11/4 (365/BetVictor)

3.20: Kiwi Bay – 6/1 (Skybet)

3.55: Nuits St Georges – 7/1 (365/Sky/Marathon)

4.30: Poets Dawn – 9/4 (888)

5.00: Melaniemillie – 9/1 (Ladbrokes)

5.30: Size Matters – 11/2 (Betfair)

6.00: Ravenhoe – 17/2 (365)

LEICESTER:

6.35: Golden Guide – 7/1 (Skybet)

7.45: Pont Vert – 10/1 (Generally)

PERTH:

2.35: U Name It – 10/1 (Generally available)

3.10: Our Lucas – 9/2 (Generally available)

3.45: Jovial Joey – 5/1 (Ladbrokes)

4.55: Two horses to consider – Make My Heart Fly – 11/2 (Betfair) & Lady London – 11/1 (365)

 

GLORIOUS GOODWOOD STATS THIS WEEK:

Leading trainers:

2/6–William Haggas (13/2* & 9/2*) – 1 runner at Goodwood today

1/1–John Gosden (4/5*) – 1 runner today

1/2–David Elsworth (5/1**) – Only one more potential runner this week (Friday)

1/2–Ron Harris (16/1) – No more runners at Goodwood this week!

1/4–Richard Hannon (6/1) – 7 runners today

1/5–Mark Johnston (10/3*) – 10 runners today!

Leading jockeys: 

1/3–James Doyle (9/2*) – 4 booked rides at Goodwood today

1/3–Garald Mosse (5/1**)  – 1 booked ride at Goodwood tomorrow – note: His only ride today (Global Style) is at Redcar (3.55)

1/3–Silvestre De Siousa (10/3*) – 6 rides today

1/4–Andrea Atzeni (4/5*) – 5 rides

1/4–Jim Crowley (13/2*) – 3 rides

1/4–P J McDonald (16/1) – 3 rides

1/5–Ryan Moore (6/1) – 6 rides

Jul 31

Daily analysis – Tuesday 31st

(GLORIOUS) GOODWOOD – JULY 31

Seven year corresponding stats for this meeting:

49 races – 12 winning favourites – 29/49 scored at a top price of 9/1

Leading trainer:

5 winners—Mark Johnston (20/1, 14/1, 12/1, 8/1 & 7/1) – 5 runners: Rainbow Rebel (1.50), Dark Vision (2.25), Gainsborough Hat (4.10) & Kalagia & Rebel Assault (5.15)

 

  • Corresponding stats for Perth today can be found after the race by race analysis of the Goodwood card.

 

1.50: 13 of the last 15 winners have carried weights of 8-11 or more, whilst four-year-olds lead the five-year-olds 11-5 during the extended study period.  Mark Johnston was not represented last year which was a real body blow as the leading trainer at this meeting in recent years has won this event four times in what is now the last nine years.  Mark’s progressive handicapper Rainbow Rebel has been offered the green light this time around and although Joe Fanning’s mount boasts obvious claims, his wide (14/15) draw makes life that much tougher.  That said, two of Mark’s recent runners were drawn even further out whereby it’s not ‘mission impossible’ by any means.  Others to consider include Alfarris, Silver Line and Appeared.

Favourite factor: The previous 17 favourites had all been beaten before one of the 8/1 joint market leaders obliged in 2015.  Similarly, one of the four 8/1 co favourites snared gold two years ago as well.  The race reverted to type twelve months ago however when the 9/2 jolly just managed to scramble into the first half of the finishers back in seventh place – 14 of the last 20 market leaders have finished out of the frame.

Record of the course winner in the opening contest of the week:

1/2—Tuff Rock (good to soft) – 0/8 elsewhere

Each way selection: Rainbow Rebel

 

2.25:  ‘Team Hannon’ has won four of the last seven renewals of the Vintage Stakes, though Richard (junior) has yet to add to the tally and his raider Mordred looks to have a tough task this afternoon.  More likely winners include Confiding, Van Beethoven and Drogon.  Tom Dascombe’s last named raider is of particular interest given that the trainer was saying in the spring that his Zoffany colt had been held up in his work whilst adding that the sire’s stock often take a little time to reach race fitness/maturity whereby his results thus far have been impressive to say the least.

Favourite factor: 13 of the last 22 favourites have prevailed, whilst 15 market leaders claimed Placepot positions in the process.

Each way selection: Drogon

 

3.00: Three-year-olds have secured five of the last eleven renewals of the Group 2 Lennox Stakes and this year’s lone representative Tip To Win will rightly receive plenty of support for the underrated Roger Teal team.  His silver medal effort in the 2000 Guineas was an outstanding achievement which was fully endorsed when finishing fourth as Royal Ascot last month.  It’s worth noting that none of the leading firms are offering 5/1 about the junior raider for fear of being bombed by each way (potentially bet to nothing) support for David Probert’s mount.  Dutch Connection has to be feared however, boasting his 3/4 record at Goodwood which is backed up by his silver medal in the race that got away.  Throw Here Comes When into the mix (won the Group 1 Sussex Stakes here last year) and we have reason to believe that this renewal is well up to scratch.  The trade press stress that Here Come When needs rain in order to go close but it’s also worth noting that his first two victories were gained on good and good to firm ground.  I concede that rain would aid his cause but Jim Crowley’s mount receives the value for money call from my viewpoint but then again, I’m still ‘dining out’ on his Sussex Stakes win at 20/1 last year, when some of us were on my selection at 33’s earlier that day.  Perhaps I’m being loyal and not thinking straight but at 16/1 across the board in a lower grade, Andrew Balding’s representative is taken to give us a decent run for our collective monies.

Favourite factor: Six favourites have scored via the last 19 renewals, whilst 14 market leaders have claimed Placepot positions during the study period.

Record of the four course winners in the Lennox Stakes:

1/3—Breton Rock (good) – won this race last year at 50/1

3/4—Dutch Connection (2 x good to firm & good) won this race 2 years ago

1/3—Here Comes When (soft)

1/6—So Beloved (soft)

Each Way selection: Here Comes When

 

3.35:  With a million pound potential bonus in the offing, John Gosden will be champing at the bit for Stradivarius to do the business and there is every reason to believe that the company potentially paying out the money will have upped the insurance level after the Gold Cup which was won in grand style.  Torcedor takes on the favourite again and with prize money here of well over a quarter of a million, Jessica Harrington’s day should be put down to expenses given the worse scenario.  St Michel and Dai Harraild also put unbeaten records on the line at the venue and I’m currently looking for prices for ‘best of the rest’ (without the two market leaders) as this pair might represent some value given such a betting opportunity.

Record of the four course winners in the Goodwood Cup:

1/1—Call To Mind (good)

1/1—Dai Harraild (good to firm)

1/1—St Michel (good)

1/1—Stradivarius (good) – won this race last year

 

4.10: Nine of the last fourteen runners saddled by Saeed Bin Suroor have won whereby the chance of Al Mureib is thoroughly respected.  The record of recent favourites (see stats below) is a tad worrying however and with 100/1 and 50/1 winners having been recorded during the last thirteen years, my money is safely locked away as far as this event is concerned.  Others who should figure prominently include debutants Gainsborough Hat and (particularly) Watan from my viewpoint.

Favourite factor: 12 of the last 18 gold medallists were returned at odds of 13/2 or less (five winning favourites), though the 50/1 winner in 2004 was only cheered on by the layers in general terms before last year’s 100/1 gold medallist rocked that vast majority of investors. It’s worth noting however that a few loyal Gary Moore supporters backed Thechildren’strust on the tote twelve months ago though if they did, the 57/1 return would have made them feel a little disgruntled!  Seven of the last nine market leaders have missed out on Placepot positions, stats which do not include the 2016 renewal when the 5/6 market leader was withdrawn before a new market could be formed.

 

4.45: Boom The Groom won this event two years ago having finished fourth in the inaugural contest twelve months earlier.  The seven-year-old was well backed on the morning of the race twelve months ago before finishing out of the frame.  Trainer Tony Carroll has saddled three winners on the opening day of this meeting in recent years which have been sent off at 25/1, 22/1 & 13/2, and the general 11/1 quote could come under pressure this morning, given that Boom The Groom carries four pounds less than when successful in 2016.  Any ease in the ground would be a bonus for connections of Pettochside, though John Bridger and his team look to have been sending their prayers in the wrong direction.  Copper Knight completes my three ‘outsiders’ against the field from a decent draw which should ensure that Tim Easterby’s raider reaches the frame at around the 8/1 mark.

Favourite factor: The two (5/2 & 7/2) market leaders had found one too good for them from a win perspective, before last year’s 9/2 favourite leader finished just out of the frame.

Record of the four course winners in the sixth contest on the card:

1/2—El Astronaute (good) – won this race last year

1/5—Duke Of Firenze (good)

5/15—Pettochside (3 x soft & 2 x good to soft)

1/3—Boom The Groom (good) – won this event two years ago

Each way selection: Copper Knight

 

5.15: Move Swiftly and Labrega deserve their respective positions towards the top of the market but two horses make some appeal at much bigger prices in the ‘getting out stakes’, namely She Believes and (particularly) Escape The City.  She Believes is by far the more speculative call, hoping that Sylvester Kirk’s Arcano filly can rediscover some of her juvenile form.  Escape The City however boasts definite win and place claims given that she has already proved that she had ‘trained on’ when finishing third at 66/1 in Royal Ascot’s Sandringham Stakes on her penultimate start.  Betfair are out on a limb at 14/1 which simply looks too big from my take on the race.

Favourite factor: Both of the (10/3 & 7/2) favourites have finished out with the washing thus far.

Record of the two course winners in the finale:

1/1—She Believes (good)

1/3—Zoraya (soft) – 1/10 elsewhere

Each way selection: Escape The City

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an ‘exact science’, whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not ‘placed’ regarding my statistics.

 

Corresponding Perth details for this evening (five year study period):

35 races – 10 winning favourites – 33/35 winners scored at a top price of 12/1

Leading trainers:

6 winners—Donald McCain (3/1, 9/4, 15/8. 7/4, 11/10* * 10/11*) – 1 runner tonight: Knock House (7.25)

5 winners—Lucinda Russell (12/1, 9/1, 5/1, 2/1* & 5/4*) – 5 runners: Make It Happen & Hey Listen (8.00), Vino’s Choice & Boys On Tour (8.30) & Island Heights (9.00)

 

Jul 31

Mal Boyle Stats – Tuesday 31st

Monday’s school report

Yesterday’s 25 runners were offered with a ‘government health warning’ and sure enough, just two winners emerged at 8/1 and 7/1, the latter horse having been backed down to 9/2.

That said, six others made the frame (I suggested small play each way stakes yesterday), including those at 16/1 (returned at 12/1), 11/1 (5/1) & 8/1 (3/1).  12 others were backed off the boards, including those at 20/1 into 9/1, 16/1 to 6/1,  16/1 into 9/1 and 12/1 to 13/2.

Indeed, I suggested the play should be to back the horses at the top of the prices, trying to obtain small ‘bet to nothing’ investments which would minimise any losses which for your truly, did not occur by practicing what I preached.

The Nursery advice yesterday produced a 33/1 Tricast via just the three horses mentioned in dispatches – not bad for a quiet day….

