Mar 28

Mal Boyle Stats – Wednesday 28th

LATE WIRE (12.50):

Paul Nicholls has saddled six winners at the corresponding meeting at Wincanton today during the last three years, via doubles at 39/1 – 13/1 – 9/2.  

Paul saddled three runners on the card, namely Captain Cattistock (2.00), Unioniste (4.45) & Blu Cavalier (5.15)

Wednesday’s school report:

5 MMA RUNNERS YESTERDAY – WINNER AT 6/1 (returned at 11/2) & SECOND AT 25/1 (SP; 12/1) – A quiet but most essentially – a successful day!

APPROXIMMATE WEDNESDAY TIMELINE:

5.30: ‘Dead Of Night’ MMA service – DONE

7.30: Wincanton Analysis via the link on my Twitter page – DONE

8.00: MMA prices update + additions if/where relevant – DONE WITH THREE ADDITIONS

11.00: In form trainers – sorry for the delay this morning – having to go out soon on something of an unexpected ‘mercy mission’ – DONE

 

WEDNESDAY:

DEAD OF NIGHT Morning Market Assessment (at 5.30 am) – these prices will be updated at 8.00 with additions if/where relevant.

WINCANTON:

2.30: Innisfree Lad – 4/1 (Generally available)

3.05: She’s Gone – 9/2 (Hills/Sunbets)

4.15: Two horses to consider: Sonoftheking – 10/1 (PP) & Achille – 25/1 (Betfair/PP) = 7/1 coupled

Additional Wincanton entry at 8.00:

3.40: Vivaccio – 7/1 (Ladbrokes)

 

WARWICK:

3.15: Mr Love – 10/1 (Ladbrokes/Betfair/PP)

3.50: Desilvaro – 40/1 (PP)

4.55: Georgian Firebird – 20/1 (365)

Additional Warwick entries at 8.00:

NONE

 

WOLVERHAMPTON:

2.20: Firewolf – 16/1 (Hills)

3.25: Percy Thrower – 14/1 (Betfair/PP)

4.35: Dark Alliance – 3/1 (PP)

Additional Wolverhampton entry at 8.00:

2.50: New Srtreet – 7/2 (Ladbrokes/Betfair/PP)

 

NEWCASTLE:

5.45: Two horses to consider: Something Burning – 11/4 (Betfair/PP) & Magistral – 14/1 (365/PP)

7.45: Jumerira Street – 20/1 (PP)

8.45: Caesars Comet – 8/1 (Generally available)

Additional Newcastle entry at 8.00:

7.15: Funkadelic – 20/1 (Marathon/Betfair/PP)

 

IN FORM TRAINERS INCLUDE:

9/17—Charlie Appleby (+19) – 1 at Newcastle: Fountain Of Time (7.45)

7/17—Jenny Candlish (+15) – 1 at Warwick: Mankala (2.10)

5/19—Ruth Carr (+24) – 3 at Newcastle: Adventureman (6.15), Skito Soldier (8.15) & Suwaan (8.45)

4/10—Mark Johnston (+8) – 2 at Wolverhampton: Miss Danby (3.25) & One Second (4.00)

4/11—Paul Nicholls (+6) – 3 at Wincanton: Captain Cattistock (2.00), Unioniste (4.45) & Blu Cavalier (5.15)

3/6—Michael Herrington (+12) – 1 at Wolverhampton: Street Poet (2.50)

2/3—Sir Mark Prescott (+6) – 2 today: Harmonica (6.45 Newcastle) & Elysses Palace (7.30 Dundalk)

13 runners – listed in race order:

2.00: Captain Cattistock

2.10: Mankala

2.50: Street Poet

3.25: Miss Danby

4.00: One Second

4.45: Unioniste

5.15: Blu Cavalier

6.15: Adventureman

6.45: Harmonica

7.30: Elysses Palace

7.45: Fountain Of Time

8.15: Skito Soldier

8.45: Suwaan (5.15)

 

LEADING FLAT (TURF) TRAINERS AFTER THE TWO DONCASTER MEETINGS + those with heaviest losses to date:

3/17–Richard Fahey (+9) – Next potential runners on turf: Bath (Friday)

1/1–Roger Teal (+50) – Bath

1/1–Lawrence Mullaney (+5) – No entries

1/1–Mark Walford (+4) – No entries

1/1–Ian Williams (+4) – Musselburgh (Saturday)

1/1–Tom Dascombe (+1) – Bath

1/1–Roger Varian (+1) – Bath

1/2–William Haggas (+4) – Bath

1/2–Charlie Appleby (Marginal loss) – Bath

1/3–Kevin Ryan (+9) – Musselburgh – no runners anywhere until Saturday

1/4–Mick Channon (+1) – Bath

1/4–Phil Kirby (+1) – No entries

1/7–Declan Carroll (Level profit/loss) – Curragh (Sunday)

1/8–Mick Easterby (loss of 3 points) – Musselburgh

Trainers with biggest losses thus far:

0/10–Karl Burke

0/8–Keith Dalgleish

0/6–David O’Meara

0/5–Michael Appleby

0/5–Paul Midgley

 

ADVANCE STAT ATTACKS FOR THE EASTER WEEKEND (6 YEAR STUDY UNLESS STATED):

LINGFIELD (FRIDAY – Four year study):

28 races – 10  winning favourites – 25/28 winners scored at a top price of 11/1

Average Placepot dividend: £116.70

Highest dividend: £250.40 (2017) – Lowest dividend: £16.80 (2015)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

3 winners—Charlie Appleby (6/1, 6/5* & 1/2* – 22/1 treble in 2015)

3 winners—Richard Fahey (25/1, 7/1 & 4/1**)

 

CARLISLE (SATURDAY):

44 races – 17 winning favourites – 40/44 winners scored at a top price of 10/1

Average Placepot dividend: £169.00

Highest dividend: £593.30 (2014) – Lowest dividend: £36.10 (2013)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

4 winners—Lucinda Russell (13/2, 5/1 & 5/1 twice)

4 winners—Sue Smith (4/1, 3/1, 7/4* & 13/8*)

 

HAYDOCK (SATURDAY):

42 races – 11 winning favourites – 37/42 winners scored at a top price of 12/1

Average Placepot dividend: £1,052.85

Highest dividend: £3,207.30 (2017) – Lowest dividend: £305.00 (2013)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

6 winners—Nigel Twiston-Davies (11/1, 15/2, 9/2, 4/1*, 7/2* & 5/4*)

4 winners—Alan King (25/1, 12/1, 17/2 & 7/2)

 

KEMPTON (SATURDAY):

43 races – 15 winning favourites – 37/43 winners scored at a top price of 11/1

Average Placepot dividend: £264.30

Highest dividend: £424.70 (2013) – Lowest dividend: £119.20 (2015)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

3 winners—Mark Johnston (9/1, 6/5* & 8/13*)

3 winners—Richard Hannon (5/1, 3/1 &5/6* – stretches to four winners if you include a Richard Hannon Senior winner at 16/1 during the period!)

 

PLUMPTON (SUNDAY):

42 races – 18 winning favourites – 37/42 winners scored at a top price of 14/1

Average Placepot dividend: £123.18

Highest dividend: £298.90 (2016) – Lowest dividend: £16.10 (2013)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

5 winners—Seamus Mullins (7/1, 5/1, 11/4, 11/4 & 9/4* – includes a 155/1 treble in 2014)

4 winners—Chris Gordon (16/1, 9/2, 3/1 * 13/8*)

 

 

 

 

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