Mar 12

Mal Boyle stats – Sunday 12th

My daily stats will appear in my Sporting Life column (except on Monday when the work will be shown here) between now until the end of Cheltenham Festival week for which the local weather forecast is for minimal rain during the next ten days, with no sign of frosts on the horizon.

 

Hoping to have one for you in one of the tricky handicap contests on Tuesday at Cheltenham – watch this space for news of  the potential 20/1 chance…

 

Additional stats for Sunday: 

Four of the last six runners trainer by Caroline Bailey have won (+6) – two runners today at Warwick: Robin Of Locksley (3.25) & Carli King (3.55)

 

Percentage returns at today’s venues during the relevant study periods for favourites against the number of races contested:

Market Rasen: 41.8% (18 meetings)

Warwick: 39.7% (12 meetings)

Market Rasen last year: Although seven of the nine favourites were beaten, all seven winners scored at a top price of 8/1, five of which were sent off at 5/2 or less.  That said, the only odds on (2/7) Micky Hammond trained favourite was beaten.

Warwick last year: Two of the six favourites prevailed at 11/10 (Venetia Williams) & 11/4 (Ian Williams), whilst the other gold medallists on the six race card were returned at 7/2 (Neil Mulholland), 11/2 (Mrs S Stilgoe), 8/1 (Phil Middleton) & 12/1 (Kerry Lee)

 

Readers of my Twitter page were alerted towards this column today relating to next Friday’s renewal of the ‘Albert Bartlett’ for the following reason:

Races come and go at the Festival and trends emerge but one of the disappointing aspects of last year’s results were the Placepot dividends – until Friday that is.  Even then, the £1,680.90 dividend only resulted via two races which turned the apple-cart upside down.

The closing ‘Martin Pipe’ event is a typical handicap event that can produce results to inflate any dividend, though it was the ‘Albert Bartlett’ result that really changed the course of Placepot dividends on the week.

Just 6.3% of the units there were ‘live’ going into the race survived the contest.  The starting prices were as follows: 11/1 – 33/1 – 20/1.  That’s all it takes sometimes.

Speculative investors foolishly look for outsiders to finish in the frame in every race but that does not necessarily have to happy to produce a great return.

Be lucky but as always – be aware!

 

The following message will be on show until next week for ‘new’ readers to digest:

MESSAGE RELATING TO THE CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL NEXT WEEK:

There are lots of stats being punted around these days but without boosting my own over-inflated ago further, it was yours truly that started revealing the facts that matter seventeen years ago when starting my daily column for the Sporting Life which ran for over 15 years,

Although I only offer three days of work for the ‘Life’ these days, I have long since been the only surviving freelance writer for them going back to the start of the Millenium.

Three years later I was the first person (and still am as far as I know) who had their stats published in a four page centre-fold in the Festival programme each day, nothwithstanding working for the Channel 4 Cheltenham Festival team the following year.

Websites come and go alongside their respective ‘experts’ but if you want to read the thoughts and stats of the person that has negotiated ‘ all the fences’ safely for the thick end of 20 years – you know where to come next week – my Twitter pages will have directions to all the details you really need, with all due respect to other columnists out there in the jungle.

Best of luck today and particularly – next week.