  • Check back around 7.30 when I will have listed the pick of the ‘away trainers’ at other tracks last year aside from Goodwood.  The report I offered for Royal Ascot earlier this year paid handsome dividends!  NOW ADDED (7.30 – As promised)

TUESDAY – Dead of Night MMA report at 6.30:

GOODWOOD:

1.50: Afaak – 13/2 (Betfred/Tote)

2.25: Drogon – 8/1 (Generally available)

3.00: Sir Dancealot – 11/2 (Generally available)

3.35: Torcedor – 4/1 (Hills/BetBright/365)

4.10: Watan – 7/1 (Ladbrokes)

4.45: Copper Knight – 8/1 (365/Betfair/PP)

5.15: Escape The City – 14/1 (Betfair)

BEVERLEY: 

2.40: Diamond Runner – 14/1 (Skybet/Ladbrokes/Unibet/BetVictor)

4.20: Mont Kinabalu – 8/1 (Betfair/PP)

4.55: Beverley Bullet – 10/1 (Generally available)

YARMOUTH: 

2.15: Elysian Lady – 20/1 (Ladbrokes)

4.00: Erissimus Maximus – 5/1 (Betfair/PP)

4.30: Jazzy Lady – 9/1 (Betfair/PP)

PERTH:

8.00: Shackles – 9/1 (Ladbrokes)

9.00: Simply Mani – 10/1 (Hills/Betfair/PP)

WORCESTER: 

5.35: Silent Account – 6/1 (Generally available)

8.20: Ginger Fizz – 15/2 (BetBright)

 

The pick of the ‘away trainers’ this week based on last year’s results away from ‘Glorious Goodwood’:

(A similar service was offered for Royal Ascot week which offered great rewards…)

FLAT:

119 races – 120 winners (via one dead heat) – 49 winning favourites – 104/120 winners scored at a top price of 9/1

Leading trainers: 

8 winners–Kevin Ryan (12/1, 7/1, 5/1, 11/4**, 9/4, 13/8*, 13/8* & 11/10*)

5 winners–Michael Dods (4/1, 9/4*, 5/4*, 5/4* & 10/11*)

NH: 

35 races – 18 winning favourites – 29/35 winners scored at a top price of 8/1

Leading trainer:

5 winners–Dan Skelton (3/1*, 6/4*, 6/4*, 10/11* & 8/11*)

Jul 30

Daily analysis & Nursery service – Monday 30th

WINDSOR – JULY 30

Five year corresponding stats at this meeting:

31 races – 13 winning favourites – 29 winners scored at a top price of 12/1, with 24 being sent off at a maximum of 9/2

Leading trainer:

4 winners—Richard Hannon (12/1, 5/1, 11/8* & 3/10*) – 2 runners tonight: Good Luck Fox (6.05) & Ginger Fox (6.40)

 

  • Corresponding stats for the Ayr meeting this afternoon are available below Windsor’s race by race analysis, alongside the updated Nursery ratios and comment for the relevant two-year-old handicap at Wolverhampton at 5.10 this afternoon.

5.35: All five winners have carried a minimum weight of 9-3, as have nine of the twelve horses to have claimed the available Placepot positions thus far.  Four-year-olds have claimed three of the five renewals and putting the stats and facts together points towards ANCIENT LONGING running a big race in this grade/company, especially with underrated pilot Pat Cosgrave having ridden five of his last thirteen mounts to winning effect.  Others for the mix include Tripartite and Carry Me Home who could outrun his 20/1 price tag with a little luck in running.

Favourite factor: Two of the five favourites have obliged via four renewals to date, though search parties are still out looking for other three unplaced market leaders.

Record of the course winner in the opening race:

1/2—Tobacco Road (soft)

Win selection: Ancient Longing

 

6.05: Richard Hannon’s declarations make for interesting reading today, having sent one hot-pot all the way up to Ayr, leaving just the two entries to consider at Windsor tonight, the first of them being his raider Good Luck Fox who threw away any chance he had by hanging badly at Sandown last time out when recorded as the beaten favourite.  Across the Sea represents the main threat on this occasion, presuming that Good Luck Fox steers a straight path to give himself a chance of atoning for losses the last day.

Favourite factor: The inaugural 4/11 favourite was turned over in a four runner ‘win only’ contest before a 3/10 market leader made amends twelve months on.  The next pair of 2/1 joint favourites snared the two available Placepot positions when finishing well clear of their rivals in a short field event, before last year’s 11/10 market leader bombed out.  New readers might like to know that the term short field relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses home reward each way investors.

 

6.40: Clive Cox’s Oasis Dream newcomer Crackin Dream was (disappointingly) drifting in the market at the time of writing though a reversal of that move later this morning would make this race so much more interesting should that scenario evolve.  Without that support, Kessaar would probably oblige, unless Richard Hannon’s other runner on the card Ginger Fox is anything out of the ordinary.

Favourite factor: The inaugural 4/5 favourite duly obliged twelve months ago.

 

7.15: Chris Wall has saddled his fair share of winners during ‘Goodwood week’ down the years and Han Solo Berger is expected to figure prominently at the business end of proceedings.  Others added into the equation in this event confined to lady riders include Human Nature, Kodiline and Glory Of Paris who represents Rod Millman who has won with two of this last three runners.

Favourite factor: Last year’s 3/1 joint favourites both missed out on Placepot positions in another short field event on the card twelve months ago.

Record of the three course winners in the fourth event:

1/1—Kodiline (good to firm)

1/3—Human Nature (good to firm)

1/7—Bahamian Dollar (good to firm)

 

7.50: Four-year-olds have won ten of the last sixteen renewals which makes for something of a change in this type of event (three-year-olds usually have the edge) and the trend might be extended by CASEMENT who has come in for some overnight support which might gain the day over two horses which are fully respected, namely History Writer and Quality Seeker.  Indeed, though two entries force me to use the each way option relating to the selection who immediately caught the eye with the 8/1 quote in the dead of night.

Favourite factor:  Five favourites have won during the last nineteen years which is not a bad return in this type of event, though just four of the other sixteen market leaders additionally claimed Placepot positions during the study period.

Record of course winners in the field:

1/2—Oh Its Saucepot (good to soft)

2/14—Essenaitch (2 x good to soft)

1/1—Quality Seeker (good to firm)

Each way selection: Casement

 

8.20: Horses carrying a minimum burden of 9-3 have secured nine of the twelve available Placepot positions to date, statistics which include all five (9/2-3/1-3/1-9/4*-9/4**) winners. The weight stats eliminate three of the ‘dead eight’ runners, with Choral Music (withdrawn from a race at Newmarket at the weekend) and Sounds Approving potentially standing out from the crowd.  Makambe is too short for my liking, though Barnay could outrun his price for the Marcus Tregoning team which usually comes good at this time of year.

Favourite factor: Three of the six favourites (via five renewals) have claimed Placepot positions with two market leaders winning their respective events at odds of 9/4.

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an ‘exact science’, whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not ‘placed’ regarding my statistics.

 

Six year stats for this afternoon’s meeting at Ayr:

45 races – 17 winning favourites – 37/45 winners scored at a top price of 9/1.

Leading trainer:

6 winners—Jim Goldie (14/1, 17/2, 17/2, 7/1, 11/4* & 9/4*) – 9 runners this afternoon – good luck with sorting the wheat from the chaff!

It’s worth remembering that Jim saddled plenty of big priced winners north of the border.

When going on holiday two weeks ago, I left a positive ‘Goldie message’ for a race in which Jim was three handed at this venue on the Monday – Jim saddled the 33/1 winner which paid nearly 50/1 on the tote!

As an additional thought, I should point out that both Keith Dalgleish and Richard Fahey have saddled five winners at the is meeting during the study period.

 

Today’s Nursery race – 5.10 Wolverhampton:

Implicit broke her maiden tag in Nursery company the last day and should take the beating here, though it’s worth noting that there have been bits and pieces of early money for both Requited and Wolf Hunter early doors this morning.

 

Nursery stats this season (20 races – 140 runners – as of Monday morning – 30th July):

Favourite stats (20):                     

10 winners – 2 placed – 18 unplaced

Odds on favourites:

2/4

Winning trainers:

2/3—Rod Millman (14/1 & 9/2)

2/12—Richard Fahey (3/1 & 7/2)

1/1—Charlie Appleby (4/6*)

1/1—William Jarvis (6/1)

1/1—George Peckham (6/5*)

1/1—Saeed Bin Suroor (13/8*)

1/1—Archie Watson (11/2)

1/2—Eve Johnson Houghton (12/1)

1/2—Hugo Palmer (11/4)

1/2—Nigel Tinkler (7/2)

1/2—Stuart Williams (7/4*)

1/3—Kevin Ryan (6/4*)

1/3—Richard Spencer (7/2)

1/3—James Tate (9/4*)

1/4—David Evans (11/4*)

1/6—Michael Bell (11/4*)

1/12—Mark Johnston (8/13*)

1/13—Richard Hannon (7/4*)

Trainers of beaten favourites:

3—Mark Johnston (4/7, 7/4 & 7/2)

Ralph Beckett (6/4)

Mick Channon (5/2)

Clive Cox (4/1)

William Haggas (15/8)

Eve Johnson Houghton (8/11)

Jamie Osborne (5/2)

Jonathan Portman (15/8)

Stats of first three in the betting:

60 relevant runners: 18 winners – 13 placed – 29 unplaced

Stats of horses starting in single figures (9/1 or less):

86 runners – 18 winners – 18 placed – 50 unplaced (61.4% of runners)

Stats of horses starting in double figures (10/1 or more):

54 runners – 2 winners – 6 placed – 46 unplaced (38.6% of total runners)

Weight Stats (winners – placed – unplaced):

9-13 – 0-1-0

9-11 – 0-0-1

9-10 – 1-1-1

9-9 – 2-0-1

9-8 – 0-1-1

9-7 – 2–2-7

9-6 – 1-1-3

9-5 – 1-2-4

9-4 – 0-1-3

9-3 – 2-0-3

9-2 – 1-2-3

9-1 – 0-0-3

9-0 – 1-1-6

8-13 – 0-0-5

8-12 – 2-1-2

8-11 – 1-0-6

8-10 – 0-2-10

8-9 – 0-0-5

8-8 – 2-1-1

8-7 – 1-0-2

8-6 – 0-0-6

8-5 – 0-2-4

8-4 – 0-1-4

8-3 – 1-1-5

8-2 – 0-0-2

8-1 – 0-2-1

8-0 – 1-2-4

7-13 – 0-0-1

7-10 – 0-0-1

7-9 – 1-0-0

7-8 – 0-0-1

Aggregate stats:

Horses carrying 9-0+ – 11 winners – 12 placed – 36 unplaced (42.1% of runners)

8-13 or less: 9 winners – 12 placed – 60 unplaced (57.9% of total numbers)

 

Weights carried by beaten favourites:

3 at 9-7

2 at 9-2

One at 9-11

One at 9-10

One at 9-9

One at 9-6

One at 9-5

 

OTHER TRAINER RECORDS THIS SEASON (YET TO SADDLE A WINNER):

0/1—Alan Berry

0/1—Marco Botti

0/1—Tom Clover

0/1—Susan Corbett

0/1—Keith Dalgleish

0/1—Clive Cox

0/1—Chris Dwyer

0/1—Mick Easterby

0/1—Ron Harris

0/1—Charlie Hills

0/1—Richard Hughes

0/1—Gay Kelleway

0/1—Michael Madgwick

0/1—Amy Murphy

0/1—William Muir

0/1—David O’Meara

0/1—Brian Meehan

0/1—Adrian Nicholls

0/1—Jonathan Portman

0/1—Sir Mark Prescott

0/1—Bryan Smart

0/1—Adam West

0/2—Karl Burke

0/2—Michael Dods

0/2—Ed Dunlop

0/2—Roger Fell

0/2—John Gallagher

0/2—Jamie Osborne

0/2—Joseph Tuite

0/2—Philip McBride

0/2—Stan Moore

0/3—Ralph Beckett

0/3—Declan Carroll

0/4—Mick Channon

0/4—Tim Easterby

0/4—William Haggas

0/4—Sylvester Kirk

0/6—Tom Dascombe

 

WINNING SIRES:

3—Kodiac

2—Exceed And Excel

2—Sir Prancealot

1—Bernardini

1—Bungle Inthejungle

1—Camacho

1—Clodovil

1—Dawn Approach

1—Holy Roman Emperor

1—Oasis Dream

1—Pedro The Great

1—Requinto

1—Sir Percy

1—Slade Power

1—Society Rock

1—Zebedee

 

FOALING DATES:

7 winners—February

6—April

5—March

2—January

None to date–May

 

NURSERY RUNNERS THIS SEASON:

2 wins – Greeley (won off official ratings of 60 & 66)

1 win – Barend Boy (79)

1 win – Buckingham (76)

1 win – Implicit (73)

1 win – Jfoul (79)

1 win – Kodyanna (83)

1 win – Lady Katy (65)

1 win – Leading Spirit (76)

1 win – Luchador (72)

1 win – Octave (86)

1 win – Porcelain Girl (71)

1 win – Revich (78)

1 win – Semoum (83)

1 win – The Great Heir (77)

1 win – Leoube (71) & 1 placed (66)

1 win (76) & 1 unplaced (78) – Don Armado

1 win (65) & 1 unplaced (69) – North Korea

Placed x 2 – Nayslayer (69 twice)

Placed – Amadeus Grey (76)

Placed – Arctic Spirit (67)

Placed – Auusie View (82)

Placed – Devils Roc (57)

Placed – Dixieland (74)

Placed – Essenza (67)

Placed – Finoah (78)

Placed – Gunforhire (64)

Placed – Kyroc (65)

Placed – Mayson Mac (78)

Placed – Moojim (72)

Placed – Que Amoro (79)

Placed – Thegreyvtrain (64)

Placed – Two Blondes (73)

Placed – Xtara (78)

Placed – All Back To Mine (60) & Unplaced (60)

Placed – Big Ace (81) & Unplaced (79)

Placed – Dancing Speed (68) & Unplaced (70)

Placed – Delft Dancer (78) & Unplaced (78)

Placed – I Am A Dreamer (87) & Unplaced (87)

Placed – No Lippy (87) & Unplaced (87)

Unplaced x 2 – Camachess (69 twice)

Unplaced – Alfie Solomons (82)

Unplaced – Al Manhalah (56)

Unplaced – Anlan Bil Emarati (76)

Unplaced – Arbuckle (60)

Unplaced – Artair (83)

Unplaced – Aurag (79)

Unplaced – Awake In Asia (75)

Unplaced – Bandola (63)

Unplaced – Beauty Concept (70)

Unplaced – Bengali Spirit (73)

Unplaced – Be Proud

Unplaced – Big Boots (85)

Unplaced – Bouncin Back (65)

Unplaced – Capla Rock (77)

Unplaced – Carrie’s Vision (76)

Unplaced – Corinthian Star (60)

Unplaced – Cruck Railie (62)

Unplaced – Dave Dexter (88)

Unplaced – Deputise (85)

Unplaced – Dombra (80)

Unplaced – Don’t Tell Dandy (63)

Unplaced – Double Quick (67)

Unplaced – Duke Of Yorkie (61)

Unplaced – Early Edition (67)

Unplaced – Elieden (68)

Unplaced – Even Keel (76)

Unplaced – Fast Endeavour (61)

Unplaced – Firewater (65)

Unplaced – Free Love (71)

Unoplaced – Glorious Dave (71)

Unplaced – Habanera (56)

Unplaced – Hard Taskmaster (61)

Unplaced – High Horse (83)

Unplaced – House Deposit (62)

Unplaced – Immokalee (76)

Unplaced – Improvising (67)

Unplaced – Islay Mist (66)

Unplaced – Jaayiz (75)

Unplaced – James Watt (86)

Unplaced – Jazz Hands (58)

Unplaced – Juniors Fantasy (58)

Unplaced – Lady Lavinia (64)

Unplaced – Majestic Appeal (65)

Unplaced – Max Guevara (66)

Unplaced – Minas Gerais (70)

Unplaced – Nakakande (82)

Unplaced – Oberyn Martell (93)

Unplaced – Oona (74)

Unplaced – Pink Porrino (57)

Unplaced – Pirate (71)

Unplaced – Posh Perfect (7/2)

Unplaced – Prairie Spy (87)

Unplaced – Raskkolnikov (67)

Unplaced – Roca Magica (56)

Unplaced – Rollicking (77)

Unplaced – Society Shock (78)

Unplaced – So Hi Sroem (66)

Unplaced – Spirit Kingdom (77)

Unplaced – Sufficient (72)

Unplaced – Swiss Peak (70)

Unplaced – Sword Of Gold (74)

Unplaced – Temple Of Wonder (72)

Unplaced – The Fluter (58)

Unplaced – The Last Party (78)

Unplaced – Tisneverending (56)

Unplaced – Traesure Quest (74)

Unplaced – Triple One (68)

Unplaced – Wolstonbury (63)

Unplaced – Yellow Fire (66)

2 x Unplaced – Blyton (81 & 79)

2 x Unplaced – Red Hut Red (68 &72)

2 x Unplaced – Solesmes (69 & 67)

2 x Unplaced – Staycation (75 & 74)

2 x Unplaced – Tarrzan (71 & 67)

2 x Unplaced – Tobeornottobe (58 & 56)

2 x Unplaced – Ventura Bay (70 & 68)

3 x Unplaced – Five Helmets (68, 70 & 71)

Jul 30

Mal Boyle Stats – Monday 30th

Sunday’s school report – See my Twitter page for all the details on a fine Sunday, highlighted by my 22/1 WINNER First Quest!  Four other decent priced winners helped the weekend through an almost golden period which would been tremendous had just a few of the second placed horses gone one better!

  • Today’s work comes with a government health warning because although plenty of horses have been included in the mix, they are there in the expectation of retracting in price, though whether they will be good enough to win remains to be seen on a moderate day of sport.  If you enjoyed some of our success at the weekend and want to become involved (small each way plays recommended) that’s fine but if you’re needed this week’s Goodwood meeting to be ‘financed’ by today’s fayre, you might need plenty of luck in running . My play today will be to bet at the top price and lay off a.s.a.p. hoping to have ‘small bets for nothing’ in running – though that’s easier said than done and is only considered because of the weekend we enjoyed…..

MONDAY:

AYR:

2.30: My Girl Maisie – 16/1 (Ladbrokes/Betfair/PP)

3.00: Buonarroti – 10/1 (365/Betfair/PP/Boyle/BetVictor)

3.30: Royal Sheehan – 8/1 (Generally available)

4.00: Carnagio – 12/1 (365)

4.30: Saryshagann – 12/1 (365)

5.00: Gonindaethat – 25/1 (Betfair/PP)

WINDSOR: 

5.35: Carry Me Home – 20/1 (PP)

7.15: Human Nature – 13/2 (PP)

7.50: Casement – 8/1 (PP/Betfair/BetBright)

8.20: Barnay – 8/1 (365/Skybet/Ladbrokes/BetVictor)

NEWTON ABBOT: 

2.10: Psychocandy – 11/2 (Skybet/888)

2.40: Nabhan – 11/1 (365/BetVictor)

3.10: Tickinthebox – 7/1 (Betfair/PP)

4.10: Diplomatico – 8/1 (Skybet/Ladbrokes/Betfair)

LINGFIELD:

1.20: Accommodate – 5/1 (Hills)

1.50: Monks Stand – 9/1 (Coral/BetVictor)

2.20: Mullarkey – 17/2 (365)

2.50: Gateway – 5/1 (365)

3.20: Jawshan – 16/1 (365)

4.20: Faraway Fields – 12/1 (365)

4.50: Celerity – 25/1 (Skybet/Ladbrokes/BetVictor)

WOLVERHAMPTON: 

6.15: Nabras Again – 16/1 (Ladbrokes/Betfair/PP)

7.25: Nezar – 12/1 (Betfair/PP)

8.30: Oskeman – 7/1 (365/Ladbrokes/BetVictor)

9.00: Ganton Par – 17/2 (Betfair/PP)

The average price on offer is 19/2 (thereabouts) which tells you all you need to know!

 

Jul 29

Daily analysis – Sunday 29th

PONTEFRACT – JULY 29

Six year corresponding results at this meeting:

42 races – 9 winning favourites – 36/42 winners scored at a top price of 11/1

Leading trainer during the study period:

5 winners—Richard Fahey (8/1, 5/1, 7/2, 3/1 & 13/8*) – 9 runners on the card – good luck with your permutations but please, read the opening lines of the 2.00 event before wading in too deeply!

 

2.00: This is what I wrote last year which is still worth taking into account twelve months on, from my viewpoint anyway. “Someone was suggesting to me yesterday afternoon that I should always include Richard Fahey’s horses on a Saturday which is fair comment when looking at his winners, yesterday being a prime example with 50/1, 14/1, 7/2 & 10/3 chances scoring on behalf of the yard.  Even on a very good day however, to cover the 14,915/1 accumulator, the number of four-folds to accommodate yesterday’s 29 runners from the yard was 23,751.  Imagine backing winners at yesterday’s prices and losing £883.60 to 10p stakes, especially when the total stake (even to 10p) would have been £2,375.10!  Those figures are based on 29 different races yesterday which was not (exactly) the case, with Richard typically saddling more than one runner in certain events.  That would have affected the staking pattern – but you hopefully take my point.  There is no short cut to making money in this business I’m afraid but the advice is to look at what you intend to win today, rather than what you might (would) have won/lost yesterday!” Back to today – a similar scenario unfolded yesterday as Richard’s 27 runners produced a 1,702/1 five timer – though it would have asked you to invest 80,730 five timers to ‘gain that loss’, give or take a few hundred stakes via inmates that clashed in certain events!  The relevant other point to add is that the trade press suggestion that Pontefract will be “partly cloudy” today though not from what my radar shows me at 5.00 this morning, as three umbrella’s might not be enough to ward off all the rain!  Upwards and onward by suggesting that Richard Fahey’s York runner up FLAWLESS JEWAL should beat MURQAAB for openers, the other pair looking to be out of their depth, whatever the weather holds in store for racegoers this afternoon.

Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 11/10 favourite could only finish fourth of seven behind horses which filled ‘short field’ frame at 4/1 & 5/2.  New readers might like to know that the term short field relates to 5/6/7 runners race in which only the first to horses home reward each way investors.

 

2.30: Ten different trainers have saddled the winners during the last decade which does not help a great deal, whilst three-year-olds have the best record with four victories during the last seven years. PENTLAND HILLS and SEMPRE PRESTO are the junior raiders on this occasion, whilst Corregio’s chance would improve if some the rain got into the ground this afternoon, a factor which would go against Pentland Hills in all probability.  Out of interest, Corregio finished second in the following race on last year’s card – on soft ground.

Favourite factor: Nine renewals had slipped by since the last favourite obliged before last year’s market leader prevailed at 6/4.  Five successive winners during the period were returned in double figures, ranging between 12/1 & 28/1.

Record of the two course winners in the second race:

1/1—Sempre Presto (good to firm)

3/13—Corregio (2 x good & good to firm)

 

3.00: If ‘my weather forecast’ proves more accurate than that of the trade paper today, PIONEERING would definitely come into the equation if even good to soft ground was in the offing by the time the third race was contested.  Otherwise, I would be more inclined towards the chances of NEVERBEEN TO PARIS and RODDY.

Favourite factor: Only two (4/1 & 5/2) favourites have won during the last eleven years, with three of the last seven gold medallists having been sent off at 28/1, 20/1 & 11/1.

Record of the two course winners in the third event on the card:

1/2—Pioneering (soft)

1/3—Almunther (good to firm)

Each way selection: Pioneering (Neverbeen To Paris on good/firmer ground)

 

3.30: Last year’s soft ground winner ANOTHER TOUCH is available at 15/2 in a place this morning which would offer some value if any rain gets into the ground.  Failing that, BIG COUNTRY would be the call with the other potential winner Gabr looking too short at around the 6/5 mark.  Knowing your percentages is an important piece of armoury in this business.  6/5 represents a probability factor of 45.5% whereby you can make your mind up with the quote.  If you believe Gabr has a 46% chance of winning or higher you can back the Charlie Hills raider with a degree of confidence and if not, keep your money in your pocket or look for a horse which offers more venue. I offered ‘At The Races’ (I had been in front of the camera a few times in those days) an opportunity to televise a short programme to ‘educate’ viewers on now bookmakers price up events but they chose to ignore the idea, leaving punters in the dark.  Like most other people in prominence, they want to keep punters unaware, or treat them as ‘mugs’ or muggles, as J.K. would call them!

Favourite factor: Although only two favourites have won during the study period, ten of the last eleven winners have scored at a top priced of 11/2, whilst the other 10/1 ‘outsider’ would not have been a total success on the books for many bookmakers.

Record of the course winner in the fourth contest:

1/1—Another Touch (soft)

Each way option: Another Touch (increase stakes if rain penetrates the surface)

 

4.05: Six of the last seven winners have carried 9-4 or more, whilst six-year-olds have held the vintage call by snaring four of the last nine renewals.  BUCANEERS VAULT possesses ticks in both boxes, whilst last year’s beaten favourite (runner up) GIN IN THE INN appeals from a value for money perspective at nearly twice the price as last year’s odds.  If the ground remains good or better, Paul Hanagan’s mount would be the call given that his second placed effort last year was gained on unfavourable soft going.

Favourite factor: Only one favourite has prevailed during the last eleven years, the average winning price during the period standing at 15/2.  That said, seven of the last eight market leaders have finished in the frame (exact science).

Record of the four course winner in the fifth race:

2/6—Gin In The Inn (good & good to firm)

2/7—Sheepscar Lad (good & good to soft)

3/8—Highly Sprung (3 x good to firm)

2/15—Mr Orange (good & good to firm)

Tentative win selection: Bucaneers Vault

Each way option: Gin In The Inn

 

4.35:  The 6/1 ‘advice’ about EXTRA LARGE that I offered to MMA readers this morning (Market Move Activity) this morning has dried up (to a fashion) as anticipated though there are still bits and pieces of 11/2 if you shop around which in this potential ‘dead eight’ contest, could prove the to be the value for money call.  4/5 is still the quote by two bookmakers about Rock Force (Betfair & PP) at the time of writing which win, lose or draw, makes little sense to yours truly.

Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Pontefract card.

Each way selection: Extra Large

 

5.10: Five-year-olds have won three of the last four contests which brings in the likes of GEOFF POTTS and TEWENTYSVNTHLANCERS into the mix alongside ORIENTAL SPLENDOUR from my reading of the contest.  Ruth Carr’s latter named raider finished third in this event last year under unfavourable conditions and if I have been proved wrong relating to the amount of rain (if any evolved) during the afternoon, James Sullivan’s mount would be the win and place call.  Adding interest to proceedings in the finale is the thought that there will be worse outsiders contesting races at Pontefract Park this afternoon than One Boy.

Favourite factor: Five renewals have slipped by since the last market leader prevailed, whilst both of the 9/2 joint favourites twelve months ago finished out with the washing.

Record of the two course winners in the finale:

2/8—Oriental Splendour (good & good to firm – 0/31 at other venues)

1/5—Knockamany Bends (good)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an ‘exact science’, whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not ‘placed’ regarding my statistics.

 

Jul 29

Mal Boyle Stats – Sunday 29th

Saturday’s school report – See my Twitter page for all the details on a fine Saturday – 7 WINNERS ranging between 14/1 & 7/2 (average price of 15/2) which could have proved really golden but for five big priced runner ups, notwithstanding  a 25/1 third placed horse!

SUNDAY:

PONTEFRACT:

3.00: Almunther – 15/2 (PP)

3.35: Big Country – 7/2 (365/Ladbrokes/Hills/BetVictor)

4.05: Gin In The Inn – 7/1 (Generally available)

4.35: Extra Large – 6/1 (365)

5.10: One Boy – 12/1 (Betfair/PP)

UTTOXETER: 

2.10: First Quest – 22/1 (Marathon) – 14/1 with Skybet – as short as 7/1 elsewhere

2.40: Ormesha – 13/2 (365)

3.45: Tempestatrfloresco – 8/1 (365/Coral)

5.20: Aunty Ann – 8/1 – 365/Betway/BetVictor)

WOLVERHAMPTON: 

1.20: Evanescent – 25/1 (Marathon)

1.50: Duggary – 8/1 (365/Ladbrokes/Betfair/PP)

2.20: Zmhar – 3/1 (Hills/Unibet/BetVictor)

2.50: Documenting – 3/1 (Betfair/PP)

3.55: Dr Richard Kimble – 9/1 (Ladbrokes/Hills/Betway/BetVictor)

Best of luck today guys…

 

Jul 28

Daily analysis – Saturday 28th

Feeling awful this morning I’m afraid – selections only. 

Changing ground conditions at most of the venues today demand that you bet sensibly…

ASCOT:

1.50: 

Scintillating

2.25: 

Crack on Crack On

3.00: 

Two each way options: Chessman & Cardsharp

3.40: 

Hydrangea (each way)

4.15: 

Master Brewer

4.50: 

Normandy Barriere

5.20:

What A Welcome

Jul 28

Mal Boyle Stats – Saturday 28th

Friday’s school report:

4 winners at 11/1 (returned at 7/1), 4/1 (9/4), 7/2 (9/4) & 2/1 (11/8)…..

Feeling awful this morning I’m afraid guys – Check markets/stake accordingly….

Bookmakers just love changing ground conditions – bet/stake accordingly today – I don’t want to hear of readers ‘doing their proverbials’….

 

DEAD OF NIGHT Morning Market Assessment (at 6.30 am)

ASCOT:

1.50: Scintillating – 4/1 (Generally available)

2.25: Escalator – 14/1 (Betfair/PP)

3.00: Sabador – 20/1 (Generally available)

3.40: Coronet – 14/1 (Ladbrokes/Sportingbet)

4.15: Master Brewer – 11/4 (Generally available)

4.50: My Amigo – 14/1 (Berfair/PP)

5.20: Koeman – 14/1 (365/Betway)

CHESTER:

4.55: Amazing Michele – 11/3 (365/Ladbrokes/BetVictor)

5.25: Omotesando – 9/1 (Generally available)

NEWMARKET:

2.20: Hasanoanda – 7/1 (Ladbrokes/Betfair/PP)

3.15: Tirania – 11/2 (Skybet.Betfair/BetVictor)

4.00: Staxton – 9/1 (888)

5.10: Rickyroadboy – 9/1 (Ladbrokes/Coral/Boyle/888)

SALISBURY:

5.45: Walkman – 12/1 (365)

6.15: Princely – 9/1 (Generally available)

6.45: Spot Lite – 12/1 (Betfair/PP)

7.15: Corazon Espinado – 8/1 (PP/Coral)

8.15: Scrafton – 10/1 (Ladbrokes/Betfair/PP)

YORK:

2.40: Golden Apollo – 17/2 (Betfair/PP)

3.15: Fabricate – 10/1 Ladbrokes/Betway)

4.25: Arab Moon (Generally available)

5.00: Ladies First – 16/1 (Betfair/PP)

5.35: Que Amoro – 5/2 (Ladbrokes)

LINGFIELD:

7.30: Apple Anni – 9/1 (PP)

8.30: Deciding Vote – 11/1 (Skybet/Marathon)

NEWCASTLE:

2.10: Donachies Girl – 10/1 (Ladbrokes/Betfair/PP)

2,45: Rashdan – 13/2 (365/BetVictor)

3.20: Poet’s Society – 14/1 (Ladbrokes/Marathon/Betfair/PP)

3.55: Lucky Lucky Man – 7/2 (Ladbrokes)

5.05: Ingleby Angel – 25/1 (Ladbrokes)

Jul 27

Daily analysis & Nursery service – Friday 27th

ASCOT – JULY 27

Six year stats for this corresponding meeting:

39 races – 14 winning favorites – All 39 winners scored at a top price of 14/1

Leading trainer:

6 winners—Mark Johnston (12/1, 13/2, 5/1, 5/2*, 5/2* & 6/1) – 1 runner: Austrian School (4.10)

 

  • See Nursery details for today’s two relevant race below the race by race Ascot analysis

 

1.50: Despite the odd blip here and there, Charlie Appleby remains the trainer to keep onside, as has been the case almost since day one for the Godolphin handler.  Ceratonia looks the part on paper with so many winners in the bloodline from Green Desert right through to Oasis Dream whilst ‘mum’ Rumh has sired two very good types already in Wild Illusion (for Charlie) and Really Special (Saeed Bin Suroor).  Tom Dascombe thinks a lot of Flighty Almighty but as the trainer was stressing back in the spring, she was going to need a mile sooner rather than later, she might be best watched today.

Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 3/1 market leader finished out of the frame behind horses which were returned at 4/1, 20/1 and 7/2 when secring Placepot positions.

Win Selection: Ceratonia

 

2.25: Richard Hannon has saddled three of the last five winners of this contest whereby the chance of Production is fully respected.  Sir Michael Stoute supporters will be lumping on Almania I’ll wager though at the odds available, Lethal Guest is the win and place call with Mick Channon suggesting back in the dark days of late winter that he was “a smasher”, and Mick knows all about producing debutant winners here at Ascot albeit as memory serves, the majority of them have been fillies.

Favourite factor: Although last year’s successful (11/8) market leader was the first favourite to score in 16 years, the relevant winners ranged in odds between 5/2 and 10/1 during the period, whereby bookmakers have not had things going all their own way.

Each way selection: Lethal Guest

 

3.00: Three-year-olds have won six of the last twelve renewals of this Class 3 (Brown Jack) handicap, yet no vintage representatives turned up for the gig two years ago, with only Archie Watson live to the ‘edge’ this time around!  That said, Archie’s raider Yabass is the ‘roughie’ in the line up at 12/1, though I doubt those odds will be greatly extended by layers over the next few hours.  Similarly, if you can get 9/1 about Eye Of The Storm, I think you will be beating the book, with both runners holding each way chances from my viewpoint, even though this is a ‘short field’ contest.  New readers light like to know that the term short field relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses home reward each way investors.

Favourite factor: 14 of the last 15 winners of the ‘Brown Jack’ have been returned at odds of 8/1 or less, statistics which include eight successful favourites.

Each way options: Yabass & Eye Of The Storm

 

3.35: Three-year-olds have now secured 12 of the last 16 renewals, whilst four-year-olds have secured three of the last seven contests. Junior raiders are 5/4 to extend their good record before the form book is consulted this time around and Beshayyir and De Fide are fancied to lift the prize between them on this occasion.  William Haggas (Beshayyir) saddled the winner last year, whilst De Fide represents decent value for money from my viewpoint at 15/2 with Bet365 early doors this morning.

Favourite factor: Seven favourites have prevailed during the last 16 years, whilst 12 of the 16 winners were sent off at 11/2 or less.

Record of the two course winners in the fourth event:

1/1—Flying North (good)

1/1—Beshayyir (good to firm)

Win selection: Beshayyir

Each way alternative option: De Fide

 

4.10: Mark Johnston saddles just the one runner on the card today, with Austrian School representing the yard which has snared no less than 11 winners over the course of the two day meeting during the last six years!  Silverstre De Sousa’s mount is the call accordingly, with First Nation offered up as the main threat.

Favourite factor: Both favourites have finished out with the washing thus far.

Record of the two course winners in the fifth contest on the card:

2/3—Great Hall (good to soft & soft)

1/1—Atty Presse (good to firm)

Win selection: Austrian School

 

4.45:  Five-year-olds secured the first five places in the 2012 contest before vintage representatives claimed a 1-2-4 four years ago at odds of 10/1-7/1**-12/1, five-year-olds having won four of the last six previous renewals before 2015 when the vintage was not represented.  Only two five-year-olds (33/1 & 25/1 chances) lined up on another occasion, before vintage representatives landed a 1-3-4 two years ago.  Unbelievably, just one relevant horse was declared last year, with the relevant beast rewarding each way investors at 15/2 by finishing third.  Six vintage raiders have been offered the green light (trainers have smelt the coffee at last), with Show Stealer and Vibrant Chords arguably proving to be the pick of the bunch.  Aside from the five-year-olds, I respect the chance of Encore D’Or and Koditime.

Favourite factor: The previous 11 favourites had all been beaten (winners at 66/1-50/1-20/1-20/1-16/1-14/1-10/1-9/1-8/1-7/1-13/2) before a successful 4/1 market leader prevailed seven years ago.  The race reverted to type in 2012 when a 14/1 chance led home horses sent off at 9/1 and 33/1, whilst the last five winners have scored at 14/1-10/1-8/1-5/1-5/1.  15 of the last 19 market leaders have finished out of the frame.

Each way selection: Vibrant Chords

 

5.15: Lady Dancealot looked too big at 11/1 from my viewpoint overnight, especially as she has finished ‘in the three’ in 6/9 races to date.  She struggles to completely last out this six furlong trip if I’m being honest though that said, her each way chance is still there to be seen. If you’re playing the exchanges during the course of the race, I would be amazed if David Elsworth’s raider did not trade as short at 6/1 at some stage of proceedings whereby potential investors should not lose out, especially with ‘Silvestre’ aboard.  Island Of Life and Procedure boast obvious claims at the other end of the market but offer no value according to the gospel of yours truly.

Favourite factor: The two 5/2 favourites to date have managed just one bronze medal between them.

Win and place call: Lady Dancealot

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an ‘exact science’, whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not ‘placed’ regarding my statistics.

 

Nursery races today:

3.45 Thirsk:

Not the easiest of races to assess, especially as No Lippy is thoroughly exposed by now, not that she has an impossible task by any means.  I am (tentatively) swayed by the fact that there was money for Prince Elzaam overnight, especially as he is still down to contest a Novice Median Auction race at York on Saturday afternoon.

6.40 Newmarket:

One of the most competitive Nursery events of the season thus far (potentially the second biggest field) in which Delft Dancer gets the marginal each way call, having already been placed in a two-year-old handicap from the same (78) mark.  Others of interest include Dombra and Even Keel.  As an added pointer, you might like to look at the aggregate weight carrying stats in Nursery races which are listed below.

 

Nursery stats this season (17 races – 118 runners – as of Friday morning – 27th July):

Favourite stats (17):                     

10 winners – 2 placed – 5 unplaced

Odds on favourites:

2/4

Winning trainers:

1/1—Charlie Appleby (4/6*)

1/1—William Jarvis (6/1)

1/1—Hugo Palmer (11/4)

1/1—George Peckham (6/5*)

1/1—Saeed Bin Suroor (13/8*)

1/1—Archie Watson (11/2)

1/2—Eve Johnson Houghton (12/1)

1/2—Rod Millman (14/1)

1/2—Stuart Williams (7/4*)

1/3—Kevin Ryan (6/4*)

1/3—Richard Spencer (7/2)

1/3—James Tate (9/4*)

1/4—Michael Bell (11/4*)

1/4—David Evans (11/4*)

1/10—Richard Fahey (3/1)

1/10—Mark Johnston (8/13*)

1/11—Richard Hannon (7/4*)

Trainers of beaten favourites:

2—Mark Johnston (4/7 & 7/2)

Ralph Beckett (6/4)

Mick Channon (5/2)

Clive Cox (4/1)

Eve Johnson Houghton (8/11)

Jamie Osborne (5/2)

Stats of first three in the betting:

51 relevant runners: 15 winners – 12 placed – 24 unplaced

Stats of horses starting in single figures (9/1 or less):

73 runners – 15 winners – 17 placed – 41 unplaced

Stats of horses starting in double figures (10/1 or more):

45 runners – 2 winners – 3 placed – 40 unplaced

Weight Stats (winners – placed – unplaced):

9-13 – 0-1-0

9-11 – 0-0-1

9-10 – 1-1-1

9-9 – 2-0-0

9-8 – 0-1-1

9-7 – 2–2-6

9-6 – 1-1-3

9-5 – 1-1-2

9-4 – 0-1-3

9-3 – 2-0-2

9-2 – 1-2-2

9-1 – 0-0-1

9-0 – 1-1-6

8-13 – 0-0-4

8-12 – 1-0-1

8-11 – 1-0-4

8-10 – 0-2-9

8-9 – 0-0-4

8-8 – 2-1-1

8-7 – 0-0-2

8-6 – 0-0-6

8-5 – 0-1-4

8-4 – 0-1-4

8-3 – 1-1-5

8-2 – 0-0-1

8-1 – 0-1-1

8-0 – 0-2-4

7-13 – 0-0-1

7-10 – 0-0-1

7-9 – 1-0-0

7-8 – 0-0-1

Aggregate stats:

Horses carrying 9-0+ – 11 winners – 11 placed – 28 unplaced (42.2% of runners)

8-13 or less: 6 winners – 9 placed – 81 unplaced (57.6% of total numbers)

 

Weights carried by beaten favourites:

2 at 9-7

One at 9-11

One at 9-10

One at 9-6

One at 9-5

One at 9-2

 

OTHER TRAINER RECORDS THIS SEASON (YET TO SADDLE A WINNER):

0/1—Alan Berry

0/1—Marco Botti

0/1—Karl Burke

0/1—Tom Clover

0/1—Keith Dalgleish

0/1—Michael Dods

0/1—Clive Cox

0/1—Chris Dwyer

0/1—Mick Easterby

0/1—Roger Fell

0/1—Ron Harris

0/1—Charlie Hills

0/1—Richard Hughes

0/1—Gay Kelleway

0/1—Michael Madgwick

0/1—Amy Murphy

0/1—Nigel Tinkler

0/1—William Muir

0/1—David O’Meara

0/1—Sir Mark Prescott

0/1—Bryan Smart

0/1—Adam West

0/2—Ed Dunlop

0/2—John Gallagher

0/2—William Haggas

0/2—Jamie Osborne

0/2—Joseph Tuite

0/2—Philip McBride

0/2—Stan Moore

0/3—Ralph Beckett

0/3—Declan Carroll

0/3—Tim Easterby

0/4—Mick Channon

0/4—Sylvester Kirk

0/5—Tom Dascombe

 

WINNING SIRES:

3—Kodiac

2—Exceed And Excel

1—Bernardini

1—Bungle Inthejungle

1—Camacho

1—Clodovil

1—Dawn Approach

1—Holy Roman Emperor

1—Oasis Dream

1—Pedro The Great

1—Requinto

1—Sir Percy

1—Sir Prancealot

1–Zebedee

 

FOALING DATES:

6 winners—February

5—April

4—March

2—January

None to date–January

 

NURSERY RUNNERS THIS SEASON:

1 win – Barend Boy (won off an official rating of 79)

1 win – Buckingham (76)

1 win – Greeley (60)

1 win – Implicit (73)

1 win – Jfoul (79)

1 win – Kodyanna (83)

1 win – Lady Katy (65)

1 win – Leading Spirit (76)

1 win – Luchador (72)

1 win – Octave (86)

1 win – Porcelain Girl (71)

1 win – Revich (78)

1 win – Semoum (83)

1 win – The Great Heir (77)

1 win – Leoube (71) & 1 placed (66)

1 win (76) & 1 unplaced (78) – Don Armado

1 win (65) & 1 unplaced (69) – North Korea

Placed x 2 – Nayslayer (69 twice)

Placed – Amadeus Grey (76)

Placed – Arctic Spirit (67)

Placed – Auusie View (82)

Placed – Big Ace (81)

Placed – Delft Dancer (78)

Placed – Devils Roc (57)

Placed – Dixieland (74)

Placed – Essenza (67)

Placed – Finoah (78)

Placed – Mayson Mac (78)

Placed – Moojim (72)

Placed – No Lippy (87)

Placed – Thegreyvtrain (64)

Placed – Two Blondes (73)

Placed – All Back To Mine (60) & Unplaced (60)

Placed – Dancing Speed (68) & Unplaced (70)

Placed – I Am A Dreamer (87) & Unplaced (87)

Unplaced x 2 – Camachess (69 twice)

Unplaced – Alfie Solomons (82)

Unplaced – Al Manhalah (56)

Unplaced – Anlan Bil Emarati (76)

Unplaced – Arbuckle (60)

Unplaced – Aurag (79)

Unplaced – Awake In Asia (75)

Unplaced – Bandola (63)

Unplaced – Beauty Concept (70)

Unplaced – Be Proud

Unplaced – Big Boots (85)

Unplaced – Bouncin Back (65)

Unplaced – Capla Rock (77)

Unplaced – Carrie’s Vision (76)

Unplaced – Corinthian Star (60)

Unplaced – Cruck Railie (62)

Unplaced – Dave Dexter (88)

Unplaced – Don’t Tell Dandy (63)

Unplaced – Double Quick (67)

Unplaced – Duke Of Yorkie (61)

Unplaced – Early Edition (67)

Unplaced – Elieden (68)

Unplaced – Fast Endeavour (61)

Unplaced – Firewater (65)

Unplaced – Free Love (71)

Unplaced – Habanera (56)

Unplaced – Hard Taskmaster (61)

Unplaced – High Horse (83)

Unplaced – House Deposit (62)

Unplaced – Immokalee (76)

Unplaced – Improvising (67)

Unplaced – Islay Mist (66)

Unplaced – Jaayiz (75)

Unplaced – James Watt (86)

Unplaced – Jazz Hands (58)

Unplaced – Juniors Fantasy (58)

Unplaced – Lady Lavinia (64)

Unplaced – Majestic Appeal (65)

Unplaced – Max Guevara (66)

Unplaced – Minas Gerais (70)

Unplaced – Nakakande (82)

Unplaced – Oberyn Martell (93)

Unplaced – Oona (74)

Unplaced – Pink Porrino (57)

Unplaced – Pirate (71)

Unplaced – Posh Perfect (7/2)

Unplaced – Prairie Spy (87)

Unplaced – Raskkolnikov (67)

Unplaced – Red Hut Red (68)

Unplaced – Roca Magica (56)

Unplaced – Rollicking (77)

Unplaced – Society Shock (78)

Unplaced – Spirit Kingdom (77)

Unplaced – Staycation (75)

Unplaced – Sufficient (72)

Unplaced – Sword Of Gold (74)

Unplaced – Temple Of Wonder (72)

Unplaced – The Fluter (58)

Unplaced – The Last Party (78)

Unplaced – Tisneverending (56)

Unplaced – Triple One (68)

Unplaced – Wolstonbury (63)

Unplaced – Yellow Fire (66)

2 x Unplaced – Blyton (81 & 79)

2 x Unplaced – Five Helmets (68 & 71)

2 x Unplaced – Solesmes (69 & 67)

2 x Unplaced – Tarrzan (71 & 67)

2 x Unplaced – Tobeornottobe (58 & 56)

2 x Unplaced – Ventura Bay (70 & 68)

 

Jul 27

Mal Boyle Stats – Friday 27th

Thursday’s school report:

Two MMA WINNERS to report from yesterday with (as usual) so many of my selections being backed off the boards – win, lose or draw.  The two gold medallists were backed from 17/2 into 3/1 & 11/4 into 6/5 before winning their respective events.

FIve others made the frame at 8/1 (returned at 5/1), 15/2 (4/1), 13/2 (13/8), 9/2 (5/1) & 4/1 (3/1)

The biggest casualties yesterday were those backed down from 11/1 to 5/1, 4/1 to 9/4 and 9/2 to 3/1 before finishing out with the washing.  Let’s hope for a little better luck today.

That said, I flagged up the two Andrew Balding runners at Sandown yesterday via my Daily Analysis guide on Wednesday (!) – one of which won at 8/1…

  • Advanced warning for the weekend as rain is meant to hit all areas which will have a dramatic effect on results from my viewpoint – stake accordingly.  Bookmakers just love changing ground conditions….
  • Given that previous statement, Hydrangea looks a tad big at 16/1 for Saturday’s ‘King George’ with Bet365 this morning – if the rains come as promised…
  • Corresponding stats/facts/trainer runners available for all six meetings today can be found below this morning’s potential movers & shakers!  Best of luck guys…

FRIDAY:

DEAD OF NIGHT Morning Market Assessment (at 6.30 am)

ASCOT:

3.00: Eye Of The Storm – 9/1 (Betfair/PP)

3.35: De Fide – 15/2 (365)

4.10: First Nation – 7/2 (Generally available)

4.45: Show Stealer – 13/2 (Hills/Unibet/BetBright)

5.15: Lady Dancealot – 11/1 (Generally available)

CHEPSTOW:

5.50: Wahaab – 5/1 (PP/Unibet)

6.20: Iletyougonow – 11/10 (Betfair/PP)

7.50: Major Valentine – 12/1 (Skybet/Ladbrokes)

NEWMARKET:

5.35: Choral Music – 6/1 (BB)

7.40: Kolo Tamam – 7/2 (PP/Betfair)

8.10: Blue Laureate – 5/1 (Ladbrokes/Unibet)

8.40: Maksab – 7/2 (Generally available)

7.40: THIRSK:

3.10: Bee Machine – 6/1 (365)

3.45: Prince Elzaam – 6/1 (Coral)

4.20: Prestbury Park – 13/2 (PP)

5.25: Penny Dreadful – 7/2 (Generally available)

YORK:

6.00: International Man – 11/1 (Generally available)

6.30: Dirchill – 13/2 (Marathon)

8.00: Fashion Theory – 9/1 (Generally available)

8.30: Billy Dylan – 14/1 (Betfair/PP)

UTTOXETER:

1.40: Premier Rose – 11/1 (Ladbrokes)

2.10: Sonic – 2/1 (365/PP)

3.20: St Johns – 13/2 (PP)

3.55: Mr Caffrey – 6/1 (Betfair)

5.05: We’ve Got Payet – 4/1 (PP)

 

Stats and facts relating to today’s corresponding meetings down the years:

ASCOT: 

Six year stats for this corresponding meeting:

39 races – 14 winning favorites – All 39 winners scored at a top price of 14/1

Leading trainer:

6 winners—Mark Johnston (12/1, 13/2, 5/1, 5/2*, 5/2* & 6/1) – 1 runner: Austrian School (4.10)

 

CHEPSTOW:

Five year stats for Chepstow:

35 races – 14 winning favourites – 32/35 winners scored at a top price of 10/1

Leading trainer:

5 winners–John O’Shea (8/1, 6/1, 9/2, 9/4* & 15/8*) – 2 runners: Major Valentine (7.50) & General Brook (8.55)

 

NEWMARKET:

Six year stats: 

42 races – 23 winning favourites – 38/42 winners scored at a top price of 8/1

Leading trainer: 

5 winners–Mark Johnston (16/1, 7/2**, 5/2*, 9/4** & 4/9*) – 3 runners: Delft Dancer (6.40), Masham Star (7.10) & Elegiac (8.10)

 

THIRSK: 

Six year stats: 

44 races – 18 winning favourites – 41/44 winners scored at a top price of 9/1

Leading trainer:

8 winners (all within the last five years)–Tim Easterby (Prices ranging between 7/2 & 9/1) – 9 runners today – good luck in sorting the wheat from the chaff!

 

YORK: 

Six year stats:

36 races – 11 winning favourites – 31/36 winners scored at a top price of 12/1

Leading trainer:

5 winners–David O’Meara (6/1, 6/1, 9/2*, 9/2 & 3/1) – 5 runners: Short Work (6.30), Bravery, Alfred Hutchinson & Lamloon (8.00) & Billy Dylan (8.30)

 

UTTOXETER: 

6 year stats – 39 different winning trainers – nobody standing out from the crowd!

44 races – 15 winning favourites – 42/44 winners scored at a top price of 12/1

Jul 26

Mal Boyle Stats – Thursday 26th

Wednesday’s school report:

Just the one 7/1 WINNER (returned at 6/1) from yesterday on another quiet day – looks like are are more chances to get back to top form today!

 

THURSDAY:

DEAD OF NIGHT Morning Market Assessment (at 6.30 am)

DONCASTER:

6.25: Able Tasman – 13/2 (BetBright)

7.30: Archie Perkins – 8/1 (Ladbrokes/BetBright)

8.35: Wirral Girl – 9/2 (365/BetVictor)

NEWBURY:

5.35: Gripper – 4/1 (Hills/BetBright/BetVictor)

6.40: To The Moon – 4/1 (365/BetVictor)

8.20: Goodnight Girl – 11/4 (Betfair/PP/Betway/BetVictor)

8.50: Lucky Louis – 15/2 (BetBright)

SANDOWN:

3.25: Dram Machine – 7/1 (PP)

4.00: Autumn Leaves – 17/2 (Ladbrokes)

YARMOUTH:

2.00: Asheena – 11/1 (Betfair/PP)

3.05: Voice Of A Leader – 12/1 (Betfair/PP)

4.40: Crystal Deauville – 9/2 (Generally available)

WORCESTER:

2.40: Smiling Jessica – 13/2 (Ladbroks/Cioral)

3.15: Excellent Team – 14/1 (888)

Jul 26

Daily analysis & Nursery service – Thursday 26th

SANDOWN – JULY 26

 

Six year study of this corresponding meeting:

37 races – 16 winning favourites – 34/37 winners scored at a top price of 9/1

Leading trainer stats on the Thursday of this two day meeting:

5 winners—Andrew Balding (9/1, 7/1, 9/2, 11/4 & 2/1*) – 2 sets of doubles at 79/1 (2016) & 19/1 (2013) – 2 runners today: Havana Rocket (1.50) & Look Around (2.20)

 

  • Please find my Nursery service below the race by race Sandown analysis

 

1.50: Market leaders have a very good record in this contest as you can see for yourself below.  That said, this year’s renewal looks more open than some recent contests, unless the overnight exchange support for Beatboxer continues.  It looks likely that we can ignore the 6/1 trade press quote about John Gosden’s Scat Daddy raider, with 7/2 looking to be under threat at the time of writing.  Andrew Balding reported Havana Rocket to be “a lovely horse” back in the spring and this is about the time of year that the trainer believed he would be making his debut.  Given Andrew’s record at this corresponding meeting, 20/1 might be worth looking into relating to moderate win and place stakes.

Favourite factor: 13 of the last 22 favourites have won this contest, whilst 18 market leaders have reach the frame during the study period.

Win selection: Beatboxer

Each way option: Havana Rocket

 

2.20: This ‘Star Stakes’ invariably takes some winning and that might prove to be the case again, despite the support for La Pelosa overnight.  Charlie Appleby rarely (if ever) seems to have his runners out of form (8/16 recent stats offering eight points of level profit stakes) whereby the projected favourite looks sure to take the beating.  That said however, Mark Johnston’s raider Otave is the highest rated of the sixteen Nursery winners to date this season, whilst anything that Andrew Balding saddles in the Strawbridge colours (white with a green hope) are always worth a second glance, as is Look Around who was a decent Kempton winner the last day hailing from Kingman stock.

Favourite factor: Seven clear market leaders and two joint favourites have prevailed in the last 21 years, whilst 19 of the 27 market leaders have claimed Placepot positions during the study period.

 

2.55: A typically spellbinding Sandown contest which will prove fascinating to watch, both from a market activity viewpoint as well as the race itself.  Only York can hold a candle to this track in my considered opinion, given its uphill finish which has brought about so many wonderful finishes down the years under both codes.  The much missed John Lawrence (Lord Oaksey) was Sandown’s greatest admirer and he will be looking down on today’s proceedings with a smile as wide as his wonderful character.  Ghostwatch and Sexy Beast (whilst respecting the chance of Mt Augustus) should treat us to another thrilling Sandown encounter in this event.

Favourite factor: Seven clear market leaders and two joint favourites have won during the last 21 years.  However, it’s worth noting that the 8/13 market leader was beaten two years ago. 19 of the 27 market leaders have secured Placepot positions during the study period.

Record of the course winner in the field:

1/1—Ghostwatch (good)

 

3.25: Three-year-olds have won seven of the last nine renewals (and eight of the last eleven), with Dorella catching the eye in the dead of night.  Eve Johnson Houghton snared this event twelve months ago en route to a 59/1 double on the card and Dorella has definite claims of doubling up on behalf of the yard from my viewpoint.  The other vintage representatives Jazeel and Hombre Casado (preferred in that order) should also be there or thereabouts at the business end of proceedings.

Favourite factor: Just four clear market leaders and one joint favourite have scored during the last 21 years, whilst 13 of the 3market leaders have secured Placepot positions.  19 of the last 20 winners were returned at 8/1 or less.

Win selection: Dorella

 

4.00: A lot of my interest in this event disappeared with the withdrawal of Glitterdust, though overnight support for Autumn Leaves has reignited the flame to a fashion.  Clive Cox has greeted three of his last six runners in the area reserved for winning connections of late, whereby Adam Kirby mount could be backed at 17/2 with Ladbrokes if you are quick off the mark.  Camomile Lawn is preferred to Crimson Skies as the main threat to the selection.

Favourite factor: Last year’s 9/4 market leader scrambled a Placepot position when finishing third behind horses gold and silver medallists which were sent off at 14/1 and 7/2.

Each way selection: Autumn Leaves

 

4.30: King’s Slipper deserves to carry the favourite’s tag into the race, especially given Clive Cox’s form as advertised in the previous event on the card.  Eve Johnson Houghton saddles another interesting runner at Sandown however, with Running Cloud available at 6/1 to win and place investors, albeit this is a ‘short field’ contest.  New readers might like to know that the term short field relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses home qualify relating to potential each way returns.

Favourite factor: Both of the inaugural 9/2 joint favourites finished in the frame two years back, though they had to give best to the 11/2 winner.  Last year’s 11/10 favourite duly obliged.

Win selection: King’s Slipper

Each way saver? Running Cloud

 

5.00: Dual course winner Another Boy landed this event twelve months ago, albeit six subsequent assignments have come and gone without the five-year-old adding to his tally. There is an outside chance of some rain in the Esher area today which would enhance his chance, especially as Ralph Beckett’s raider only carries 16 additional ounces one year down the line.  You will be in a better position that yours truly to detect if the any of the wet stuff arrives at Sandown later today.  Three-year-olds have won three of the last five contests, whereby Skydiving has to come into the mix alongside Jim Boyle’s hat trick seeker Duke Of North.

Favourite factor: A real mix of results to report following eight renewals of the closing contest on the card.  A couple of years have slipped by (won by 7/1 and 9/2 chances) since a hat trick of market leaders obliged between 2013/15.  The first three races were won by horses returned at 33/1, 28/1 & 25/1.

Record of the course winner in the finale:

2/3—Another Boy (good & good to soft)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an ‘exact science’, whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not ‘placed’ regarding my statistics.

 

Nursery race this evening – 7.45 Newbury:

Charlie Appleby saddles his first two-year-old handicapper of the season in this event, with Leading Spirit representing the yard.

Charlie’s Exceed And Excel gelding (lost his ‘equipment’ since his last assignment) is nigh impossible to oppose, especially when taking Charlie’s 4/9 record in the Nursery sector last year into account.

Blyton looks set the forecast position, given that Tom Dascombe has won with four of his last eight runners, stats which have produced 15 points of level stake profit.

 

Nursery stats this season (16 races – 112 runners – as of Thursday morning – 26th July):

Favourite stats (16):                     

9 winners – 2 placed – 5 unplaced

Odds on favourites:

1/3

Winning trainers:

1/1—William Jarvis (6/1)

1/1—Hugo Palmer (11/4)

1/1—George Peckham (6/5*)

1/1—Saeed Bin Suroor (13/8*)

1/1—Archie Watson (11/2)

1/2—Eve Johnson Houghton (12/1)

1/2—Rod Millman (14/1)

1/2—James Tate (9/4*)

1/2—Stuart Williams (7/4*)

1/3—Kevin Ryan (6/4*)

1/3—Richard Spencer (7/2)

1/4—Michael Bell (11/4*)

1/4—David Evans (11/4*)

1/10—Richard Fahey (3/1)

1/10—Mark Johnston (8/13*)

1/11—Richard Hannon (7/4*)

Trainers of beaten favourites:

2—Mark Johnston (4/7 & 7/2)

Ralph Beckett (6/4)

Mick Channon (5/2)

Clive Cox (4/1)

Eve Johnson Houghton (8/11)

Jamie Osborne (5/2)

Stats of first three in the betting:

48 relevant runners: 14 winners – 12 placed – 22 unplaced

Stats of horses starting in single figures (9/1 or less):

69 runners – 14 winners – 16 placed – 39 unplaced

Stats of horses starting in double figures (10/1 or more):

43 runners – 2 winners – 3 placed – 38 unplaced

Weight Stats (winners – placed – unplaced):

9-13 – 0-1-0

9-11 – 0-0-1

9-10 – 1-1-1

9-9 – 2-0-0

9-8 – 0-1-0

9-7 – 2–2-6

9-6 – 1-1-3

9-5 – 0-1-2

9-4 – 0-1-3

9-3 – 2-0-2

9-2 – 1-2-2

9-1 – 0-0-1

9-0 – 1-1-6

8-13 – 0-0-4

8-12 – 1-0-1

8-11 – 1-0-4

8-10 – 0-2-7

8-9 – 0-0-4

8-8 – 2-1-1

8-7 – 0-0-2

8-6 – 0-0-6

8-5 – 0-1-4

8-4 – 0-1-3

8-3 – 1-1-5

8-2 – 0-0-1

8-1 – 0-1-1

8-0 – 0-1-4

7-13 – 0-0-1

7-10 – 0-0-1

7-9 – 1-0-0

7-8 – 0-0-1

 

Weights carried by beaten favourites:

2 at 9-7

One at 9-11

One at 9-10

One at 9-6

One at 9-5

One at 9-2

 

OTHER TRAINER RECORDS THIS SEASON (YET TO SADDLE A WINNER):

0/1—Alan Berry

0/1—Marco Botti

0/1—Karl Burke

0/1—Tom Clover

0/1—Keith Dalgleish

0/1—Michael Dods

0/1—Clive Cox

0/1—Chris Dwyer

0/1—Mick Easterby

0/1—Roger Fell

0/1—John Gallagher

0/1—Ron Harris

0/1—Richard Hughes

0/1—Gay Kelleway

0/1—Michael Madgwick

0/1—Amy Murphy

0/1—Nigel Tinkler

0/1—William Muir

0/1—David O’Meara

0/1—Sir Mark Prescott

0/1—Bryan Smart

0/2—Ed Dunlop

0/2—William Haggas

0/2—Jamie Osborne

0/2—Joseph Tuite

0/2—Philip McBride

0/2—Stan Moore

0/3—Ralph Beckett

0/3—Declan Carroll

0/3—Tim Easterby

0/4—Mick Channon

0/4—Tom Dascombe

0/4—Sylvester Kirk

 

WINNING SIRES:

3—Kodiac

1—Bernardini

1—Bungle Inthejungle

1—Camacho

1—Clodovil

1—Dawn Approach

1—Exceed And Excel

1—Holy Roman Emperor

1—Oasis Dream

1—Pedro The Great

1—Requinto

1—Sir Percy

1—Sir Prancealot

1–Zebedee

 

FOALING DATES:

5 winners—February

5—April

4—March

2—January

None to date–January

 

NURSERY RUNNERS THIS SEASON:

1 win – Barend Boy (won off an official rating of 79)

1 win – Buckingham (76)

1 win – Greeley (60)

1 win – Implicit (73)

1 win – Jfoul (79)

1 win – Kodyanna (83)

1 win – Lady Katy (65)

1 win – Luchador (72)

1 win – Octave (86)

1 win – Porcelain Girl (71)

1 win – Revich (78)

1 win – Semoum (83)

1 win – The Great Heir (77)

1 win – Leoube (71) & 1 placed (66)

1 win (76) & 1 unplaced (78) – Don Armado

1 win (65) & 1 unplaced (69) – North Korea

Placed x 2 – Nayslayer (69 twice)

Placed – Amadeus Grey (76)

Placed – Arctic Spirit (67)

Placed – Auusie View (82)

Placed – Big Ace (81)

Placed – Delft Dancer (78)

Placed – Dixieland (74)

Placed – Essenza (67)

Placed – Finoah (78)

Placed – Mayson Mac (78)

Placed – Moojim (72)

Placed – No Lippy (87)

Placed – Thegreyvtrain (64)

Placed – Two Blondes (73)

Placed – All Back To Mine (60) & Unplaced (60)

Placed – Dancing Speed (68) & Unplaced (70)

Placed – I Am A Dreamer (87) & Unplaced (87)

Unplaced x 2 – Camachess (69 twice)

Unplaced – Alfie Solomons (82)

Unplaced – Al Manhalah (56)

Unplaced – Anlan Bil Emarati (76)

Unplaced – Arbuckle (60)

Unplaced – Aurag (79)

Unplaced – Awake In Asia (75)

Unplaced – Bandola (63)

Unplaced – Beauty Concept (70)

Unplaced – Be Proud

Unplaced – Big Boots (85)

Unplaced – Blyton (81)

Unplaced – Bouncin Back (65)

Unplaced – Capla Rock (77)

Unplaced – Carrie’s Vision (76)

Unplaced – Corinthian Star (60)

Unplaced – Cruck Railie (62)

Unplaced – Dave Dexter (88)

Unplaced – Don’t Tell Dandy (63)

Unplaced – Early Edition (67)

Unplaced – Elieden (68)

Unplaced – Fast Endeavour (61)

Unplaced – Firewater (65)

Unplaced – Free Love (71)

Unplaced – Habanera (56)

Unplaced – Hard Taskmaster (61)

Unplaced – High Horse (83)

Unplaced – House Deposit (62)

Unplaced – Immokalee (76)

Unplaced – Improvising (67)

Unplaced – Islay Mist (66)

Unplaced – Jaayiz (75)

Unplaced – James Watt (86)

Unplaced – Jazz Hands (58)

Unplaced – Juniors Fantasy (58)

Unplaced – Lady Lavinia (64)

Unplaced – Majestic Appeal (65)

Unplaced – Max Guevara (66)

Unplaced – Minas Gerais (70)

Unplaced – Nakakande (82)

Unplaced – Oberyn Martell (93)

Unplaced – Oona (74)

Unplaced – Pink Porrino (57)

Unplaced – Pirate (71)

Unplaced – Posh Perfect (7/2)

Unplaced – Prairie Spy (87)

Unplaced – Raskkolnikov (67)

Unplaced – Red Hut Red (68)

Unplaced – Roca Magica (56)

Unplaced – Rollicking (77)

Unplaced – Society Shock (78)

Unplaced – Spirit Kingdom (77)

Unplaced – Staycation (75)

Unplaced – Sufficient (72)

Unplaced – Sword Of Gold (74)

Unplaced – Tarrzan (71)

Unplaced – Temple Of Wonder (72)

Unplaced – The Fluter (58)

Unplaced – The Last Party (78)

Unplaced – Tisneverending (56)

Unplaced – Triple One (68)

Unplaced – Wolstonbury (63)

Unplaced – Yellow Fire (66)

2 x Unplaced – Five Helmets (68 & 71)

2 x Unplaced – Solesmes (69 & 67)

2 x Unplaced – Tobeornottobe (58 & 56)

2 x Unplaced – Ventura Bay (70 & 68)

 

 

Jul 25

Mal Boyle Stats – Wednesday 25th

Tuesday’s school report:

2 MMA WINNERS to report from Tuesday at 7/1 (returned at 6/1) & 4/1 (7/2) = level stake profit as has (more often then not) been the case since the service started…..

Throw in three placed horses at 11/2 (5/1), 9/2 (3/1) and 4/1 (5/1) and all in all it was a reasonable day though the school report reads; return to more impressive results as was previously the case – Answer to assessor; Any day now!

WEDNESDAY:

DEAD OF NIGHT Morning Market Assessment (at 6.30 am)

BATH:

3.00: Gallileo’s Spear – 5/1 (Ladbrokes)

CATTERICK:

4.10: Merry Banter – 4/1 (Generally available)

5.10: Guardia Svizzera – 9/2 (365)

5.45: Itlaaq – 13/2 (365)

LINGFIELD:

3.20: Islay Mist – 4/1 (365/Skybet/Unibet/BetVictor)

4.50: Lady Marigold – 5/1 (Hills/Betfair)

LEICESTER:

5.30: Carlovian – 8/1 (BetBright)

7.05: Albizzia -9/1 (BetBright)

7.40: Jupiter – 11/1 (BetBright)

8.40: Christmas Night – 7/1 (Ladbrokes/Marathon)

SANDOWN:

5.50: Lyricas Lion – 7/1 (Hills/Marathon/BetBright)

8.30: West Drive – 14/1 (Generally available)

Jul 25

Daily Analysis & Nursery service – Wednesday 25th

SANDOWN – JULY 25

Six year study of this corresponding meeting:

36 races – 12 winning favourites – 33/36 winners scored at a top price of 9/1

Combined stats for this two day meeting over the last six years:

73 races – 28 winning favourites – 67/73 winners scored at a top price of 9/1

Leading trainer stats during the two days of the fixture:

8 winners–Andrew Balding (40/1, 9/1, 9/1, 7/1, 9/2, 11/4, 2/1* & 7/4*) – 2 runners on Thursday: Havana Rocket (1.50) & Look Around (1.50) – no runners at Sandown today

6 winners—Sir Michael Stoute (9/2, 11/4, 11/8*, 6/5*, Evens* & 1/5*) – 1 runner tomorrow: Glitterdust (4.00) – no runners at Sandown today

 

  • You can find today’s complete Nursery service below today’s Sandown race by race analysis

 

5.50: Although the ground will be plenty lively enough for Zamperini, this 72 officially rated entry stands head and shoulders above some of these runners whereby it would not come as a huge surprise if Mike Murphy’s six-year-old doubles his tally at the track this evening.  Similarly, I could offer a win and place squeak to Lunar Deity in a tough apprentice race to assess for openers.

Favourite factor: Ten of the thirteen market leaders have secured Placepot positions during the last decade, statistics which include five winners.

Record of the two course winners in the opening event:

1/8—Zamperini (good to soft)

1/6—Zambeasy (good)

Two each way options: Zamperini & Lunar Deity

 

6.20: Clive Cox’s Showcasing filly Heartwarming is impossible to oppose following a fine first effort over course and distance from an unfavourable draw on her debut recently.  The fact that she was withdrawn from what should have been her debut at Nottingham on account of unfavourable (soft) ground suggests that these are her conditions which offers icing on the cake.  The only other exchange money to be sighted early doors this morning was for Symphony, though too little to be of any consequence in all probability.

Favourite factor: The three favourites thus far have secured a medal of each colour alongside Placepot positions.

 

6.55: Horses carrying 9-1 or more have won all four renewals whist securing seven of the nine available Placepot positions.  I am leaving the stats in for your records even though the ‘dead eight’ runners all qualify via the weight trend this time around.  Anonymous John and Kasbah are the two each way horses catching my attention at the time of writing, especially as there is plenty of (realistic) money in the positive queues on the exchanges in the dead of night.  Delegate This Lord is the other potential winner in the field from my viewpoint, though the attractive prices of the first named pair hold sway.

Favourite factor: The three favourites had secured one medal of each colour whilst securing Placepot positions before last year’s 7/4 market leader found one too good in a ‘win only’ contest.

Each way options: Kasbah & Anonymous John

 

7.25: Magical Effort deserves to go one better having finished second on his last three assignments, though I’ve a notion that Frank Bridge and possibly Race Day might prove too strong up the Sandown hill.  Eve Johnson-Houghton has carried on where she left off last season (three of her last eight runners have won – including a 14/1 chance) whereby course winner Frank Bridge is taken to win the day.

Favourite factor: Only one of the three favourites (via two renewals) has claimed a Placepot position thus far whilst we still await the first successful market leader from a win perspective.

Win selection: Frank Bridge

Record of the course winner in the fourth contest:

1/4—Frank Bridge (good to soft)

 

8.00: Three-year-olds have secured eight of the last eleven renewals of this event, with three of the six runners hailing from the vintage this time around.  All three junior raiders have the ability to win, though with The Last Emperor and Icart Point potentially setting up the race for others by contesting the lead, Employer is expected to make the most of first time blinkers to settle the issue close home.  Icart Point is taken to fill the forecast position.

Favourite factor: Favourites have won seven of the twelve renewals to date, with eight of the fourteen market leaders having finished in the frame.

Win selection: Employer

 

8.10: Four-year-olds lead the five-year-olds 8-3 during the last 15 years.  Four-year-olds are around the 8/11 mark to increase their recent dominance before the form book is consulted. Just In Time should edge out Petitioner relating to the relevant quartet on this occasion, though last year’s winner West Drive looks far too big at 14/1 with a few firms this morning.  Yes, the ground will be much faster this time around but running for Gary Moore’s team for the first time, West Drive is surely worth a small stake play from a win and place perspective in this grade/company.

Favourite factor: Five clear market leaders have won during the last 21 years alongside three joint favourites.  15 of the 26 favourites have secured Placepot positions during the study period.

Record of the course winner in the finale:

1/1—West Drive (good to soft)

Each way selection: West Drive

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an ‘exact science’, whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not ‘placed’ regarding my statistics.

 

Today’s Nursery event; 3.10 Catterick:

Mark Johnston is on a four-timer in the contest and Aussie View appears to have been offered a definite chance by the official assessor having been given a rating of 82.

Three horses have already won off higher marks in the two-year-old handicap sector this season.

I have plenty of respect for Jfoul whose trainer Saeed Bin Suroor saddles his first Nursery runner of the season.

Saeed boasts a 30% strike rate in this sector via 38 winners during the last 23 years since he started training in this country.  That said, Saeed is looking for this first two-year-old winner at Catterick with his fifth relevant runner at the track.  His total record (all ages) at the venue is 2/11 down the years.

 

Nursery stats this season (15 races – 104 runners – as of Wednesday morning – 25th July):

Favourite stats (15):         

8 winners – 2 placed – 5 unplaced

Odds on favourites:

1/3

Winning trainers:

1/1—William Jarvis (6/1)

1/1—Hugo Palmer (11/4)

1/1—George Peckham (6/5*)

1/1—Archie Watson (11/2)

1/2—Eve Johnson Houghton (12/1)

1/2—Rod Millman (14/1)

1/2—Kevin Ryan (6/4*)

1/2—James Tate (9/4*)

1/2—Stuart Williams (7/4*)

1/3—Michael Bell (11/4*)

1/3—Richard Spencer (7/2)

1/4—David Evans (11/4*)

1/7—Richard Fahey (3/1)

1/9—Mark Johnston (8/13*)

1/11—Richard Hannon (7/4*)

Trainers of beaten favourites:

2—Mark Johnston (4/7 & 7/2)

Ralph Beckett (6/4)

Mick Channon (5/2)

Clive Cox (4/1)

Eve Johnson Houghton (8/11)

Jamie Osborne (5/2)

Stats of first three in the betting:

45 relevant runners: 13 winners – 10 placed – 22 unplaced

Stats of horses starting in single figures (9/1 or less):

65 runners – 13 winners – 14 placed – 38 unplaced

Stats of horses starting in double figures (10/1 or more):

39 runners – 2 winners – 3 placed – 34 unplaced

Weight Stats (winners – placed – unplaced):

9-11 – 0-0-1

9-10 – 0-1-1

9-9 – 2-0-0

9-8 – 0-1-0

9-7 – 2–1-5

9-6 – 1-1-3

9-5 – 0-1-2

9-4 – 0-1-3

9-3 – 2-0-2

9-2 – 1-2-2

9-1 – 0-0-0

9-0 – 1-1-6

8-13 – 0-0-4

8-12 – 1-0-1

8-11 – 1-0-4

8-10 – 0-2-6

8-9 – 0-0-4

8-8 – 2-1-1

8-7 – 0-0-2

8-6 – 0-0-5

8-5 – 0-1-4

8-4 – 0-1-3

8-3 – 1-1-4

8-2 – 0-0-1

8-1 – 0-1-1

8-0 – 0-1-4

7-13 – 0-0-1

7-10 – 0-0-1

7-9 – 1-0-0

7-8 – 0-0-1

 

Weights carried by beaten favourites:

2 at 9-7

One at 9-11

One at 9-10

One at 9-6

One at 9-5

One at 9-2

 

OTHER TRAINER RECORDS THIS SEASON (YET TO SADDLE A WINNER):

0/1—Alan Berry

0/1—Marco Botti

0/1—Karl Burke

0/1—Tom Clover

0/1—Keith Dalgleish

0/1—Michael Dods

0/1—Clive Cox

0/1—Chris Dwyer

0/1—Mick Easterby

0/1—Roger Fell

0/1—John Gallagher

0/1—Ron Harris

0/1—Richard Hughes

0/1—Gay Kelleway

0/1—Michael Madgwick

0/1—Amy Murphy

0/1—Nigel Tinkler

0/1—William Muir

0/1—David O’Meara

0/1—Sir Mark Prescott

0/1—Bryan Smart

0/2—Ed Dunlop

0/2—William Haggas

0/2—Jamie Osborne

0/2—Joseph Tuite

0/2—Tim Easterby

0/2—Philip McBride

0/2—Stan Moore

0/3—Ralph Beckett

0/3—Declan Carroll

0/4—Mick Channon

0/4—Tom Dascombe

0/4—Sylvester Kirk

 

WINNING SIRES:

3—Kodiac

1—Bernardini

1—Bungle Inthejungle

1—Camacho

1—Clodovil

1—Dawn Approach

1—Exceed And Excel

1—Holy Roman Emperor

1—Oasis Dream

1—Pedro The Great

1—Requinto

1—Sir Percy

1—Sir Prancealot

 

FOALING DATES:

5 winners—February

5—April

3—March

2—January

None to date–January

 

NURSERY RUNNERS THIS SEASON:

1 win – Barend Boy (won off an official rating of 79)

1 win – Buckingham (76)

1 win – Greeley (60)

1 win – Implicit (73)

1 win – Kodyanna (83)

1 win – Lady Katy (65)

1 win – Luchador (72)

1 win – Octave (86)

1 win – Porcelain Girl (71)

1 win – Revich (78)

1 win – Semoum (83)

1 win – The Great Heir (77)

1 win – Leoube (71) & 1 placed (66)

1 win (76) & 1 unplaced (78) – Don Armado

1 win (65) & 1 unplaced (69) – North Korea

Placed x 2 – Nayslayer (69 twice)

Placed – Arctic Spirit (67)

Placed – Big Ace (81)

Placed – Delft Dancer (78)

Placed – Dixieland (74)

Placed – Essenza (67)

Placed – Finoah (78)

Placed – Mayson Mac (78)

Placed – Moojim (72)

Placed – No Lippy (87)

Placed – Thegreyvtrain (64)

Placed – Two Blondes (73)

Placed – All Back To Mine (60) & Unplaced (60)

Placed – Dancing Speed (68) & Unplaced (70)

Placed – I Am A Dreamer (87) & Unplaced (87)

Unplaced x 2 – Camachess (69 twice)

Unplaced – Alfie Solomons (82)

Unplaced – Al Manhalah (56)

Unplaced – Anlan Bil Emarati (76)

Unplaced – Arbuckle (60)

Unplaced – Aurag (79)

Unplaced – Awake In Asia (75)

Unplaced – Bandola (63)

Unplaced – Beauty Concept (70)

Unplaced – Be Proud

Unplaced – Big Boots (85)

Unplaced – Blyton (81)

Unplaced – Bouncin Back (65)

Unplaced – Capla Rock (77)

Unplaced – Carrie’s Vision (76)

Unplaced – Corinthian Star (60)

Unplaced – Cruck Railie (62)

Unplaced – Dave Dexter (88)

Unplaced – Don’t Tell Dandy (63)

Unplaced – Early Edition (67)

Unplaced – Elieden (68)

Unplaced – Firewater (65)

Unplaced – Free Love (71)

Unplaced – Habanera (56)

Unplaced – Hard Taskmaster (61)

Unplaced – High Horse (83)

Unplaced – House Deposit (62)

Unplaced – Improvising (67)

Unplaced – Islay Mist (66)

Unplaced – Jaayiz (75)

Unplaced – James Watt (86)

Unplaced – Juniors Fantasy (58)

Unplaced – Lady Lavinia (64)

Unplaced – Majestic Appeal (65)

Unplaced – Max Guevara (66)

Unplaced – Nakakande (82)

Unplaced – Oberyn Martell (93)

Unplaced – Oona (74)

Unplaced – Pink Porrino (57)

Unplaced – Pirate (71)

Unplaced – Posh Perfect (7/2)

Unplaced – Prairie Spy (87)

Unplaced – Raskkolnikov (67)

Unplaced – Red Hut Red (68)

Unplaced – Roca Magica (56)

Unplaced – Rollicking (77)

Unplaced – Society Shock (78)

Unplaced – Spirit Kingdom (77)

Unplaced – Staycation (75)

Unplaced – Sufficient (72)

Unplaced – Sword Of Gold (74)

Unplaced – Tarrzan (71)

Unplaced – Temple Of Wonder (72)

Unplaced – The Fluter (58)

Unplaced – The Last Party (78)

Unplaced – Tisneverending (56)

Unplaced – Triple One (68)

Unplaced – Ventura Bay (68)

Unplaced – Wolstonbury (63)

Unplaced – Yellow Fire (66)

2 x Unplaced – Five Helmets (68 & 71)

2 x Unplaced – Solesmes (69 & 67)

2 x Unplaced – Tobeornottobe (58 & 56)